Fantasy football: Week 12 sits/starts for the Ravens

A look at the fantasy appeal of the Ravens players heading into Monday Night Football against the Los Angeles Rams.

Monday Night Football in Week 12 sees the 8-2 Baltimore Ravens travel to Los Angeles to take on the 6-4 Rams. The Ravens are on a six-game winning streak and have won their last four games by double-digits. The reigning NFC champion Rams have won three of their last four, but find themselves in third place in the NFC West behind the 9-1 San Francisco 49ers and the 8-2 Seattle Seahawks.

Here, I’ll offer my thoughts on players to start and players to sit this week. As ever, Lamar Jackson is playing, so if you’ve got him, you’re starting him.

Start at RB2 – RB, Mark Ingram

Photo by Todd Olszewski/Getty Images

One of these weeks I am confident that I will correctly asses the fantasy value of Mark Ingram. I mean, I recommended sitting him last week due to concerns regarding his volume and production. Ingram, true to form, carried the ball only 13 times for 48 yards, the third time in four games he’s been held below four yards per attempt. But then almost out of nowhere, he catches three passes, two of which result in touchdowns. Maddening.

The Rams have been solid and unwelcoming to running backs this season. Only one running back has amassed more than 45 yards against them since Week 8. No running back has scored a rushing touchdown against them since Week 6. Tailbacks are not exactly enjoying themselves as pass catchers against them either. Tarik Cohen had five receptions against them last week, but that was the first time since Week 8 any back has had more than four catches in a game against the Rams. They’ve not allowed a running back to top 35 receiving yards since Week 1.

In his current form, I have to acknowledge that Ingram is a touchdown-dependent fantasy asset. He is not commanding a large workload, as evidenced by the fact that he has 15 or fewer carries in each of his last five games. Nor is he an every-down player, as he has played less than 66% of the Ravens offensive snaps in all but one game in 2019. If you have no other option, then he can be plugged in as an RB2. But we can’t expect him to score two receiving touchdowns ever again.

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7 crazy stats from the Texans’ 20-17 win over the Colts

The Houston Texans took care of business by beating the Indianapolis Colts in NFL Week 12. Here are seven crazy stats from the big victory.

The Houston Texans rebounded from an ugly loss in Week 11 to beat the division rival Indianapolis Colts 20-17 on Thursday night at home. The win moves the Texans to top in the AFC South with a 7-4 record. Here are the seven crazy stats from the victory.

1. A career-high in combined tackles for Zach Cunningham

(AP Photo/David J. Phillip)

Inside linebacker Zach Cunningham had a career day. His 16 combined tackles were the most in his impressive three-year career. It also ties for the third-most in a game in Texans franchise history. His 13 solo tackles were also the second-most in an individual matchup.

2. DeAndre Hopkins holds down H-Town

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(Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)

Only one (current) wide receiver can claim Houston as his. He doesn’t play for the Cougars (sorry Marquez Stevenson) or Roughnecks (sorry Sammie Coates). It’s DeAndre Hopkins. With his two touchdown receptions, Hopkins passed Jimmy Graham for second-most touchdown receptions at home since 2013 (30) trailing just Antonio Brown (44).

3. Most comeback wins in the past two seasons

(AP Photo/David J. Phillip)

The Texans found themselves down to the Colts, only to end up winning the game by three. They won on a go-ahead touchdown in the fourth quarter. With the comeback win, they now have the most for any team in the last two seasons (14).

4. 34-2 when allowing 19 or fewer points

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

When the Texans allow 19 points or fewer, they usually win. Under coach Bill O’Brien (2014-2019), they are 34-2 when they allow 19 points or fewer. Their 94.4 winning percentage when allowing less than 20 points ranks third in the league since 2014

5. Whitney Mercilus passes Kevin Walter in a longevity record

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Wide receiver Kevin Walter was one of the Texans’ original greats. Years later, the franchise is a different place, with multiple players passing up his longevity. Outside linebacker Whitney Mercilus’ 109 games passed Walter for the 10th-most in franchise history.

6. Deshaun Watson shines in prime time

(AP Photo/Eric Christian Smith)

When the lights get brighter, Deshaun Watson gets better. Though he got off to a slow start on Thursday night, the third-year quarterback willed his Texans to victory over the Colts. The win meant that he is now 5-2 in prime time, with losses against the Kansas City Chiefs and New Orleans Saints.

7. Second-best offense in team history

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Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

In 2012, the Texans dominated defenses with Matt Schaub, Andre Johnson and Arian Foster running Gary Kubiak’s scheme. It was the best offense in franchise history. In 2019, there is the second-best in the team’s history with Deshaun Watson, DeAndre Hopkins and Carlos Hyde tallying 4,198 net yards through Week 12.

Observations on the Texans’ snap counts from the 20-17 win over the Colts

The Houston Texans had some interesting snap counts from their 20-17 win over the Indianapolis Colts in Week 12.

The 7-4 Houston Texans regained control of the hotly contested AFC South with a 20-17 win over the 6-5 Indianapolis Colts on Thursday night at NRG Stadium.

The Texans did not make the win look easy, however. They lost the time of possession battle (33:17 over 26:43), turned over the ball once, did not score once in their two red zone visits and struggled to stop the Colts on third-down (9-15).

Nonetheless, Deshaun Watson willed his team to victory on prime time, making his night game record 5-2. Big plays ruled the day, with the Texans scoring on 30- and 35-yard touchdowns while more than doubling Indianapolis’ yards per attempt (9.6 over 4.7).

Here are the offensive, defensive and special teams snap counts from the Texans’ divisional win.

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observations

Offensive line

  • Played their first full game together since Week 5 vs. Atlanta Falcons. However, it wasn’t a game to brag about, despite allowing just one sack.
  • The Colts’ front-seven bullied the rush attack, as the tailbacks combined for 89 yards on 21 carries. Scratch out 52 yards on two attempts, and the Colts allowed 2.47 yards per.

Secondary

  • With both Justin Reid and Mike Adams out with concussions, the Texans completely abandoned the use of three safety sets. Tashaun Gipson and Jahleel Addae saw all the snaps at safety.
  • Vernon Hargreaves was not limited in his Texans debut, playing 82% of snaps, mostly all in the slot. On the outside, Gareon Conley and Johnathan Joseph played most of the contest. The trio and the safety duo worked, allowing just 129 yards on 25 attempts.

Front-seven

  • The Texans gave an uptick in snaps to outside linebacker Jacob Martin, who received 24 off the edge. That paid off, as he got the only Texans sack of the day.
  • Brennan Scarlett received the exact same amount as in Week 11 (53). The highlight of his day came on the last Colts’ offensive play, a game-sealing tackle on Jacoby Brissett.
  • Charles Omenihu continues to carve out a role as an edge rusher in Houston’s defense, as he played 43% of snaps as compared to 30% in the week before.
  • Inside linebackers Benardrick McKinney and Zach Cunningham led the way in front-seven snaps (66 each). Cunningham tallied a career-high 16 combined tackles. Everyone else, outside of the two and possibly Whitney Mercilus, is rotational.

Offensive skill positions:

  • No surprise here: Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins were the only two offensive skill position players to play the entire game.
  • The presumption, heading into the contest, was that the Texans were going to limit Will Fuller’s snap count in some capacity. That didn’t happen. He played 90% of snaps (53), in turn, paying it back with six receptions for 140 yards.
  • Duke Johnson barely edged out Carlos Hyde in running back snaps, taking 30 to Hyde’s 29. Houston’s usage of Johnson picked up after the first quarter, as they found more success running him side-to-side.
  • The Texans played more 11-personnel as compared to their uber-successful 12-personnel. Darren Fells led Houston in tight end snaps with 52 (88%) with Jordan Akins taking 28 (47%). In his return from the injured reserve, Jordan Thomas had just seven snaps.

Going forward, the Texans will host the New England Patriots on Dec. 1. Don’t expect similar snap counts against them, as Bill O’Brien has 11 days to prepare and contort his playbook in an effort to picking up his first-ever win over Bill Belichick.

5 takeaways from Colts’ 20-17 loss vs. Texans

Takeaways from the Colts’ 20-17 loss.

Few things say it’s a big game more than when it’s in prime time, your opponent is your most hated rival, and there is not only a chance to secure an outright lead in your division but any other advantages in the playoff implications that come up at season’s end.

The Indianapolis Colts had all of that at stake and then some before falling short against the Houston Texans, 20-17. Thursday night’s affair once again came down to the last minute, and this time the Texans (7-4) outlasted the Colts (6-5) and ended their three-game losing streak against Indy.

Here are five takeaways:

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Watson finally gains an edge on the Colts defense

Entering Thursday night, quarterback Deshaun Watson was struggling against the Colts. Across the board, the Clemson product was seeing negatives that included a decline in his overall numbers, being pressured at a higher rate and losing three consecutive games against them.

Although the Colts had their moments against Watson on Thursday night, it wasn’t the same as before. The MVP candidate produced greater success in Week 12 as his athleticism and timely throws resulted in 298 passing yards, two passing touchdowns and just one sack surrendered.

Minus the successful blitzes by the Colts defense, they couldn’t get close enough to actually pressure Watson while also limiting his effectiveness as a runner.

Irish in the NFL: Will Fuller excels in return for Texans

Former Notre Dame wide receiver Will Fuller excelled in his return from a lengthy absence with the Houston Texans, hauling in seven catches.

Former Notre Dame Fighting Irish receiver Will Fuller returned to the field for the Houston Texans after missing about a month with a hamstring injury, and the speedy deep threat picked up right where he left off.

Fuller hauled in seven receptions (on 11 targets) for 140 yards, including a 51-yard gain, helping lead the Texans to a narrow 20-17 victory over the Colts on Thursday Night Football.

The 51-yard gain travelled 59.4 yards in the air, the third-longest throw by air yards of the NFL season, according to Next Gen Stats

Fuller now has 41 receptions for 590 yards and three touchdowns through eight games this season, and has proven himself a crucial piece of Houston’s offense.

In fact, quarterback Deshaun Watson is much more dangerous with Fuller in the mix. He averages 62.5 more passing yards per game and 1.1 more passing touchdowns per game when Fuller is healthy and on the field.

Fuller was a beast at Notre Dame, hauling in 144 receptions for 2,512 yards and 30 touchdowns in three seasons before Houston made him a first round pick in 2016.

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Deshaun Watson breaks down his two touchdown passes to DeAndre Hopkins versus Colts

Houston Texans QB Deshaun Watson explained both of his touchdown passes to WR DeAndre Hopkins in the team’s 20-17 win over the Indianapolis Colts.

For the first time since Week 1, Houston Texans’ Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins connected twice on touchdown passes. This time, the Clemson duo executed the feat in a win.

With Hopkins’ two touchdown receptions leading the way, the Texans beat the Indianapolis Colts 20-17 on Thursday night. The two scores were Houston’s only appearances in the end zone.

On the first, a 35-yard strike early in the second quarter, Watson found Hopkins wide open against busted coverage from safety Malik Hooker.

The first score was as easy as it can get for the Texans. Watson recognized the crumbling coverage to redeem himself after throwing an interception.

“The first one the safety just came down and hopped right on top and I had to move, and he saw me move, so he just reacted,” said Watson post-game. “And I don’t know where the safeties and corners was, but they weren’t in position, so I just kind of laid it out there, and a catchable ball.”

The second score wasn’t quite as easy. Early in the fourth quarter, Hopkins worked for a 30-yard touchdown, beating a pressing Pierre Desir to will himself open. Watson delivered.

“The second one it was man coverage and we knew that, he gave me the signal what the corner was, his leverage was, and we checked to that play and the safety sat on the hash and I gave him a catchable ball and he ran underneath it and caught it,” said Watson. “So that was pretty much it. Just kind of that’s how we scored on that.”

Hopkins finished the divisional win with six receptions for 94 yards to go along with the two touchdowns. Watson went 19 for 30 passing for 298 yards, two touchdowns, an interception and a 104.7 passer rating. The two reaffirmed their dynamic duo status.

Offensive grades from the Texans’ 20-17 victory over the Colts

The Houston Texans beat the Indianapolis Colts 20-17 on Thursday Night Football. Now, we hand out grades to Deshaun Watson, DeAndre Hopkins and Co.

The Houston Texans got it done on a short week. On Thursday night, the Texans defeated the rival Indianapolis Colts 20-17 to regain full control of the tight AFC South. With another win added to their win/loss column following a miserable defeat, Houston stands at 7-4 on the season.

The Texans offense failed to win the time of possession, first down and red zone scoring battles. However, they escaped with a win, in large part due to their 9.6 yards per play, more than doubling the Colts’ 4.7.

Let’s take a gander at the Texans’ offensive grades from the win.

Quarterback

(AP Photo/Eric Christian Smith)

It took some time, but Deshaun Watson pieced together a solid performance on Thursday night. The third-year quarterback went 19 of 30 for 298 yards, two touchdowns, an interception and a 104.6 passer rating while extending his prime time record to 5-2 in the win.

It was a tale of two halves for Watson. In the first, he threw 10 for 15 for 115 yards, one touchdown, an interception and an 84.3 passer rating. In the second, he ramped up his efforts to the tune of 9 for 15 for 160 yards, a touchdown and a 118.7 passer rating.

Watson’s lows were low; his pick came on a poorly-read RPO while also missing easy first downs. However, once he got his rhythm going, his highs were just as high. Watson drilled clutch passes, tossed beautiful deep-bombs to Will Fuller, and, despite losing the time possession battle, pulled out a thrilling win.

Grade: B-

Deshaun Watson gives jersey to Astros’ Justin Verlander after Texans 20-17 win vs. Colts

Houston Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson gave his jersey to Houston Astros pitcher Justin Verlander after win over the Indianapolis Colts.

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Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson has Houston in his corner, including the city’s fellow stars. After attending the Texans’ 20-17 win over the Indianapolis Colts, Astros pitcher Justin Verlander met up with Watson post-game.

Included in the visit was some memorabilia for Verlander. Watson gave the 2019 AL Cy Young winner a signed, game-worn jersey — though not the color rush one he won in the win.

Though an age difference — Watson at 24, Verlander at 36 — and a sport one, Watson and Verlander have formed a tight bond since their own 2017 arrivals in Houston. The two have had dinners together and breakdown film.

“I guess we just kind of relate that way, but honestly, I was blown away after the first time meeting him,” said Verlander on Oct. 17. “Just his demeanor how smart he was. His charisma, all the things that you want to see a young athlete.”

Regular, while walking the streets of Houston, you will see Watson and Verlander jerseys littered through the crowd. You may also see Verlander rocking a Watson one and vice-versa.

Twitter blows up that the Colts weren’t awarded Deshaun Watson’s fourth quarter fumble

NFL Twitter blew up after the Indianapolis Colts were not awarded the football after a fumble from Houston Texans’ Deshaun Watson.

Many believed the Indianapolis Colts should have received another chance to beat the Houston Texans on Thursday night. On a 6-yard second-down run with 1:48 left in the Texans 20-17, quarterback Deshaun Watson coughed up the ball. Disaster.

However, Watson brought the ball back to his body, according to the officiating crew, who, despite the Colts possessing it at the bottom of the pile, gave it to Houston.

NFL Officiating said of the play, “There was no clear visual evidence of a recovery by the defense.”

Naturally, Twitter had different reactions, with many believing Indianapolis did not get a fair call on the play.

Charean Williams of Pro Football Talk explains why the NFL did not review the call.

Then she criticizes Bill O’Brien’s questionable timeout call that followed.

As for the rest of Twitter.

There is little doubt, in the minds of the public, that the NFL officiating left viewers wondering what had happened before their eyes.

5 takeaways from the Texans’ monumental victory over Colts

The Colts could have walked away with a huge advantage in the playoff hunt. Instead, the Texans have the upper hand.

The Indianapolis Colts left the AFC South playoff hunt on a cliffhanger. They couldn’t get a win over the Houston Texans on Thursday Night Football in Week 12. The Texans won, 20-17.

Had the Colts pulled off a win, they would have taken the lead in the AFC South with a head-to-head advantage over Houston. Now, the teams have split their matchups, and will have to defer to divisional records in the event they finish with the same record. Essentially, the Texans have taken a narrow lead for the AFC South’s playoff bid. But they’ve hardly secured a spot on the field on wild-card Sunday.

Here are five more thoughts from the Texans’ win over the Colts.

1. Stop it. That fourth-down call was the right one.

When the Colts asked Jacoby Brissett to convert a fourth-and-7 in the fourth quarter, the Indy quarterback was averaging 5.2 yards per passing attempt and 5 yards per rush. And yet Colts coach Frank Reich wasn’t foolish when he decided to go for it.

Indy was on the 47-yard line and was methodically (and perhaps inefficiently) moving the ball down the field. Because of that plodding approach on offense they were probably going to need all three of the minutes left on the clock, if they were going to score a touchdown. And they really needed a touchdown. The timing for a field goal probably wouldn’t favor the Colts — it would likely put the ball back in Watson’s hands.

So the Colts were going to need to retain the ball, and not let their defense attempt to cover the Texans’ receivers, who had been owning the Colts’ man coverage all night. They tried to control the game on their own terms — and they failed. But that didn’t mean they were wrong for trying.

2. The officials missed another one.

They missed a clear and obvious fumble in the closing moments of the game. And then for inexplicable reasons, they elected not to review it.

But with a minute and a half left in the game, the Colts could have absolutely changed the outcome of the game if this call had been called properly. This was an atrocious error. The officials have been so bad this year that I can’t even get myself worked up anymore.

This was the explanation from the NFL’s officiating account:

3. Can the Texans just be good already?

It feels like Houston pulls away in the division almost every year, only to disappoint in the postseason. They do it with such regularity that no one takes them seriously when they look like an explosive and impressive team (like they did on Thursday night).

Houston could be on their way to winning the division for the fourth time in five years. And yet they’re 1-3 in the playoffs over the last four years.

Please, let this be the first time they make a legitimate playoff run, if only because Watson deserves more respect as one of the NFL’s best.

If the Texans want to show they’re no longer a postseason joke, they can begin to make make a case with a win over the Patriots in Week 13. O’Brien is 0-5 against his former boss, Bill Belichick.

4. DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller are the perfect tandem for Deshaun Watson. They have the potential to be the best WR pair in the NFL.

Watson, Hopkins and Fuller could be the reason why the Texans finally get over their hump as the overlooked team with a good record. We’ve known for some time that Watson is special. We’ve known for some time that DeAndre Hopkins is one of the best receivers in the NFL. But Fuller genuinely changes the offensive dynamic. Watson averages 62.5 more passing yards per game and 1.1 more passing touchdowns when Fuller plays, per NFL Research.

With Fuller healthy, those three showed the Colts, the 11th-ranked passing defense heading into Week 12, that the Texans passing offense can be simply unstoppable.

Marvel at Watson and Fuller:

And you think that throw was special? Watson and Fuller made the deep-ball connection routine. Again, marvel at Watson and Fuller:

It’s just preposterous.

If the Fuller, Hopkins and Watson can do this every week, they’ll be unstoppable. With Watson whipping the ball downfield with ideal ball placement, Hopkins and Fuller look like the best receivers in football. On Thursday, Hopkins had six catches for 94 yards and two touchdowns. Fuller had seven catches for 140 yards.

5. Jacoby Brissett is a competent quarterback in totally opposite ways to Watson.

I’m going to cut Brissett a break for his performance. He wasn’t confident with his footwork in his return from an MCL injury. It appeared as if the Colts rushed him back. Because his legs weren’t working right, his passes weren’t going where he wanted them to. And even when it became clear Brissett wouldn’t be the passing threat he’d been for most of the season, he worked away with a quiet competence completing 16 of his 25 passes for 129 yards. There were a few costly drops (Looking at you, Nyheim Hines and T.Y. Hilton.) And while the Colts’ playoff hopes took a major hit on Thursday, they should feel good about their future and their signal-caller, who has been a delightful surprise in the absence of Andrew Luck.

Brissett couldn’t complete the fourth-and-7, as mentioned. He came up short in one of the most influential games of the season. But his injury cost them crucial wins — that’s out of his control. Indy was prepared to lose one quarterback (Luck) but couldn’t handle the loss of their second (Brissett). That’s fair.

Their 6-5 record isn’t bad. And maybe they can muster some late-season magic as Brissett gets healthier. If the Texans lose to New England — which is distinctly possible — and the Colts beat the Titans next week, then they’re basically neck-and-neck again.

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