Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks Game 4 odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks Game 4 NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The 4-seed Los Angeles Clippers hope to even their Western Conference First Round playoff series with the Dallas Mavericks Sunday at American Airlines Center before heading back to L.A. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Clippers-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

L.A. got back into this series by rallying back from a 19-point first-quarter deficit to beat Dallas 118-108 in Game 3. The Clippers covered as 3-point road favorites.

The Clippers’ dynamic duo crushed the Mavs Friday as SF Kawhi Leonard and SG Paul George combined for 65 points on 68.6% shooting (24-for-35).

Mavs PG Luka Doncic continued his sensational play, scoring 44 points on 53.6% shooting with 9 rebounds and 9 assists.

Clippers at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Clippers -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Mavericks +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Clippers -3.5 (-110) | Mavericks +3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 220.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Clippers at Mavericks: Key injuries

Mavericks

  • PF Serge Ibaka (back) questionable

Clippers

  • PG Luka Doncic (neck) questionable
  • PF Maxi Kleber (Achilles) probable
  • SG JJ Redick (Achilles) out

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Clippers at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Clippers 114, Mavericks 104

Money line (ML)

TAKE the CLIPPERS (-160) for 1 unit because the Mavs can’t rely on anyone other than Doncic and the L.A. stars are getting whatever they want in this series.

Dallas C Kristaps Porziņģis is putting up only 14.3 points per game on 42.9% shooting and the other role players’ hot 3-point shooting is unsustainable.

Also, Leonard and George are combining for 61 points per game on 56.8% shooting and the Clippers have only one other player scoring double digits per game in this series.

Furthermore, the Clippers have been getting dragged in the media for dropping the first two games of the series but they are leading in three of the “four factors” (turnover, offensive rebounding and FT/FGA rates).

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on Clippers -3.5 (-110) and stick with L.A.’s money line despite the predicted score because I’m wary this game comes down to the final possession and prefer not to fuss with the points.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 220.5 (-105) for a half unit. The Clippers-Mavericks series is the slowest paced of the postseason and the market is overreacting to shooting that should regress back to the mean.

For example, nearly 80% of the money wagered is on the Over, according to Pregame.com, and it’s typically profitable to fade such a one-sided market in sports betting.

Based on the flow of these Clippers-Mavericks games, one bad shooting quarter for either team is enough to keep this game Under the total.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional NBA sports coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks Game 3 odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks Game 3 NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The 5-seed Dallas Mavericks (2-0) host the 4-seed Los Angeles Clippers (0-2) Friday in Game 3 as their Western Conference First Round playoff series heads to the Big D for the next two games. Tip-off at American Airlines Center is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Clippers-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The story of this series through two games has been Luka Doncic and Dallas’ hot shooting as the Mavs have six players shooting 40% or better from behind the arc and a 65.5% effective field goal shooting (eFG%) as a team.

Also, Kawhi Leonard and Paul George are averaging a combined 59 points per game (PPG) this series but aren’t getting much help from the Clippers’ role players.

Forward Marcus Morris Sr. is scoring just 6.5 PPG on 29.4% shooting and PG Pat Beverley is getting abused by Doncic, posting a 130 defensive rating while adding just 6.5 PPG himself.

Clippers at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:14 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Clippers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Mavericks +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Clippers -2.5 (-110) | Mavericks +2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 219.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Clippers at Mavericks: Key injuries

Mavericks

  • PF Serge Ibaka (back) questionable

Clippers

  • PF Maxi Kleber (Achilles) questionable
  • SG J.J. Redick (Achilles) out

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Clippers at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Clippers 119, Mavericks 111

Money line (ML)

BET the CLIPPERS (-140) for 1 unit because both their terrible outside shooting and the Mavs’ red-hot outside shooting have to come back to the mean eventually in this series.

As basic as it sounds, Beverley, Morris, and Reggie Jackson cannot play any worse and there are rumors that Rajon Rondo could replace Pat Bev in the starting 5, which would be ideal in my opinion.

Also, L.A. is ahead in three of the “four factors” (turnover, rebounding and FT/FGA rates) so if Mavs’ role players like Tim Hardaway Jr. and Dorian Finney-Smith are just a smidge off Friday, the Clippers will win.

Finally, as I mentioned in this week’s Bet Slippin’ Podcast, I have a hard time believing the Mavs are getting the brooms out for the Clippers.

If they do then once this series is over let’s shop for “Kawhi Leonard’s 2021-22 team” future prices.

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. I’d listen to the case for just laying it with the Clippers -2.5 (-110) if you want to be cheap but I’d prefer to stick with L.A.’s money line here given the stakes of Game 3.

Dallas has a chance to effectively end this season for the Clippers if it goes up 3-0, but if L.A. can steal this game they’ll be back in the series. I’d rather not fuss with the points because I could see this game ending on the final possession.

Over/Under (O/U)

Game 3’s total is 3 points higher than last game’s total and I still don’t think it’s high enough. The Mavs lit up the Clippers on their home floor and generally role players shoot better at home.

While I don’t think that’s necessarily the case here, Kawhi, and to a lesser extent PG, have proven they can get buckets vs. the Mavs and will at least help L.A.’s role players get open looks.

However, it’s a slight “LEAN” to the OVER 219.5 (-110) for a quarter unit because the market is barreling into the Over and I hate following crowds in sports betting while both teams played at a bottom-10 pace this season.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional NBA sports coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | LeBron Wire | Lonzo Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers Game 2 odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers Game 2 NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The 4-seed Los Angeles Clippers (0-1) try to even their Western Conference first-round playoff series with the 5-seed Dallas Mavericks (1-0) at Staples Center before heading to the Big D for Games 3 and 4. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Clippers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Dallas jumped out to a 1-0 series lead primarily because PG Luka Dončić had his way with L.A.’s defense. He messed around and put up a 31-10-11 triple-double.

L.A.’s two All-Stars SF Kawhi Leonard and SG Paul George had respectable performances, but the Clippers shot just 27.5% from behind the 3-point arc as a team and were outscored in all four quarters.

Mavericks at Clippers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mavericks +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Clippers -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks +7 (-110) | Clippers -7 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 215.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Clippers: Key injuries

Mavericks

  • None.

Clippers

  • None.

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Mavericks at Clippers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Clippers 117, Mavericks 114

Money line (ML)

PASS even though I “like” Dallas plus the points because I just cannot see the Mavericks (+240) stealing the two games in L.A.

I do envision this series going at least six games like it did last year but the Clippers (-300) should find a way to even the series.

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Against the spread (ATS)

BET the MAVERICKS +7 (-110) for 1 unit because there’s a narrative floating around NBA circles that the Clippers are going to assign Leonard to guard Luka and that’s just not the way L.A. has operated since acquiring him.

Maybe late in the game or later in this series Leonard will step up to the challenge of mitigating Doncic’s effectiveness but since L.A.’s 3-point shooting was the best in the NBA this season, I think the Clippers try to outscore the Mavs.

In Game 1, Clippers SF Nicolas Batum guarded Luka the most and Leonard spent the fourth-most time defending him. If the Clippers’ major adjustment from Game 1 is to improve their 3-point shooting then I don’t trust L.A. to win by a margin and cover the spread.

Furthermore, we have a “Pros vs. Joes” situation in the betting market as a majority of the money is on the Mavs to cover while more bets have been placed on the Clippers, according to Pregame.com.

Typically, it’s wiser in sports betting to follow the money and fade the crowd of people.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 215.5 (-110) for a half unit only because I think the Clippers’ role players knock down a few more threes than in Game 1 and the pace picks up this game.

I would go lightly if betting this total because the Under cashed in five straight Mavericks-Clippers meetings and four of those games went Under by at least 21 points.

Ultimately, I prefer the Over because of my read L.A. makes more offensive adjustments than defensive ones and the Clippers never have an answer for Doncic.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional NBA sports coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | LeBron Wire | Lonzo Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers Game 1 NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The 4-seed Los Angeles Clippers host the 5-seed Dallas Mavericks in Game 1 of their Western Conference first-round playoff series Saturday at Staples Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Clippers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

This is a rematch of last postseason’s Western Conference first-round meeting that the Clippers won 4-2 with both teams’ stars going off.

L.A.’s Kawhi Leonard averaged 32.8 points per game on 63.9% true shooting (.538/.294/.855), 10.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game with a plus-20 net rating.

Dallas’ Luka Doncic was incredible in his first-ever postseason, averaging 31.0 points per game on 59.6% true shooting (.500/.364/.656), 9.8 rebounds and 8.7 assists per game.

The Mavs won and covered two of their three regular-season meetings with the Clippers and Dallas’s 51-point beatdown vs. a Kawhi-less L.A. team on Dec. 27 was one of the most lopsided victories in the NBA this season.

Mavericks at Clippers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mavericks +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Clippers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks +6 (-110) | Clippers -6 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 217.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Mavericks at Clippers: Key injuries

Mavericks

  • PF Maxi Kleber (Achilles’) probable
  • SG J.J. Redick (heel) out

Clippers

  • Nothing affecting gambling odds.

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Mavericks at Clippers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Clippers 117, Mavericks 113

Money line (ML)

PASS even though I expect L.A. to win because Dallas took the series six games last postseason when the Clippers were an even bigger series favorite (-630), according to SportsOddsHistory.com.

In fact, the Mavs were leading second-half of Game 1 last year before Kristaps Porzingis was controversially ejected after picking up his second technical foul.

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Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the MAVERICKS +6 (-110) for a half unit because we are seeing “reverse line movement” in the betting market, Dallas plays better against top-10 offenses—which both teams have—and the Clippers underperform vs. bad defenses.

For instance, according to pregame.com, 60% of the money wagered has been on the Clippers’ to cover, but oddsmakers have made L.A. cheaper. It’s generally a red flag when the House knocks point(s) off the more popular side.

Also, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, L.A. is 10-13 overall with a minus-0.6 points per 100 possessions vs. teams in the top-10 of offensive efficiency and a minus-3.3-points ATS margin (ranked 24th).

However, Dallas is 13-10 with the second-highest points per 100 possessions differential (plus-4.8 points) vs. teams in the top-10 of offensive efficiency and the best ATS margin (plus-5.9 points).

Finally, the Mavs have the 22nd-ranked defensive efficiency (CleaningTheGlass.com), but the Clippers are ranked 28th in ATS margin (minus-2.5 points) vs. teams in the bottom-10 of the league in defensive efficiency.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 217.5 (-115) for a half unit because all the steam on the Under is giving us the best of the number, and the Clippers have turned more into an offensive team under first-year head coach Ty Lue.

The market has bet the Mavericks-Clippers total down from the 223-point opener to the current number, and my inkling is to fade that kind of line movement.

Also, my read is that since the Clippers are the best 3-point shooting team in the Association, they are more willing to sag on defense and be goaded into a shootout.

I’m sure most Clippers fans are hoping to see the perimeter defense they envisioned when acquiring Kawhi, Paul George and Patrick Beverley, but L.A. hasn’t been that lock-down on defense since last season.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional NBA sports coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Dallas Mavericks (42-29) drop by Target Center Sunday to play the Minnesota Timberwolves (22-49) in each team’s regular-season finale. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Dallas can clinch the 5-seed with a victory against a Minnesota team it has beaten five straight times while going 4-1 against the spread in those games.

The Mavs are trending up entering the postseason as they’ve won back-to-back games, six of seven and eight of their last 10 (6-4 ATS).

The T-Wolves have taken back-to-back double-digit losses against the Boston Celtics and Denver Nuggets. They’ve lost five of their last seven games while going 2-5 ATS. Minnesota is eliminated from postseason contention.

Mavericks at Timberwolves: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mavericks -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Timberwolves +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks -7 (-110) | Timberwolves +7 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 230.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Timberwolves: Key injuries

Mavericks

  • PF Maxi Kleber (Achilles) doubtful
  • SG JJ Redick (heel) out

Timberwolves

  • None.

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Mavericks at Timberwolves: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Timberwolves 121, Mavericks 115

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Timberwolves (+225) since I “like” Minnesota plus the points and question Dallas’ motivation to win this game.

What’s the Mavs’ incentive for winning? To play the Los Angeles Clippers in the first round? Dallas probably isn’t ducking anyone, but the Mavs could certainly be looking ahead to the postseason.

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Against the spread (ATS)

A lot of people think the T-Wolves should be in “tank mode” but they’ve instead opted to see what the future looks like with PG D’Angelo Russell, No. 1 overall pick Anthony Edwards and C Karl-Anthony Towns. When they’ve been on the floor together, the T-Wolves are playing well.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com, Minnesota has a plus-5.2 points per 100 possessions differential with those guys on the floor. The ‘Wolves are also in the  98th percentile of lineups in offensive efficiency and 97th percentile of effective field-goal shooting.

Minnesota has been playing harder than pundits want to admit and I’ll BET the TIMBERWOLVES +7 (-110) and their young core play the Mavs tough in the regular-season finale.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 230.5 (-110) for a half unit because the Over has cashed in four of the last five Mavericks-Timberwolves meetings and in Dallas’ past four.

Also, the T-Wolves have one of the worst defenses in the league and I don’t see the Mavs getting after it defensively.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional NBA sports coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Memphis Grizzlies (35-33) hosts the Dallas Mavericks (40-28) Tuesday at FedExForum. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Dallas has won four in a row and seven of its last eight games (6-2 against the spread), which includes wins over the Brooklyn Nets and at the Miami Heat last week.

Memphis eked past a banged-up New Orleans Pelicans team last night in a 115-110 victory as 9.5-point home favorites for its second straight win and third in the last four games (2-2 ATS).

The Grizzlies are chasing the Golden State Warriors for eighth in the West because seeds 7-10 participate in the postseason play-in tournament with the seventh- and eighth-place teams having two games to clinch a playoff berth.

The Mavericks have beaten the Grizzlies in three straight and four of their past five meetings (3-2 ATS) since Memphis drafted Ja Morant.

Mavericks at Grizzlies: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mavericks -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Grizzlies +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks -1.5 (-110) | Grizzlies +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Grizzlies: Key injuries

Mavericks

  • PF Maxi Kleber (Achilles) questionable
  • Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out

Grizzlies

  • SG Grayson Allen (abdomen) out

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Mavericks at Grizzlies: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 113, Grizzlies 108

Money line (ML)

GIMME the MAVERICKS (-125) for 1 unit because there’s an equal play-in motivation behind each team, Dallas matches up well against Memphis and Porzingis’ is weighted heavier in the betting market than it should.

For instance, the Mavs shouldn’t be snoozing down the stretch because the Los Angeles Lakers and Portland Trail Blazers could pass them, putting Dallas in the play-in game.

Also, Memphis plays an ultra-aggressive defensive scheme that forces opponents into making turnovers, which is something Dallas doesn’t do.

The Mavs are third in turnover rate and points off of turnovers allowed per game while the Grizzlies score the second-most points off turnovers per game and the ninth-highest defensive turnover rate.

Finally, I’d argue that KP’s absence is closer to a net win than net loss for the Mavs. His replacement—C Willie Cauley-Stein—is more defensive, rebounding minded, which is what the Mavs need against sneaky good Memphis big Jonas Valančiūnas.

Furthermore, no KP means more Luka Doncic-based offense and KP has a minus-5.2 on-off net rating.

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the spread unless Dallas’ money line goes north of -150 then I’d lay it with the Mavericks.

Over/Under (O/U)

I slightly “LEAN” to the UNDER 227.5 (-110) for a quarter unit because Memphis’ offense has struggled down the stretch, scoring 115 points just once in the past nine games.

The Grizzlies couldn’t break 100 points in games against the Detroit Pistons and Orlando Magic recently, and my read is the Mavs are going to slow this game down (ranked 24th in pace) and limit the possessions.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional NBA sports coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | LeBron Wire | Lonzo Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Miami Heat at Boston Celtics odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s Miami Heat at Boston Celtics NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Miami Heat (37-31) face the Boston Celtics (35-33) in their second of a back-to-back Tuesday at TD Garden. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Heat-Celtics odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Miami held off Boston to win 130-124 Sunday as the Celtics were down as many as 26 points before cutting the deficit down to six points with a few minutes left in the fourth.

It was the Heat’s second straight win and fifth out of their last six games (4-1-1 against the spread). Miami is sixth in the East, 2 games in front of Boston and seeds 7-10 participate in the playoff play-in tournament.

Boston is limping down the stretch, losing two straight, three of four and six of the last nine games (2-7 ATS), with the three wins all coming against sub-.500 teams.

This is the regular-season rubber match between these two teams as the road team has won and covered the first two.

Heat at Celtics: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Heat -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Celtics +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Heat -1.5 (-115) | Celtics +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 224.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Heat at Celtics: Key injuries

Heat

  • SG Victor Oladipo (knee) out

Celtics

  • Robert Williams (toe) doubtful
  • SF Jaylen Brown (knee) out

Special NBA Betting Promotion!

Place a $1 bet on either team’s money line, WIN an additional $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a 3-pointer during the game today. Promotion available in CO, IN, MI, NJ, TN, VA and WV. IA and PA residents, don’t miss BetMGM‘s risk-free, first-bet offer!

Place your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Heat at Celtics: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Heat 119, Celtics 112

Money line (ML)

BET the HEAT (-125) for 1 unit because the market is overemphasizing the zig-zag theory, perhaps overlooking these teams’ recent forms and expecting Jayson Tatum to put the Celtics (+105) on his back in a relatively must-win game.

For instance, they’ve had to beat the same team in consecutive games so most bettors will automatically bet against the team that just won, as known as the “zig-zag” theory.

However, Miami is rounding into the team that represented the East in the NBA Finals last season, and Boston has struggled immensely in the last several games.

Given their situation, the Celtics’ recent losses to the Chicago Bulls, by 22 points, the Oklahoma City Thunder and a banged-up Charlotte Hornets are embarrassing.

Finally, Tatum is an All-NBA caliber wing, no one is arguing that, but Jimmy Butler is better and has played better than Tatum when they’ve met.

In their seven career head-to-head meetings, Butler’s team is 5-2, and he’s outscoring Tatum 24.4-19.3 points per game.

Tatum might outscore Butler in this meeting and play fabulous tonight, but in a must-win for both teams, I’ll roll with Butler and the HEAT (-125).

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS and stick with the money line unless the Heat become -140 or greater favorites then I’d lay the points with Miami.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 224.5 (-115) for a quarter unit only because we are getting the worst of the number since the market has already steamed the total up 2 points from the 222.5-point opener.

Miami’s offense is starting to come together and hit shots (the Heat have scored 121 or more points in four of their last five games) and Boston has been playing matador defense lately (allowing 129 or more points in four of the past five).

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional NBA sports coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | LeBron Wire | Lonzo Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Dallas Mavericks at Cleveland Cavaliers NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Dallas Mavericks (39-28) play the second end of a home-and-home with the Cleveland Cavaliers (21-46) Sunday at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mavericks vs. Cavaliers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Mavericks rolled the Cavaliers by a 110-90 count in Dallas Friday night, easily covering a 10.5-point number as the Under (217) connected.

Dallas has won three straight, and six of the past seven while going 5-2 against the spread during the span.

The Cavaliers are on a nine-game slide, and they haven’t covered in any of the outings, either. Each of the past five losses for Cleveland has been by 16 or more points.

Mavericks at Cavaliers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mavericks -600 (bet $600 to win $100) | Cavaliers +425 (bet $100 to win $425)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks -11 (-110) | Cavaliers +11 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 217.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Cavaliers: Key injuries

Mavericks

  • PF Maxi Kleber (Achilles) doubtful
  • PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) out

Cavaliers

  • PF Kevin Love (knee) questionable
  • PG Matthew Dellavedova (neck) out
  • PG Darius Garland (ankle) out
  • PF Larry Nance Jr. (thumb) out
  • SF Taurean Prince (ankle) out

Special NBA Betting Promotion!

Place a $1 bet on either team’s money line, WIN an additional $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a 3-pointer during the game today. Promotion available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, TN, VA and WV. PA residents, don’t miss BetMGM‘s risk-free, first-bet offer!

Place your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Mavericks at Cavaliers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 119, Cavaliers 104

Money line (ML)

The Mavericks (-600) will cost you six times your potential return. And while the Cavaliers (+425) have shown no signs of life lately, you cannot risk that kind of money for such a small payoff. Look to the spread instead.

AVOID.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The MAVERICKS -11 (-110) come with some risk, as playing double-digit favorites on the road is not a slam-dunk play.

But the Cavaliers +11 (-110) have had no heart lately, and they look very disinterested in winning again this season.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 217.5 (-110) is the lean here. The Over has cashed in four of the past five for the Mavericks on the road, and the Over is 10-3 in their past 13 on the road against teams with a losing home mark.

The Over is also 5-1 in Cleveland’s past six at home, and 4-1 in the past five as a home underdog.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional NBA sports coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | LeBron Wire | Lonzo Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Sacramento Kings (26-37) travel to meet the Dallas Mavericks (36-27) Sunday at American Airlines Center. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Kings-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Kings kept their flickering playoff hopes alive with a 110-106 win on the road against the Los Angeles Lakers Friday, winning outright as 11.5-point underdogs. They used a 32-18 fourth quarter to grab the huge victory.

The Mavericks nipped the red-hot Washington Wizards 125-124 Saturday, hitting the Over, but Dallas failed to cover the 3.5-point number. The Over is now 3-0 in the past three for the Mavs.

Kings at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:28 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Kings +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Mavericks -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Kings +7 (-110) | Mavericks -7 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Kings at Mavericks: Key injuries

Kings

  • SF Harrison Barnes (hip) doubtful
  • PG De’Aaron Fox (illness) out
  • PF Chimezie Metu (back) doubtful

Mavericks

  • PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) questionable

Special NBA Betting Promotion!

Place a $1 bet on either team’s money line, WIN an additional $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a 3-pointer during the game today. Promotion available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, TN, VA and WV. PA residents, don’t miss BetMGM‘s risk-free, first-bet offer!

Place your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Kings at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 119, Kings 115

Money line (ML)

The Mavericks (-275) will cost you nearly three times your potential return, and that’s risky business. Porzingis might be limited in this one, if he plays at all. For whatever reason, Sacramento always seems to play Dallas tough.

AVOID.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The KINGS +7 (-110) are worth playing on the road. While the Mavericks have cashed in four of the past five games overall, they’re just 2-6 ATS in the past eight at home.

In addition, the Kings are 20-6-1 ATS in the past 27 meetings with the Mavs, and 6-1 ATS across the past seven trips to the Metroplex.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 229.5 (-110) is the play there. The Over has connected in five of the past six meetings in this series. While the trends point to the Under for the Kings lately, it’s all Over all the time for the Mavs. The Over is 5-2 in the past seven for Dallas, and 7-3 in its past 10 as a favorite. The Over is also 5-2 in the past seven as home favorites for the Mavs.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional NBA sports coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | LeBron Wire | Lonzo Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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Washington Wizards at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Washington Wizards at Dallas Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Washington Wizards (29-34) visit American Airlines Center Saturday for a 9 p.m. ET tip-off against the Dallas Mavericks (35-27). Below, we analyze the Wizards-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Washington is one of the hottest teams in the Association as winners of two straight and 10 of its last 11 games (9-2 against the spread).

The Wizards have propelled to the 10-seed in the Eastern Conference. They’re 3 games ahead of the Chicago Bulls for the final postseason play-in spot.

Dallas has also won back-to-back games while going 5-1 straight up and 4-2 ATS in its last six contests. The Mavs are a half-game in front of the Portland Trail Blazers for the 6-seed in the West and are hoping to avoid the play-in.

Dallas routed a Bradley Beal-less Washington 109-87 as a 6-point road favorite in the first meeting this season. It snapped a three-game ATS losing skid against the Wizards.

Wizards at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Wizards +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Mavericks -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Wizards +5 (-110) | Mavericks -5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 231.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Wizards at Mavericks: Key injuries

Wizards

  • None.

Mavericks

  • PF Maxi Kleber (leg) questionable
  • PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) questionable

Special NBA Betting Promotion!

Place a $1 bet on either team’s money line, WIN an additional $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a 3-pointer during the game today. Promotion available in CO, IN, MI, NJ, TN, VA and WV. IA and PA residents, don’t miss BetMGM‘s risk-free, first-bet offer!

Place your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Wizards at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Wizards 120, Mavericks 110

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the WIZARDS (+165) for a quarter unit because I “like” Washington plus the points and the Mavs have a soft interior defense the Wizards can feast on.

Washington led the league in April in points in the paint per game and Beal—who didn’t play in the first Wizards-Mavericks meeting—was third in PITP per game for April.

And, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Mavs are 22nd in defensive field-goal percentage vs. shots at the rim.

With Beal being one of the most prolific scorers in the mid-range and PG Russell Westbrook one of the most aggressive players in recent history at attacking the rim, the Wizards should tear up the Mavs’ defense.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET the WIZARDS +5 (-110) heavier than or instead of Washington’s money line.

This is a “better spot” for the Wizards who are 9-3 ATS when getting 5-7 points while the Mavs are 4-7 ATS when laying points in that range.

Also, Dallas is an awful 8-14 ATS as a home favorite with a minus-5.9 ATS margin, 2-11 ATS at home when playing teams with a losing record and Washington is 18-12 ATS as a road dog this year.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS because my predicted score is only 1.5 points above BetMGM‘s projected total and there isn’t enough value for me to bet the Over.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional NBA sports coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | LeBron Wire | Lonzo Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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