Washington Wizards at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Washington Wizards at Dallas Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Washington Wizards (29-34) visit American Airlines Center Saturday for a 9 p.m. ET tip-off against the Dallas Mavericks (35-27). Below, we analyze the Wizards-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Washington is one of the hottest teams in the Association as winners of two straight and 10 of its last 11 games (9-2 against the spread).

The Wizards have propelled to the 10-seed in the Eastern Conference. They’re 3 games ahead of the Chicago Bulls for the final postseason play-in spot.

Dallas has also won back-to-back games while going 5-1 straight up and 4-2 ATS in its last six contests. The Mavs are a half-game in front of the Portland Trail Blazers for the 6-seed in the West and are hoping to avoid the play-in.

Dallas routed a Bradley Beal-less Washington 109-87 as a 6-point road favorite in the first meeting this season. It snapped a three-game ATS losing skid against the Wizards.

Wizards at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Wizards +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Mavericks -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Wizards +5 (-110) | Mavericks -5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 231.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Wizards at Mavericks: Key injuries

Wizards

  • None.

Mavericks

  • PF Maxi Kleber (leg) questionable
  • PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) questionable

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Wizards at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Wizards 120, Mavericks 110

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the WIZARDS (+165) for a quarter unit because I “like” Washington plus the points and the Mavs have a soft interior defense the Wizards can feast on.

Washington led the league in April in points in the paint per game and Beal—who didn’t play in the first Wizards-Mavericks meeting—was third in PITP per game for April.

And, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Mavs are 22nd in defensive field-goal percentage vs. shots at the rim.

With Beal being one of the most prolific scorers in the mid-range and PG Russell Westbrook one of the most aggressive players in recent history at attacking the rim, the Wizards should tear up the Mavs’ defense.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET the WIZARDS +5 (-110) heavier than or instead of Washington’s money line.

This is a “better spot” for the Wizards who are 9-3 ATS when getting 5-7 points while the Mavs are 4-7 ATS when laying points in that range.

Also, Dallas is an awful 8-14 ATS as a home favorite with a minus-5.9 ATS margin, 2-11 ATS at home when playing teams with a losing record and Washington is 18-12 ATS as a road dog this year.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS because my predicted score is only 1.5 points above BetMGM‘s projected total and there isn’t enough value for me to bet the Over.

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