2 Little, 2 Late, 8 Wins, 8 Losses: Cowboys 2019, likely Garrett tenure comes to fitting end

The Dallas Cowboys season is over after their Week 17 home win over the Washington Redskins.

It took a while for them to get untracked, but the Dallas Cowboys absolutely walloped the Washington Redskins in the 2019 regular season finale. Once Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott got his bad shoulder loose, the offense loosened up and the team poured gasoline on the flaming pile of misery for the team from DC. The final was a massacre-like score differential, 47-16 as Dallas had another blowout win on the season.

It was too little, too late however. Elsewhere in the division, the Philadelphia Eagles handled their own business, pulling away from the New York Giants in the fourth quarter to earn their ninth win of the season and lock up the NFC East race and a home date for the wild-card round next weekend. Dallas finished 8-8, after losing to the Eagles in Week 16 in a game they could have clinched the division and now they are going to be at home in a different capacity, and for the entire offseason.

The loss likely signifies the end of the Jason Garrett regime in one of the most disappointing campaigns of the Jerry Jones era. He’ll go out the same way he came in, starting his career with three straight 8-8 finishes in which the club had a chance to make the playoffs in Week 17 but failed to do so.

Time is a flat circle, apparently.

Dallas failed to become the first NFC East team to repeat as division champions since the 2003-2004 Philadelphia teams did so 15 years ago.

The Cowboys have dominated their opponents in their wins and looked lost in their defeats. Every one of their eight wins came in games when they scored over 31 points. Every one of their eight losses came in games when they scored 24 or fewer points.

The 31-point margin of victory moved them to a scoring differential of 113 on the season. They are the first team since 1989 to finish with a differential of 100 or more and finish with less than nine wins.

Now, the Cowboys will move on to the business season, with a coaching change likely to be announced in the near future and a search to be executed under the bright January lights that only Dallas can exist under for a team that did not accomplish their goals on the season whatsoever.

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LOOK: Devastating pancake block leads to Elliott’s longest TD of 2019

The Cowboys offense is rolling now. Deep into the second quarter, Dallas has extended their lead over a dysfunctional Washington club to 20-3 after running back Ezekiel Elliott scored his second touchdown of the game, this one on the ground. Elliott …

The Cowboys offense is rolling now.

Deep into the second quarter, Dallas has extended their lead over a dysfunctional Washington club to 20-3 after running back Ezekiel Elliott scored his second touchdown of the game, this one on the ground.

Elliott took the handoff and then followed a cleat-cleaning block by pulling left guard Joe Looney, who wiped out rookie linebacker Cole Holcomb. Elliott shot through the hole then broke a tackle of his own on the way to a 33-yard scamper.

The score was Elliott’s second of the day and 12th on the ground for the season. He leads the club with 14 total touchdowns on the season in his first campaign to play in all 16 contests.

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Smith, Jones among several out for Cowboys vs Redskins sans Haskins, McLaurin

The inactive lists for the final regular season game on the Dallas Cowboys 2019 schedule are out. There aren’t any surprises, just confirmations to suspicions that grew as the week went along. Dallas will be without their starting left tackle and …

The inactive lists for the final regular season game on the Dallas Cowboys 2019 schedule are out. There aren’t any surprises, just confirmations to suspicions that grew as the week went along. Dallas will be without their starting left tackle and their No. 1 cornerback as both Tyron Smith and Byron Jones have been ruled out.

Quarterback Dak Prescott, as expected, will start after being extremely limited for the second practice week in a row due to a bad shoulder.

On the opposite sideline, rookie starting quarterback Dwayne Haskins will be out, as well as his top target and exciting rookie counterpart, wideout Terry McLaurin. The Ohio State products completed their rookie season in promising fashion, though they won’t be on display at AT&T Stadium.

Here’s a look at the complete inactive lists

Dallas Cowboys

LT Tyron Smith (back)
CB Byron Jones (ankle)
NT Antwaun Woods (hip, ankle)
LB Joe Thomas (knee)
DE Joe Jackson
OT Wyatt Miller
WR Devin Smith

Washington Redskins

QB Dwayne Haskins
WR Terry McLaurin
SS Landon Collins
CB Josh Norman
S Troy Apke
C Ross Pierschbacher
TE Caleb Wilson

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Cowboys fortunate they won’t face progressing Dwayne Haskins

Things change quickly in the NFL. It was only a few weeks ago that Dallas crushed Philadelphia on Sunday Night Football, and took command of the NFC East. Despite weekly swings in emotions, The Cowboys mostly maintained control of the division, or …

Things change quickly in the NFL. It was only a few weeks ago that Dallas crushed Philadelphia on Sunday Night Football, and took command of the NFC East. Despite weekly swings in emotions, The Cowboys mostly maintained control of the division, or at least enough to control their own destiny. But Sunday’s loss in Philadelphia could be the end of the joy ride for the 2019 season. Now Dallas needs one final twist of fate, as they’ll be cheering for Daniel Jones and the New York Giants to accomplish what they were unable to against the Eagles. Before these results really matter though, the Cowboys will need to do their part and take down the Washington Redskins.

Things certainly would have been more straight-forward if Dallas had managed to pull off the victory last week. However, they did get one break heading into Week 17, as they’ll be facing Case Keenum rather than Dwayne Haskins. If you just look at the season averages in EPA per Dropback, Keenum has added .0778 EPA per dropback, while Haskins is averaging -0.176. But these averages don’t necessarily tell the full story. Haskins began with some abysmal showings, but has improved as the season has worn on.

Haskins has shown steady improvement with experience; an indication that is extremely positive for Washington as they enter the offseason and plan for the future. Unfortunately, he was unable to finish the contest against the Giants due to an ankle injury, and he’ll miss the final game of the regular season.

It’s somewhat difficult to determine how much of a drop-off in production we can expect from Haskins to Keenum, but pass location charts can help us pinpoint how the two differ stylistically.

Perhaps unsurprisingly, a large portion of Haskins’ downfield success has come down the seam. He’s been relatively efficient on these routes up to twenty yards downfield. When he attacks beyond this range, he’s primarily done so down the left sideline. Keenum on the other hand, has shown a propensity for short passes. It seems that he prefers to stretch the defense horizontally, as he uses the entire width of the field underneath. His longer passes have primarily targeted the middle of the field.

Stopping Keenum will require limiting yards after the catch, and owning the middle of the field. If Dallas can do these two things, it’s likely that Washington will need the ageless-wonder, Adrian Peterson, to carry the team to victory.

I wouldn’t have predicted Peterson to still be playing at this age, and I certainly wouldn’t have guessed that he’d produce at this level. While he’s not the game-breaking home-run threat he used to be (his longest rush on the season is 29 yards), he’s still able to churn out some impressive production on a below-average offense.

The chart above parses out a running-backs average yards before contact (X-axis) and the average yards after contact (Y-axis). The goal here is to contextualize how much of a running-back’s efficiency relies on the offensive line and situation rather than what he’s creating for himself. It’s certainly not fully indicative of a running-back’s skill, but it gets us a littler closer to the mark. The size and color of the points are related to the number of rush attempts a player has had.

What we see is that despite a lower average for yards before contact, Peterson is still above average in creating yards after contact. It may not always be pretty, but his freakish athleticism has allowed him to stay on the field and continue to produce longer than most.

Overall, the combination of Peterson’s grind-it-out running style with Keenum’s horizontal passing game would suggest that Washington will attempt to control the ball and clock, and hopefully limit Dallas’s opportunities on offense. After Dallas racked up 31 points in their first matchup, this may be the best strategy Washington could hope for.

A multitude of questions saturate the air around this Dallas team: Is this Jason Garrett’s final game as head coach? If so, who are the candidates to watch for? How will the contract negotiations proceed with Dak Prescott and Amari Cooper? In light of this, maintaining focus for a final game when Dallas doesn’t control their own destiny is anything but simple. This team has been difficult to predict all season, and it’s not out of the realm of possibility that they fall short again this week. That said, they’ve also been capable of magic. Perhaps they can find just enough for this final hurdle. Hope is a dangerous thing, especially with this team, but it makes for one heck of a journey.

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Prescott logs two DNPs, ‘hopefully he’ll be ready’ for Sunday

The Cowboys quarterback is dealing with a shoulder sprain that suddenly calls his status for the team’s season finale into doubt.

If Santa Claus had some magic healing balm in his bag for Dak Prescott’s right shoulder, the Cowboys quarterback apparently didn’t open it on Christmas morning. Prescott was a non-participant in Wednesday’s practice session for the first time in his career and then again on Thursday as he continues to nurse a sore throwing shoulder.

Head coach Jason Garrett was not able to definitively say the four-year veteran would be ready to play on Sunday. The team’s slim remaining hope of making the postseason depends on winning the regular season finale versus Washington, and Prescott’s absence would deal a massive blow to those chances.

“Last week we really took it day by day, and this week we’ll do the same thing,” Garrett said, per the team’s official website. “Obviously, he was able to play in the ball game, so hopefully we can get him on the same path where he’s able to go on Sunday.”

Prescott sprained the AC joint in his shoulder just a few plays into the Week 15 win over the Los Angeles Rams. While he went on to throw a pair of touchdowns and amass a 123.8 passer rating (his second-highest of the 2019 campaign), the air attack was noticeably subdued in the game, with Prescott attempting just 23 passes overall, his lowest of the season.

Prescott also has an issue with the index finger on his throwing hand; it was reported during the Rams game that he had suffered a hairline fracture during the team’s Week 14 loss to Chicago.

The team took a protective approach in the week that preceded the Week 16 Eagles matchup, with Prescott being listed as “limited” in three of the week’s practices, the first time in his career that the Mississippi State product had not been a full participant in a team work session.

In the win-and-in contest that followed, Prescott was clearly not his usual self against Philadelphia. He was 25-of-44 for 265 yards on the day, averaging six yards per attempt, his worst per-throw average in over a year. He missed on six of his eleven throws to wideout Michael Gallup and eight of his 12 attempts to top option Amari Cooper in the team’s 17-9 loss.

Was the shoulder injury to blame?

“Not at all. Not at all,” Prescott said after the game. “I missed some throws. I mean, I can’t say I had pain or felt it in my shoulder. It could be maybe a lack of reps this week, who knows?”

Reports have since surfaced that Prescott had perhaps taken an injection or two to get through the Eagles game, but Prescott was cagey in his response to inquiries.

In a media conference call on Wednesday, Garrett lowered expectations for his starting quarterback before the Christmas Day practice session.

“We don’t anticipate him being able to practice very much today,” Garrett said, via NFL.com. “He’ll be out there. He was out there for the walk-through and was able to go through the walk-through today. But we don’t anticipate him practicing fully today. He’ll be limited at best.”

When the practice report came out prior to the later-than-normal session, though, Prescott was listed as “DNP.”

Wednesday’s “did-not-practice” status marked the first time Prescott had ever been listed as a non-participant, and suddenly calls into question whether he’ll be able to take the field at all in Week 17.

Garrett, however, wasn’t interesting in answering that question from reporters.

“Guys, to be honest with you, no disrespect, but I don’t want to get into all that right now,” the embattled coach said. “We talked about the Philly game on Monday, and now we’re on to getting ourselves ready for the Washington game. I understand that Dak’s a big story, and I understand why you’re asking the question. But we’ll take them day by day, and hopefully he’ll be ready to practice at some point this week and ready to play on Sunday.”

Thursday brought more of the same in regard to Prescott’s status.

Prescott did apparently participate in the walk-through on Thursday, as he did on Wednesday. He was not able to say the same last week prior to the Philadelphia game.

If Prescott cannot suit up on Sunday, the team would conceivably turn to backup Cooper Rush to make his first NFL start. The Central Michigan alum is 1-of-3 for 2 passing yards over three late-4th-quarter appearances in his third year in the league. Rush reportedly led the first team in practice.

A Philadelphia win over the Giants would secure their divisional crown and render the Cowboys-Redskins game meaningless. The Dallas coaching staff would likely hold Prescott out under those circumstances, but the two games will be played simultaneously. The only way the Cowboys receive a playoff berth is with a win over Washington and an Eagles loss versus New York.

Cowboys Week 17 game flexed for maximum embarrassment potential

The NFL has decided the world has not had enough of watching the Dallas Cowboys roller coaster after all. With all but three games originally set for the early kickoff slot of noon central, the league looks to maximize ratings as much as possible. …

The NFL has decided the world has not had enough of watching the Dallas Cowboys roller coaster after all. With all but three games originally set for the early kickoff slot of noon central, the league looks to maximize ratings as much as possible. They wave the 12-day rule and wait until the results of most of Week 16 have been completed before looking to find the matchups with the most impact on the playoff field.

By virtue of their 17-9 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 16, the Cowboys find themselves in the position of having to win and get help in order to make their way into the playoffs. The Eagles will be in if they defeat the New York Giants for the second time in four games.

 

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