College Football Playoff betting odds lines picks predictions best bets

College Football Playoff: Ohio State vs. Texas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Ohio State vs. Texas odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Ohio State Buckeyes (12-2) face the Texas Longhorns (13-2) in the Cotton Bowl Friday in a College Football Playoff semifinal. Kickoff from AT&T Stadium in Arlington is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Ohio State vs. Texas odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Buckeyes fans were up in arms and ready to run coach Ryan Day out on a rail after a stunning 13-10 home loss to rival Michigan Nov. 30, a game Ohio State was favored by 19.5 points. However, things have simmered down considerably in the playoffs.

Ohio State fired out of the chute to throttle Tennessee 42-17 in a first-round playoff game as a 7-point home favorite Dec. 21 while the Over (47) cashed. The Buckeyes rolled up 156 yards on the ground and 317 yards through the air, winning handily despite a minus-1 turnover margin.

At the Rose Bowl Jan. 1, the Buckeyes exacted a little revenge with a 41-21 spanking of Oregon, covering as 2.5-point favorites while the Over (55.5) cashed. The Buckeyes led 34-0 until a late score by the Ducks before halftime.

Against Oregon, Ohio State posted 181 rushing yards and 319 passing yards while limiting the Ducks to minus-23 rushing yards. RB TreVeyon Henderson had 94 rushing yards and 2 TDs while QB Will Howard passed for 319 yards with 3 TDs.

Texas polished off Clemson in the first round with 38-24 win as a 13.5-point home favorite Dec. 21 while the Over (49.5) cashed.

On New Year’s Day, the Longhorns were facing a fourth and long, down 31-24 in overtime against Arizona State (91.2% win probability for Arizona State per ESPN Analytics). QB Quinn Ewers hit WR Matthew Golden on a 28-yard scoring strike to force 2OT, and Texas scored to win it 39-31.

Ohio State is No. 7 in the US LBM Coaches Poll (Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports), while Texas is No. 4.

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Cotton Bowl: Ohio State vs. Texas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:44 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Ohio State -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Texas +195 (bet $100 to win $195)
Against the spread (ATS): Ohio State -6 (-105) | Texas +6 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Ohio State vs. Texas picks and predictions

Prediction

Ohio State 34, Texas 30

Moneyline

Ohio State (-250) will set you back 2½ times your potential return, and that’s a little too much risk for not enough reward.

Texas (+195) has the short ride up Interstate 35 from Austin to the Metroplex, although travel could be complicated by a winter storm striking the state. Still, there should be plenty of burnt orange in the stands, making it seem like a road game for the Buckeyes.

PASS.

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Against the spread

TEXAS +6 (-115) is worth a look, and even better if this line were to go up to a flat 7 or, better yet, 7 and a hook. You can also buy a point, if it makes you feel more comfortable.

Again, this is going to feel like a home game for the Longhorns, with the short ride to the Dallas metro area, as opposed to the longer flight from Columbus.

While the Buckeyes are on a roll, and the Longhorns will have their hands full trying to contain super freshman WR Jeremiah Smith, take the points.

Over/Under

OVER 53.5 (-105) may be the best play on the board in this national semifinal game.

Texas has cashed high in both playoff games to date, averaging 38.5 points per game (PPG) on offense while allowing 27.5 PPG.

For Ohio State, it has averaged 41.5 PPG in 2 games against Tennessee and Oregon, which is quite impressive, while allowing 19.0 PPG.

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College Football Playoff: Notre Dame vs. Penn State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Notre Dame vs. Penn State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (13-1) face the Penn State Nittany Lions (13-2) in the Orange Bowl Thursday in a College Football Playoff semifinal. Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Notre Dame vs. Penn State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Fighting Irish and Nittany Lions will battle in South Florida for the opportunity to play in the CFP Championship Game Monday, Jan. 20, in Atlanta against the Cotton Bowl winner between Ohio State and Texas.

Notre Dame humbled Georgia 23-10 in a quarterfinal, cashing as a 1-point favorite with the Under (45) hitting Jan. 2 at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans in a game postponed a day due to the tragedy on Bourbon Street on New Year’s Day. Notre Dame led 13-3 before WR/KR Jayden Harrison returned a kickoff 98 yards to open the second half to increase the lead to 17. The Fighting Irish finished with 154 rushing yards against the vaunted Dawgs defense, and it limited Georgia offense to just 62 yards on the ground.

Notre Dame opened these playoffs with a 27-17 home win against Indiana Dec. 20 in the first round, cashing as a 6.5-point favorite with the Under (50.5) cashing. The Fighting Irish held the Hoosiers to 63 rushing yards and 215 passing yards in a game that wasn’t as close as the score. Notre Dame led 27-3 with 4:50 to go after QB Riley Leonard’s 1-yard TD run before Indiana tacked on 2 late TDs.

Penn State advanced to this semifinal by working over Boise State 31-14, covering as an 11.5-point favorite in the Fiesta Bowl and the Under (54.5) hitting in a New Year’s Eve game. Boise’s Heisman finalist RB Ashton Jeanty rushed for 104 yards on 30 carries, but he was held out of the end zone. The Nittany Lions doubled up the Broncos in rushing yards 216-108, while QB Drew Allar tossed 3 TDs among his 171 passing yards in the victory.

Penn State thumped SMU 38-10 Dec. 21 in the first round in Happy Valley, easily covering as a 9-point favorite with the Under (51) cashing. The Nittany Lions built a 14-0 lead with a pair of pick-sixes in the first 16:51 of the game. Penn State held a 28-0 lead at halftime, too, and it limited the Mustangs to just 58 yards on the ground while gobbling up 189 rushing yards of its own.

Notre Dame is No. 3 in the US LBM Coaches Poll (Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports), while Penn State is No. 5.

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Orange Bowl: Notre Dame vs. Penn State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:34 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Notre Dame -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Penn State +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Notre Dame -1.5 (-110) | Penn State +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Notre Dame vs. Penn State picks and predictions

Prediction

Notre Dame 23, Penn State 19

Moneyline

Notre Dame (-120) is favored by just a point and a half, so it makes little sense to play the extra juice if you like the Fighting Irish, unless you’re absolutely convinced they’ll only win by 1 point.

PASS on the moneyline unless it unexpectedly moves to a flat 3 or more.

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Against the spread

NOTRE DAME -1.5 (-110) is a much more economical play.

The Fighting Irish should be able to get the job done, although you can expect points to be at a premium in South Florida. The dual threat QB Leonard can lead them to victory with his feet as well as with his arm.

The Nittany Lions have benefited from facing less experienced teams in SMU and Boise State, who aren’t marquee teams like Notre Dame.

Over/Under

UNDER 44.5 (-105) is worth a look, although it certainly is a low number in this day and age of tossing the rock around.

However, we have sturdy defenses on both sides, particularly against the run, so expect points to be tough to come by.

The Under cashed in both team’s first 2 playoff games, and a third is expected in South Florida.

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College Football Playoff: Notre Dame vs. Georgia odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Notre Dame vs. Georgia odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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Update Jan. 1, 10:18 p.m. ET: Wednesday’s Sugar Bowl between the Notre Dame Fightin Irish and Georgia Bulldogs was moved to Thursday at 4 p.m. ET due to the deadly French Quarter attack early New Year’s Day.

Original column below (published Jan. 1, 12:10 p.m. ET)

The No. 5 seed Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-1) face the No. 2 seed Georgia Bulldogs (11-2, 6-2 SEC) Wednesday in the Sugar Bowl edition of the College Football Playoff quarterfinals. Kickoff from New Orleans’ Caesars Superdome on New Year’s Day is scheduled for 8:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Notre Dame vs. Georgia odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

This showdown of top-5 teams in the Coaches Poll (US LBM Coaches Poll) comes with a few significant injuries, but plenty of talent to lead either side to a possible CFP semifinals berth.

As SEC Champions, Georgia received a first-round bye, but will have to compete without starting QB Carson Beck, who’s out with an injury to his right (throwing) elbow.

Sophomore Gunner Stockton lines up to take snaps. Following Beck’s injury at the end of the first half of the SEC Championship Game, Stockton led a second-half comeback that eventually produced a 22-19 overtime win over Texas.

Stockton must now deal with the vaunted Notre Dame defense, which shined in its 27-17 Round 1 CFP victory over the Indiana Hoosiers.

Notre Dame’s outlook has surged due to defensive coordinator Al Golden’s system of playmakers (including top NFL Draft prospect safety Xavier Watts) and an elite run game led by QB Riley Leonard (2,293 passing yards, 751 rush yards, 17 pass TDs, 15 rush TDs) and RB Jeremiyah Love (1,057 rushing yards, 16 TDs).

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Sugar Bowl: Notre Dame vs. Georgia odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 7:01 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Notre Dame -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Georgia -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Notre Dame -1 (-105) | Georgia +1 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Notre Dame vs. Georgia picks and predictions

Prediction

Notre Dame 24, Georgia 20

Moneyline

Georgia will be tested for a full game without Beck against one of the country’s best defenses, especially stopping air attacks (162.3 passing yards/game ranks the Irish third in the nation).

Notre Dame’s scheming has already adeptly overcome many significant defensive injuries, and Golden should account for the significant loss of defensive lineman Rylie Mills (knee).

This game is priced as a coin flip, but BetMGM gives the slight value nudge to the underdogs — luckily for us.

BET NOTRE DAME (-110).

Against the spread

PASS.

Bet the Irish for the outright win.

Over/Under

Expect both clubs to try to slow the pace through the ground game: Though typically explosive this season, Notre Dame will play to its strength (11th in the nation with 222.4 rushing yards per game) to maintain possession against an SEC juggernaut that’s likely better than most defenses the Irish have faced.

Meanwhile, Georgia will aim to ease the burden on Stockton through RBs Nate Frazier (634 yards, 8 TDs) and Trevor Etienne (571 yards, 9 TDs).

Fade the scoring ceiling that has slightly more beneficial juice.

BET UNDER 45.5 (-115).

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College Football Playoff: Ohio State vs. Oregon odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Ohio State vs. Oregon odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 7 Ohio State Buckeyes (11-2) and No. 1 Oregon Ducks (13-0) meet Wednesday in Pasadena, for a College Football Playoff quarterfinal game. Kickoff from the Rose Bowl is scheduled for 5 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Ohio State vs. Oregon odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

This is the highly-anticipated rematch we thought we might see in the Big Ten Championship Game until Ohio State wet the bed in the regular-season finale against Michigan at home, losing 13-10.

The Buckeyes rebounded rather nicely, as the No. 8 seed buried No. 9 seed Tennessee in a first-round matchup in Columbus Dec. 21, winning 42-17 to easily cover as 7-point favorites with the Over (47) cashing.

Now, will it be like Major League Baseball, where it seems the team with a long rest on a bye is rather rusty, while the lower seed has momentum? We’ll find out quickly.

Oregon topped Ohio State in Eugene Oct. 12, winning 32-31 in a great game. The Buckeyes led 31-29 until PK Atticus Sappington booted through the game-winning field goal with 1:47 left. The Buckeyes still had a chance, and were moving down the field, but QB Will Howard mismanaged the clock a bit, running out of time.

Ohio State went for 141 rushing yards and 326 yards through the air, while Oregon had 155 yards on ground with 341 passing yards. The Buckeyes had 22 first downs to just 18 for the Ducks, but Ohio State also racked up 8 penalties, something it cannot repeat.

Ohio State is 4-2 against the spread (ATS) in the past 6 games, with the Under going 5-2 in the past 7 outings. However, the Over did hit in the 1-point loss to the Ducks.

Oregon topped Penn State 45-37 in the Big Ten title game, covering a 3-point spread, and a late Nittany Lions score made that look closer than it was. The Over has hit in Oregon’s past 2 games, while it is on a 6-2 ATS roll in the past 8 outings.

Rankings – US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Rose Bowl: Ohio State vs. Oregon odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 6:41 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Ohio State -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Oregon +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread: Ohio State -2.5 (-115) | Oregon +2.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Ohio State vs. Oregon picks and predictions

Prediction

Ohio State 36, Oregon 30

Moneyline

OHIO STATE (-140) is worth a look if you’re more on the conservative side, and it isn’t a terrible idea just to take it straight up to toss into a multi-leg parlay.

Seriously, it very well could come down to a 1- or 2-point game (again), and a potential 2-point conversion for the tie or win late in regulation. The first game was decided by a single point, so it isn’t terrible to be on the safe side.

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Against the spread

OHIO STATE -2.5 (-115) is the play, as the Buckeyes roll into Pasadena with a new lease on life. Things were glum in C-Bus after the Buckeyes stunk up the joint against rival Michigan in the finale despite entering as a 20-point favorites. However, the Buckeyes reinvigorated their sometimes fickle fanbase with a thrashing of Tennessee in the CFP opener.

It might raise some eyebrows that the only unbeaten team in FBS (Oregon) is an underdog. However, the Ducks have had some near-misses, including against Ohio State as well as against the Boise State Broncos and Wisconsin Badgers. This team can be had.

Over/Under

OVER 55.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board. Oh, Nelly!

We’re going to have some points in the granddaddy of them all, which would make the late Keith Jackson proud. This isn’t your typical Big Ten football, where it’s 3 yards and a cloud of dust. These teams can roll up the passing yards and points like a video game.

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College Football Playoff: Texas vs. Arizona State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Texas vs. Arizona State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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In the first of 3 College Football Playoff quarterfinal games New Year’s Day, the Peach Bowl features the fifth-seeded Texas Longhorns (12-2) facing the No. 4 seed Arizona State Sun Devils (11-2). Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta is at 1 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Texas vs. Arizona State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Texas won its first-round playoff game Dec. 21 vs. 12th-seeded Clemson 38-24. The Longhorns covered as 13.5-point home favorites and the Over (49.5) cashed. The Longhorns’ 2 losses came to No. 2 Georgia, once in the regular season (30-15) and then in the SEC Championship (22-19). Texas’ defense ranks second in the nation in points allowed per game (13.3) behind Ohio State (11.4).

The Sun Devils earned a first-round bye after winning the Big 12 Championship in their first season in the conference. They won their final 6 games, knocking off the Iowa State Cyclones in the conference title game 45-19 as 1.5-point underdogs Dec. 7 in Arlington, Texas. ASU was led by RB Cam Skattebo, who has 2,074 total yards from scrimmage (1,568 rushing) and 22 total TDs.

While Arizona State is the higher seed, Texas is the higher ranked team in the US LBM Coaches Poll (conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports). The Sun Devils are No. 10; the Longhorns are No. 4.

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Peach Bowl: Texas vs. Arizona State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 12:55 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Texas -550 (bet $550 to win $100) | Arizona State +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
Against the spread (ATS): Texas -13 (-110) | Arizona State +13 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Texas vs. Arizona State picks and predictions

Prediction

Texas 34, Arizona State 27

Moneyline

Along with ranking second in scoring defense, Texas is No. 2 against the pass (156.9 yards per game behind Ohio State’s 141.2 YPG) and 11th against the run (104.5 rushing YPG).

Arizona State’s strength is its rushing attack, averaging 198.8 yards per game to rank 23rd — led by Skattebo’s 6.0 yards per carry. QB Sam Leavitt threw only 5 INTs all season — vs. 24 TDs — but is expected to be without his top receiver in Jordyn Tyson (upper-body injury), who caught 75 passes for 1,101 yards and 10 scores — all team-highs.

Texas averaged 33.9 points per game (25th in the country) with a balanced attack. The Longhorns were considered a top-5 team all season, while the Sun Devils rose in the rankings over the last half of the season.

It is hard to see the Sun Devils (+400) getting the upset, but the Longhorns’ -550 odds offer no value and are not worth betting.

PASS.

Against the spread

While Texas is the overwhelming favorite, Arizona State has done nothing but outplay expectations this season. The Sun Devils averaged 37.1 points per game over their final 6 games and scored 45 in the Big 12 Championship against Iowa State — which scored 42 in a 1-point win over Miami in the Pop-Tarts Bowl.

Texas shut down Clemson’s run game in the first round of the playoffs, allowing only 76 yards, but Clemson QB Cade Klubnik passed for 336 yards and 3 TDs.

Slowing Skattebo will be something different and the Sun Devils were 4-2 ATS as underdogs.

BET ARIZONA STATE +13 (-110).

Over/Under

Four of the Devils’ final 6 games had more than 51 total points. Texas’ win over Clemson had 62.

Texas only had 1 conference game with a total higher than 51 but 4 of its 5 non-SEC games surpassed 51 points.

BET OVER 51.5 (-105).

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College Football Playoff: Penn State vs. Boise State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boise State vs. Penn State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 5 Penn State Nittany Lions (12-2, 8-1 Big Ten) square off against the No. 8 Boise State Broncos (12-1, 7-0 Mountain West) on Tuesday in the Fiesta Bowl to start the quarterfinals of the College Football Playoff. Kickoff from State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz., is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN) on New Year’s Eve. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Penn State vs. Boise State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Both of these top-10 teams (US LBM Coaches Poll) delivered a huge win in their most recent game.

Boise State won the Mountain West Championship Game 21-7 on the back of Heisman Trophy runner-up Ashton Jeanty (209 rushing yards, 1 TD) to earn a first-round CFP bye. The Broncos’ only loss of the season came in Week 2 versus the No. 1 Oregon Ducks.

Penn State roared past the SMU Mustangs 38-10 in Round 1 of the CFP after falling short in its Big Ten Championship Game against Oregon. Its only other defeat came from another elite Big Ten club: the Ohio State Buckeyes.

Despite earning the first-round bye, the MWC champions are underdogs against the Big Ten powerhouse. Will the Broncos prove the market has underestimated them, or will the Power 5 pedigree push Penn State through to the CFP semifinals?

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Fiesta Bowl: Penn State vs. Boise State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Monday at 7:31 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Penn State -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Boise State +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
Against the spread (ATS): Penn State -10.5 (-115) | Boise State +10.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Penn State vs. Boise State picks and predictions

Prediction

Penn State 30, Boise State 24

Moneyline

Drew Allar has not been super-exciting at quarterback for Penn State, but has guided this offense to lean on the run game of Nicholas Singleton (928 yards, 8 rushing TDs) and Kaytron Allen (892 yards, 8 TDs).

Jeanty is a beast, but Penn State has a more diverse well of capable players to control possession.

A sprinkle bet on BSU is tempting, but anyone looking to back the favorites will not find value along the moneyline.

PASS, barring a sprinkle bet on Boise State (+350).

Against the spread

The presence of Jeanty means the Broncos always have a game-breaking play in the bank. Expect BSU to be playing from behind most of the game, but to hang in and keep pace with its more hyped opponents.

FanDuel Sportsbook presents a more beneficial Boise State line, but less favorable juice at +11.5 (-114).

BET BOISE STATE +10.5 (-105) at BetMGM or BOISE STATE +11.5 (-114) at FanDuel. This writer prefers the former.

Over/Under

Both teams’ scoring upside has been overvalued by betting markets this year: BSU is 7-6 on the total, while PSU sits at 6-8.

That being said, Boise State should remain competitive after receiving extra rest, and both clubs ranked in the top 12 in points per play: Boise State 0.538 (sixth) and Penn State 0.507 (T-12th).

PSU allowed 15.9 points per game (sixth-lowest), but the Broncs proved much more vulnerable at 20.9.

The likely urgency Boise State will display near the end of the game tilts the scales in favor of fading the trend and backing the Over.

BET OVER 52.5 (-115).

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