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The Kansas City Chiefs (12-1) meet the Cleveland Browns (3-10) for a Week 15 matchup Sunday at Huntington Bank Field. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Chiefs vs. Browns odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Chiefs have won back-to-back games over the Las Vegas Raiders and LA Chargers by a 19-17 score. Kansas City has failed to cover the past 7 games, last cashing as a 2-point underdog in Week 7 in San Francisco. The Chiefs opened 5-1 against the spread (ATS), but it is now 5-8 ATS.
Kansas City has cashed the Under in back-to-back games, while going 7-4 in the past 11 outings.
The Browns lost 27-14 loss to the Steelers in Pittsburgh last Sunday as a 6.5-point underdog. Cleveland is just 1-4 SU/ATS in the past 5 games. The Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 outings, although the total went low last time out Sunday against the Steelers.
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Chiefs at Browns odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:02 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Browns +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
- Against the spread: Chiefs -4 (-110) | Browns +4 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Chiefs at Browns key injuries
Chiefs
- WR Marquise Brown (shoulder) out
- PK Harrison Butker (knee) questionable
- OT D.J. Humphries (hamstring) doubtful
Browns
- OT Joel Bitonio (back) questionable
- DT Mike Hall Jr. (knee) questionable
- CB Myles Harden (tibia) questionable
- LB Khaleke Hudson (abdomen) questionable
- TE David Njoku (hamstring) questionable
- WR Cedric Tillman (concussion) out
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Chiefs at Browns picks and predictions
Prediction
Chiefs 25, Browns 19
Moneyline
The Chiefs (-225) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk.
Kansas City just locked up the AFC West Division last week, so might there be a bit of a hangover this week? Might the hunger not be there? The Chiefs are still vying for the No. 1 overall seed, so that talk might be a bit overrated.
PASS.
Against the spread
It’s tough to back the CHIEFS -4 (-110), as they’re 0-7 ATS in the previous 7 outings. Kansas City is on the road, and playing a Browns +4 (-110) team which has sprung a couple of upsets at Huntington Bank Field against the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers.
The fact Njoku carries a questionable tag for Cleveland is what makes the Browns so risky. He has been a security blanket for QB Jameis Winston, who will already be without emerging WR Cedric Tillman. The Chiefs have the talent to make up for certain losses, but the Browns do not.
Over/Under
OVER 41.5 (-115) is worth a look, but don’t get carried away.
The Over is 3-1 in the past 4 games, with the Browns offense going for 23.3 PPG in the past 3 games, while allowing 24 or more points in 5 of the past 6 outings.
The Over has cashed in 3 in a row on the road for the Chiefs, averaging 26.5 PPG in the past 4 away games. The Chiefs have allowed 28.5 PPG in the past 2 road outings, too.
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