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The Chicago White Sox (8-28) and Tampa Bay Rays (19-18) wrap up a 3-game series Wednesday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: White Sox lead 3-2
The White Sox suffered a 5-1 loss Tuesday as the Under (7.5) cashed. Chicago has been outscored 13-3 in the 1st 2 games of this series after a surprising 3-game sweep of the Rays at U.S. Cellular Field from April 26-28.
The Rays are back over .500 for the 1st time since April 21 when they were 12-11. Tampa Bay has won a season-high 5 straight games. Its previous high was a 3-game win streak from April 9-12. The Over is 9-5-1 in the past 15 games for the Rays, while going 10-4 in the past 14 outings at Tropicana Field.
White Sox at Rays projected starters
RHP Chris Flexen vs. RHP Aaron Civale
Flexen (1-3, 4.85 ERA) makes his 6th start and 8th appearance. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 5.2 K/9 in 29 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 4 K in 10-5 home loss vs. Minnesota Twins last Wednesday
- 2024 road splits: 0-1, 2.84 ERA, 12 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 8 H (2 HR), 3 BB, 8 K with .182 opponents’ batting average (OBA) and 0.87 WHIP in 4 starts
- 2024 vs. Rays: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 9-4 home win on April 26
Civale (2-2, 6.14 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 36 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 6 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 5 K in 10-8 home win vs. New York Mets Friday
- 2024 home splits: 1-1, 4.76 ERA, 22 2/3 IP, 12 ER, 19 H (5 HR), 4 BB, 27 K with .226 OBA and 1.01 WHIP in 4 starts
- 2024 vs. White Sox: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H (1 HR), 0 BB, 3 K in 8-7 road loss in 10 innings on April 27
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White Sox at Rays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:53 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): White Sox +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Rays -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-110) | Rays -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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White Sox at Rays picks and predictions
Prediction
White Sox 5, Rays 4
Moneyline
The WHITE SOX (+180) are a tempting play for the chance to nearly double up.
Flexen has already beaten Tampa Bay once this season. In fact, it’s the only team he has posted a win against. Meanwhile, Civale has really struggled for the Rays (-225), and there is no way you can consider backing Tampa Bay. He has allowed 5 or more runs in each of his past 3 games, and a total of 22 hits and 6 walks in the span.
The ChiSox already got him once, and confidence is low that he’ll suddenly piece things together.
Run line/Against the spread
If you’re a little more on the conservative side, and you cannot play Chicago straight up, consider the WHITE SOX +1.5 (-110) on the run line instead.
While Chicago is 0-2 on the run line as an underdog in this series, they’re a respectable 7-4 in the past 11 as a ‘dog, with 5 outright wins, including 3 against Tampa Bay, with one of those games started by Flexen.
Over/Under
OVER 8 (-115) is worth playing lightly in the series finale.
The Over holds a 4-3 edge in the past 7 games for the White Sox, while going 11-6 in the 17 games since April 20. Chicago pitching has allowed 5 or more runs in 3 of the past 4 games, and 4 or more runs in 14 of the previous 18 contests.
The Over is 4-2-1 in the past 7 games for Tampa Bay, while cashing at a 10-4 clip in the past 14 under the dome at Tropicana Field.
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