Tag: Chicago White Sox betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (68-50) will look to get back on track after losing two of three against the Texas Rangers over the weekend when they face the Chicago White Sox (68-50) Monday. The teams kick off a four-game series with an 8:10 p.m. ET first pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Athletics vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Athletics RHP Frankie Montas (9-8, 3.98 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 131 IP.

  • Has pitched well lately with a 2.39 ERA with 51 K in 37 2/3 IP across his last six starts.
  • Has a 3.49 ERA and 9.6 K/9 in 59 1/3 IP across 10 road starts.

White Sox LHP Dallas Keuchel (7-6, 4.51 ERA) makes his 24th appearance (23rd start). He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 through 125 2/3 IP.

  • Had a sub-4.00 ERA through the end of June but has since struggled with a 5.72 ERA and 10 HR allowed in 39 1/3 IP over his last seven starts.
  • Has a 4.10 ERA and 6.1 K/9 in 68 IP in 12 appearances at home.

White Sox at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:07 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | White Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+133) | White Sox +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

Athletics 6, White Sox 4

Money line (ML)

The White Sox come into this series with the best home record in the American League at 39-22. Meanwhile, Oakland has played well on the road all year as their 34-25 road record ranks as the 6th best mark in the league.

Oakland comes into the series having won 12 of their last 16 games despite last weekend’s struggles and Montas gives them the clear pitching advantage. The White Sox have lost each of Keuchel’s last four starts and that streak is likely to reach five games Monday.

Back the ATHLETICS (-115).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Twenty of Oakland’s last 22 road victories were by more than 1 run. Their offense has been red-hot as they lead the majors in wRC+ and OPS in August.

Look for that success to continue against Keuchel who has been struggling lately. Go with the ATHLETICS -1.5 (+133).

Over/Under (O/U)

The Oakland offense is flying high and facing a pitcher who hasn’t fared well lately. The White Sox offense is finally back to full strength and will pose a tough test for Montas.

The under has hit in six of the last seven contests in which Montas has started but this one could easily go either way. It’s probably best to just PASS on the total.

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New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (63-52) and Chicago White Sox (68-48) continue a three-game series Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Jameson Taillon is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 7-4 with a 3.82 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 8.9 K/9, and 2.7 BB/9 in 113 IP over 22 starts.

  • Owns an 0.89 ERA over his last five starts, allowing just 1 home run over that stretch.
  • Current Sox batters own a high-contact .945 OPS against Taillon.
  • Has struggled on the road this season recording a 4.62 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.

RHP Dylan Cease is the projected starter for the White Sox. He is 9-6 with a 3.99 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 12.0 K/9, and 3.7 BB/9 in 119 2/3 IP over 23 starts.

  • Owns a 2.43 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over his last 5 starts at Guaranteed Rate Field. Has logged a 2.20 ERA in 11 starts at home on the season.
  • Has pitched through the traffic of a .359 batting average on balls in play to post a 3.58 ERA in five starts since the All-Star break.

Yankees vs. White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:06 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | White Sox -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees +1.5 (-180) | White Sox -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Prediction

Yankees 5, White Sox 4

Money line (ML)

The Yankees have battled through injuries and COVID-19 roster issues, and they’ve made their way to a fine 17-9 record in the second half including dropping the series opener.

New York suffered a dramatic 9-8 loss in the opener Thursday in Dyersville, Iowa, in a special Field of Dreams game.

Chicago is 7-4 in August after its corn-fed victory Thursday. The Pale Hose have scored 7 or more runs in five of those wins, and they’re the “lean” in principle for Saturday’s game.

However, the current prices make the YANKEES (+120) a better value.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. Any leverage is drowned out by the juice here.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both offenses can string together some walks and homers and get to 5 or more runs with regularity and they played their way to 17 runs on Thursday. This contest gets played in slightly cooler weather and with the forecast of an inward breeze.

However, there is some analytic pushback to Taillon’s ERA and to the work of both bullpens of late. BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-120).

Consider monitoring the total throughout the early part of the day and look to pounce on any swing back to a more favorable price.

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Field of Dreams Game: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing the odds and lines for Thursday’s Field of Dreams Game between the New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox, with MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (63-51) and Chicago White Sox (67-48) open a three-game series Thursday at 7 p.m. ET. The series opener will be played at a special Field of Dreams stadium in Dyersville, Iowa with the White Sox as home team. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Andrew Heaney is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 7-8 with a 5.45 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 through 104 IP spanning 20 starts.

  • Came to the Yankees in a deadline deal with the Los Angeles Angels. Owns a 7.20 ERA over two starts with New York with 5 home runs allowed through 10 IP.
  • Last faced the White Sox April 2 (as a member of the Angels) and was drilled for 7 ER over 3 IP. Other outings against the Pale Hose have gone better and current Chicago bats own an aggregate .655 OPS against him.

RHP Lance Lynn is the projected starter for the White Sox. He is 10-3 with a 2.04 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 across 114 2/3 IP over 20 starts.

  • Allowed 1 or zero runs in six of his last seven starts and yielded just 2 HR over that stretch.

Yankees vs. White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | White Sox -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees +1.5 (-150) | White Sox -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Prediction

Yankees 6, White Sox 5

Money line (ML)

The Yankees are battling injuries and COVID-19 roster issues, but they’ve played through a revolving door of roster and lineup combinations to log a 17-8 record in the second half. New York is coming off a 2-1 series win at the Kansas City Royals and has won five of its last six road games.

Chicago is coming off a 2-1 series loss at the Minnesota Twins and the White Sox are 13-13 since the All-Star break.

Thursday’s game is a special tribute to the 1989 film Field of Dreams and it’s being played in a specially constructed facility surrounded by cornfields and adjacent to the rural Iowa film location.

There is some marginal give-and-take in the metrics for Heaney and Lynn that make for the Yankees being the play. Much like the premise of the movie this game is based on, it’s a gamble … but one worth the risk.

TAKE THE YANKEES (+140).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. A tag under -135 would make for a different call, but stick to the ML play as the best leverage here.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both offenses can string together some walks and homers and get to 5-plus runs with regularity. The yard obviously doesn’t come with years of ballpark effects, but on a warm, wind-out night at higher elevation than one would think, BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-108).

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Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (67-47) meet for a Wednesday matinee with the Minnesota Twins (49-65) at 1:10 p.m. ET at Target Field in Minneapolis. Let’s analyze the lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Reynaldo Lopez will start for the Sox Wednesday after Lance Lynn had previously been in line to start. Lopez is 1-0 with 5 runs (3 earned) allowed on 9 hits and 3 walks against 18 strikeouts over 17 innings. Will be making just his second start of the season.

RHP Bailey Ober is the projected starter for the Twins. The rookie right-hander has made 12 starts this season and is 1-1 with a 4.99 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 across 52 1/3 IP.

  • Has struggled at Target Field with a 5.33 ERA and 1.37 WHIP over 27 IP.

White Sox at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:36 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Twins +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (-110) | Twins +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Prediction

White Sox 6, Twins 5

Money line (ML)

Wednesday’s afternoon game at Target Field is the rubber match of a three-game series. The White Sox are looking to run their season record against the Twins to 14-5 and Chicago has a good foot forward with Lynn on mound.

The Twins have been battling in close games against tough foes of late. Peg the prices here as being far too rich on the Sox but not offering enough return on Minnesota: PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The TWINS +1.5 (-110) play has the most value among the sides. Minnesota has batted well at home after a slow start with a .756 OPS since July 24.

Ober has been hurt by a 20.3% home run/fly ball rate. That’s an indication he has been a bit unlucky. His expected ERA figures are as much as a run lower than his surface number. After two iffy outings against the ChiSox earlier this season, he held them scoreless over 5 frames at home July 5.

Over/Under (O/U)

Wednesday’s Minneapolis weather report calls for temperatures in the low-to-mid-80s and a double-digit wind out to right field. Peg the price as being attractive enough in shading the OVER 9.5 (+105).

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Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (66-46) tussle with the Minnesota Twins (48-64) in the Monday night opener of a three-game series at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Lucas Giolito is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. He has made 22 starts this season and is 8-8 with a 3.98 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 through 129 IP.

  • Has a long and effective history against current Twins hitters with a .640 OPS and .172 isolated power allowed. Has logged a 2.57 ERA in 14 IP against Minnesota in 2021 and has held batters to a .597 OPS in seven career games at Target Field.
  • Coming off a disastrous start against the Kansas City Royals with 3 home runs, and 6 earned runs allowed over 4 innings. Has a decent history in bouncing back after yielding 4-plus runs in a game.

RHP Beau Burrows is the projected starter for the Twins. He is a second-year Major Leaguer who was claimed off waivers from the Detroit Tigers in June. As a reliever only (Monday will mark his first career start), he has allowed 11 ER across 9 IP in 2021.

  • Has allowed 15 ER on 19 hits and 8 BB over 15 2/3 IP; has struck out 9.
  • Has thus far been an extreme fly-ball pitcher and has yielded 5 home runs in his career.
  • Making this start as an opener. The Twins own a 4.89 bullpen ERA to rank 26th MLB on the year.

White Sox at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Twins +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (-130) | Twins +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

White Sox 4, Twins 3

Money line (ML)

The White Sox are coming off a three-game road sweep of the crosstown-rival Chicago Cubs. The Sox scored 21 runs in that series and own a .785 OPS over their last nine games.

The Twins head into this series off an impressive 3-1 series win at the Houston Astros. They may not be thrilled by what the schedule offers up next, as Chicago has taken 12 of 16 games from the Twins this season. The Pale Hose have outscored Minnesota, 109-65, along the way.

Peg the money line prices as bracketing the true odds on both sides: PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The TWINS +1.5 (+105) play is perhaps worth some partial-unit action. Minnesota is back at home after a nine-game road trip and the Twins are 6-3 in series openers at home after returning from road trips. Minnesota has batted well at home after a slow start with a .782 OPS since June 24.

Five of the Twins’ last 6 games were decided by 2 or fewer runs. Before Chicago’s recent surge, the Sox were also playing a slew of close games.

Over/Under (O/U)

There isn’t much of a lean here, but what there is tilts toward the UNDER 9.5 (+100). An inward breeze, Giolito and a better-than-advertised Minnesota bullpen make for the slight shade toward a 7-to-9-run affair.

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Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (65-46) seek a road series sweep Sunday in the finale of their three-game set against the Chicago Cubs (52-60). First pitch is scheduled for 7:09 p.m. ET at Wrigley Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the White Sox vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

White Sox RHP Dylan Cease (8-6, 3.92 ERA) makes his 23rd start of the year. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 through 114 2/3 IP.

  • Cease pitched 6 scoreless innings and struck out 11 in a 7-1 victory against Kansas City Tuesday.
  • The White Sox are 13-9 when Cease starts but only 5-6 in his road starts.

Cubs RHP Zach Davies (6-8, 4.79 ERA) makes his 24th start of the season. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 112 2/3 IP.

  • The Cubs have lost six of Davies’ last seven starts.
  • He has allowed 11 earned runs in his last 10 innings pitched.

White Sox at Cubs odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Cubs +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (-120) | Cubs +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 10.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Prediction

White Sox 6, Cubs 2

Money line (ML)

The White Sox have taken the first two games of the series and are 27-26 on the road. They have won four of their last six games overall.

The Cubs are struggling. They are 2-9 in their last 11 games. They are 31-23 at home but have dropped their last five games at Wrigley Field.

Take the WHITE SOX (-190).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The White Sox are 58-53 ATS overall,  but when they win they do it by more than one run. 18 of their last 20 victories have been by 2 or more runs.

Conversely, the Cubs often lose by multiple runs. Seven of their last 10 losses have been by 2 or more runs. They are 61-51 ATS overall.

Take the WHITE SOX -1.5 (-120).

Over/Under (O/U)

49% of the games at Wrigley Field have gone Over the projected total.

The White Sox have only had two of their last 16 games finish with totals of more than 10 runs.

Half of the Cubs’ last 10 games have finished with 11 or more runs.

Take UNDER 10.5 (-125).

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Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (45-60) and Chicago White Sox (63-44) play the middle game of a three-game series Wednesday at 8:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Royals vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Carlos Hernandez is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. Over three starts and 12 relief appearances, he is 2-1 with a 4.98 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 and 5.8 BB/9 through 34 1/3 IP.

  • Coming off 6 scoreless innings against these same White Sox Thursday. Wednesday’s turn in Chicago will mark his fourth straight appearance as a starter.
  • Has logged only 11 career innings on the road with a 6.55 ERA and 1.91 WHIP.

RHP Lucas Giolito is the projected starter for the White Sox. He is 8-7 with a 3.67 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 through 125 IP spanning 21 starts.

  • Current Royals batters own an aggregate .648 OPS against him. Pitched against K.C. July 28 and allowed 1 ER over 6 IP. Through three starts against the Royals this season (17 IP), he has registered a 3.71 ERA.
  • Owns a 3.14 ERA and 0.97 WHIP at home in 2021.

Royals at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Royals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | White Sox -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Royals +1.5 (-105) | White Sox -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Prediction

White Sox 4, Royals 3

Money line (ML)

The pale Hose endured a 2-6 stretch from July 21-29, but the AL Central leaders look to have bounced back to form in recent games. Chicago took Tuesday’s series opener 7-1 and is 3-1 over its last 4 games. In the bigger picture, even with the late-July slide, the White Sox are 19-12 over their last 31 contests.

Kansas City’s bats have gone silent in a losing skid stretched to four games with Tuesday’s defeat. Over the quartet of losses, K.C. has scored just 1.5 runs per game on an anemic .452 OPS.

So, add in the pitching matchup for Wednesday, and Chicago is a clear favorite. But are the White Sox a prohibitive favorite from a betting standpoint?

No, they aren’t. Big favorites in MLB often get the public tuned into the other side, so much so there can often be value in a play at -250 or -300. The same thing happens in thoroughbred racing and a 3-to-5 favorite can take on value while longshots get over-bet.

Giolito is for real and is just now seeing his season numbers normalize after some high home run/fly-ball rates in the first half. He has good numbers against the Royals, a club that is much weaker against right-handed pitching.

Add in a Chicago offense, which owns an .835 OPS with 14 HR over its last seven home games, and a top-notch (but undervalued and now trade-bolstered) bullpen.

TAKE CHICAGO (-250).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

K.C. plays in a lot of 1-run games. The price on Chicago is decent for more risk-averse players on pricing but the run-and-a-half adds risk, too. PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

The White Sox and their home yard tend to be over-bet on the high side. The Under is 30-23-3 in Chicago’s home games.

With the pitching in this one, and a low-humidity/inward breeze weather forecast, BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (-102).

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Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (61-43) host the Cleveland Indians (50-50) in the second game of their three-game set Saturday at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago won the series opener Friday, 6-4, with its standout performance coming from White Sox 3B Yoan Moncada who hit 3-for-5 with 1 home run, 1 RBI and 2 runs scored.

Season series: Tied 6-6.

RHP Triston McKenzie is Cleveland’s projected starter. McKenzie is 1-4 with a 5.61 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 37 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 6.4 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 13 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 6 K in Cleveland’s 3-2 win over the Tampa Bay Rays Sunday.
  • McKenzie is 0-1 with a 10.32 ERA against the White Sox this year (11 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 7 H, 8 BB and 22 K in three starts.
  • vs. White Sox on the current roster (25 PA): 3.20 FIP with a .227 batting average (BA), .320 wOBA, .341 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 44.0 K% and 84.9 mph exit velocity (EV).

LHP Dallas Keuchel takes the mound for the White Sox. Keuchel is 7-4 with a 4.32 ERA (108 1/3 IP, 52 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 19 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4-3, with a 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 3 K at the Kansas City Royals Monday.
  • Keuchel is 0-1 against Cleveland this season with a 5.73 ERA (11 IP, 7 ER), 7 H, 6 BB and 6 K in two starts.
  • vs. Indians on the current roster (69 PA): 2.67 FIP with a .281 BA, .305 wOBA, .352 xSLG, 14.5 K% and 87.2 mph EV.

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Indians at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:57 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | White Sox -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-150) | White Sox -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

White Sox 9, Indians 4

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the WHITE SOX (-155) only because there’s been heavy “reverse line movement” in favor of the Indians (+125) as Chicago opened as roughly -180 money line favorites and are getting a majority of the action.

However, McKenzie has gotten smoked in his three starts against Chicago, the White Sox have the highest home winning percentage in the majors (36-17 overall record) and Cleveland is free-falling out of playoff contention.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS since Keuchel isn’t a starting pitcher I’d like to back on the full-game or First 5 Innings run line and Cleveland is 20-11 ATS as a road underdog.

Both bullpens are top-tier units and I don’t have enough faith in the White Sox’s lineup covering the run line if they don’t rake McKenzie.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9 (-110) for a half unit because these teams have a combined 18-14 O/U record when these starters get the nod, Cleveland is 24-16-3 O/U vs. AL Central foes and the Over has cashed in six of the last eight Indians-White Sox meetings.

That being said, the Over 9 (-110) is a fairly obvious play and the presumed “sharp” side of the markets is backing the Under while your “average Joe” is betting the Over according to Pregame.com.

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Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (50-49) start a three-game series against the Chicago White Sox (60-43) Friday with an 8:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Guaranteed Rate Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Indians lead 6-5.

RHP J.C. Mejia is Cleveland’s projected starter. Heis 1-6 with a 7.52 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 34 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 over nine starts and three relief appearances in his rookie season.

  • Last outing: Loss, 8-2, with 6 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 6 K Saturday against the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • 2021 road stats: 1-4 with an 8.34 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 27 H, 9 BB and 23 K through six starts and one relief appearance.

RHP Lance Lynn takes the mound for the White Sox. He is 10-3 with a 1.91 ERA (103 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 18 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 3-1, with 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB and 6 K Sunday at the Milwaukee Brewers.
  • Lynn is 1-1 with 5 ER, 9 H, 2 BB and 12 K over 11 IP in two starts against Cleveland this season.
    • vs. Indians on the current roster (59 PA): 4.38 FIP with .113 batting average, .210 expected wOBA, .317 expected slugging percentage, 30.5 K% and 88.1 mph exit velocity.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Indians at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | White Sox -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-110) | White Sox -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

White Sox 5, Indians 2

Money line (ML)

PASS because I’m confident enough in the White Sox to just lay it with their run line and I don’t want to waste any of my bankroll on Chicago’s bloated money line price.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

TAKE the WHITE SOX -1.5 (-110) for 1 unit because their lineup ranks in the top 10 across several advanced hitting metrics such as wRC+, wOBA, BB/K rate and hard-contact rate against right-handed pitching.

Chicago also has the second-best cover rate as a home favorite at 27-19 ATS and four of the White Sox’s five wins over the Indians this year were by at least 2 runs.

Mejia has been terrible on the road this season and grades in the 20th percentile or worse in hard-hit rate, exit velocity, expected wOBA, expected slugging percentage and whiff rate.

Not only do the White Sox have a clear edge in hitting and the starting pitching duel but Chicago’s bullpen has a higher WAR than Cleveland’s.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-115) because Lynn has been dominant at home and Cleveland’s lineup has been terrible on the road.

Lynn has a 1.50 ERA  and 0.85 WHIP at home compared to a 2.63 ERA and 1.33 WHIP on the road. He has a 4.6 K/BB at home and 2.6 K/BB on the road. Plus, Indians batters rank in the bottom-10 on the road in wRC+, wOBA and hard-contact rate.

Finally, while Chicago’s lineup is ultra-talented and is getting healthier, the White Sox are still 19-25-2 O/U as home favorites because their pitching staff as a whole has performed well in Chicago.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (59-40) and Kansas City Royals (42-55) swing into a four-game AL Central set at Kauffman Stadium Monday with an 8:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Dallas Keuchel is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. He is 7-3 with a 4.22 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 over 102 1/3 IP spanning 18 starts.

The veteran southpaw has a nice career line against current K.C. batters. Keuchel has held current Royals hitter to a .548 aggregate OPS. Recent road turns have been a bit messy, though, and on the year the Sox hurler has posted a 4.73 ERA, 1.53 WHIP away from home.

LHP Mike Minor is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. Through 20 starts, he is 7-8 with a 5.45 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 across 112 1/3 IP.

Minor also has a good matchup history on which to bank. He has held current White Sox hitters to a .627 OPS in past meetings. Minor has had some mid-summer struggles with a 10.80 ERA over four starts from June 25-July 10, but he is coming off a solid start last Tuesday against the Milwaukee Brewers with 1 ER over 6 IP.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

White Sox at Royals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100) |  Royals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+115) | Royals +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Royals 6, White Sox 4

Money line (ML)

The White Sox were 10-3 over their last 13 games of the first half, but the AL Central leaders are just 5-5 in the second half. Chicago scored just 5 runs in a three-game road series against the Brewers over the weekend.

The host Royals endured a rough pre- and post-break stretch that saw them go 4-17 from June 23-July 18. Kansas City is 5-0 with an .805 team OPS since.

Minor has been undone by an ultra-low 63.4% strand rate when runners are on base. His recent effort and the conflicting team trends make for KANSAS CITY (+110) being a decent play on the money line.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The run line is worth a watch. The Royals at -135 would be worth a play, perhaps in conjunction with the above money line action.

PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS on the current prices. An evenly-priced (-110) 9.5-run total would be worth a look on the Over.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

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