Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago White Sox (1-4) and Kansas City Royals (2-4) meet Thursday to begin a 4-game series. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Kansas City won 7-6 last season

Chicago’s game against Atlanta Wednesday was postponed by rain and snow and will be made up on June 27. The White Sox beat the Braves 3-2 Tuesday while covering as +159 home underdogs. LHP Garrett Crochet pitched 7 innings, allowing 1 ER on 3 H with 8 K.

Kansas City suffered a 4-3 loss vs. the Baltimore Orioles Wednesday while failing to cover as a +153 road underdog. The Royals led 3-0 leading into the 8th, when the Orioles scored 4 runs over the last 2 innings to win the game. Kansas City has lost 2 of its last 3 games.

White Sox at Royals projected starters

RHP Michael Soroka vs. RHP Seth Lugo

Soroka (0-0, 7.20 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 2.00 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 0.0 K/9 in 5 IP.

  • Lost 7-6 vs. the Detroit Tigers, allowing 4 ER, 7 H with 0 K
  • 2023 road splits: 1-1, 5.75 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 23 H, 11 BB, 13 K in 4 starts as a member of the Braves
  • First career game vs. Kansas City

Lugo (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 0.50 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 6 IP.

  • No-decision in 5-1 loss vs. the Minnesota Twins; 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 4 K
  • 2023 home splits: 4-4, 3.66 ERA (64 IP, 26 ER), 64 H, 63 K in 12 starts as a member of the San Diego Padres
  • 1 relief appearance vs. Chicago (2/3 IP)

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White Sox at Royals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:23 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): White Sox +138 (bet $100 to win $138) | Royals -164 (bet $164 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-152) | Royals -1.5 (+126)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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White Sox at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 4, White Sox 1

Moneyline

PASS. 

I like the Royals (-164) to pick up the win here, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites. Their odds are also better on the run line and I am not a fan of doubling down, so bet on the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN ROYALS -1.5 (+126).

The Royals have covered the spread in 4 of their first 5 games to start the season and have won back-to-back matchups vs. Chicago (-152). KC is 4-2 in its last 6 meetings with Chicago, covering the spread in 3 of the 4 wins.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

The Under has hit 2 of Chicago’s last 3 overall and is 8-1-1 in its last 10 games dating back to last season. For Kansas City, the Under is 5-2-1 in its last 8 games going back to last year. The Under has also hit in 3 of the last 4 Chicago-KC matchups, being 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

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Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago White Sox (13-25) and Kansas City Royals (11-27) tangle in the finale of a 4-game series Thursday. The first pitch at Kauffman Stadium is slated for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Royals lead 2-1

Chicago is 2nd last in MLB with 6.11 runs allowed per game. White Sox pitchers allowed 3 home runs in a 9-1 loss to the Royals Wednesday. Chicago has allowed multiple homers in 15 games this season.

The Royals are trying to close out a 10-game homestand with a level 5-5 mark. K.C. is perhaps unlucky to be 4-5 over the first 9 games of the stay at Kauffman Stadium as it has logged a robust .931 OPS over that span.

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White Sox at Royals projected starters

RHP Michael Clevinger vs. RHP Brady Singer

Clevinger (2-3, 4.84 ERA) is making his 8th start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 35 1/3 IP.

  • Has been hurt by walks; his 4.1 BB/9 mark is his highest since logging a 4.4 BB/9 mark in 2017
  • Has logged a 5.57 ERA on the road over the last 2 seasons

Singer (2-4, 8.82 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 33 2/3 IP.

  • Looking to bounce back from a shaky start last time out: loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 5-4 defeat vs. Oakland Athletics Saturday
  • First-pitch strikes have dipped over recent starts and he owns a 10.72 ERA over his last 5 efforts

White Sox at Royals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: White Sox -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Royals -116 (bet $116 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox -1.5 (+146) | Royals +1.5 (-176)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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White Sox at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 4, White Sox 3

Moneyline

The ChiSox are 1-5 in their last 6 games in Kansas City.

Kansas City figures as a team to watch in May. The Royals are better than their record, and some slightly better pitching and some mound luck will make them a much more competitive club — especially against the weaker field of the AL Central.

Singer, who logged a 2.76 ERA at home last season, has pitched around terrible BABIP and LOB numbers. He has a .347 BABIP and nearly 50% of his base runners have come around to score. He has also faced a tougher-than-average slate of opposing offenses.

Clevinger has been walking too many batters, and his road numbers leave much to be desired.

BACK THE ROYALS (-116).

Run line/Against the spread

Kansas City can struggle against right-handers. A ROYALS +1.5 (-176) play can help defray the lack of confidence in K.C.’s attack in a game that has a pull toward a lower score.

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Over/Under

Both pitching staffs have seen good hitting so far, but both bullpens have been BABIP-bashed so far (Kansas City .331, Chicago .340).

Consider a partial-unit play on the UNDER 9 (-105).

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Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (62-59) take on the Kansas City Royals (49-74) Monday in a 1-game makeup at Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Royals lead 8-7

The White Sox snapped a 3-game losing streak against Cleveland Saturday before rain washed them out Sunday. Chicago is 6-4 in its last 10 games and 17-13 in the last 30. They are just 12-14 against left-handed starters, which they’ll face Monday.

The Royals lost 3 of 4 to the Tampa Bay Rays over the weekend and are just 2-8 in their last 10. They are a somewhat respectable 29-34 at home and 22-26 within the division. They did take 3 of 4 against Chicago just 2 weeks ago at Kauffman.

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White Sox at Royals projected starters

RHP Michael Kopech vs. LHP Daniel Lynch

Kopech (4-9, 3.25 ERA) makes his 23rd start of the season. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 110 2/3 IP.

  • Is 0-1 with a 2.81 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 6.2 K/9 in 3 career starts against Royals
  • Struggles slightly on the road with a 3.64 ERA, 1.43 WHIP vs. 2.97 ERA and 1.01 WHIP at home

Lynch (4-8, 4.52 ERA) makes his 20th start of the season. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 93 2/3 IP.

  • Great against White Sox in 2 starts at their place this season with 11 1/3 shutout innings, 8 H, 2 BB and 14 K
  • Struggles a bit at home with a 5.22 ERA and 1.36 WHIP

White Sox at Royals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:14 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): White Sox -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Royals +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox -1.5 (+105) | Royals +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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White Sox at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 5, Royals 3

Money line

The White Sox should benefit from the extra day off due to Sunday’s rainout, and I look for them to take this game over late. Lynch shut them down twice at their place earlier this season, but he isn’t as effective at home. Kopech hasn’t allowed more than 2 ER to the Royals in any of his 3 career starts against them. So take the WHITE SOX (-155).

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Run line/Against the spread

When the White Sox win, it’s usually by more than 1 run as 9 of their last 12 wins have been by 2 or more runs. Kansas City has the 3rd-worst bullpen ERA at 4.69 to help them along. The White Sox are 31-29 on the RL on the road this season, which isn’t bad for a team just 3 games over .500 overall. Take the WHITE SOX -1.5 (+105) for a HALF UNIT.

Over/Under

Both teams have been Under teams at 4-5-1 and 4-6 O/U the last 10 games, respectively. The White Sox have gone Under in 3 of 4, and the Royals went Under in 4 of 5. The Under is 4-0-1 in Kopech’s last 5 road starts. The Under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Kansas City. Take the UNDER 8.5 (-112).

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Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (56-55) and Kansas City Royals (46-66) tangle Thursday in the finale of a 4-game series at Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is slated for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 7-7

The White Sox are 10-9 since the All-Star break. Chicago bats have been sluggish, but Sox pitching has been sharp. The Pale Hose own a 3.63 ERA in the 2nd half.

The Royals have pitched well in this series (8 runs allowed in 3 games), and they have been outstanding at home over the last month. Kansas City is 12-6 in its last 18 games at Kauffman Stadium. The K.C. offense has clocked a .787 OPS over those 18 games.

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White Sox at Royals projected starters

RHP Dylan Cease vs. RHP Zack Greinke

Cease (12-4, 1.98 ERA) is making his 23rd start of the season. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 in 122 2/3 IP.

  • On a historic roll and has not allowed more than 1 ER in a start since May 24. Owns an 0.59 ERA over that 76-inning stretch
  • Has held current K.C. bats to a whiff-heavy .593 aggregate OPS

Greinke (3-7, 4.58 ERA) has logged 1.33 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 in 18 starts (92 1/3 IP).

  • Has faced the White Sox twice this season, allowing 5 R in 11 2/3 IP
  •  Current Chicago batters own a career aggregate .636 OPS against him
  • Has dominated at home, posing a 2.23 ERA, 1.08 WHIP

White Sox at Royals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:32 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Royals +155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox -1.5 (-108) | Royals +1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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White Sox at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 4, Royals 3

Money line

Greinke is coming off his highest pitch count since mid-May, and he’s backed by the more fatigued bullpen — especially at the back end — on this matinee get-away day.

BACK THE WHITE SOX (-190). A partial-unit play is suggested, unless the tag drifts down to -180.

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Run line/Against the spread

Not enough trust in the ChiSox offense: PASS.

Over/Under

Batting and pitching figures — expected vs. actual — crisscross in multiple key areas. PASS.

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Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (56-54) and Kansas City Royals (45-66) meet Wednesday for the 3rd game of a 4-game set at Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is slated for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Chicago leads 7-6 after a split of a Tuesday doubleheader.

The White Sox have pitched their way to a 10-6 record over their last 16 games. Chicago hurlers own a fine 2.96 ERA over that span.

The Royals are 4-2 on a current home stand and 11-6 over their last 17 games at home. K.C. pitching has logged a 3.00 ERA over those 17 games.

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White Sox at Royals projected starters

RHP Johnny Cueto vs. LHP Kris Bubic

Cueto (4-5, 2.91 ERA) has made 14 starts and 1 relief appearance. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 through 96 IP.

  • Has notched a 2.25 ERA over his last 5 starts.
  • Coming off a 106-pitch effort at the Texas Rangers Thursday in his last turn.

Bubic (2-6, 5.27 ERA) owns a 1.54 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 80 1/3 IP across 18 games (17 starts).

  • Owns a 3.49 ERA over his last 5 starts against the White Sox over the last 3 seasons.
  • Current Chicago bats own an aggregate career .591 OPS against him.
  • Had a 7.45 ERA heading into July but has notched a 3.24 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over his last 7 starts.

White Sox at Royals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox -1.5 (+115) | Royals +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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White Sox at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 5, White Sox 4

Money line

These starters have suffered opposite fates in an area left open to much luck and that’s their performance with runners in scoring position. Cueto has an 82.5% success rate in stranding those runners as opposing batters have hit .264 off him with a .225 batting average on balls in play. With Bubic, those corresponding figures are 67.5%, .351, and .340. The difference makes for some baked-in bias not based so much on talent.

The starter leverage fits in with some general team leans toward Kansas City in run differentials versus won-loss record.

The ROYALS (+120) are the LEAN here, but I’d pass if the tag were any cheaper than that.

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Run line/Against the spread

Cueto has been buoyed by a low home run/fly ball rate — another luck indicator — over his last 5 turns, and the White Sox own a strikeout-heavy .615 OPS over their last 6 road games.

BACK THE ROYALS +1.5 (-140).

Over/Under

Batting and pitching figures — expected vs. actual — crisscross in multiple key areas. It’s best to AVOID this play.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (18-19) and Kansas City Royals (14-22) meet for the rubber game of a 5-game set Thursday. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is slated for a 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Royals lead 4-3.

Chicago has scored just 6 runs over the last 3 games of this series. The Pale Hose have clocked a mere .608 OPS over their last 7 games.

Conversely and despite being shut out by these White Sox in game 1 of a Tuesday doubleheader, the Royals have notched an .813 OPS over their last 7 games.

White Sox at Royals projected starters

RHP Vince Velasquez vs. RHP Carlos Hernandez

Velasquez (2-3, 5.53 ERA) is slated to make his 7th start. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 27 2/3 IP.

  • Coming off a rocky outing Friday against the New York Yankees with 7 runs allowed on 8 hits (3 home runs) across 5 IP.
  • Posted a 6.30 ERA in 94 1/3 IP last season between the San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies.

Hernandez (0-3, 9.11 ERA) has a 2.03 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 4.4 K/9 through 26 2/3 IP across 6 starts.

  • Coming off 2 straight clunkers on the road where he allowed a combined 15 R on 15 H across just 8 2/3 IP against the Baltimore Orioles and Colorado Rockies.
  • Logged a 1.59 ERA over 3 starts against Chicago last season.

White Sox at Royals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL): White Sox -1.5 (+110) | Royals +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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White Sox at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 6, White Sox 5

Money line

Hernandez has certainly not looked like the hurler that clocked a 3.68 ERA in 85 2/3 IP last year, and the Kansas City bullpen may have some back-end availability issues in this game.

However, Hernandez has been beaten up by some luck-factor rates around the margins (54.7% left-on-base rate for example), and the ROYALS (+120) are worth a shot in this get-away day game.

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Run line/Against the spread

Bettors wanting some cushion against a bullpen failure may want to take KANSAS CITY +1.5 (-135).

Over/Under

Neither bullpen is all that outstanding, and both offenses sport some Statcast numbers that would call for better production. With a forecasted temperature nearing the mid-80s and a double-digit wind blowing out to left-center, figure on the batters winning a few more battles in this one.

TAKE THE OVER 9.5 (-107).

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Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds, expert picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (79-57) and Kansas City Royals (60-75) wrap up a three-game series at Kauffman Stadium Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the White Sox vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

White Sox RHP Dylan Cease (11-6, 3.82 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 through 143 2/3 IP.

  • Has a 5.37 ERA across 13 road starts for the season but just a 3.00 ERA through three second-half road outings.
  • Is 1-0 with a 1.21 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over 22 1/3 IP spanning four starts against Kansas City this season.

Royals RHP Brady Singer (3-9, 4.87 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 109 IP.

  • Owns a 6.17 ERA across five second-half starts but has settled down his last three outings and allowed just 4 earned runs over 17 2/3 IP.
  • Has been hampered by a .356 BABIP – the highest of any pitcher with at least 100 innings pitched.

White Sox at Royals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Royals +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (-103) | Royals +1.5 (-117)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Prediction

White Sox 5, Royals 2

Money line (ML)

Singer has likely been a bit hard done by considering his unusually high BABIP. He possesses an xFIP, FIP and xERA all lower than his surface numbers, but he still doesn’t match up well against Cease, considering the platoon splits at the plate point the way of the White Sox as well.

Chicago ranks no worse than eighth in wRC+, wOBA and OPS against right-handed pitching while the Royals rank in the bottom four in each category.

There’s no reason to believe Cease’s season-long domination of the Royals comes to an end Sunday. Back the WHITE SOX (-175).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The good news for those seeking value on the run line is that the White Sox bullpen has been on fire and should likely hold on to any lead it’s handed when Cease leaves the game.

White Sox relievers are second in SIERA and K-BB%, and third in xFIP over the last 14 days.

I’d prefer to see this in plus-money territory but it’s close enough that I’ll still get behind CHICAGO -1.5 (-103).

Over/Under (O/U)

Factoring in Cease’s numbers against Kansas City, Singer likely being a bit unlucky (and coming off three solid outings), two good bullpens and one team that doesn’t hit right-handed pitching well I’m going to look to the UNDER 8.5 (-102).

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Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (59-40) and Kansas City Royals (42-55) swing into a four-game AL Central set at Kauffman Stadium Monday with an 8:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Dallas Keuchel is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. He is 7-3 with a 4.22 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 over 102 1/3 IP spanning 18 starts.

The veteran southpaw has a nice career line against current K.C. batters. Keuchel has held current Royals hitter to a .548 aggregate OPS. Recent road turns have been a bit messy, though, and on the year the Sox hurler has posted a 4.73 ERA, 1.53 WHIP away from home.

LHP Mike Minor is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. Through 20 starts, he is 7-8 with a 5.45 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 across 112 1/3 IP.

Minor also has a good matchup history on which to bank. He has held current White Sox hitters to a .627 OPS in past meetings. Minor has had some mid-summer struggles with a 10.80 ERA over four starts from June 25-July 10, but he is coming off a solid start last Tuesday against the Milwaukee Brewers with 1 ER over 6 IP.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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White Sox at Royals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100) |  Royals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+115) | Royals +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Royals 6, White Sox 4

Money line (ML)

The White Sox were 10-3 over their last 13 games of the first half, but the AL Central leaders are just 5-5 in the second half. Chicago scored just 5 runs in a three-game road series against the Brewers over the weekend.

The host Royals endured a rough pre- and post-break stretch that saw them go 4-17 from June 23-July 18. Kansas City is 5-0 with an .805 team OPS since.

Minor has been undone by an ultra-low 63.4% strand rate when runners are on base. His recent effort and the conflicting team trends make for KANSAS CITY (+110) being a decent play on the money line.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The run line is worth a watch. The Royals at -135 would be worth a play, perhaps in conjunction with the above money line action.

PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS on the current prices. An evenly-priced (-110) 9.5-run total would be worth a look on the Over.

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Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (16-13) meet the AL Central rival Kansas City Royals (16-14) Friday at Kauffman Stadium for the first game of a three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago has alternated between winning and losing its past six games and is 6-4 in its previous 10 games while Kansas City has lost five straight and is 3-7 over its last 10.

The season series is tied 1-1 but the White Sox owned the Royals in 2020 by going 9-1 in their head-to-head meetings.

LHP Carlos Rodón gets the start for the White Sox. He is 4-0 with an 0.72 ERA (25 IP, 2 ER), 0.64 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 13.0 K/9 over 4 starts.

  • Last outing: Win in 6 IP with 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and 12 K vs. the Detroit Tigers last Thursday.
  • Career vs. Royals: 2-3 with a 3.69 ERA (39 IP, 16 ER), 1.49 WHIP and 8.8 K/9 over 7 starts.

RHP Brad Keller is the projected starter for the Royals. He is 2-3 with an 8.06 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 2.15 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 across 6 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss in 4 1/3 IP with 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 3 K at the Minnesota Twins Sunday.
  • Career vs. White Sox: 4-4 with a 3.62 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.39 WHIP and 7.2 K/9 in 10 starts and 3 relief appearances.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

White Sox at Royals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Royals +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+100) | Royals +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

White Sox 5, Royals 2

Money line (ML)

PASS because I’m confident enough taking Chicago in this spot that I’ll be greedy and not eat the vig for the White Sox (-160).

It’s not out of my price range and I’d entertain including the White Sox’s money line in a parlay, but I’d rather load up on Chicago’s run line

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

GIMME the WHITE SOX -1.5 (+100) for 1 unit because of their massive edge in the starting pitching matchup and Chicago’s second-best 18-10 run line record as a road favorite since the beginning of last season.

Rodón has been filthy this year and is more effective on six or more days rest. Statcast grades Rodón in the 90-plus percentile in K%, whiff%, expected slugging percentage and expected wOBA.

Also, Rodón has a lower ERA, WHIP and opponent’s slash line when pitching on six or more days rest compared to his other rest splits.

Conversely, Keller has been dreadful this season and is far less effective on four days of rest.

Statcast grades Keller in the single-digit percentile in K%, expected wOBA and expected slugging percentage, and the 35th percentile in hard-hit rate.

And, on four days of rest, Keller’s winning percentage, WHIP and ERA are the worst compared to his other rest splits.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS because Rodón has been better than Keller this season but Keller’s numbers vs. the White Sox are more impressive than Rodón’s against the Royals.

Also, Chicago’s lineup is predictably good but is missing some big bats and Kansas City’s lineup is surprisingly average.

The bottom line is I don’t have a good enough handicap on this total and these teams have a combined 5-5 O/U record this season when these two starters are on the mound.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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