The Chicago White Sox (61-43) host the Cleveland Indians (50-50) in the second game of their three-game set Saturday at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Chicago won the series opener Friday, 6-4, with its standout performance coming from White Sox 3B Yoan Moncada who hit 3-for-5 with 1 home run, 1 RBI and 2 runs scored.
Season series: Tied 6-6.
RHP Triston McKenzie is Cleveland’s projected starter. McKenzie is 1-4 with a 5.61 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 37 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 6.4 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 13 starts and one relief appearance.
- Last outing: No-decision with 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 6 K in Cleveland’s 3-2 win over the Tampa Bay Rays Sunday.
- McKenzie is 0-1 with a 10.32 ERA against the White Sox this year (11 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 7 H, 8 BB and 22 K in three starts.
- vs. White Sox on the current roster (25 PA): 3.20 FIP with a .227 batting average (BA), .320 wOBA, .341 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 44.0 K% and 84.9 mph exit velocity (EV).
LHP Dallas Keuchel takes the mound for the White Sox. Keuchel is 7-4 with a 4.32 ERA (108 1/3 IP, 52 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 19 starts and one relief appearance.
- Last outing: Loss, 4-3, with a 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 3 K at the Kansas City Royals Monday.
- Keuchel is 0-1 against Cleveland this season with a 5.73 ERA (11 IP, 7 ER), 7 H, 6 BB and 6 K in two starts.
- vs. Indians on the current roster (69 PA): 2.67 FIP with a .281 BA, .305 wOBA, .352 xSLG, 14.5 K% and 87.2 mph EV.
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Indians at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:57 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Indians +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | White Sox -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-150) | White Sox -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
White Sox 9, Indians 4
Money line (ML)
“LEAN” to the WHITE SOX (-155) only because there’s been heavy “reverse line movement” in favor of the Indians (+125) as Chicago opened as roughly -180 money line favorites and are getting a majority of the action.
However, McKenzie has gotten smoked in his three starts against Chicago, the White Sox have the highest home winning percentage in the majors (36-17 overall record) and Cleveland is free-falling out of playoff contention.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS since Keuchel isn’t a starting pitcher I’d like to back on the full-game or First 5 Innings run line and Cleveland is 20-11 ATS as a road underdog.
Both bullpens are top-tier units and I don’t have enough faith in the White Sox’s lineup covering the run line if they don’t rake McKenzie.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” to the OVER 9 (-110) for a half unit because these teams have a combined 18-14 O/U record when these starters get the nod, Cleveland is 24-16-3 O/U vs. AL Central foes and the Over has cashed in six of the last eight Indians-White Sox meetings.
That being said, the Over 9 (-110) is a fairly obvious play and the presumed “sharp” side of the markets is backing the Under while your “average Joe” is betting the Over according to Pregame.com.
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