2022 Sony Open best bets, odds, course overview, key statistics, and more

Welcome to the annual Charles Howell III Invitational.

It was so good to have PGA Tour golf back last week.

Cameron Smith outlasted a loaded leaderboard, including World No. 1 Jon Rahm, to capture his second win in Hawaii (Sony Open 2020).

This week, the boys are still in Hawaii for the Sony Open for the first full-field event of the new calendar year. Kevin Na took home the trophy last season and is once again in the field coming off a T-13 performance last week in Maui.

Smith has opened as the betting favorite at +1000. Bryson DeChambeau, who was originally in the field, has withdrawn from the event due to a wrist injury.

Course

Waialae Country Club
Par 70
7,044 yards
Seth Raynor design, Tom Doak restoration (2017)
Bermuda greens

Weather

Day Conditions Percent chance of rain Wind & Direction
Tuesday Partly Cloudy 2 percent 15 MPH (NNE)
Wednesday Partly Cloudy 10 percent 8 MPH (ENE)
Thursday Mostly Sunny 13 percent 9 MPH (NE)
Friday Partly Cloudy 11 percent 6 MPH (W)
Saturday Sunny 6 percent 8 MPH (NE)
Sunday Sunny 10 percent 10 MPH (ENE)

Key stats

SG: Putting: Na was the first winner of the Sony since 2014 to not rank inside the top six in SG: Putting for the week. Have to roll the rock around this track.

SG: Approach: Five of the last six winners at Waialae have ranked inside the top 10 in SG: APP, with Smith being the lone outlier (ranked 53rd).

Data Golf information

Course Fit (compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes — such as driving distance — to predict who performs well at each course – DataGolf): 1. LaCantera GC, 2. Harbour Town Golf Links, 3. TPC Sugarloaf

Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc.): 1. Cameron Smith (8.2 percent), 2. Sungjae Im (5.2 percent), 3. Webb Simpson (4.2 percent)

Betting odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds a full list.

Player Odds
Cameron Smith (+1000)
Webb Simpson (+1500)
Sungjae Im (+1500)
Marc Leishman (+2000)
Hideki Matsuyama (+2000)
Corey Conners (+2000)
Kevin Na (+3000)
Russell Henley (+3000)
Abraham Ancer (+3000)
Talor Gooch (+3000)

Betting card for the Sony Open

Last week’s results (Sentry Tournament of Champions)

Jordan Spieth – Top 10: Miss
Xander Schauffele – Top 5: Miss
Justin Thomas – Top 5: Hit, +155
Sungjae Im – Top 10: Hit, +140
+.95 units for the week


Corey Conners – Top 20 (+130)

Corey Conners Arnold Palmer Invitational
Corey Conners prepares to putt on the first hole during the final round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge on March 07, 2021, in Orlando, Florida. (Photo: Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)

It’s hard to believe we can get this guy for plus odds for a top 20, so we have to take it. Conners has played well here recently with a T-12 in 2020, and a T-3 in 2019.

He hasn’t played much this season with his last appearance coming at the RSM Classic in November. However, Data Golf has Conners ranked fifth in their CH index (average strokes-gained at the course). It’s a comfy fit for the Canadian, expect him to play well.

Charles Howell III – Top 20 (+220)

Charles Howell III hits his tee shot on the 2nd hole during the first round of The Masters golf tournament at Augusta National Golf Club. (Photo: Michael Madrid-USA TODAY Sports)

There’s not much to say for this pick, let’s just take a look at this tweet from Justin Ray.

Howell has three straight top 20s in Honolulu.

Kevin Kisner – Top 20 (+162)

Justin Thomas, Kevin Kisner
Justin Thomas, an Alabama alum, makes Kevin Kisner, a Georgia alum, make good on his bet to wear an Alabama jersey after the Tide beat the Bulldogs in the College Football Playoff National Championship during the 2018 Sony Open at the Waialae Country Club in Honolulu, Hawaii. (Photo: Cal Sport Media via AP Images)

You’re going to tell me Georgia’s national championship win isn’t going to affect Kiz in the best way possible this week? Dude’s on cloud 9 and will be  buzzing on and off the course. And, his approach play seemed to be back last week in Maui.

He struggled mightily last season with the blades, but his T-8 performance at the TOC is quite literally the best he could have done at that golf course, as he doesn’t have the length to keep up at the monster that is the Plantation Course.

He’s finished T-4 here twice in recent memory (2017, 2020), and loves Bermuda greens. Let’s ride with the Bulldog.

Russell Henley – Top 20 (+162)

Russell Henley of the United States lines up a putt on the 17th green during the third round of the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba on El Camaleon golf course on November 06, 2021, in Playa del Carmen, Mexico. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)

Henley is a past champion of this event, winning all the way back in 2013. His results since have been a mixed bag, however, he does have three top 20s since 2015.

With the soft conditions expected at Waialae, Henley’s driving accuracy will be even more important as he’s found the short grass 69.93 percent of the time this season (17th on Tour). He also ranks fourth in Strokes Gained: Approach on Tour.

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On the bubble: A closer look at a few notable PGA Tour players ahead of the FedEx Cup Playoffs

Several players are still angling to make the PGA Tour postseason. Some are just inside the cutline while others have work to do.

The 50-event “super season” has been a wild ride with six majors, the Olympics and now, one final regular-season event before the FedEx Cup Playoffs.

The Wyndham Championship this week will offer some PGA Tour players one last chance to improve their position or perhaps even make it into the field of 125 in the playoffs.

The three-event series starts at the Northern Trust at Liberty National Golf Club in Jersey City, New Jersey, next week but many in the field at Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, North Carolina, this week will be angling to keep their seasons alive.

Here’s a closer look at some interesting names on the FedEx Cup points standings, some who are inside the field, others who need to make up ground to get in, one who can make the playoffs only by winning this week and one who can’t play his way in because he’s not playing this week.

Is it different in Augusta? Masters vets like Phil Mickelson say there is an advantage

Three-time champion Phil Mickelson said he misses the patrons, but their absence could provide one benefit to players.

It’s a different vibe at the 84th Masters Tournament.

The colors have faded from its bright pink to burnt orange, leaves have made their way to the ground throughout the week, and there’s not a patron in sight.

Even with a new environment and ambiance, veteran players all concur that it’s still Augusta National Golf Club and the Masters.

“There are no bad days out here, and without the grandstands, without all that, people can see and appreciate it,” Augusta native Charles Howell III said after his opening round Thursday. “There’s different angles and different layouts and different ways you can play a hole now. Yeah, there are no bad days here.”

MASTERS: Second-round tee times | Leaderboard | How to watch

Two-time champion Bubba Watson said it hasn’t started to feel different to him just yet. That could change on Sunday, he added.

The famous Amen Corner brings about some of the most vocal moments during a typical Masters. Patrons are treated to three holes from one seating area in arguably the most important part of the course.

“That’s going to be the part that we’re missing to energize us or I’ve talked about before when a guy is getting off 1 or getting off 2 you can hear the roars on the back nine, so that’s obviously going to be missing unless they put in some speakers and just start cheering,” Watson said earlier in the week.

He said he’s not sure how the lack of patrons will affect his nerves if he makes weekend play.

“I just haven’t noticed them because I haven’t been as nervous right now,” Watson added. “But usually for me when I walk from 11 to 12, they cheer a little different because I’ve won here before, and so you give them a little wave, give them a little nod and then that makes me nervous. I haven’t felt that yet, so yeah, I guess I just kind of blacked that out.”

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Three-time champion Phil Mickelson said he misses the patrons, but their absence could provide one benefit to players.

”I actually think that the lack of people will keep that first cut a little bit higher and prevent some of the balls running through into the trees that might have gone in in years past,” he said earlier in the week.

Roars heard across the grounds are generally an indicator that a player has hit a key birdie or eagle to move them up the leaderboard. The players won’t have that this week.

The manned leaderboards around the course become that indicator.

Despite the lack of patrons, 2015 Masters champ Jordan Spieth said the end goal remains the same.

“Whether there’s fans or not, we’re playing the same golf course and trying to shoot the low score and beat the same players that we have to try and do every single year,” he said. “It doesn’t change with the patrons. It’s just kind of more the ambiance and what really makes the Masters that next level special is the patrons, but as a competitor, it’s really no change.”

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Charles Howell III takes action to support minority mini-tour

Charles Howell III pledged performance-based cash contributions to the APGA Tour, a mini tour geared to developing minority golfers.

As Charles Howell III traveled the country to events in what is his 20th season as a member of the PGA Tour, he reflected on all that the game has given him and concluded it was time to give back.

And then on May 25, George Floyd, a 46-year-old Black man, was killed in Minneapolis, Minnesota, during an arrest, and Howell zeroed in on a cause he could get behind. Howell, a three-time PGA Tour winner, pledged to make performance-based cash donations to the APGA Tour, a 10-year-old mini-tour for minority players, and its affiliated Advocates Foundation, through an initiative named #CharlesHowell4APGATour.

“Given the current situation in our country, I thought it would be really neat to do something via the game of golf,” Howell said. “It’s been my life since I was 7 years old. There’s a way here to help other golfers to reach their dreams and goals. I thought the Advocates Tour was a really good fit.”

But that’s only half the story. Howell is the first to admit that he’d never heard of the Advocates Tour until he was paired with one of its founders, Ken Bentley, during the pro-am a couple of years ago at the Farmers Insurance Open. It turns out that Howell’s caddie, Nick Jones, who played collegiately at USC, had competed in three APGA events, including a playoff loss, and knew Bentley, a retired Nestle executive, who made a lasting impression on Howell that day. On June 24, Howell left a voicemail for Bentley, saying he’d like to talk to him about how he could be part of the APGA’s effort to create more opportunities for minorities within the game of golf.

“It was a shock, a pleasant shock. He called out of the blue and said he wanted to help. He was feeling like he had to do something to make the world a better place, and being a golfer he felt like what he wanted to do should involve golf. He did some research and he wanted to be a part of it,” Bentley said.

The Advocates Pro Golf Association’s mission is to bring greater diversity to the sport by developing African Americans and other minorities for a variety of careers in golf. This grassroots effort began as 20-30 friends organizing three events in its first year has blossomed to eight events this year with $250,000 in prize money, including its first 72-hole tournament. Bentley said he expects to grow to 12 tournaments next year.

Howell committed to donate $50 for every birdie he makes and $100 for every eagle, but his involvement will extend far beyond monetary concerns to something far more valuable – his time.

“He wants to talk to the players and play with the guys. He really wants to make a difference. It adds another layer to guys understanding what it takes to get to the PGA Tour and stay on Tour,” Bentley said.

Initially, Howell didn’t want to bring attention to his good deed. It took some coaxing from Bentley, who explained, “if we tell people what you’re doing, it could help other people get involved. I can envision other players doing the same thing.”

View this post on Instagram

The past few months have given me a lot of time to reflect and think about what I would like to do in the future.  As I watched many of the events that unfolded throughout the country, my heart felt heavy and I wanted to take action – to listen, to understand and to help as much as possible. I am not perfect, and much like golf, I always learn more from my mistakes than my successes.  In an effort to learn and understand better, I attended a Diversity and Inclusivity training. In addition, I reached out to many of my friends in the African American community in an effort to learn and listen more.   Moving forward, I plan to use my platform through the PGA Tour to help and encourage others by partnering with the APGA Tour (www.apgatour.org), to create more opportunities for minorities within the game of golf.  I believe in a better America, and I want to be a part of the solution.

A post shared by Charles Howell (@charleshowell3) on

Bentley’s prediction already has come to fruition to some extent. When Farmers heard about Howell’s involvement, the company agreed to match Howell’s financial contributions based on the birdies and eagles of Willie Mack III and Kamaiu Johnson, two APGA players that Farmers is supporting financially to the tune of $25,000 per year through 2021.

The APGA has made steady progress since its humble beginning with three tournaments at inner-city courses. The PGA Tour’s involvement in 2012 provided a boost of credibility as well as an upgrade to tournament-tested courses – TPC Scottsdale, TPC Deere Run, Innisbrook Resort and Torrey Pines among them – and a glimpse of what it takes to be on Tour. Bentley believes that having a player of Howell’s pedigree could be the missing ingredient in establishing a platform for minority golfers to succeed in the professional ranks.

“Charles is a game-changer. It’s inspirational for our guys to know that Charles is interested in their development, but also Charles can tell them what it takes to get where they want to get to,” Bentley said. “We have four or five guys who are a putt away from the Korn Ferry Tour or PGA Tour. With Charles’s involvement in player development, I think that his impact will result in that one or two putts they need to make it on the PGA Tour.”

Despite Tiger Woods being the dominant golfer and the formation of youth golf development programs such as First Tee, there are currently only four Black golfers on the PGA Tour, roughly the same number as when Howell grew up in Augusta, Georgia, and had minority golfers Jim Dent and Jim Thorpe as influences in his own development.

“We’ve been talking for a long time about how we can diversify golf, but other than the PGA Tour we haven’t gotten a lot of support from the golf community,” Bentley said. “Now everybody is talking about how we need to expand the game. I think the George Floyd situation heightened attention that golf needs to change. If I had a crystal ball, I really think golf will look more like America in the next five years.”

Howell can’t explain why more minorities haven’t progressed to the highest levels of the game, and concedes he doesn’t have an answer. But as he wrote in an Instagram post, “I believe in a better America, and I want to be a part of the solution.”

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2020 3M Open odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 3M Open, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.

Matthew Wolff looks to defend his 2019 title at this week’s 3M Open – which begins Thursday – at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn. He’ll face a much weaker field than what was in attendance for Jon Rahm’s victory at last week’s Memorial Tournament. Tommy Fleetwood is the top-ranked golfer in attendance at No. 17 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. Below, we look at the BetMGM betting odds and make our picks and best bets for the 2020 3M Open.

2020 3M Open Betting Picks – Tier 1

Jul 3, 2020; Detroit; Erik van Rooyen at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, July 20 at 3:45 p.m. ET.

Lucas Glover (+3300)

Glover shares the seventh-best odds to win the 3M Open following a T-38 finish last week at Muirfield Village Golf Club in more difficult conditions and against a much stronger field. He tied for seventh in this event last year and has made the cut in each of his five events since the PGA Tour returned to play following the midseason pause.

He’s 26th on Tour this season in Strokes Gained: Approach and 36th in both SG: Off-the-Tee and Birdies or Better Percentage.

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Erik Van Rooyen (+4500)

Van Rooyen finished T-22 last week. He tied for 21st at the RBC Heritage but missed the cut at the Charles Schwab Challenge and Rocket Mortgage Classic.

He averaged 2.08 Strokes Gained: Approach and 2.19 SG: Tee-to-Green last week, according to Data Golf. The 30-year-old South African is still looking for his first win on the PGA Tour but will play against a weaker field than what’s usually at the tournaments in which he plays.

2020 3M Open Betting Picks – Tier 2

Jun 11, 2020; Fort Worth, Texas; Max Homa at the Charles Schwab Challenge. (Photo Credit: Raymond Carlin III – USA TODAY Sports)

Max Homa (+6600)

Homa has missed the cut in three straight events and four of his last five since play returned. He withdrew during the third round last year after making the cut at 5-under par. He’s 38th on Tour in SG: Off-the-Tee and 49th in SG: Approach this season.

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Charles Howell III (+9000)

Howell tied for 48th at plus-8 last week with a final round of 77. He was T-23 in this event last year at 13-under while averaging 1.50 SG: Tee-to-Green per round. He’ll be looking for his first top-10 result in his 10th event this year, but he had five top 10s in 30 events last year. His last win came at the 2018 RSM Classic in a more similar field than what we’ve seen lately.

2020 3M Open Betting Picks – Long shots

Jul 12, 2020; Dublin, Ohio; Chase Seiffert at the Workday Charity Open. (Photo Credit: Joseph Maiorana – USA TODAY Sports)

Chase Seiffert (+10000)

Seiffert took last week off following his breakout fourth-place finish in the Workday Charity Open. He gained 0.92 strokes on approach and 1.44 from tee-to-green per round at Muirfield Village and his odds remain high following the week away.

Sahith Theegala (+25000)

Theegala has his highest odds since turning pro after missing the cut at the Travelers Championship and Rocket Mortgage Classic. The former top amateur will play in his weakest field and has his best chance for success.

Wolff won here in 2019 as a +12500 long shot in his third start as a pro.

Get some action on the 2020 3M Open by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren on Twitter, and follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook. Please gamble responsibly.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.

Five of the top 10 golfers in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings are in the field this week at Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Fla., for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Eight-time champion and 11th-ranked golfer Tiger Woods won’t be on hand, as he ensures his body is in peak shape for next month’s Masters. Below, we look at the golf betting odds and make our picks to win the 2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

The key stats for the 7,454-yard, par-72 Bay Hill Club and Lodge are:

  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green
  • Opportunities Gained
  • Sand Saves Gained
  • Par 3 Efficiency: 200-225 Yards
  • Proximity from 200-plus Yards

My model at Fantasy National looks at the most recent 36 rounds for each golfer in the field.

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Picks – Tier 1

(Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 4:15 a.m. ET.

Rory McIlroy (+500)

No one in the field with a minimum of 10 rounds played at Bay Hill has gained more strokes per round than McIlroy’s 2.78, according to Data Golf. The 2018 champ followed it up with a T-6 finish last year, and he tied for fourth in 2017.

He has finished in the top five in each of his last six worldwide events, including a win at the WGC-HSBC Champions. He’ll defend his 2019 Players Championship crown next week.


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Brooks Koepka (+2800)

The books seem to be toying with us by continuing to offer these lofty odds on the former world No. 1. He missed the cut at last week’s Honda Classic following a T-43 at the Genesis Invitational, and has had poor results here with a missed cut in 2017 and 2019. Auto-betting him at these odds is just a good overall strategy because as soon as he wins again, he’s back down to less than 10/1.

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Picks – Tier 2

(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

Joaquin Niemann (+8000)

Niemann ranks second to only McIlroy in my stat model. He’s fifth in the field in opportunities gained and 11th in Proximity from the key distance. He tied for 46th last year, but has since picked up his first PGA Tour win.

Francesco Molinari (+9000)

A $10 bet on the defending champ would return a profit of $900 if he were to go back-to-back. The last golfer to win at Bay Hill in consecutive years was Matt Every in 2014 and 2015, and needless to say, Molinari is the far more accomplished golfer. He ranks second to McIlroy with 2.21 strokes gained per round at this venue in 28 career rounds played.


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Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Picks – Longshots

(Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

Charles Howell III (+10000)

Howell has played 72 career rounds at Bay Hill to rank fourth in the field. He’s coming off a T-53 finish at the WGC-Mexico Championship following a T-59 at the Genesis Invitational, but his experience is worth a shot at these long odds.

Sebastian Munoz (+10000)

Like Niemann, Munoz has a win already in the 2019-20 PGA Tour season. He comes into the week ranked third in my stat model and 76th in the Golfweek rankings. He leads the field in Opportunities Gained and ranks fifth in scoring on the long par 3s.

Get some action on this tournament by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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QBE Shootout odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the 2019 QBE Shootout and which teams of golfers are the best options for the event. Who will win at Tiburon Golf Club?

Twelve two-man teams will compete in the QBE Shootout at Tiburon Golf Club in Naples, Fla., this weekend. The 54-hole event runs three days, from Friday through Sunday.

The first round is played under scramble rules, whereby both members of each team will play every shot with the better ball being taken each time. Round 2 consists of greensomes, where both players tee off on each hole and the alternate shot is played from the spot of the better ball.

The final round is played under standard four-ball rules with each golfer playing the hole on their own and the best score being taken.


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The 7,288-yard venue plays as a par 72. The teams compete for a $3.5 million purse, but it is not an official money event and no FedExCup points are awarded.

QBE Shootout – Odds, picks and best bets

Matthew Wolff. (Photo Credit: Rob Kinnan – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 1 p.m. ET.

Viktor Hovland-Matthew Wolff (+600)

The two combine for just 42 years of age, making them younger than several of the individual golfers in this event. Hovland is expected to be a top contender for PGA Tour Rookie of the Year, while Wolff came up just short of the award last year.

Hovland, 22, placed solo fourth at last season’s Wyndham Championship for the best result of his young career. He’s ranked 96th by the Official World Golf Ranking, while Wolff, who got his first career win at the 3M Open last summer, is 117th in the world. Their odds are lower as fan favorites, but the youngsters have the length and putting, and the motivation for the early-career win in an uninspired field.

Charles Howell III-Bubba Watson (+800)

Watson, ranked 44th by the OWGR, is coming off a last-place finish at last week’s Hero World Challenge. Howell, ranked 54th in the world, missed the cut at the RSM Classic as his last event. The two combined for four victories in 2018.

Howell finished tied for third here last year with partner Luke List. Watson was sixth with Harold Varner III.

Charley Hoffman-Kevin Kisner (+1200)

Hoffman also finished T-3 a year ago (with partner Gary Woodland), while Kisner finished last with playing partner Cameron Champ. Kisner tied for seventh at last week’s Hero World Challenge exhibition. The two have plenty of length off the tee, and Kisner, who’s the defending match-play champion, can get hot and carry the team with his putter.

Get some action on this tournament by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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What are PGA Tour pros doing this off-season? We asked

A seemingly endless PGA Tour schedule is finally in the books for 2019. How do Tour pros plan to spend their “off-season” and the holidays?

ST. SIMONS ISLAND, Ga. — A seemingly endless PGA Tour schedule is finally in the books for 2019 with the conclusion of the RSM Classic, the last official event of the decade (let the Silly Season begin!).

How do Tour pros plan to spend their “off-season” and the holidays? We asked 18 pros after the RSM Classic.

Weddings, surgeries, pulled wisdom teeth, hunting and fishing, and — shocker — more golf are on the agenda.

(Photo: Eric Bolte/USA TODAY Sports)

Scott Brown

“If you’re looking for me, I’ll be hunting. I went deer hunting 20 of the last 25 days before going to Mayakoba. It’s fun to try to kill something bigger than you.”