Projected win total for Chargers and their opponents in 2023

Here’s a look at the projected win totals for the Chargers, their opponents and the over/under odds.

The Chargers are coming off a 10-7 season that resulted in a disappointing loss to the Jaguars in the Wild Card round.

Will Los Angeles surpass their win total from 2022? DraftKings Sportsbook released its projected win totals for the 2023 NFL season and has theirs set to 9.5 wins, with the over being -125 and the under being +105.

What about their opponents?

Here’s a look at the projected win totals for the Bolts’ opponents and the over/under odds.

Ranking the quarterbacks the Chargers will face in 2022

A look at the signal callers the Chargers defense is set to face in 2022, ranked from least to most threatening.

Quarterback is unquestionably the most important position in football. Good teams are made better with an elite QB at the helm, while bad teams can often be dragged to relative success with the right talent under center.

Let’s look at the signal callers the Chargers defense is set to face in 2022, ranked from least to most threatening.

14. Seahawks: Geno Smith/Drew Lock

Seattle faces a training camp battle after trading longtime star Russell Wilson to Denver (more on him later), but neither option is particularly frightening from a defensive perspective. In my opinion, former Chargers backup Smith is more likely to win the job, but he’s a known quantity at this point. At 31 years old, Smith will keep the ship steady but won’t win you any games you weren’t already going to win. On the other hand, Lock theoretically has the talent to win games, but he’s never quite put everything together. There’s a reason Denver was willing to move on from him this offseason. However, he is 3-2 versus the Chargers as a starter.

13. Browns: Jacoby Brissett

I’m operating as if Deshaun Watson will be suspended for the Week 5 contest against the Browns because, frankly, he should be. If he plays a single down this season, it’s an indictment of how the NFL puts money over morality, plain and simple. With Watson grounded, the Chargers will be facing veteran Brissett instead. It’s much the same story as Geno Smith: solid player, has hung around the league for good reason, is not going to be the main reason you win a game. I’d be much more worried about stopping the rushing attack of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt in this one.

12. Falcons: Marcus Mariota

The former No. 2 overall pick, Mariota resurfaces as a starter after two seasons as Derek Carr’s backup in Las Vegas. It’s possible that rookie third-rounder Desmond Ridder could be starting by the time Atlanta meets up with the Chargers in Week 9, but the connection between Mariota and head coach Arthur Smith from their time in Tennessee makes me think they’ll give him a bit of a longer leash. Mariota will be familiar with the Chargers’ defense from his time as a Raider, where he did get into the game on occasion as a gadget player. Still, don’t expect him to be torching the Bolts’ defense.

11. 49ers: Trey Lance/Jimmy Garoppolo

Jimmy G has been the subject of trade rumors from the second the 49ers’ season ended, but he remains on their roster as of today. It seems unlikely that will remain true come Week 10, but stranger things have happened in the NFL. If Garoppolo is the starter, expect the Chargers linebackers to flex their coverage muscles while he checks down to the RB and TE for most of the game. Lance, San Francisco’s likely 2022 starter, is much more of an X-factor. He barely played as a rookie or in 2020 because of the cancellation of the FCS fall season, which means the majority of data on him comes from games played almost three seasons ago against small-school competition. Yet, his talent is undeniable, and his running ability gives Kyle Shanahan yet another way to get creative offensively.

10. Texans: Davis Mills

Mills razed the Chargers a season ago to the tune of 254 yards and 2 TDs in a surprise 41-29 loss to a moribund Texans team. His first half was especially lethal, as he went 11 of 13 for 131 yards and both TDs. So what gives? Why is Mills this low? Well, for starters, the Chargers play a ton of well-established veterans this season, so there’s not much room for improvement here. Also, consider that Derwin James, Joey Bosa, Michael Davis, and Justin Jones all missed the Texans game because of COVID-19 or injury. Los Angeles started Davontae Harris at cornerback in that game. This isn’t meant to take away from Mills, who had a standout rookie season despite being pretty much an afterthought in the 2021 draft class. But in context, it’s hard to say that he carved up the Chargers last season because the defense they put on the field was a fraction of its true self.

9. Dolphins: Tua Tagovailoa

It’s a make-or-break season for Tagovailoa, and best believe he’ll have the Chargers game circled to prove he was a worthy investment. Remember that Tua was the Dolphins’ choice one pick before Los Angeles selected Justin Herbert, which (unfortunately for Tua) has intertwined their fates for good. While he hasn’t been the superstar Herbert was, Tagovailoa is still a very good quarterback on short and intermediate routes over the middle. With speedsters Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill, as well as tight end Mike Gesicki, Miami is playing to his strengths, which could very well make him look like a much better player this season. The Chargers-Dolphins matchup doesn’t come until Week 14, so expect Miami to have their offense down pat by then.

8. Jaguars: Trevor Lawrence

As the prince who was promised to come out of Clemson in 2021, I’m far from ready to write off Lawrence as a bust because of his lukewarm rookie season. Urban Meyer was coaching in name only, Lawrence had to beg to get his best players on the field during games, and most of his receivers flat out couldn’t catch. The stats are unimpressive, and the interception numbers certainly need to come down, but Lawrence is low on the list of reasons why the Jaguars ended up with the #1 pick again for back-to-back seasons. With big-money signings like Christian Kirk entering the building and starters returning from injury, the Jacksonville offense should at least resemble professional football this season. And honestly, that might be enough to open people’s eyes to Lawrence’s immense talent. A Week 3 matchup with the Chargers will be one of the first real tests he’ll face, and if he’s as good as we all thought he was, it could end up being more of a dangerous game than Chargers fans were bargaining for.

7. Titans: Ryan Tannehill

Tannehill’s career arc reminds me a bit of Alex Smith because they both were benched at their original landing spots before becoming an upper-level starter for their second team. Much like Smith with the Chiefs, Tannehill has the sometimes unseemly label of game manager for a very good Titans team, but his ability to keep the ball safe and move the team down the field is all they need to ask of him. Elongating drives to tire out opposing defenses, only for Derrick Henry to come barreling towards them for the umpteenth time, has been Tennessee’s bread and butter for years at this point. Although he loses AJ Brown, Robert Woods and rookie Treylon Burks provide him a bit more variety in the passing game. Tennessee is a team that never goes away easily, and Tannehill will ensure that’s the case against LA in Week 15, a game that’s likely to have far-reaching playoff implications.

6. Colts: Matt Ryan

I’m tired of hearing about how washed Matt Ryan is. He’s certainly on the decline, don’t get me wrong, but he’s a very good NFL QB still. It’s difficult to showcase that talent when you’re a less-than-mobile QB stuck behind the five traffic cones Atlanta called an offensive line last season. It’s even harder when Russell Gage and Kyle Pitts are the only players on your entire team that can get open. With a change of scenery to Indianapolis, I fully expect Ryan to remind people why he’s been highly thought of for 10+ seasons. The Colts have a solid offensive line (although left tackle is a bit of a question mark), with a bunch of tall receivers who Ryan can trust to go up and get a jump ball. I’m not saying the 2022 Colts will trick anyone into thinking they’re the 2012 Falcons, who featured Ryan with Julio Jones, Roddy White, and Tony Gonzalez, but I am saying that this supporting cast fits the veteran infinitely better than last season’s Falcons crew did.

5. Raiders: Derek Carr

Yes, this is the first in-division QB, a testament to how strong the AFC West will be this season. Carr cranked his passing yardage total to 4,800 in 2021, more than 700 yards above his previous career high. That’s, of course, aided by the 17th game in 2021, but he only threw for 186 yards against the Chargers in the season finale a year ago, so it’s clear he still made strides. With former college teammate Davante Adams now in silver and black as well, it stands to reason that those numbers will only continue to inflate in 2022 and beyond. The Raiders will be installing a new offense under head coach Josh McDaniels, so Week 1 may come with some growing pains, but the Week 13 matchup with divisional standings likely in the balance will be a difficult one.

4. Cardinals: Kyler Murray

Murray and Kliff Kingsbury have brought the Air Raid to the NFL with great success so far, although the team has yet to make substantial noise in the postseason. What makes the former No. 1 overall pick so dangerous is his ability to warp the pocket and extend plays, which forces the secondary to stick to their man for an extra 2-3 seconds. Creep up in your zone to hedge against the running threat and Murray will simply launch a dart over your head to the open man you just abandoned. With Hollywood Brown now in the fold in lieu of Christian Kirk, the offense will only be faster and more explosive than ever. Keeping Murray contained and forcing him to win from the pocket will be paramount in the Week 12 contest.

3. Broncos: Russell Wilson

Wilson has gotten some flak in recent seasons, especially for being allergic to throwing the ball over the middle and inflating his line’s sack numbers, but he’s still among the league’s best QBs. Don’t believe me? Ask the Broncos, who traded two first-round picks, two second-round picks, and three players to get Wilson in the building as they prepare to make a run at another Super Bowl. Denver has the personnel for the perimeter-based offense that Wilson prefers, too, big-bodied receiver Courtland Sutton. Expect both Broncos games to come down to which defense can limit the aerial assault of their respective QB opponent more effectively.

2. Rams: Matthew Stafford

Long underrated because of a subpar roster in Detroit, all Stafford did in his first year as a Ram was lead them to a Super Bowl victory over the Bengals. No big deal. Heading into 2022, Stafford is in the top ten in MVP odds across most sportsbooks, a testament to the numbers Vegas expects him to put up with another season in Sean McVay’s offense. Stafford is an underrated play-extender with the wheels and arm strength to get outside the pocket, reset, and deliver darts to freelancing receivers. After delivering on high expectations before last season, Stafford will only be expected to perform at a higher level as the Rams seek to make back-to-back Super Bowls. If the 34-year-old continues to deliver, expect Week 17 to be a tough matchup.

1. Chiefs: Patrick Mahomes

It just so happens that the best quarterback in the league is in the division, a major source of annoyance if you’re a Chargers fan. At least Mahomes doesn’t have a statement play against LA yet, like his left-handed throw against the Raiders or his other left-handed throw against the Broncos. He has a 5-2 record against the Bolts, with a 96.3 QB rating and 16 TDs to just 5 interceptions in those seven games. The former Texas Tech Red Raider is one of the most electric players in all of football, thanks to his ability to extend plays and adjust his arm angle to throw death-defying completions. Losing Tyreek Hill to Miami will be cause for adjustment, but don’t expect Mahomes to completely fall off without his #1 target.

Chargers 2022 schedule: Ranking Los Angeles’ opponents

Here’s a look at the Chargers’ opponents, ranked from easiest to most challenging to gear you up for the new season.

The Los Angeles Chargers’ schedule for the 2022 season was released on Thursday evening.

To gear you up for the new campaign, here’s a look at the Bolts’ opponents, ranked from easiest to toughest.

14. Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons are squarely in rebuild mode with Matt Ryan out of town this season. Whether Atlanta’s QB is Marcus Mariota or rookie second-rounder Desmond Ridder, the primary targets will be second-year tight end Kyle Pitts and rookie receiver Drake London. LA should have enough firepower in the secondary to handle both. On the ground, the Falcons return Cordarrelle Patterson and add fifth-rounder Tyler Allgeier. But with an offensive line identical to 2021’s, don’t expect Atlanta’s ground game to be much better than 31st by DVOA, as they were a season ago.

On defense, the Falcons will rely on rookies Arnold Ebiketie and DeAngelo Malone and veteran Lorenzo Carter to generate pressure on Justin Herbert. It’s a marginal improvement over their group last season, but shouldn’t be too difficult of an assignment for the new-look Chargers offensive line. Grady Jarrett will still wreak havoc on the interior, but LA now has proficient players at all three spots to avoid bad matchups. Former Charger Casey Hayward teams up with AJ Terrell as Atlanta’s primary corner duo.

13. Jacksonville Jaguars

Year 2 of the Trevor Lawrence experience should be a smoother one for Jacksonville with Doug Pederson at the helm, but this is still a young, rebuilding team. James Robinson and Travis Etienne return from injuries in the backfield, but time will tell how effective they are, especially if the matchup comes early in the season. Jacksonville paid big money for Christian Kirk and Zay Jones to renovate the WR corps, while Evan Engram is the newest member of the TE room. The offensive line is in flux, especially at center, where the Jags cut veteran Brandon Linder and replaced him with rookie Luke Fortner.

No. 1 overall pick Travon Walker and fourth-year  Josh Allen are a formidable pass-rushing duo if Walker gets up to speed quickly. The linebacker trio of Foyesade Oluokun, Devin Lloyd, and Chad Muma is brand new but talented and could cause some problems if they gel from the get-go. Darious Williams was a frequent appearance on Chargers fans’ wishlists before the team signed JC Jackson, and now he pairs with Shaquill Griffin at corner. Jacksonville is not devoid of talent like they were when the Chargers last faced them in 2020, but it’s a young and inexperienced team that shouldn’t cause too many problems.

12. Seattle Seahawks

It feels weird to put the Seahawks this low considering how consistent of a fixture they’ve been in the NFC playoff hunt, but this is a team that is committed to a remodel after trading Russell Wilson to Denver. In return, they received presumed starter Drew Lock, who is 3-2 against LA in his career despite throwing 5 interceptions in those contests. The Chargers’ new-look run defense will be tested against the likes of Rashaad Penny, Kenneth Walker III, and Chris Carson (health pending), while JC Jackson and Asante Samuel Jr. will go up against DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.

It’ll be Uchenna Nwosu’s first chance at revenge when Seattle faces LA, as he and Darrell Taylor should be the starting pass rushers for the Seahawks. Jordyn Brooks is the new headman in the linebacker room after Bobby Wagner’s release, while Jamal Adams and Quandre Diggs form a relatively strong safety combination. Corner opposite Sidney Jones will be a question mark, with a camp battle between young guns Tre Brown, Coby Bryant, and Tariq Woolen likely inbound.

11. Houston Texans

You’d think that the Texans should be lower than this, but that would be underestimating them the same way LA did last season when they lost a key game to Houston 41-29 on the day after Christmas. In that game, Rex Burkhead ran for a career-high 149 yards and 2 TDs despite the Texans ending the season with the worst rush DVOA in the league. Houston has since added former Colt Marlon Mack and rookie Dameon Pierce as additional backfield options.

On the bright side, the Chargers were missing more than a dozen players due to COVID protocols when they played Houston last. That list included Joey Bosa, Austin Ekeler, Mike Williams, and Corey Linsley, all of whom return and will play starring roles for LA this season. At full strength, this game shouldn’t really be a contest. But Justin Herbert did throw two interceptions, including a fourth-quarter pick-six in the game last season. Don’t underestimate Houston’s ability to play spoiler again.

10. Miami Dolphins

The speed of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle will be a lot to handle for this Chargers defense, but take solace in the fact that speed seemed to be a point of emphasis when targeting this year’s crop of rookie DBs. Third-round pick JT Woods ran a 4.36 40-yard dash at the combine, for example. As long as LA can keep everything in front of them, don’t be overly concerned about the passing attack, which also enters a make-or-break year with Tua Tagovailoa at the controls. Chase Edmonds and Raheem Mostert in Mike McDaniel’s run system should elevate the Dolphins from 29th in run DVOA in 2021, a score that will also be aided by the addition of left tackle Terron Armstead.

Miami has one of the better corner tandems in the league with Xavien Howard and Byron Jones, with do-it-all safety Jevon Holland also primed for a breakout season in year two. Defensively, the schemes should be a little bit easier to decipher with Brian Flores gone, but still expect Miami to try to pull the wool over LA’s eyes more often than not. Up front, Emmanuel Ogbah and Jaelan Phillips will be the primary pass rushers as the Dolphins compete for a playoff spot.

9. Indianapolis Colts

Ultimately, a matchup with Indianapolis will likely come down to how well the Chargers can limit Jonathan Taylor, last year’s first-team All-Pro selection at running back. LA hasn’t played the Colts since 2019, so there are no data points to go off of regarding Taylor, who could very well shred his way to 150+ yards. Through the air, the Matt Ryan-Michael Pittman Jr. connection will be the primary focus. Expect JC Jackson to keep tabs on Pittman for the duration of the contest.

Questions at corner abound for Indy, who will start veteran Stephon Gilmore on one side and top slot option Kenny Moore II inside. The other outside spot is a giant question mark after trading Rock Ya-Sin for edge rusher Yannick Ngakoue, which should be a weak point the Chargers can take advantage of.

8. Tennessee Titans

Much like Indianapolis, the game with Tennessee will hinge on LA’s ability to limit All-World RB Derrick Henry. Unlike Taylor, we have two previous games to go off of with Henry, who logged 12 carries for 33 yards in 2018 and 22 carries for 90 yards in 2019. Henry has always been the football equivalent of a volume shooter – the longer the game goes on, the better he gets; the longer the season goes on, the better he gets. If Tennessee is an early matchup, the Chargers’ chances should go up, especially with Henry coming off of injury. But don’t hand-wave Ryan Tannehill away, especially with Robert Woods and rookie Treylon Burks now in the fold.

Defensively, Tennessee will undoubtedly be looking for more from their young corner duo of Caleb Farley and Kristian Fulton, who played only two games together in 2021. A pass-rushing duo of Harold Landry and Bud Dupree could also make waves if both players are on their game. Free safety Kevin Byard remains one of the league’s best as well. Expect this to be a close game, much like the 23-20 Titans victory back in 2019.

7. San Francisco 49ers

Despite questions at quarterback and about the future of Deebo Samuel, don’t forget that this is a team that made the NFC Championship a season ago. The biggest departure from that roster has been Laken Tomlinson, and that hole at left guard remains unfilled as of today. The biggest variable will be whether it’s Jimmy Garoppolo or Trey Lance at quarterback. If it’s Garoppolo, it’ll be more dinking and dunking, so expect the emphasis on the Chargers’ end to be on limiting yards after the catch. If it’s Lance, more big-play options will be available, but disguising coverages and preying on his aggressiveness will be the game plan.

On defense, it’s a formidable line with Dee Ford, Javon Kinlaw, Arik Armstead, and Nick Bosa, which means whoever starts at right tackle will have to have a sterling performance to keep Herbert clean. With enough time to throw, it’s a theoretically exploitable secondary. On the ground, keeping Fred Warner away from the play will be the biggest key to spring Austin Ekeler free.

6. Cleveland Browns

This really comes down to whether or not Deshaun Watson is going to play, as the league still hasn’t decided on a possible suspension stemming from the ongoing civil lawsuits against him. With Watson, the Browns are a formidable offense. Amari Cooper is among the league’s best, Donovan Peoples-Jones has improved in every season, and tight end David Njoku is a solid option over the middle. A tackle duo of Jedrick Wills and Jack Conklin will give Joey Bosa and Khalil Mack one of their tougher games of the season. Of course, there’s also the RB room, led by Nick Chubb with Kareem Hunt and D’Ernest Johnson waiting in the wings. Stopping such a potent attack will be necessary regardless of Watson’s status, but it’ll be the overwhelming priority if someone else is taking snaps.

Expect Myles Garrett to line up over right tackle, no matter who wins the job for the Chargers. The interior of the defensive line is the Browns’ weakest point, so perhaps this game will have to include a heavy dose of Austin Ekeler and Isaiah Spiller. With Denzel Ward and Greg Newsome holding things down at corner, Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah lurking, and Grant Delpit over the top, the Browns are also one of the few teams with the defensive firepower to match up with LA’s weapons in the passing game.

5. Las Vegas Raiders

Yes, this is the first divisional opponent on the list, and no, this doesn’t mean the Raiders will be an easy out. Adding Davante Adams gives Derek Carr one of the best receiving trios in football between Adams, Darren Waller, and slot receiver Hunter Renfrow. Josh Jacobs will continue to pose problems to LA as long as he can stay healthy. Defensively, Vegas adds Chandler Jones, who is on the decline but still remains a formidable player off the edge opposite of Maxx Crosby. Rock Ya-Sin helps prop up a cornerback group that struggled last season as well.

Then, of course, there’s the atmosphere. Everyone knows that SoFi Stadium will host its fair share of Raider fans when LA gets their yearly home game, and the crowd will only get more raucous when the series heads to Vegas. This is a team that split their series with LA last season, knocked them out of the playoff race, and seems to have only gotten better on paper. I’m going to project another split this year.

4. Arizona Cardinals

This game will come after DeAndre Hopkins’ six-game suspension is up, which makes it more challenging. Marquise Brown adds the true speed threat that the Cardinals lost when Christian Kirk signed with the Jaguars. Rondale Moore had a productive season out of the slot as a rookie, Zach Ertz was rock-solid as always after being acquired midseason, AJ Green is still dangerous in the right circumstances, and second-round rookie Trey McBride will find his way onto the field sooner than later.

On paper, Justin Herbert should have a bit more time to throw against the Cardinals than in some of these other matchups. JJ Watt is still a threat, but the pass-rush production outside of him will have to come from a veteran stepping up, like Dennis Gardeck, or from a rookie outpacing their draft slot, like Myjai Sanders or Cameron Thomas. Byron Murphy will spend most of his time in the slot, which leaves both boundaries relatively exposed. Second-year Marco Wilson and NFL returnee Jeff Gladney seem like the favorites to take those roles.

3. Denver Broncos

Russell Wilson with a full complement of weapons from the 2021 Broncos season will be a sight to behold, assuming that Jerry Jeudy doesn’t face too many consequences for his recent arrest. If there’s anywhere to point to as a weakness for Denver, it’s the offensive line, where center and right tackle have been pain points in recent seasons. Getting aggressive with blitz packages while keeping Wilson contained will be key.

Defensively, Denver adds Randy Gregory and DJ Jones to replace Von Miller and Shelby Harris, meaning that the front line will remain stout as ever. Linebacker is the big hole – don’t be surprised if Ekeler replicates the 6 catches for 68 yards and a TD he had in November. The secondary of Pat Surtain II, Justin Simmons, Kareem Jackson, and Ronald Darby is a formidable one, but Herbert has been able to navigate it with relative success in years past.

Ultimately, the series will come down to health. Both Denver and LA have stars with checkered injury histories, and whoever comes into their games healthier will have the upper hand.

2. Kansas City Chiefs

We’ll see how much firepower the Chiefs are truly losing by replacing Tyreek Hill with JuJu Smith-Schuster, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, and rookie Skyy Moore. While in a vacuum, none of those players are capable of being Tyreek, the sheer numbers game of it does pose a similar threat as in years past, when you could live with leaving the likes of Demarcus Robinson or Byron Pringle open. Everything else about Kansas City’s offense remains mostly the same, although they did add Ronald Jones to push Clyde Edwards-Helaire in the backfield.

The biggest changes on defense are both rookies: pass rusher George Karlaftis and cornerback Trent McDuffie, the latter of whom was a favorite in Chargers mock drafts this winter. Karlaftis gives Kansas City a legit option across from Frank Clark, while a corner tandem of McDuffie and L’Jarius Sneed should help mask some of the issues from a season ago. Expect Leo Chenal to also push for playing time at linebacker over Jermaine Carter. Tyrann Mathieu has been replaced by Justin Reid, which I view as an upgrade despite the Honey Badger’s name-brand recognition.

1. Los Angeles Rams

How can the Super Bowl champs not be the toughest matchup on the schedule? For one, the team hasn’t lost a ton of contributors. Andrew Whitworth has retired, but Joe Noteboom should slide over from guard and maintain a capable presence. Sebastian Joseph-Day crossed enemy lines to become a Charger, but his injury last season gave way for a Greg Gaines breakout at nose tackle. Darious Williams got big money, so the Rams flipped a late-round pick to get Troy Hill back from the Browns. You still have to deal with Matthew Stafford, who by the way adds Allen Robinson to his list of receivers, and you still have to deal with Aaron Donald, who by the way gets to clear space for 6-time All-Pro Bobby Wagner at linebacker.

Second, it’s the battle for LA. Rams fans will pack SoFi Stadium. Under those primetime lights, with that pressure, against this team, I think it’s fair to say a matchup with the Rams will be the toughest one of the season for the Chargers.

Chargers win Twitter ahead of NFL schedule release day

The Los Angeles Chargers have the best social media team.

The Chargers are big winners of social media thanks to a phenomenal series of tweets on Wednesday.

We will find out when and where Los Angeles will be playing on Thursday evening.

But prior to the schedule release, the Bolts’ social media crew poked fun by creating a thread, comparing their future opponents to different flavors of Pop Tarts, normal and abnormal flavors.

Let’s take a look:

Falcons

Bills

Panthers

Bengals

Broncos

Jaguars

Chiefs

Raiders

Dolphins

Patriots

Saints

Jets

Buccaneers