Tag: Cardinals Red Sox odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The St. Louis Cardinals (15-25) finish their 6-game road trip and a 3-game series at the Boston Red Sox (22-18) on Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch from Fenway Park is at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 2-0

After a sad start to their season the Cardinals have won 5 of their last 6 games while the Red Sox have lost 4 of 5. Saturday’s game showed off the opposite streaks the Red Sox and Cardinals are on.

Down 3-1 in the 9th inning, the Cardinals rallied for 3 runs as Kenley Jansen blew a ninth-inning lead for the 2nd straight day. SS Kiké Hernández threw away a potential game-ending double play as the Cardinals won 4-3 and look to sweep the Red Sox on Sunday.

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Cardinals at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Miles Mikolas vs. RHP Corey Kluber

Mikolas (1-1, 5.40 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.65 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 41 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No decision, 4 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 B, 7 K in 3-1 win at the Chicago Cubs on Monday
• Has .274 opponent BA in road starts vs .370 average at home

Kluber (2-4, 6.29 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 34 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 7-4 victory at the Philadelphia Phillies May 6
• First batters of the game vs. Kluber have a collective 1.57 OPS. The remaining leadoff hitters have just a .849 OPS

Cardinals at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:23 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+125) | Red Sox +1.5 (-155)
• Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Cardinals at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 8, Red Sox 5

Moneyline

The Red Sox are 0-7 in their last 7 interleague games. And the last 2 times Boston was a game away from being swept, they got swept.

BET CARDINALS -120.

Run line/Against the spread

After a loss, Boston is 7-10 ATS season and while St. Louis hasn’t been great, it covers more often than not (11-10) on the road. The Cardinals have scored 12 runs in the 2 games and, if you like the Cardinals to win, you should like them to win by multiple runs.

BET CARDINALS -1.5 (+125).

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Over/Under

Trends point toward the Over. Boston leads MLB in Overs at 26-13-1 (66.7%). The Over is 10-4 for the Cardinals in interleague games this season.

The books expect a high-scoring game and while 10.5 is well above the average total line, I’m siding with the house.

LEAN OVER 10.5 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (13-25) and Boston Red Sox (22-16) open a 3-game set at Fenway Park Friday. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting between the teams who met in the 2013 World Series; the Red Sox won 2-1 in 2022

After snapping an 8-game losing streak, the Cardinals won 3 in a row before falling 10-4 to the Chicago Cubs Wednesday. The Cards offense has been OK at 11th with 4.56 runs/9 and 9th with a .258 BA. It’s their pitching that has been atrocious at 24th in baseball with a 5.40 ERA from the starters. They are just 6-14 in the last 20 games, but remain just 8 games out in a weak NL Central.

The Red Sox have picked it up of late, winners of 8 of the last 10 games. They’re led by an offense ranked 3rd (5.80) in runs/9, 4th (.269) in BA and 3rd (.789) in OPS. Their starting pitching has been bad, too, ranking 28th with a 6.01 ERA.

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Cardinals at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Adam Wainwright vs. LHP James Paxton

Wainwright (0-0, 7.20 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 5 innings.

• Last start Saturday vs. Detroit Tigers: 5 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K; only allowed 2 H and 0 ER in 1st 4 IP, but faltered in the 5th.
• Last start vs. Red Sox June 17: 6 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K

Paxton (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 1st start due to a hamstring injury. He has pitched just 21 2/3 IP since 2019 due to injuries with a 6.65 ERA.

• Was 2-3 with a 6.23 ERA in 6 games (5 starts) at Triple-A Worchester with a 1.57 WHIP and 26 K in 21 2/3 IP
• Last start vs. Cardinals came in 2016: 5 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 7 K

Cardinals at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:38 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Red Sox -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-180) | Red Sox -1.5 (+150)
• Over/Under (O/U): 11 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Cardinals at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 7, Cardinals 5

Moneyline

Boston has had St. Louis’ number in the minimal sample size, winning 2 of 3 last year and sweeping a 4-game series in 2017. They are similar teams, but Boston is doing it better with bad starting pitching, and the Red Sox have a better bullpen at 8th with a 3.42 ERA vs. St. Louis’ 16th-ranked pen at 3.88. The Red Sox are 13-7 at home.

Take the RED SOX (-120) at an undervalued number.

Run line/Against the spread

Boston is 22-16 on the RL and 11-9 at home. Six of their last 8 wins have been by multiple runs, and the fact they’re using a pitcher making his 1st start of the year doesn’t scare me away. St. Louis is 3-5 against lefties as well.

Take the RED SOX -1.5 (+150).

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Over/Under

It’s slated to be 77 degrees with an 8-mph wind blowing out to right-center. The Over is 5-0 in the Cardinals’ last 5 following a loss and in their last 5 interleague games. The Over is 4-0 in the Red Sox’s last 4 home games and home games against a righty.

Take the OVER 11 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Ryan Dodson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

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