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The Cal Golden Bears (3-2, 0-2 ACC) meet the 24th-ranked Pitt Panthers (4-1, 1-1) Saturday at the Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh. Kickoff in the ACC game is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Cal vs. Pitt odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Golden Bears are coming off an excruciatingly painful loss to 6th-ranked Miami last week. Cal was up 35-10, but Miami rallied for the 39-38 win. There was controversy, as QB Fernando Mendoza appeared to be hit in the helmet late in the game, but no targeting was called. A 1st down on that penalty would have helped Cal salt the game away for a 38-32 win.
Mendoza was sharp with 285 passing yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT, while star RB Jaydn Ott struggled with 7 rushes for 2 yards and a score, but he did have 3 receptions for 75 yards and another TD.
The Panthers are a surprising 5-0 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) through 5 outings. Pitt is coming off a 34-24 road win over North Carolina as a 2.5-point favorite as the Under (62.5) cashed. The Over is 3-0 in 3 home games, and the Under is 2-0 in 2 road contests.
Cal is 1-1 SU/ATS in 2 road contests, while cashing the Under in both of its forays onto the road.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Cal at Pitt odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 12:42 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cal +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Pitt -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Cal +3 (-105) | Pitt -3 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 58.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Cal at Pitt picks and predictions
Prediction
Pitt 31, Cal 26
Moneyline
PITT (-155) isn’t a bad play as a moderate favorite if you’re really conservative, and just want to pick a winner straight up.
Personally, it’s not my favorite play, as laying 3 or fewer points isn’t a big deal. Unless you’re convinced Pitt will win, but only by 1 or 2 points, just look to the spread instead.
Against the spread
PITT -3 (-115) is a much more economical play laying the little bit of points. Pitt is 5-0 ATS, so there isn’t much reason not to like it.
Cal +3 (-105) is coming off a horrendous collapse, and the disappointment of not getting what appeared to be a clear targeting call. Now, it must travel cross-country to face an unbeaten team. The last time it flew east of the Mississippi, it had a lackluster 14-9 loss to Florida State, which is still the only game the Seminoles have won to date.
Over/Under
UNDER 58.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.
Last week the Golden Bears were involved in a shootout, but that’s a bit of an anomaly. Cal cashed Under in the 1st 4 games, allowing 14 or fewer points in each of those contests.
For Pitt, the Over is 3-0 in 3 home games, but 2 of those games are against FCS Youngstown State and a terrible winless Kent State team. The Panthers won’t have nearly the same kind of offensive success against a sturdy Golden Bears D.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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