Alex’s best bet: Buffalo Bills at New York Jets prediction

SportsbookWire.com’s Alex White likes a side in the Buffalo Bills-New York Jets Week 6 Monday Night Football game.

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Alex White of SportsbookWire.com set her focus on the Monday Night Football game featuring the Buffalo Bills (3-2) at the New York Jets (2-3).

It’s Josh Allen vs. Aaron Rodgers. Kickoff from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, is slated for 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN).

Both teams are looking to turn things around — as they battle for 1st place in the AFC East.

The Bills are on a 2-game skid after starting the season 3-0.

The Jets fired coach Robert Saleh Tuesday, claiming disappointment in the direction the team appeared headed. New York is also on a 2-game slide.

Will the Jets respond in front of the home crowd against the 4-time defending AFC East champs?

The Bills are favored by 1 point (-110), per BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds as of Sunday at 10:18 p.m. ET — the line was 2.5 points earlier in the day.

Listen below to why Alex is on this play.


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Make sure to catch Alex on Sports By the Book Saturday 11 a.m.-noon ET, and Sunday through Wednesday noon-1 p.m. ET, and on Punch Lines every Monday and Wednesday 3 p.m.-4 p.m. ET — live from the South Point Sportsbook in Las Vegas. Follow @alexwhitee on Twitter/X.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

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Buffalo Bills at New York Jets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Buffalo Bills at New York Jets odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Buffalo Bills make the trip down to East Rutherford, N.J., on Monday to take on the New York Jets in the final game of Week 1. Kickoff at MetLife Stadium is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. E.T. (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Bills vs. Jets odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

New York has its sights set on the playoffs and beyond after making a huge splash in the offseason with multiple free agency signings. Aside from having last season’s offensive and defensive rookies of the year, the Jets traded for  legendary QB Aaron Rodgers and struck gold with the late free-agent addition of pro bowl RB Dalvin Cook to pair with dynamic Breece Hall in the backfield.

The Bills look to connect the dots with a comparable roster to the squad that’s led them to 3 consecutive AFC East crowns since 2020. An offense led by QB Josh Allen will continue to rely on his chemistry with premier WR Stefon Diggs. Buffalo will need to limit the giveaways and find that dynamic X-factor they can consistently rely on to push them over the top.

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Bills at Jets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 9:43 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bills -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Jets +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bills -1.5 (-110) | Jets +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bills at Jets key injuries

Bills

  • LB Von Miller (knee) PUP-R

Jets

  • Breece Hall (knee) Questionable

Bills at Jets picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 27, Jets 20

Moneyline

The feeling around the Bills is they have all the pieces they need to win. Look for them to come out with a chip on their shoulder to start their 2023 campaign against the new-look Jets. WR Garrett Wilson and the rest of the Jets offense will do their best to avoid growing pains with Rodgers, but it’s quite inevitable. Look for the BILLS (-130) to force the Jets to play from behind all night.

Against the spread

BILLS -1.5 (-110) is a better play unless you think Buffalois only to win by a point. The Jets young, athletic defense led by DBs Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed, have extremely bright futures ahead of them, but expect to see them out on the field a bit more than they would like.

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Over/Under

Over 45.5 (-110) is probably the right play here. Look for Rodgers to salvage some nice stats once the Jets fall behind. However, one can never count out the Hall of Famer and the extent to which he has an impact on the overall game. But I would STAY AWAY.

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Buffalo Bills at New York Jets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Buffalo Bills at New York Jets odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Buffalo Bills (6-1) travel to New Jersey to face the New York Jets (5-3) Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Bills vs. Jets odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Jets come into this game after laying an egg in a 22-17 Week 8 loss at home to the Patriots. QB Zach Wilson has not improved and with WR Corey Davis (knee injury) and Elijah Moore (sat Week 7 and played very little Week 8) missing time, the pass game has not had a chance to develop. The ground attack, once solid, has taken a hit with the season-ending injury (ACL) to rookie RB Breece Hall. The Jets traded for RB James Robinson (from Jacksonville) and if he can mesh with RB Michael Carter, New York could still have an outside chance to do some damage in the AFC.

The Bills on the other hand are the clear team to beat in the AFC. The Super Bowl favorites since the preseason, the Bills have done nothing to diminish the faith their fans should have in them.

QB Josh Allen has played at an MVP level, and he has not only a connection with WR Stefon Diggs but with WR 2 Gabriel Davis.

The defense, a worry with CB Tre’Davious White missing the beginning of the season, has been stellar as well. It leads the NFL in scoring defense (allowing 14.0 points per game) and with the offense being so good, this has led to a lot of lopsided victories. Buffalo beat the Green Bay Packers and QB Aaron Rodgers 27-17 last Sunday, but failed to cover as a 10.5-point home favorite — the loss handed Rodgers the first 4-game losing streak of his career.

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Bills at Jets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 4:17 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bills -600 (bet $600 to win $100) | Jets +440 (bet $100 to win $440)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bills -11 (-112) | Jets +11.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 46 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bills at Jets key injuries

Bills

  • OL Spencer Brown (ankle) questionable
  • LB Matt Milano (oblique) questionable
  • FS Jordan Poyer (elbow) out

Jets

  • WR Corey Davis (knee) out

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Bills at Jets picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 31, Jets 13

Moneyline

PASS. The Bills (-600) ML price is far too risky to wager on. It’s not wise to risk 6 times your potential profit.

Against the spread

BET BUFFALO -11 (-112).

The Bills have the best offense in the NFL when it comes to yards per game (430.6) — Kansas City is 2nd (403.3) — and as mentioned, the best defense in points allowed. This is not a good combination for the Jets, who are one-dimensional.

QB Wilson has not progressed and the Bills’ pass rush will eat him alive. When he can find time to throw the ball, the Bills’ White, likely to make his 2022 debut, will be there to defend any passes. This is not a good matchup for the Jets and Bills mafia will be extremely happy with the final result.

This is a mismatch all around, making BILLS -11 (-112) my FAVORITE PLAY of this game.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 46 (-110).

Both teams like to play games Under. So far this season, these teams have played 11 of their 15 combined Under games — Buffalo is 1-6 O/U, while New York is 3-5 O/U.

The only time the Bills went Over is when they put up 41 in a 41-7 victory vs. the Titans with an O/U line of 47. While the Bills score, as mentioned, they don’t give up points on defense.

QB Allen has also not been turnover prone, meaning the Jets will need to score on long drives. Something not likely to happen against this Buffalo pass rush and secondary. UNDER 46 (-110) is the play in this one.

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Buffalo Bills at New York Jets odds: Player prop bets

Analyzing Sunday’s Buffalo Bills at New York Jets odds and expert player prop predictions and best bets.

At 1 p.m. ET Sunday, the Buffalo Bills (5-3) will take on the New York Jets (2-6). The game is set to take place at MetLife Stadium, the home of the Jets. Below, we look at the Bills at Jets player props, and make our best NFL picks and predictions.

The Bills are coming into this one off a disappointing 9-6 loss to the Jags.

There was just five field goals made with no touchdowns. QB Josh Allen did not get going. There is hope on the horizon, as the Bills have won by double figures in each of the games following a loss this season.

As for the Jets, they should be getting QB Mike White back after being knocked out of the team’s prime-time throttling at the hand of the Colts.

That said, there are some player prop odds to heavily consider in this one. Let’s dive into them.

Buffalo Bills at New York Jets odds: Player prop bets

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Bills WR Stefon Diggs OVER 76.5 receiving yards (-114)

The Jets are awful at just about every defensive category when it comes to passing. They rank 29th in opponent’s completion percentage. They rank 30th in opponent’s passing yards per game.

The list goes on, but the gist is the same. With Allen looking to bounce back, Diggs should get the bulk of the action. Diggs has topped 76 yards in three games this season.

He’s topped in 3 of his last 5 as well, struggling out of the gate. He’s been in full force these past few weeks, and he should be a premier target in a pass-heavy offense going against a soft pass defense.

A + B + C = take Diggs Over prop.

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Jets RB Michael Carter UNDER 40.5 rushing yards (-108)

There are a few things that should be expected of this game. With Buffalo’s ability to bounce back and Jets returning White, New York’s run game may be forgotten.

Combine that with the fact that the Jets should be trailing most of the game, and you already have a set up not friendly for running the ball.

But, one must also keep in mind that the Bills have one of the best rush defenses in the NFL. They’re allowing the 4th fewest rushing yards per game.

Buffalo is going to be missing Tremaine Edmunds, so they’ll be short a key linebacker. Nonetheless, they should certainly be expecting to shore up their defensive line and force White to beat them.

With that in mind, fading Carter is smart. Despite having ten-plus carries in 5 straight games, he’s had under 40 yards in three of them.

Bills QB Josh Allen OVER 2.5 passing touchdowns (+146)

The Bills rank fourth in points per game and are captained by a MVP frontrunner.

On the other side of the ball, the Jets have the worst scoring defense in the league, giving up over 31 points per game. This should be a heyday for Allen.

He’s thrown 3 or more touchdowns in 3 of his last 6. Going against a defense that could allow 5 or more touchdowns in this game, Allen’s prop makes complete sense.

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Buffalo Bills at New York Jets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Buffalo at New York odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Buffalo Bills (5-3) head to MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (2-6) Sunday in Week 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Bills vs. Jets odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Bills had an off week as they lost 9-6 to the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 9, in a game that featured just five field goals. MVP candidate Josh Allen was largely invisible in what was easily his worst game of the season. He’ll look to bounce back against a susceptible Jets defense.

The Jets will be getting QB Mike White back after he was forced to leave his last start due to injury. White almost took down the Cincinnati Bengals in an impressive first start of the season.  Rookie QB Zach Wilson is listed as doubtful.

New York fell 45-30 to the Indianapolis Colts in Week 9 with QB Josh Johnson under center for most of the game in primetime after the White injury. The Jets enter Week 10 as heavy underdogs.

Bills at Jets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bills -850 (bet $850 to win $100) | New York +550 (bet $100 to win $550)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Buffalo -12.5 (-115) | New York +12.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bills at Jets key injuries

Buffalo

  • LB Tremaine Edmunds (hamstring) out
  • RB Zach Moss (concussion) questionable

New York

  • DL Shaq Lawson (hamstring) questionable
  • QB Zach Wilson (knee) doubtful
  • WR Corey Davis (hip) questionable
  • RB Tevin Coleman (hamstring) questionable
  • LG Alijah Vera-Tucker (toe) questionable

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Bills at Jets odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Buffalo 28, New York 13

Money line

PASS on the money line. There’s no reason to risk a bet on Buffalo at -850, especially since it just lost to Jacksonville. It makes no sense to back the money line here after that pitiful showing.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to BUFFALO -12.5 (-115) as Allen should bounce back in a big way Sunday.

The Bills have beaten their opponent by at least 15 in the game following each of their previous losses this season. The Jets rank 30th in opponents passing yards per game.

Without DE Carl Lawson, who they signed in the offseason and sustained a season-ending injury, the Jets pass rush just isn’t capable of putting much pressure on quarterbacks. Allen should be getting whatever he wants Sunday.

Buffalo gives up the fewest passing yards per game and the Jets and their non-existent run game will struggle to move the ball.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 47.5 (-110) as the jury is still out on White. He throttled the Bengals, but that was following a huge win for Cincinnati, a premier letdown game.

The Jets shouldn’t get much offensively against the most aggressive pass defense in the league. With Buffalo ranking first in takeaways per game and the Jets tied for last, this should be a slaughtering.

The Bills are still averaging under 30 points per game, so they’d need to eclipse their average and then get some help from New York for the total to go Over.

I don’t see that happening, especially with the Bills defense giving up just 9 points to a better Jaguars team last week.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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