Bills currently over potential 2021 salary cap floor heading into roster cuts

Buffalo Bills currently over 2021 salary cap according to Spotrac.

The Bills have made some recent roster moves and have a bunch more en route. On Saturday at 4 p.m., it’s roster cut-down day in the NFL. The Bills will trim their crew of players from 80 to the traditional 53 guys they’ll head into the 2020 regular season with.

While we have those cuts and a full 16-game schedule this year before we get into the 2021 salary cap, keeping an eye on the future is a smart play for the Bills… and anyone rooting for a football team. That’s the case each year, but especially now due to COVID-19.

Because of the ongoing pandemic, fans won’t be allowed at games in Buffalo. No where in the league is anticipating full crowds when the upcoming season starts and we might not even get any at all, period. Truthfully we don’t know what’s going to happen with butts getting into seats.

And because of that, we’ll preface the 2021 salary cap discussion with this: We also don’t know what’s going to happen with it, so don’t panic.

Earlier this offseason, it was announced that the NFL and NFLPA agreed to a salary cap “floor” of sorts for 2021. That number is $175 million, a drop from 2020’s $198.2M salary cap. Not only is that in itself a big drop, each season prior to COVID-19, the cap has only gone up and up, typically increasing about 10 percent per year.

Again, this is not set in stone, but the Bills currently are not in a pretty position if this $175M figure holds. According to Spotrac, the Bills’ current forecast 2021 salary number is currently $6.4M over that floor.

While perhaps alarming, we’re here to tell you to not get overly worked up over this just yet.

As mentioned, the Bills are going to finish trimming their roster this week. This number from Spotrac is the team’s projected salary cap figure with their top-51 cap hits. That alone could change in the coming days.

But there’s many moving factors here such as potential salary cap space that’s carried over, how much revenue is generated from fans getting in venues throughout the season causing that $175M number to increase, and more.

Again, $175M is only the lowest it could possibly go. There’s a chance… probably a good one…  that this number increases.

And there’s little reason to worry because the Bills are not even close to being in the worst case scenario if this unfolds. In this 2021 ranking, the Bills are one of at least 10 teams in the NFL projected to currently be over next year’s cap floor of $175M. Some of the teams that have much bleaker outlooks are the Eagles and Saints, who are put at $90.1M and $77.8M over the 2021 floor, respectively, per Spotrac.

It could be worse for the Bills, but this simply just shows that the team and players such as linebacker Matt Milano and cornerback Tre’Davious White, who are looking to be locked up to extensions, just have to kind of… wait things out. At least Dion Dawkins got his.

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The 15 most expensive Bills against 2020 cap after free agency

15 largest salary cap hits for Buffalo Bills following 2020 free agency.

The Buffalo Bills came out swinging when free agency opened earlier this month.

There were naturally new additions via free agency additions. But Buffalo general manager Brandon Beane didn’t stop there. Buffalo traded for Stefon Diggs and re-signed a few of their own players.

After all those moves, the Bills have the 12th most space still remaining in the NFL in terms of their salary cap. But several of these new acquisitions now sit amongst the highest-cap hits for the Bills moving forward.

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Here’s a quick look at how the Bills’ top-15 salary cap hits currently sits:

Buffalo Bills center Mitch Morse. (AP Photo/Ron Schwane)

1. OL Mitch Morse (age: 27) – $11.625M salary cap hit

 

Vikings wide receiver Stefon Diggs/ Credit: Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

2. WR Stefon Diggs (age: 26) – $11.5M salary cap hit

 

Panthers linebacker Mario Addison. Credit: Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports

3. DE Mario Addison (age: 32) – $9.969M salary cap hit

 

Bills defensive end Trent Murphy. Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

4. DE Trent Murphy (age: 29) – $9.775M salary cap hit

 

Bills wide receiver John Brown. Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

5. WR John Brown (age 29) – $9.719M salary cap hit

 

9 takeaways from Bills’ Brandon Beane at the NFL Combine

Nine takeaways from Buffalo Bills general manager Brandon Beane at the 2020 NFL Combine.

The 2020 NFL Scouting Combine is underway from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. Among those representing the Buffalo Bills at the yearly prospect event are general manager Brandon Beane and head coach Sean McDermott.

The front office duo spoke to reporters on Tuesday and discussed a variety of topics in regard to their organization.

Here are nine takeaways from Beane at the combine:

Buffalo Bills general manager Brandon Beane. (AP Photo/Darron Cummings)

Extending players with term left on contract

The Bills have the third-most salary cap space heading into the offseason. It’s a big topic of discussion. If the Bills really want to sling some dollars and bring in the big fish, they certainly can do so.

But there’s an underlying factor at play. The Bills have several young players still on their rookie contracts, who are key members of the team, that will need extensions in a year or two. Among those entering the final year of their contracts are linebacker Matt Milano, offensive lineman Dion Dawkins, and cornerback Tre’Davious White, however, White does have a fifth-year option on his deal as a former first-round pick.

With those three in mind, Beane said the negotiations for extensions probably won’t come until later this offseason just because of his schedule. Free agency opens in March and then the NFL Draft is in April.

“It can vary,” Beane said. “The way it’s worked out, I think I’ve done more [of those types of deals] after the draft.”

“There’s just so much more going on from when the season ends, through the draft, through free agency, it’s hard to slow down and focus on guys you already have under contract,” Beane added.

Although, Beane did admit he “would not be hesitant to do a deal now if it made sense.” Players Beane has extended after the draft include Jerry Hughes, Stephen Hauschka and Eric Wood.

4 Bills players who could be offseason cap casualties

In addition, the Bills could create some cap space by releasing some players in the offseason. Here are four Buffalo players who could be cap casualties this year. 

The Buffalo Bills have approximately $80 million in cap space heading into the 2020 offseason, according to Spotrac. While that seems like a good chunk of change, there are various considerations that Buffalo’s brass will consider before spending that dough.

Buffalo’s front office has done a tremendous job of putting the Bills in a great fiscal situation. But with players such as Josh Allen, Tre’Davious White, Matt Milano, and Tremaine Edmunds due for contract extensions in the near future, the team will be conscientious with their unrestricted free agent spending this spring.

In addition, the Bills could create some cap space by releasing some players in the offseason.

Here are four Bills players who could be among those cap causalities this offseason:

TE Tyler Kroft

Buffalo Bills tight end Tyler Kroft. Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
2020 Cap Hit: $6,412,500
2020: Dead money: $1,600,000

Tight end Tyler Kroft missed part of his first season in Buffalo with a foot injury. When he returned to the lineup after the injury seemed to linger on for a while, he lost snaps to rookie Dawson Knox. In 11 games, Kroft caught six passes for 71 yards and one touchdown reception.

The tight end room is a bit crowded for the Bills too, as Kroft, along with Knox, Lee Smith, Tommy Sweeney are under contract for next year. Jason Croom is an ERFA, so the Bills will probably hold onto his rights in the offseason as a training camp body, at least. With the Bills reported interest in former Panthers tight end Greg Olsen, there might be limited space for Kroft.