Brighton (18 wins, 11 losses, 7 draws) welcomes Manchester City (28-4-4) to American Express Community Stadium Wednesday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brighton vs. Manchester City odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.
Brighton is a far different side than it was last season. It is averaging 1.94 goals per game, having scored 70 this season. It has a strong 10-5-3 record at home as well. Last season, it was known for its defense, but it has had 5 players score at least 7 goals this season, led by 10 from M Alexis Mac Allister. Brighton sits 6th on the EPL table with 2 games remaining.
City has already clinched the league title with Arsenal’s loss to Nottingham last weekend. City is a strong 11-3-3 on the road, and it is led by F Erling Haaland, who has scored 36 goals in 34 matches. It will end its season with Brentford before taking on Man U and then Inter in the FA Cup final and Champions League final respectively.
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Brighton vs. Manchester City odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:02 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Brighton +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Manchester City -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Draw +300
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +120 | U: -165)
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Brighton vs. Manchester City picks and predictions
Prediction
Brighton 2, Manchester City 2
Moneyline (ML)
SPRINKLE DRAW (+300).
Simply put, Brighton is still fighting for a Europa League spot while City doesn’t have much to play for and should be resting its players to be prepared for more important matches in early June. That’s not to say that its talent, even with some 2nd-stringers, isn’t among the best in the EPL, but the urgency may not be there.
Brighton has won 4 of its last 6 matrches while City hasn’t even drawn a league match since Feb. 18. With both teams playing well, back a DRAW (+300) given the value.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 3.5 (+120).
As noted above, Brighton’s attack has been lethal and diverse. It has gone Over in 3 of its last 4 matches and has allowed 10 goals in its last 4 games as well. It is allowing 1.39 goals per game which won’t bode well against a top-tier City attack.
City has gone Over this in 4 of its last 9. It has scored 3 or more goals in 6 of its last 9 as well. City is averaging 2.58 goals per game. With D Nathan Ake doubtful, its defense may not be as formidable. Ultimately, back the OVER 3.5 (+120).
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