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Brighton (11 wins, 11 draws, 10 losses) welcome Man City (22-7-3) to Falmer Stadium Thursday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brighton vs. Man City odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.
Brighton has been strong at home this season, winning or drawing in 13 of 15 matches, going 7-6-2. On the season, Brighton has tallied 52 goals for and 50 against. They are led in scoring by F Joao Pedro, who has notched 8 goals and 2 assists in 26 games. Brighton, which is 11th in the EPL standings, has won just 1 of its last 7 matches and is 1-3-3 over that span. They are coming off a 1-1 road draw with Burnley.
City has had a chaotic last few weeks, having taken on Real Madrid twice in that span. With its home loss to Madrid on Wednesday, City was eliminated from the UEFA Champions League. They then beat Chelsea 1-0 in the FA Cup semifinals Saturday. City has played 7 games since March 31. They sit 3rd in the EPL in points, but atop the league in points per game. City is led by F Erling Haaland, who has tallied 20 goals in 26 matches.
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Brighton vs. Man City odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:44 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Brighton +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | Man City -270 (bet $270 to win $100) | Draw +420 (bet $100 to win $420)
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +118 | U: -144)
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Brighton vs. Man City picks and predictions
Prediction
Man City 3, Brighton 1
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
City has dominated lesser-quality opponents. They haven’t lost or drawn to an opponent outside of the top 9 teams in the league since a 2-2 draw with Crystal Palace on Dec. 16, 2023.
City has continued to dominate the EPL because of their consistently, and they should again show that Thursday. At -270, there’s no value in backing the favorite from a betting perspective.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 3.5 (+118).
City has tallied 13 goals in their last 3 EPL matches combined. They have gone north of even 4.5 combined goals in each of those matches, totaling 3.4 or more expected goals in 2 of the 3. City has scored 3 or more in 7 of their last 13 matches. They have a clean sheet in just 3 of those as well.
Brighton’s defense is going to allow chances, and they give up 1.50 goals per game already. Mix in the best attack in the league, and this game will be primed for goals. Brighton has a strong attack themselves and has tallied 14 goals in their last 10 matches. They have scored in all but 7 matches and should be able to get on the board.
Considering the strengths for both sides, back OVER 3.5 (+124).
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