The Atlanta Braves (12-4) take a 6-game winning streak to California as they open a 3-game series on Monday against the San Diego Padres (8-9). First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET at Petcao Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 3-1
The Braves opened their 6-game road trip with a 3-game sweep of the Kansas City Royals which followed a 3-game sweep at home of the Cincinnati Reds.
The Padres are coming off a home series loss to the Milwaukee Brewers. They lost 3 of 4 games, including 1-0 on Sunday.
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Braves at Padres projected starters
LHP Max Fried vs. LHP Ryan Weathers
Fried (0-0, 2.71 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 0 BB and 2 K in 3 1/3 IP.
- Returns after missing a start with a hamstring strain
- 2-0 with 2.05 ERA in 3 career starts vs. Padres
Weathers (1-0, 2.70 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 3 BB and 5 K in 10 IP.
- Padres 2-0 in his 2 starts this season
- Making 1st career start against Braves
Braves at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:02 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Padres +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braaves -1.5 (+110) | Padres +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Braves at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 4, Braves 3
Moneyline
Weathers has been very sharp so far this season with Padres winning both his previous starts. The Braves have the better bullpen (2.95 ERA vs. Padres’ 3.62 bullpen ERA) but expect the Padres’ offense to bounce back a little after getting shut out on Sunday.
The Padres scored 4 or more runs in all 4 games in Atlanta earlier this season.
BET PADRES (+125).
Run line/Against the spread
The Braves are 7-9 ATS overall this season and 5-9 ATS as favorites. The Padres are 8-9 ATS. The Padres are 5-1 ATS this season as underdogs. Four of those wins are outright.
I like the Padres to cover, but also to win outright and the monelyline bet is a much better value than the run line.
PASS.
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Over/Under
Three of the 4 games between the 2 teams in Atlanta had totals of 9 or more. The Braves have had 7 straight games with totals of 9 or more while 5 of the last 7 for the Padres have had fewer than 9 runs.
Expecting the starters to be effective and both bullpens pitching well to start the season, BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).
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