Tag: Braves Diamondbacks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Atlanta Braves (51-40) and Arizona Diamondbacks (46-47) wrap up a 4-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 5-1

The Braves lost 7-5 on Wednesday to halt their 4-game winning streak. Diamondbacks SS Geraldo Perdomo was the offensive hero, going 3-for-3 with a pair of doubles, 2 runs scored and an RBI.

The Diamondbacks’ offense has been on fire lately, going for 6.8 runs per game across the previous 10 outings. The Over is 2-0-1 in this series, and 8-0-1 across the past 9 games for Arizona. The total has gone high at a 12-2-1 clip in the previous 15 contests, too.

LHP Max Fried takes the ball for the Braves. He allowed 8 runs in just 4 1/3 IP in a wild 9-8 home win opposite RHP Brandon Pfaadt and the Diamondbacks on April 6 as the Over easily cashed.

Pfaadt rolled his ankle in his most recent start, but manager Torey Lovullo confirmed the right-hander is on track for Thursday’s outing.

Braves at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Brandon Pfaadt

Fried (7-4, 3.18 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 102 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 5 ER, 11 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 4 K in 8-6 home setback vs. Philadelphia Phillies last Friday
• 2024 road splits: 5-2, 2.90 ERA (59 IP, 19 ER), 0.93 WHIP, .174 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 19 BB, 55 K in 10 starts (1 CG)
• 2024 vs. Diamondbacks: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 8 R (7 ER), 10 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 6 K in 9-8 home win April 6
• Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1-0, 4.84 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.57 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 4 starts

Pfaadt (3-6, 4.19 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 107 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 10-8 road loss vs. San Diego Padres Friday
• 2024 home splits: 2-2, 3.47 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.16 WHIP, .242 OBA, 7 HR, 11 BB, 47 K in 8 starts
• 2024 vs. Braves: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H (1 HR), 1 BB, 7 K in 9-8 road loss April 6 in only career start vs. Braves

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:39 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -134 (bet $134 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +114 (bet $100 to win $114)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+116) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-140)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -114 | U: -106)

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Braves at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

The BRAVES (-134) are a solid play to bounce back behind the southpaw Fried. The Diamondbacks (+114) have managed a dismal 13-18 record against left-handed starting pitching.

In addition, Arizona is just 3-5 in the past 8 home games. Atlanta has posted 4 wins in the past 5 outings despite Wednesday’s setback.

Run line/Against the spread

The BRAVES -1.5 (+116) failed to get the job done in Wednesday’s game, losing outright. However, in Atlanta’s past 11 victories dating back to June 19, the Braves have won 9 times by 2 or more runs. So, if you like the Braves, you should like them to cover on the run line, too.

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Over/Under

OVER 8 (-114) is worth a look, but go lightly with a half-unit play at most.

The Over is 5-1-1 in the past 7 meetings in this series, while going 7-2-1 in the past 10 battles in since June 4, 2023. In addition, the Over has hit at a 3-0-1 clip in the past 4 meetings at Chase Field.

The Diamondbacks are also on quite the Over roll, cashing high on the total at an 8-0-1 clip in the past 9 outings.

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The Atlanta Braves (51-39) and Arizona Diamondbacks (45-47) play the 3rd contest of a 4-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network/ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 5-0

The Braves opened the series with a 5-4 victory on Monday night, and Atlanta followed that up with a dominant wire-to-wire 6-2 win Tuesday behind All-Star LHP Chris Sale. A late insurance run in the top of the 8th inning by the Braves helped flip the total (7.5) from an Under to Over.

The Diamondbacks have dropped 2 in a row, and 3 of the past 5 outings, and its pitching which has been Arizona’s undoing. The Snakes have allowed 27 runs in the past 5 games, or 5.4 runs per game (RPG), while allowing 5.6 RPG in the previous 17 outings.

Arizona has cashed the Over at a 1-0-1 pace at most shops in the 1st 2 games of this series, while the total has gone high at a 7-0-1 clip in the previous 8 outings, and 11-2-1 in the past 14 contests.

For Atlanta, the spate of higher-scoring games is against the recent trends. The Braves have still cashed the Under at an 11-3-2 pace in the past 16 outings.

Braves at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Charlie Morton vs. RHP Slade Cecconi

Morton (5-5, 3.96 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 91 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 (3 ER), 5 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 5 K in 4-2 home setback vs. San Francisco Giants last Thursday
• 2024 road splits: 2-2, 4.28 ERA (40 IP, 19 ER), 1.23 WHIP, .233 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 15 BB, 41 K in 7 starts
• Career vs. Diamondbacks: 5-3, 4.16 ERA (80 IP, 37 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 14 starts

Cecconi (2-6, 6.10 ERA) makes his 13th start and 14th appearance. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 62 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 10-8 road loss vs. San Diego Padres Friday
• 2024 home splits: 0-3, 11.65 ERA (17 IP, 22 ER), 1.88 WHIP, .360 OBA, 5 HR, 5 BB, 18 K in 4 starts
• Has never faced Braves

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:07 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -136 (bet $136 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +116 (bet $100 to win $116)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+125) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-150)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Braves at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 7, Diamondbacks 4

Moneyline

The BRAVES (-136) are a strong play to make it 3-for-3 in this series, as the Atlanta offense should keep it rolling against the erratic Cecconi and the homestanding Diamondbacks (+116).

Cecconi has been very giving, posting a 6.10 ERA overall, while producing a dismal 11.65 ERA in 4 home outings. That simply will not do against the lesser teams, let alone one of the premier teams in all of baseball.

While Morton certainly isn’t dominant, and the Snakes could push a few runs across the plate, go hard against Cecconi.

Run line/Against the spread

The BRAVES -1.5 (+125) are worth playing on the run line, if you’re a little more on the adventurous side. Don’t bet both sides, however, as we’re not looking to double dip.

Atlanta is worth backing against the erratic Cecconi, as he has been hit hard all season in his home park.

Over/Under

OVER 9 (-105) is worth backing, as a pitching matchup between Morton and Cecconi has the potential to see a double-digit run total.

The Over is 4-1-1 in the past 6 meetings in this series, and 6-2-1 in the previous 9 encounters since June 4, 2023. The Over is 2-0-1 in the past 3 battles in the desert in this series, too.

And, again, the Over is 7-0-1 in the past 8 for the Diamondbacks, while going high in Cecconi’s past 2 outings.

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The Atlanta Braves (50-39) and Arizona Diamondbacks (45-46) play the 2nd contest of a 4-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 4-0

The Braves erased a 3-1 deficit after 6 innings, rallying for 2 runs in the top of the 9th inning to force extras. Atlanta scored 2 in the top of the 11th inning to take a 5-3 lead, while Arizona was only able to notch 1 run in the bottom of the 11th to fall 5-4. The run the Diamondbacks scored ended up helping the total push.

Atlanta has won 3 in a row after going just 1-4 in the previous 5 outings, while the Under is 2-0-1 in the span. The road victory was just the 2nd in the past 5 tries away from home, too.

Braves LHP Chris Sale had his start pushed back from Monday night to Tuesday, as manager Brian Snitker wanted to keep all of his starting pitchers fresh entering the All-Star break. Sale is also scheduled to pitch Sunday against the San Diego Padres, eliminating him from the possibility of starting the All-Star Game on July 16.

Arizona lost for just the 2nd time in the past 6 games, but it was able to score at least 4 runs for the 8th consecutive outing. The Over 6-0-1 in the past 7 games, and the total has gone high at a 6-2-1 clip in the past 9 contests at home.

Braves at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Chris Sale vs. RHP Zac Gallen

Sale (11-3, 2.71 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 0.91 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 99 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 3-1 home victory vs. San Francisco Giants last Wednesday
• 2024 road splits: 3-3, 2.70 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 0.97 WHIP, .200 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 11 BB, 60 K in 7 starts
• 2024 vs. Diamondbacks: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 5-2 home victory April 7
• Career vs. Diamondbacks: 2-0, 2.53 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 3 appearances (2 starts)

Gallen (6-4, 3.06 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 67 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 9-3 road victory vs. Los Angeles Dodgers July 4
• 2024 home splits: 4-2, 1.72 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 0.95 WHIP, .202 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 9 BB, 38 K in 6 starts
• Career vs. Braves: 2-0, 2.45 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 4 starts (1 CG, SHO)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:11 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+128) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-154)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Braves at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

The BRAVES (-130) will have a rested 11-game winner in Sale, as he was pushed back a day to give him a little extra break. He gets a little tougher of a matchup, as RHP Bryce Elder was recalled to start Monday opposite the rookie RHP Yilber Diaz. Instead, Sale must now face Gallen, who has been money at home.

Still, Atlanta found a way on Monday, and it will do so again with its All-Star southpaw on the bump. The D-Backs are just 13-17 in 30 tries against a left-handed starting pitcher this season.

Run line/Against the spread

The DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-154) are a little on the pricey side if you need a little bit of insurance, but they’re not a bad play catching the run and a half.

Arizona is perfect on the run line in the past 6 games as an underdog, including 4 outright victories.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-100) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

Know that you’ll be going against the trends, as Arizona has cashed the Over at a 6-0-1 clip in the past 7 games. However, the Under is 3-1 in the past 4 starts by Gallen.

The Under is 2-0-1 in the past 3 for the Braves, and 11-2-2 in the previous 15 outings. The total has gone low in Sale’s past 2 starts, too, and it cashed in his start April 7 at home against the Snakes, too.

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The Atlanta Braves (49-39) and Arizona Diamondbacks (45-45) begin a 4-game series Monday. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 3-0

The Braves posted 2 wins over the weekend against the Philadelphia Phillies, outscoring them 11-1 in the 2 victories after dropping the series opener 8-6 Friday. The Under has cashed in the 2 wins, while going 9-1-1 in the past 11 outings.

Atlanta is just 5-8 in 13 tries against NL West opponents this season, including 0-3 on the road. However, the Braves are 3-0 in 3 meetings with the Diamondbacks, outscoring Arizona 20-15 April 5-7, with the Over going 2-1.

The Diamondbacks won 2 of 3 games as underdogs against the Padres in San Diego. Arizona outscored San Diego 24-16 in a wild 3-game series, hitting the Over in each game. In fact, Arizona has seen the total cash high in 6 in a row, and 10 of the previous 12 outings.

Braves at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Chris Sale vs. RHP Yilber Diaz

Sale (11-3, 2.71 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 0.91 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 99 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 3-1 home victory vs. San Francisco Giants Wednesday
• 2024 road splits: 3-3, 2.70 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 0.97 WHIP, .200 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 11 BB, 60 K in 7 starts
• 2024 vs. Diamondbacks: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 5-2 home victory April 7
• Career vs. Diamondbacks: 2-0, 2.53 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance

Diaz (1-3, 3.27 ERA at Triple-A Reno) will make his MLB debut. He made 4 starts for Reno where he posted a 1.23 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 22 innings. He started the season with Double-A Amarillo (11 starts, 3-5, 4.33 ERA)

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 2 BB, 13 K in 7-0 road win vs. Sacramento River Cats (Giants’ Triple-A affiliate) July 1
• 2024 road splits (2 teams): 2-3, 2.45 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.17 WHIP, .159 OBA, 1 HR, 16 BB, 38 K in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:19 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -194 (bet $194 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +162 (bet $100 to win $162)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-114) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-104)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +104 | U: -128)

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Braves at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 7, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

The Braves (-194) will cost nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s a little too risky for not nearly enough reward.

The Diamondbacks (+162) hand the ball to Diaz, who makes his major league debut. It’s a very difficult spot for a rookie, facing a top-tier offense from Atlanta.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The BRAVES -1.5 (-115) are a solid play behind Sale on the road, as the pitching scales are strongly tipped in favor of the visitors.

Atlanta has a veteran with 131 career wins in 279 starts and 359 appearances in the majors, while Arizona has a guy making his major league debut. Roll with experience.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (+104) is a good play, especially at plus-money.

The total has gone low at an 11-2-1 clip in the past 14 games for the Braves, but the Over is 4-3 in the past 7 starts for Sale. The Over also cashed in 2 of the first 3 meetings this season between the 2 sides.

For the Diamondbacks, the Over is on a 6-0 roll, while going 10-2 in the past 12 outings. With a rookie making his debut against a top-tier team, it likely isn’t going to end well for the home side.

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