Tag: Boxing betting odds lines props predictions picks best bets

Jermall Charlo vs. Juan Macias Montiel fight odds, picks and prediction

Breaking down Saturday’s title fight between Jermall Charlo and Juan Macias Montiel with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

We get a 12-round WBC middleweight title bout Saturday when Jermall Charlo and Juan Macias Montiel meet at Toyota Center in Houston. The fight will begin approximately at 10 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Charlo vs. Macias Montiel odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on Showtime.

Charlo lives in Houston, and he looks to make quick work of Montiel. He has 31 career professional bouts, with 22 of the fights ending in knockout victories.

Macias Montiel is just 3-2-1 across his past six fights. He bounced back from a draw with Hugo Centeno Jr. in December 2019 with an impressive first-round knockout of James Kirkland last December. Despite that strong win, he is still a decisive underdog Saturday.

Charlo vs. Macias Montiel: Fight odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

Jermall Charlo -3000 (bet $3,000 to win $100) | Juan Macias Montiel +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200) | Draw: +2500

Charlo has an implied win probability of 96.77% with the -3000 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 1/30 or a decimal of 1.03. A $100 bet on Macias Montiel would return a profit of $1,200 with the upset victory.

Charlos vs. Macias Montiel: Tale of the tape

Jermall Charlo (-3000)

Record: 31-0-0 (22 KOs)

Height: 6-foot-0

Reach: 73.5″

Stance: Orthodox

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Juan Macias Montiel (+1200)

Record: 22-4-2 (22 KO)

Height: 6-foot-1

Reach: 74″

Stance: Orthodox

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Charlo vs. Macias Montiel: Odds, predictions and picks

Charlo (-3000) will cost you too much to bet straight up on the 3-way line, so you’ll have to get creative. He will be looking to keep Macias Montiel at a distance, as all 22 of the challenger’s victories were via knockout.

I think Charlo gets it done in his hometown of Houston, but CHARLO ON POINTS (+400) is the way to go. It’s a tremendous value, too. He’ll be looking to avoid the big knockout blow and could be a little tentative. However, he has such an impressive skillset that he’ll wow the judges and get it done.

Charlos vs. Macias Montiel best bet

6 ROUNDS OR MORE (-120) is a good bout in the ‘Over how many rounds will the bout go?’ betting section. I think Charlo will have his hands full, so don’t expect an early finish.

If you don’t want to specify a winner, but still like the distance pick, take YES (+350): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE FULL 12 ROUNDS?

Visit Boxing Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Ibeth Zamora Silva vs. Marlen Esparza fight odds, picks and prediction

Breaking down Saturday’s flyweight title fight between Ibeth Zamora Silva and Marlen Esparza with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

We get a 10-round WBC women’s flyweight title bout Saturday when Ibeth Zamora Silva and Marlen Esparza meet at the Don Haskins Event Center in El Paso, Tex. The fight will start at approximately 4 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Zamora Silva vs. Esparza odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on (DAZN).

The 32-year-old Zamora enters on a five-bout win streak last falling April 22, 2017. This will be just her second fight outside of her native Mexico and first since March 3, 2013.

Esparza rebounded with two unanimous-decision victories after a loss at MGM Grand Nov. 2, 2019 against Seneisa Estrada. Esparza was badly cut due to an accidental headbutt in that fight.

Zamora Silva vs. Esparza: Fight odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:55 a.m. ET.

Ibeth Zamora Silva -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Marlen Esparza +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Draw: +1400

Zamora Silva has an implied win probability of 54.55% with the -120 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 5/6 or a decimal of 1.83.

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Zamora Silva vs. Esparza: Tale of the tape

Ibeth Zamora Silva (-120)

Record: 32-6-0 (12 KOs)

Height: 5’2″

Reach: 65″

Stance: Orthodox

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Marlen Esparza (+100)

Record: 9-1 (1 KO)

Height: 5’3″

Reach: 64″

Stance: Orthodox

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Zamora Silva vs. Esparza: Odds, predictions and picks

ZAMORA SILVA (-120) is the slight favorite in her United States debut, and she will show out with a decision victory in her third defense of the WBC belt. Six straight fights for Zamora Silva have ended up involving the judges, including wins in her past five fights.

Zamora Silva vs. Esparza best bet

ZAMORA SILVA ON POINTS (+110) is an even better value than just taking her to win straight up as Esparza has gone the distance in nine of her 10 pro fights.

Visit Boxing Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Shakur Stevenson vs. Jeremiah Nakathila fight odds, picks and prediction

Breaking down Saturday’s title fight between Shakur Stevenson and Jeremiah Nakathila with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

We get a 12-round WBO interim junior lightweight title bout Saturday when Shakur Stevenson and Jeremiah Nakathila meet at Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas. The fight is set for approximately 11:59 p.m. ET, with the undercard beginning at 10 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Stevenson vs. Nakathila odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on ESPN while streaming on fuboTV.

Stevenson vs. Nakathila: Fight odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Shakur Stevenson -5000 (bet $5,000 to win $100) | Jeremiah Nakathila +1400 (bet $100 to win $1,400) | Draw +2500

Stevenson has an implied win probability of 98.04% with the -5000 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 1/50 or a decimal of 1.02.

Stevenson vs. Nakathila: Tale of the tape

Shakur Stevenson (-5000)

It’s not a matter of if, but when, for Stevenson (15-0, 8 KOs). The heavy favorite is expected to easily push past Nakathila in Vegas, and it appears Jamel Herring will be next on the horizon in a lead-up to a potential fight with Oscar Valdez.

But first things first, Stevenson needs to get it done here, and get it done with style. He should be able to do just that against a rather green fighter. Stevenson is an outstanding defensive boxer, as his opponents land just 4.9 punches per round, according to CompuBox data.

The junior lightweight average is 16.5 punches per round. And his past six opponents have landed only 0.9 jabs per round, while landing 1,249 punches to just 351 for his opponents so far in his pro career. This one will be a lopsided affair, too.

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Jeremiah Nakathila (+1400)

Nakathila (21-1, 17 KOs) is a 31-year-old fighter from Namibia, and he has fought just once outside of his native country, and that was a ninth-round knockout of Prince Dlomo in Cape Town, South Africa on Dec. 28, 2018.

He has never faced anyone near the skill of Stevenson, and it’s going to get ugly really quick.

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Stevenson vs. Nakathila: Odds, predictions and picks

This is a tune-up fight for Stevenson, who has his eyes on a much, much bigger prize than the vacant WBO title.

Still, you cannot bet $100 for every $2 won. That’s just ridiculous risk for not enough return. Let’s get specific instead.

Playing STEVENSON BY KO/TKO/TECHNICAL DECISION OR DQ (-250) for the method of victory is a much more economical way to go. In addition, you can shave some risk off of that by playing LESS THAN 11 ROUNDS (-200).

If you look to the Round Group Betting 2 section, consider taking STEVENSON IN ROUNDS 5-8 (+200) for a chance to double up. That’s your best bet for getting the most bang out of your betting buck in this potentially lopsided affair.

If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Nordine Oubaali vs. Nonito Donaire fight odds, picks and prediction

Breaking down Saturday’s fight between Nordine Oubaali and Nonito Donaire with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

We get a 12-round WBC bantamweight title bout Saturday when Nordine Oubaali and Nonito Donaire meet at Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, Calif. The fight’s set for approximately 10 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Oubaali vs. Donaire odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on Showtime.

Oubaali vs. Donaire: Fight odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Nordine Oubaali -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Nonito Donaire +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Draw +1600

Oubaali has an implied win probability of 69.23% with the -225 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 4/9 or a decimal of 1.44.

Oubaali vs. Donaire: Tale of the tape

Nordine Oubaali (-225)

The southpaw Oubaali (17-0, 12 KOs) finally gets his crack at Donaire, a fight originally scheduled for 2020. There were COVID-19 delays on both sides, and this will actually be Oubaali’s first fight since Nov. 7, 2019, when he eased by Takuma Inoue in a unanimous-decision win for his second defense of the WBC strap.

Oubaali is a punching machine who is very, very active, and tries to wow the judges with his high volume of punches. If he can reign himself in, and not try to brawl Donaire, but win the fight with his speed and skill, he should be victorious.

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Nonito Donaire (+200)

Donaire is a veteran, but don’t see this as the twilight of his career. He has said he wants to continue fighting into his 40s, so if you’re a fan of the “Filipino Flash”, that’s great news.

Facing a southpaw might not suit him well, and he will have to pick and choose his spots to counter against a whirling dervish like Oubaali. The one thing everyone agrees on, even Oubaali himself, is that Donaire has tremendous power which must be respected.

This is the kind of fight which could look like it is rather one-sided, then one punch comes from the underdog to flip the script immediately. We’ll see if he can figure out a spot or two for that potential chance.

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Oubaali vs. Donaire: Odds, predictions and picks

Oubaali (-225) will cost you more than two times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive. Instead, you will need to specify a method of victory.

Back OUBAALI ON POINTS (-145) as a much better value. He will come out trying to throw a bunch of punches early, but he will also need to be careful to avoid the big blow from Donaire.

Oubaali, even though we’ve seen him rather infrequently in recent years, has the skill to dance around those big offerings from Donaire and wow the judges based on his better footwork and skills.

If you want to play it safe, and not specify a winner, playing YES (-300): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE FULL 12 ROUNDS? is an expensive play, but a good one.

If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Devin Haney vs. Jorge Linares fight odds, picks and prediction

Breaking down Saturday’s fight between Devin Haney and Jorge Linares with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

We get a 12-round WBC lightweight title bout Saturday in the main event when Devin Haney and Jorge Linares meet at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. The fight set for approximately 11 p.m. ET.

Below, we break down the Haney vs. Linares odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on DAZN.

Haney vs. Linares: Fight odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.

Devin Haney -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100) | Jorge Linares +750 (bet $100 to win $750) | Draw +2000

Haney has an implied win probability of 92.31% with the -1200 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 1/12 or a decimal of 1.083.

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Haney vs. Linares: Tale of the tape

Devin Haney (-1200)

Haney (25-0, 15 KOs), a.k.a. “The Dream”, steps into the ring as the young buck looking to continue his meteoric rise. He is just 22 years old, and he holds the WBC’s secondary lightweight title. But he isn’t a name most casual fans know, and that’s something he is hoping to change on a bigger stage at Mandalay Bay Saturday night.

Haney’s most recent fight resulted in a unanimous-decision victory over Yuriorkis Gamboa at Seminole Hard Rock Hotel and Casino in Hollywood, Fla., Nov. 7. He has gone the distance in each of his past two fights. This will be his first time fighting in his place of residence, Las Vegas, since May 21, 2016, when he dusted Jairo Vargas via TKO.

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Jorge Linares (+750)

Linares (47-5, 29 KOs) is a former three-weight champ that is still viewed as rather formidable at 35 years of age. “El Nino de Oro Golden Boy” picked up a KO of Carlos Morales last time out Feb. 14, 2020, as he had no love for his opponent at Honda Center in Anaheim that Valentine’s Day. He also picked up a win over Al Toyogon Sept. 7, 2019, in a bounce-back fight after a first-round TKO loss to Pablo Cesar Cano at Madison Square Garden in New York City.

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Haney vs. Linares: Odds, predictions and picks

Haney (-1200) will cost you 12 times your potential return, and that’s just not an attractive wager. Betting huge favorites like that over the long term is a losing strategy as one upset can undo a string of winning plays.

Instead, look to the method of victory. I am thinking this fight goes the distance, as the veteran Linares will give the 22-year-old fighter all he can handle. In the end, however, the up-and-comer will do enough to wow the judges, so roll with HANEY ON POINTS (+175) for a chance to nearly double up. In addition, playing YES (+150): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a strong play, with 11 ROUNDS OR MORE (+110), without having to declare an official winner, also an option if you want a little wiggle room.

If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chantelle Cameron vs. Melissa Hernandez fight odds, picks and prediction

Breaking down Saturday’s fight between Chantelle Cameron and Melissa Hernandez with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

We get a 10-round women’s WBC super lightweight title bout Saturday in an undercard fight when Chantelle Cameron and Melissa Hernandez meet at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas. The fight set for approximately 9 p.m. ET.

Below, we break down the Cameron vs. Hernandez odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on DAZN.

Cameron vs. Hernandez: Fight odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.

Chantelle Cameron -5000 (bet $5,000 to win $100) | Melissa Hernandez +1400 (bet $100 to win $1,400) | Draw +2500

Cameron has an implied win probability of 98.04% with the -5000 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 1/50 or a decimal of 1.02.

Cameron vs. Hernandez: Tale of the tape

Chantelle Cameron (-5000)

Cameron (13-0, 7 KOs) will make her debut in the United States. She was involved in a car accident that pushed her fight back from March to now, and Hernandez (23-7-3, 7 KOs) said she didn’t believe Cameron had a legitimate injury and was faking it. That has stoked the fire for Cameron as she looks to make quick work of Hernandez and try to set up a fight with Katie Taylor for a much larger payday.

While Cameron has racked up plenty of knockouts in her career, her last three wins have been via unanimous decision, including last time out Oct. 4, when she topped Adriana dos Santos Araujo at Marshall Arena in Milton Keynes.

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Melissa Hernandez (+1400)

Hernandez once won the featherweight title, but that was many moons ago and three divisions down. She is now 41 years old, and this will be just her second fight since July 16, 2016. Her last fight was a unanimous-decision win over Selina Barrios at the Cajun Dome in Lafayette, La., April 27, 2019.

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Cameron vs. Hernandez: Odds, predictions and picks

You obviously cannot risk playing Cameron (-5000) straight up as you must risk $100 to win just $2.

While Cameron has won her past three fights by unanimous-decision, she will be facing a fighter with just one fight under her belt in nearly five years. And Hernandez has stoked the flames by talking smack. That should give Cameron a little more incentive to fire out of the box and try and end this one early. As such, I love CAMERON BY KO/TKO/TECHNICAL DECISION OR DQ (+150) rather than playing Cameron on points (-190).

Normally I like a block of round betting, too, and you should look to CAMERON IN ROUND 5 (+1400), CAMERON IN ROUND 6 (+1200) and CAMERON IN ROUND 7 (+1200) for the win. Even if she wins in Rounds 5 through 7, you will lose two ends but still be well ahead.

If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Jose Zepeda vs. Henry Lundy fight odds, picks and prediction

Breaking down Saturday’s fight between Jose Zepeda and Henry Lundy with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

We get a 10-round junior welterweight silver title bout Saturday in a co-main event when Jose Zepeda and Hank Lundy meet at the Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas. The fight set for approximately 10 p.m. ET.

Below, we break down the Zepeda vs. Lundy odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on ESPN/ESPN+.

Zepeda vs. Lundy: Fight odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

Jose Zepeda -2500 (bet $2,500 to win $100) | Henry Lundy +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000) | Draw +2500

Zepeda has an implied win probability of 96.15% with the -2500 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 1/25 or a decimal of 1.04.

Zepeda vs. Lundy: Tale of the tape

Jose Zepeda (-2500)

Zepeda (33-2, 26 KOs) is looking to stay hot in Vegas. He had a victory on Sept. 14, 2019 against Jose Pedraza at T-Mobile Arena, pre-pandemic, and then he won a pair of fights in The Bubble at MGM Grand over Kendo Castaneda and Ivan Baranchyk.

The win over the latter was by way of knockout in the fifth round, while the wins over Castaneda and Pedraza were unanimous decisions. His last setback was Feb. 10, 2019, a majority decision against Jose Carlos Ramirez.

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Henry Lundy (+1000)

Lundy (31-8, 14 KOs) has managed a very average 2-2 mark across his past four outings, but he has a pair of victories over Robert Franckel and Ezequiel Victor Fernandez at PAL Center in Hockessin, Delaware.

Both of those fights were unanimous decisions, which is great. The 37-year-old is in the twilight of his career, however, fighting a guy like Zepeda is a huge step up, and it isn’t likely to end well.

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Zepeda vs. Lundy: Odds, predictions and picks

Zepeda (-2500) is rather expensive on the 3-way line, and there is never a reason to justify risking $100 for just $4 in winnings.

Instead, look to the method of victory, and roll with ZEPEDA BY KO/TKO/TECHNICAL DECISION OR DQ (-275), even though that’s still a little more expensive than I prefer usually.

I also like to take a three-round block for individual round betting. Roll with ZEPEDA IN ROUND 5 (+700), ZEPEDA IN ROUND 6 (+900) and ZEPEDA IN ROUND 7 (+1000).

If he wins in Rounds 5 through 7, you’ll still lose two ends. However, if he comes through in one of the three rounds you will be well ahead. And really, that’s the only way to make money in this fight with such a heavy favorite.

If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Luis Nery vs. Brandon Figueroa fight odds, picks and prediction

Breaking down Saturday’s fight between Luis Nery and Brandon Figueroa with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

We get a 12-round WBC junior featherweight title bout Saturday when Luis Nery and Brandon Figueroa meet at Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, Calif. The undercard is set to begin at 9 p.m. ET, with the Nery-Figueroa fight set for approximately 10 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Nery vs. Figueroa odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on Showtime.

Nery vs. Figueroa: Fight odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:00 a.m. ET.

Luis Nery -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Brandon Figueroa +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Draw +2000

Nery has an implied win probability of 71.43% with the -250 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 2/5 or a decimal of 1.4.

Nery vs. Figueroa: Tale of the tape

Luis Nery (-250)

Nery (31-0, 24 KOs) last fought Sept. 26, 2020 at the Mohegan Sun Casino in Uncasville, Conn. with a unanimous-decision victory against Aaron Alameda. It was a rare fight to the distance, as six of his previous eight fights have ended via KO/TKO.

He changed trainers prior to the Nery fight, going with Eddy Reynoso, who made Canelo Alvarez into a superstar. But Nery’s fight was subpar against Alameda, and he has since parted ways with Reynoso after one fight, going back to Ismael Ramirez, his original trainer. He should go back to his roots, and more explosive style, rather than being a tactician.

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Brandon Figueroa (+200)

Figueroa (21-0-1, 16 KOs) heads into the ring with a three-inch height advantage over Nery, and he has almost seven inches more reach. “The Heartbreaker” bounced back from a draw with Julio Ceja Nov. 23, 2019, topping Damien Vazquez Sept. 26, 2020, at the Mohegan Sun Casino on the same card as Nery. He is 8-0-1 across his past nine fights with seven KO/TKO results.

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Nery vs. Figueroa: Odds, predictions and picks

FIGUEROA (+200) is worth a roll of the dice as a rather moderate underdog. I like his height and reach advantage as I think he’ll be able to keep Nery (-250) at arm’s length. More importantly, I don’t like the fact Nery will have a different trainer for the third consecutive fight. While yes, he goes back to Ramirez, who is his comfort blanket, Figueroa has a little more stability in his corner.

I don’t think Figueroa will be able to drop Nery for a KO/TKO win, so avoid that and you can skip the individual round betting, too. Normally I like to take a two- or three-round block, but this one should go the distance. Roll with FIGUEROA ON POINTS (+550) for a small-unit wager.

If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Elwin Soto vs. Katsunari Takayama fight odds, picks and prediction

Breaking down Saturday’s fight between Elwin Soto and Katsunari Takayama with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

We get a 12-round WBO light flyweight title bout Saturday when Elwin Soto and Katsunari Takayama meet at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The undercard is set to begin at 8 p.m. ET, with the Soto-Takayama fight set for approximately 10 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Soto vs. Takayama odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on DAZN.

Soto vs. Takayama: Fight odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Elwin Soto -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100) | Katsunari Takayama +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | Draw +2000

Soto has an implied win probability of 90.91% with the -1000 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 1/10 or a decimal of 1.10.

Soto vs. Takayama: Tale of the tape

Elwin Soto (-1000)

Soto (18-1, 12 KOs) is heavily favored to retain his WBO belt. He is coming off a unanimous decision victory over Carlos Buitrago in Indio, Calif., Oct. 30, 2020. Prior to that he recorded a first-round KO over Javier Alejandro Rendon in his hometown of Mexicali.

Five of his past seven fights ended inside the distance.

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Katsunari Takayama (+700)

Takayama (32-8, 12 KOs) registered a pair of decision victories over Riku Kano and Reiya Konishi in Japan. The 37-year-old fought Konishi after a four-and-a-half-year hiatus following a retirement.

He was sharp in pushing past Konishi, and now the former four-body world champ at 105 points get a crack at a belt. He will look to use his tremendous footwork to dance away from Soto and hang around, but facing a top-tier opponent like Soto will be very difficult.

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Soto vs. Takayama: Odds, predictions and picks

Soto (-1000) is terribly expensive on the 3-way line, as you cannot risk $100 to win just $10. That’s a silly wager over the long term, so let’s get specific.

Playing SOTO BY KO/TKO/TECHNICAL DECISION OR DQ (-225) is a much better play. Takayama was away from the game too long, and Soto is head and shoulders better than Konishi. In addition to the method of victory bet above, take a block of rounds to target Soto, too.

Play SOTO IN ROUND 6 (+1000), SOTO IN ROUND 7 (+1000) and SOTO IN ROUND 8 (+1000) for the win. Yes, you will lose two ends of the wager even if Soto wins between Rounds 6 and 8, but you’ll still be well ahead.

You could also decide to take SOTO IN ROUNDS 5-8 (+240) in the Round Group Betting 2 area to limit your risk, but it also limits your potential return.

If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Canelo Alvarez vs. Billy Joe Saunders fight odds, picks and prediction

Breaking down Saturday’s fight between Canelo Alvarez and Billy Joe Saunders with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

We get a 12-round WBC/WBA/WBO super middleweight title bout Saturday when Canelo Alvarez and Billy Joe Saunders meet at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The undercard is set to begin at 8 p.m. ET, with the Canelo-Saunders fight set for approximately 11 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Canelo vs. Saunders odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on DAZN.

Canelo vs. Saunders: Fight odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

Canelo Alvarez -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Billy Joe Saunders +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Draw +2000

Canelo has an implied win probability of 83.33% with the -500 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 1/5 or a decimal of 1.20.

Canelo vs. Saunders: Tale of the tape

Canelo Alvarez (-500)

Canelo (55-1-2, 37 KOs) enters with six consecutive victories since his Sept. 16, 2017 draw against Gennadiy Golovkin. He picked up a majority decision win over GGG in the rematch, and he also has impressive wins over Sergey Kovalev and Callum Smith during the span.

He stopped Avni Yildirim in Miami Gardens, Fla., in February, winning by three rounds. He will be looking to use his left hook to floor Saunders.

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Billy Joe Saunders (+400)

Saunders (30-0, 14 KOs) is a moderate underdog despite the fact he doesn’t have a blemish on his professional boxing record. He will be looking to use his tremendous jab and head movement to confuse Canelo. That combination is something that gave the champ fits against Erislandy Lara and Austin Trout in fights a few years ago.

Saunders is coming off a unanimous-decision victory over Martin Murray Dec. 4, 2020 in London. Two of his past three wins went the distance.

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Canelo vs. Saunders: Odds, predictions and picks

Canelo (-500) will cost you five times your potential return, and while he is the moderate favorite, there is risk here since Saunders (+400) has never experienced a loss in his career. The Brit has an open stance and solid jab which could give Canelo some issues as he tries to get in close to use his devastating left hook.

I like CANELO ON POINTS (+160), as I think Saunders is going to take him the distance in this one. In fact, it could be quite a narrow margin of victory, perhaps even a majority decision with one judge leaning in favor of Saunders.

I can’t take the big underdog, as Canelo is still at the top of his game.

If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Boxing Junkie:

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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