Naoya Inoue vs. Nonito Donaire odds, picks and predictions

Breaking down Tuesday’s Naoya Inoue vs. Nonito Donaire bantamweight fight, with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

In a WBC, WBA and IBF bantamweight championship bout, Naoya Inoue (22-0) and Nonito Donaire (42-6) meet Tuesday at Super Arena in Saitama, Japan. Below, we analyze the Inoue vs. Donaire odds and lines, with expert boxing picks and predictions.

The fight can be viewed on ESPN+, and the card will start at approximately 5:30 a.m. ET, with this fight set to go off around 8 a.m. ET.

Inoue picked up a unanimous-decision win against Donaire back in November 2019 at this very same venue in a tremendous fight – some called it the “fight of the year.” The Japanese fighter won by scores of 117-109, 116-111 and 114-113.

Donaire is vying to become the unified champ, but it’s an uphill battle. The Filipino fighter will be behind enemy lines, battling Inoue as well as the Japanese crowd. Father Time isn’t a friend to Donaire, either, as he is 39 years old, and this could be his last shot at a title. Inoue is 10 years younger and presumably quicker.

Of Inoue’s 22 victories, 19 are by KO/TKO. Twenty-eight of Donaire’s 42 wins by are by KO/TKO.

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Naoya Inoue vs. Nonito Donaire odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 7:15 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Inoue -650 (bet $650 to win $100) | Donaire +360 (bet $100 to win $360)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 rounds (Over -122 | Under -112)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +180 | No -290)

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Naoya Inoue vs. Nonito Donaire picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Inoue (-650) will cost 6.5 times your potential return. That’s just way too much risk for not enough reward.

PASS, and look to the method of victory and distance instead.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 7.5 ROUNDS (-122) is a tremendous value. The fight went the distance the last time these fighters met 3 years ago. All this one has to do is get past the midway point of Round 8, and you’re in good shape.

In addition, YES (+180): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is worth a shot based on the results in the previous fight. INOUE TO WIN BY DECISION (+275) is also a great value for a chance to nearly triple up.

Visit Boxing Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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Nordine Oubaali vs. Nonito Donaire fight odds, picks and prediction

Breaking down Saturday’s fight between Nordine Oubaali and Nonito Donaire with boxing odds, picks and predictions.

We get a 12-round WBC bantamweight title bout Saturday when Nordine Oubaali and Nonito Donaire meet at Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, Calif. The fight’s set for approximately 10 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Oubaali vs. Donaire odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on Showtime.

Oubaali vs. Donaire: Fight odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Nordine Oubaali -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Nonito Donaire +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Draw +1600

Oubaali has an implied win probability of 69.23% with the -225 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 4/9 or a decimal of 1.44.

Oubaali vs. Donaire: Tale of the tape

Nordine Oubaali (-225)

The southpaw Oubaali (17-0, 12 KOs) finally gets his crack at Donaire, a fight originally scheduled for 2020. There were COVID-19 delays on both sides, and this will actually be Oubaali’s first fight since Nov. 7, 2019, when he eased by Takuma Inoue in a unanimous-decision win for his second defense of the WBC strap.

Oubaali is a punching machine who is very, very active, and tries to wow the judges with his high volume of punches. If he can reign himself in, and not try to brawl Donaire, but win the fight with his speed and skill, he should be victorious.

Place your legal, online boxing bets in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV at BetMGM, The King of Sportsbooks! New customer offer: Risk-free first bet. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Nonito Donaire (+200)

Donaire is a veteran, but don’t see this as the twilight of his career. He has said he wants to continue fighting into his 40s, so if you’re a fan of the “Filipino Flash”, that’s great news.

Facing a southpaw might not suit him well, and he will have to pick and choose his spots to counter against a whirling dervish like Oubaali. The one thing everyone agrees on, even Oubaali himself, is that Donaire has tremendous power which must be respected.

This is the kind of fight which could look like it is rather one-sided, then one punch comes from the underdog to flip the script immediately. We’ll see if he can figure out a spot or two for that potential chance.

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Oubaali vs. Donaire: Odds, predictions and picks

Oubaali (-225) will cost you more than two times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive. Instead, you will need to specify a method of victory.

Back OUBAALI ON POINTS (-145) as a much better value. He will come out trying to throw a bunch of punches early, but he will also need to be careful to avoid the big blow from Donaire.

Oubaali, even though we’ve seen him rather infrequently in recent years, has the skill to dance around those big offerings from Donaire and wow the judges based on his better footwork and skills.

If you want to play it safe, and not specify a winner, playing YES (-300): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE FULL 12 ROUNDS? is an expensive play, but a good one.

If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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