We get a 12-round WBC middleweight title bout Saturday when Jermall Charlo and Juan Macias Montiel meet at Toyota Center in Houston. The fight will begin approximately at 10 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Charlo vs. Macias Montiel odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on Showtime.
Charlo lives in Houston, and he looks to make quick work of Montiel. He has 31 career professional bouts, with 22 of the fights ending in knockout victories.
Macias Montiel is just 3-2-1 across his past six fights. He bounced back from a draw with Hugo Centeno Jr. in December 2019 with an impressive first-round knockout of James Kirkland last December. Despite that strong win, he is still a decisive underdog Saturday.
Charlo vs. Macias Montiel: Fight odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.
Jermall Charlo -3000 (bet $3,000 to win $100) | Juan Macias Montiel +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200) | Draw: +2500
Charlo has an implied win probability of 96.77% with the -3000 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 1/30 or a decimal of 1.03. A $100 bet on Macias Montiel would return a profit of $1,200 with the upset victory.
Charlos vs. Macias Montiel: Tale of the tape
Jermall Charlo (-3000)
Record: 31-0-0 (22 KOs)
Height: 6-foot-0
Reach: 73.5″
Stance: Orthodox
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Juan Macias Montiel (+1200)
Record: 22-4-2 (22 KO)
Height: 6-foot-1
Reach: 74″
Stance: Orthodox
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Charlo vs. Macias Montiel: Odds, predictions and picks
Charlo (-3000) will cost you too much to bet straight up on the 3-way line, so you’ll have to get creative. He will be looking to keep Macias Montiel at a distance, as all 22 of the challenger’s victories were via knockout.
I think Charlo gets it done in his hometown of Houston, but CHARLO ON POINTS (+400) is the way to go. It’s a tremendous value, too. He’ll be looking to avoid the big knockout blow and could be a little tentative. However, he has such an impressive skillset that he’ll wow the judges and get it done.
Charlos vs. Macias Montiel best bet
6 ROUNDS OR MORE (-120) is a good bout in the ‘Over how many rounds will the bout go?’ betting section. I think Charlo will have his hands full, so don’t expect an early finish.
If you don’t want to specify a winner, but still like the distance pick, take YES (+350): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE FULL 12 ROUNDS?
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