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Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (80-78) and Toronto Blue Jays (73-85) conclude a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is slated for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 8-4

SS Trevor Story’s 3-run double in the 10th inning led the Blue Jays to a 6-5 win Tuesday. Boston’s 4th straight victory keeps their flickering Wild Card hopes alive. A win on Wednesday would be the Red Sox’s 1st sweep since a July 2-4 takedown of the Miami Marlins

The Blue Jays got out to an early lead behind a 2-run double from DH Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is 2nd in the AL with a .324 batting average. Toronto has lost 5 straight games and 7 of their last 8 and  long been  eliminated from playoff contention.

Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Richard Fitts vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

Fitts (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 4th career start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 4.0 K/9 in 15 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 4-2 home loss against Minnesota Twins Friday
  • Made MLB debut against the Chicago White Sox on Sept. 8
  • First time facing Blue Jays

Gausman (13-11, 3.91 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 175 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-0 win at Texas Rangers Thursday
  • 2024 home splits: 5-6, 5.26 ERA (89 IP, 55 R (52 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 15 starts
  • 2024 vs. Red Sox: 1-1, 5.40 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 9 R (7 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Blue Jays -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-185) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (+120).

The Red Sox are on a 4-game winning streak and still have a slim chance at the final AL Wild Card spot. Rookie Fitts has been stellar, throwing 15 2/3 innings without allowing an ER, and the Blue Jays will be seeing him for the 1st time, which often benefits the pitcher. Gausman has also struggled against Boston this season, giving up at least 3 ER in both of his previous starts against them. All these factors make a Red Sox moneyline bet a solid choice.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’ll keep my bet to the moneyline with those plus odds.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

The Under has hit in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams, indicating a trend that favors low-scoring affairs. Additionally, the Blue Jays have seen the Under cash in 6 of their last 7 games, suggesting their offense has been struggling. With Fitts on the mound for Boston, the Under is 2-0-1 in his first 3 career starts, showcasing his ability to limit scoring opportunities. All signs point to a low-scoring game, making the Under a smart bet.

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Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (79-78) and Toronto Blue Jays (73-84) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Tuesday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is set for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Boston leads 7-4

The Red Sox won 4-1 as +105 underdogs in the Monday opener as the Under (8) hit. SP Tanner Houck (5 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 0 K) recorded his 1st win in 11 starts since the All-Star break. Boston is 3½ games out of the final AL Wild Card spot and has a 0.5% chance to make the playoffs, according to FanGraphs.com.

Blue Jays 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 0-for-4 Monday as his average dropped to .324. Toronto has lost 4 straight games and has already been eliminated from playoff contention.

Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP Bowden Francis

Bello (14-8, 4.49 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 158 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 2-0 setback at Tampa Bay Rays Thursday
  • 2024 road stats: 8-4, 4.19 ERA (81 2/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 15 starts
  • 2024 vs. Toronto: 2-1, 4.96 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 3 starts
  • Career vs. Toronto: 3-4, 5.58 ERA (40 1/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.54 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 8 starts

Francis (8-5, 3.47 ERA) makes his 13th start and 27th appearance. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 98 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 2-0 setback at Texas Rangers Wednesday
  • 2024 home stats: 3-1, 3.80 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 12 appearances (4 starts)
  • 2024 vs. Boston: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (8 IP), 1 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 2 appearances (1 start)
  • Career vs. Boston: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (9 2/3 IP), 0.31 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 4 appearances (1 start)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:14 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Blue Jays -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-200) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Red Sox 4

Moneyline

The BLUE JAYS (-125) have not lost 5 straight games since a 7-game skid June 17-24. Toronto is a respectable 30-20 on the season as a home favorite, and Bello’s career 5.58 ERA against it bodes well for a Toronto bounceback game.

While Boston is playing to keep its postseason hopes alive, this is still a divisional rivalry and Toronto would love to eliminate the Red Sox.

BET BLUE JAYS (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

Boston +1.5 (-200) will likely hit, but it’s hard to win long term in MLB betting into lines with this much vig.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Over has gone 29-21 (58%) in divisional games for the Blue Jays this season. Bello has struggled against Toronto in his career, and Guerrero will likely have a big game after going hitless Monday. In his last outing after a no-hit performance, Guerrero went 3-for-4 with 2 HRs (Sept. 19 at Texas).

BET OVER 8 (+100). I’m also not against playing VLADIMIR GUERRERO JR. OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES (+120) as a derivative.

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Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (73-83) welcome the Boston Red Sox (78-78) to Rogers Centre Monday for the 1st game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:07 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 6-4

The Red Sox swept the Minnesota Twins in a Sunday doubleheader, winning 8-1 and then 9-3. Boston did lose the opener of the 3-game series and is just 3-4 over its last 7. The Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East and a solid 41-37 on the road. They are 73-83 against the spread (ATS).

The Blue Jays, who are 5th in the AL East, were swept by the Tampa Bay Rays on the road, dropping Sunday’s final game of the series 4-3 as a +115 underdog. Toronto lost 2 of 3 to the Texas Rangers in the series prior. It is 1-5 in its last 6 games and 6-12 over its last 18. The Blue Jays are 38-37 at home and 79-77 ATS.

Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Tanner Houck vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Houck (8-10, 3.21 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 173 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 2-1 road win over the Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday
  • 2024 away stats: 4-4, 3.08 ERA (79 IP, 27 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-1, 3.94 ERA (32 IP, 14 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 7 appearances (6 starts)

Bassitt (10-13, 4.16 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 166 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 13-8 road loss to the Texas Rangers Tuesday
  • 2024 home stats: 7-7, 4.58 ERA (96 1/3 IP, 49 ER), 1.43 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 17 starts
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 2-1, 2.21 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 6 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Sunday at 10:07 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Blue Jays -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+170) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-210)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -125)

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Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (+100).

Simply put, the Red Sox have been hot while the Blue Jays have been the polar opposite. Boston is 4 games out the last Wild Card spot and has something to play for while the Blue Jays have already been eliminated. The Red Sox are 2-1 in Houck’s last 3 starts and have won 3 of their last 5 games.

Boston has found its offense as well, scoring 17 runs in its last 2 games. The Blue Jays have totaled 5 runs in their last 3 games, so their offense has disappeared. Toronto has lost 3 in a row, but each loss was by 1 run, giving the moneyline value here over the run line.

With all that in mind, back RED SOX (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Red Sox as a run-line favorite, especially against a pitcher of Bassitt’s caliber, are far too risky to take. Similarly, the Blue Jays are too expensive to play as a run-line underdog.

Avoid this play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-125).

The Blue Jays have gone Under in 5 straight games, scoring just 9 total runs in those games and allowing just 10. Toronto has one of its stronger pitchers starting on the mound as well.

The Red Sox have gone Over in 2 straight, but have gone Under in 3 of their last 5. They have defended at a high level, allowing just 11 runs over their last 5 games. While their offense has been hot over the last 2, they have tallied 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7.

Put it all together and take UNDER 8 (-125).

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Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (81-73) and Boston Red Sox (76-78) meet Sunday for Game 1 of a doubleheader that will end a 3-game series. First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 12:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Twins vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Minnesota leads 3-1

Saturday’s game was postponed due to rain. The Twins won Friday’s series opener 4-2 in 12 innings, covering as -115 road favorites.

Each of Minnesota’s last 3 games have gone to extra innings, the Twins are 1-2 during that stretch. The Red Sox have lost back-to-back games.

Twins at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Zebby Matthews vs. RHP Nick Pivetta

Matthews (1-3, 6.30 ERA) makes his 8th career start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 30 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 4-1 win at Cleveland Tuesday
  • First career start vs. Boston

Pivetta (5-11, 4.37 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 134 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 6 K in an 8-3 outing at Tampa Bay  RaysTuesday
  • Career vs. Minnesota: 1-1, 9.00 ERA (11 IP, 11 ER), 20 H, 5 BB, 11 K in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Red Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Red Sox +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+135) | Red Sox +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Twins at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 3, Red Sox 2

Moneyline

BET TWINS (-130).

Minnesota is 5-5 in its last 10 games while Boston is only 3-7 in that same span. The Twins are also 2-1 in their last 3 meetings with the Red Sox in Boston while also being 5-1 in the last 6 overall matchups between these squads.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

It’s a pretty even matchup and should be a close game so I expect the Red Sox cover as +1.5 (-160) underdogs. However, this line is set far too heavily to risk betting on, so bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-110).

The Under has hit in 3 straight home games for Boston and is 8-1-1 in its last 10 overall. For Minnesota, the Under is 3-1 in its last 4 road games. The Under has also hit in 4 of the last 5 Minnesota-Boston matchups.

Be aware that the Over is 6-3-1 in Minnesota’s last 10 games and is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings between these squads.

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Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (76-78) welcome the Minnesota Twins (81-73) to Fenway Park Saturday for the 2nd of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Twins vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 3-1

The Twins beat the Red Sox to open the series 4-2 Friday.

They snapped a 2-game losing streak with the victory. Minnesota, which has fallen to 3rd in the AL Central, dropped 3 of 4 to the Cleveland Guardians in the series prior and 2 of 3 to the Cincinnati Reds before that. It is 39-40 on the road and 71-83 against the spread (ATS).

The Red Sox lost Friday and are now on a 2-game losing streak. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games, and their bats have really struggled. Boston has scored a total of 9 runs in its last 5 games. It is 35-41 at home this season and 71-83 ATS.

Twins at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Pablo Lopez vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Lopez (15-8, 3.84 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 175 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 4-3 road loss to the Cleveland Guardians Monday
  • 2024 away stats: 8-4, 4.02 ERA (94 IP, 42 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 16 starts
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 1-1, 3.86 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 13.1 K/9 in 2 starts

Crawford (8-15, 4.19 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 171 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 5-2 road loss to the New York Yankees Sunday
  • 2024 home stats: 4-8, 4.08 ERA (88 1/3 IP, 40 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 in 16 starts
  • Career vs. Twins: 1-1, 6.55 ERA (11 IP, 8 ER), 1.91 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 3 appearances (2 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+120) | Red Sox +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Twins at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Red Sox 2

Moneyline

BET TWINS (-145).

The Twins have performed well with Lopez on the mound recently. They are 4-1 in his last 5 starts. Minnesota is almost at .500 on the road while Boston has been worst at home than in away games.

The Red Sox struggled offensively in the last week, and against a strong starter like Lopez, that should be expected to continue. Boston has been outscored 9-20 in its last 5 games.

Expect those trends to continue and take TWINS (-145).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no great value here. The Twins as a run-line favorite are too risky to play, and the Red Sox as a run-line underdog are far too expensive. Avoid this play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-120).

The Red Sox have gone Under in 3 straight games and in 5 of their last 6. Boston has allowed just 7 runs over its last 3 games while scoring 4 in that span.

The Twins have a similar recent run and are 1-3 O/U in their last 4 games. They are 1-2-2 O/U in Lopez’s last 5 starts. Minnesota has scored just 10 runs and allowed 10 through its last 3.

Take UNDER 8 (-120).

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Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (76-77) welcome the Minnesota Twins (80-73) to Fenway Park Friday for the 1st game of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Twins vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 2-1

The Red Sox lost to the Tampa bay Rays 2-0 Thursday, dropping their 2nd in the 3-game series. Boston, which is 3rd in the AL East, has lost 5 of its last 7 games, all on the road where it has been better this season. The Red Sox are 35-40 at home and have won 4 of their last 6 at Fenway Park. They are 71-82 against the spread (ATS).

The Twins, who are 38-40 on the road this season, have dropped 3 of their last 4 games with all 3 of those losses coming by just 1 run. They lost 3-2 to the Cleveland Guardians Thursday. Minnesota has struggled to generate offense as of late and has scored 4 or fewer runs in 4 straight games. It is 38-40 on the road and 70-83 ATS.

Twins at Red Sox projected starters

RHP David Festa vs. RHP Richard Fitts

Festa (2-6, 5.07 ERA) makes his 12th start and 13th career appearance. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 55 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 9-2 home win over the Cincinnati Reds Sunday
  • 2024 away stats: 2-2, 3.96 ERA (25 IP, 11 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 in 5 starts
  • First tme facing Red Sox

Fitts (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 3rd career start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 3.4 K/9 in 10 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 5-4 road loss to the New York Yankees Friday
  • 2024 home stats: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 0 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 3.2 K/9 in 1 start
  • 2024 AAA (Worcester) stats: 9-5, 4.55 ERA (116 2/3 IP, 54 ER), 1.28 WHIP in 24 appearance (23 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+145) | Red Sox +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Twins at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Twins 3

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (-105).

The Twins have struggled over the last few weeks, but they have been even worse on the road against quality opponents. Minnesota has lost 6 of its last 7 road games and 8 of its last 10 on the road.

The Red Sox have won 2 of its last 3 games at home. While Fitts has limited experience, he has yet to give up an earned run and has been terrific in his 1st 2 starts. The Twins are 1-4 in Festa’s last 5 starts.

Take RED SOX (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no great value here. The Twins are too risky as a run-line favorite, especially considering how they’ve played as of late, and the Red Sox are too expensive as a run-line underdog.

Avoid this play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-115).

The Red Sox have gone Under in 4 of their last 5 games and have struggled to get on the board consistently, scoring just 7 runs over their last 4 games. Boston is  1-7-1 O/U in its last 9 outings.

The Twins are 1-2-1 O/U in their last 4 games and have scored 13 runs while allowing 13 runs in those. Minnesota is 1-6-2 O/U in Festa’s last 9 starts as well. Take UNDER 9 (-115).

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Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (76-76) visit the Tampa Bay Rays (74-78) for the Thursday finale of a 3-game series in St. Petersburg. The start time at Tropicana Field will be 6:50 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 5-4

Boston lost the opener 8-3 and won Wednesday 2-1. SS Trevor Story homered and scored the eventual winning run, breaking a 1-1 tie, on CF Jarren’s Duran’s single in the 8th, while 6 Red Sox pitchers scattered 8 hits with 2 walks in holding the Rays offense to 1 run.

On Thursday, the Crimson Hose will attempt to win a 2nd straight game for just the 2nd time since Aug. 27-28. Wednesday was only Boston’s 2nd win in its last 11 road games.

Tampa Bay’s 8 runs in Tuesday’s tilt stand as an outlier. The Rays have scored just 10 total runs across their last 4 games, and they have averaged just 2.85 runs per game over their last 13.

Red Sox at Rays projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP Zack Littell

Bello (14-7, 4.60 ERA) is making his 29th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 152 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 7-1 victory at New York Yankees Saturday
  • Career vs. Rays: 2-3, 6.47 ERA (32 IP, 23 ER), 1.63 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 6 starts
  • 2024 vs. Rays, 1 start, win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 6 K in 8-5 road victory May 22
  • Per ESPN, current Rays bats own an aggregate .912 OPS him

Littell (7-9, 3.73 ERA) is tabbed for his 28th start. He own a 1.29 WHIP, with a 1.9 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 144 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 3-1 triumph at Cleveland Guardians Friday
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 1-0, 4.26 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 12 H, 2 BB, 12 K in 3 games (2 starts)
  • 2024 vs. Red Sox: 0-0, 5.06 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 10 H, 2 HR, 2 BB, 10 K in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:44 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Rays -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+165) | Rays +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Red Sox at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Rays 3

Moneyline

Tampa Bay is just 1-7 over its last 8 series finales. Boston is a solid road club (41-36), and the Red Sox are 4-1 over their last 5 games at Tropicana Field.

The BoSox have scored 715 runs this season (4.7 per game) and have yielded the same number. But analytics peg both sides of that equation as being rather unfortunate. Bello also has some play to his numbers, so Boston is a lean in Thursday’s game.

BACK RED SOX (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

The keeper of the hold is the only enviable position here. AVOID.

Over/Under

The Under is 6-1-1 in Boston’s last 8 games and 6-1 in Tampa’s last 7.

Neither offense is in good form, and UNDER 8 (-115) is the play in this one. If the BetMGM line drops to 7.5, keep an eye on FanDuel Sportsbook, which might have a better leverage tag at Under 7.5 (-102).

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Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (75-76) tussle with the Tampa Bay Rays (74-77) in the middle contest of a 3-game AL East series in Tampa. The 1st pitch at Tropicana Field will be at 6:50 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 4-4

Boston dropped Tuesday’s series opener and is just 1-4 since Thursday. At times, the Red Sox have looked like they could be an AL Wild Card team, but they have not helped their cause by going 5-11 since Aug. 31.

Prior to Tuesday’s opener, the Rays had gone 4-7 with a .632 OPS over their previous 11 games. Tampa Bay banged out 7 extra-base hits in its 8-run Tuesday outburst.

Red Sox at Rays projected starters

RHP Tanner Houck vs. RHP Ryan Pepiot

Houck (8-10, 3.24 ERA) is lined up for his 29th start. He owns a 1.17 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 169 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 8-3 loss at New York Mets Sept. 4
  • Returning from a stay on the IL (shoulder)
  • Career vs. Rays: 1-4, 4.45 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 29 H, 8 BB, 3 K in 7 appearance (5 starts)

Pepiot (8-6, 3.76 ERA) is tabbed for his 23rd start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 115 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 2 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 5-2 win at Cleveland Guardians Thursday
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 0-0, 6.75 ERA (4 IP, 3 ER), 2 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 1 start

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:29 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Rays -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+170) | Rays +1.5 (+210)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Red Sox at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Rays 3

Moneyline

Pepiot is a fade candidate in this spot. The 27-year-old has made 3 starts in September and has failed to go 4 frames in 2 of those. For the season, he has benefited from a .261 batting average on balls in play.

With Houck coming off the IL (he was on due to shoulder fatigue), there is some risk on the Boston side. But the righty has been a very good road hurler (3.12 ERA this season, 3.22 ERA since 2022), and his late-August-early-September starts pop in analytics if not in box scores. And per ESPN, current Tampa bats own an aggregate .588 OPS against Houck.

The Red Sox bullpen has been torched this month. But their 6.12 September ERA is untethered due to some bad-luck rates around the margins.

Boston has a likely enough chance at a rebound win to make it a value in this spot. BACK THE RED SOX (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

Too much juice crowding these prices. PASS.

Over/Under

Almost no lean here, but what there is swings to the high side. Both clubs have run expectancies in line with their plus and minus figures. The Pepiot fade and increased potential for a 1st-start-back misstep by Houck — and some exposed middle relief on both sides — are the mitigating factors.

BET THE OVER 7.5 (-110).

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Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (75-75) visit the Tampa Bay Rays (73-77) Tuesday in the opener of a 3-game AL East series. First pitch at Tropicana Field is at 6:50 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 4-3

Boston is continuing a road swing that opened with the Red Sox losing 3 of 4 games at the New York Yankees over the weekend. At times, the Crimson Hose have looked like they could be a Wild Card team, but they have not helped their cause by going 5-10 since Aug. 31.

The Rays are back at home after a 10-game road trip. Tampa Bay went 4-6 on the voyage. The Rays offense struggled through a slash line of .226 /280/.356 (.636 OPS).

Red Sox at Rays projected starters

RHP Nick Pivetta vs. RHP Shane Baz

Pivetta (5-10, 4.24 ERA) is tabbed for his 24th startand 25th appearance. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 129 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 5-3 win vs. Baltimore Orioles Wednesday
  • Career vs. Rays: 1-6, 4.42 ERA (57 IP, 28 ER), 48 H, 30 BB, 60 K in 12 appearances (11 starts)
  • Owns a 2.00 ERA over his last 3 starts

Baz (2-3, 3.28 ERA) is making his 12th start. He owns a 1.19 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 60 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-2 loss at Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday
  • Has authored a 1.88 ERA across his last 4 starts
  • Has never faced the Red Sox

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Red Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Rays -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+150) | Rays +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Red Sox at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Rays 3

Moneyline

Pivetta figures to be undervalued by bettors. His analytics reveal a better expected ERA, and he has typically been a solid starter on the road.

Baz owns a 2nd-half ERA of 2.88. But the 25-year-old has been helped along by some very generous rates around the margins over that span. A since-the-break K-BB% of 8.4% is a concern.

The Rays are 1-8 over their last 9 series openers.

BET THE RED SOX (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

Lots of juice added here. PASS.

Over/Under

Indicators swing both ways here and what lean there is should be tagged as a small-confidence one.

Pivetta, rested bullpens and scuffling bats on both sides shade this one just slightly to the UNDER 7.5 (-110).

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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (86-63) welcome the Boston Red Sox (75-74) to Yankee Stadium for the finale of their 4-game series. First pitch is set for 1:35 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 6-6

The Red Sox lost the 1st 2 games of the series 2-1 Thursday and 5-4 Friday,  but won 7-1 Saturday.

Boston, which is 3rd in the AL East, has been better on the road (40-34) than at home (35-40). The Red Sox are 5-4 over their last 9 games, yet just 5-9 over their last 14. Boston is 70-79 against the spread (ATS).

The Yankees lead the AL East and have also been better on the road (45-30), but will be home in this game. They are 41-33 at home and 76-73 ATS. New York won 2 of 3 at home against the Kansas City Royals in the series prior and is 6-3 over its last 9 games.

Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

RHP Kutter Crawford vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Crawford (8-14, 4.09 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 167 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 5-3 home loss to the Baltimore Orioles Tuesday
  • 2024 away stats: 4-6, 4.10 ERA (79 IP, 36 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Yankees: 4-1, 2.83 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 9 appearances (7 starts)

Rodon (14-9, 4.15 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 158 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 10-4 home win over the Royals Monday
  • 2024 home stats: 8-2, 3.07 ERA (70 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 in 12 starts
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 3-4, 3.88 ERA (46 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 in 8 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Yankees -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Yankees are too expensive to take on the moneyline here, but are worthy of a play on the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+115).

The Red Sox have both lost and failed to cover in Crawford’s last 5 starts. They’ll also be going against a pitcher who has been far better at home than on the road this season. Boston is the fifth-worst team at covering after a win as well at just 32-42 ATS.

The Yankees are 6-3 ATS in Rodon’s last 9 starts. They are 56-69 ATS as a favorite as well which sits in the top half of the league. Considering those trends, take YANKEES -1.5 (+115).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

The Red Sox have gone Under in 4 of their last 5 games and are 0-4-1 O/U in that span. They are 4-9-1 O/U in their last 14. Boston has allowed just 11 runs over its last 4 games as well.

The Yankees are also 0-4-1 O/U in their last 5 and have scored a total of 8 runs in their last 3 games. New York is 2-4 O/U in Rodon’s last 6 starts. Take UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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