10 Best College Football Predictions Against The Spread Week 10

10 best predictions and picks against the spread and point totals for the Week 11 college football games.

10 best predictions for this week’s college football slate. What games appear to be the best bets and best picks for the Week 11 games?


10 Best College Football Predictions: Week 11

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Results So Far: 60-52-1

This is a strangely odd week.

It’s not like there are a slew massive world-change games like we got in Week 10 – I want nothing to do with TCU vs Texas against the spread; more on that later on – and now we get into the bizarre finishing kick where we lose control.

Everything we know, every pattern, and every trend now has to take into account Senior Day – Georgia Tech hosting Miami this week for that, by the way – when emotions run high and teams usually play at another level.

We’re also entering the portion of the program when teams locked into a losing season have no more Fs to give and end up throwing that interesting freshman quarterback into the mix. Maybe teams play differently when the pressure is off, or maybe a coach comes up with something special to avoid being fired, or …

Yeah, I know, the picks.

And I do apologize in advance tor all you who just want the against the spread calls  and aren’t interested in the seemingly safer point totals for some of the key games this week.

Fortunately for me, Twitter might be gone by the time you read this, so feel free to shake your fist in anger and assume the message will be received.

So with that, we start out with a point total pick I don’t actually believe in.

Click on each game for the preview

10. North Carolina at Wake Forest

POINT TOTAL 77.5
PICK Under

This is me trying to be an adult.

It’s North Carolina vs Wake Forest. These two put on a 58-55 show last year in a Tar Heel win, and the two have the offenses to do it all again.

North Carolina is all O and no D, but its games aren’t getting that far out of control. The Appalachian State game got to 124, the Notre Dame battle rolled up 78, and Wake Forest hands out 40 points a game like Halloween candy.

It’s a primetime game that I actually think will be plays in the 40s on both sides, but …

A man is nothing without his principles. If you’re a regular around these parts, you know what I’m going to say …

If the world is giving you a college total of 70 or more, you go under – TOO many things can go wrong – and if you don’t win, enjoy the show.

None of the last five North Carolina games have hit 78.

With ALL of that hoo-ha just spouted …

9. Arizona at UCLA

POINT TOTAL 77.5
PICK Over

Again, I actually like the over on the North Carolina-Wake Forest game, but I couldn’t do it. I have to stick to what I believe. Do the same thing every time, and over the long haul you’ll be ahead.

Consistency, Son.

Stuff goes up, stuff goes down, but if you do things the right way, eat plenty of fiber, tip 20%, and let that guy with all the creepy political stickers merge into your lane, everything will work out just fine.

That includes always taking the under on a college point total of 70 or more.

Don’t think you know something, and don’t go with your gut – you ALWAYS go under on a college point total of 70 or more …

I can’t. It would be wrong to suggest doing that here.

UCLA is going to score somewhere between 45 and 49 points, How do we know this? Arizona has allowed somewhere between 45 and 49 points in five of the six Pac-12 games, and the one outlier was against Colorado.

Arizona will score between 31 and 39 points. How dow we know this? It did that in six of the nine games so far, and UCLA has allowed 32 points or more in four of the last five games.

One more point total and then I’ll get into the ATS side of things.

8. Indiana at Ohio State

POINT TOTAL 59.5
PICK Over

I was originally going with Indiana getting 40.5 here, but the line moved to 39.5. That shouldn’t have mattered, but all of a sudden I had visions of a 52-10 Ohio State win just as much as I could see a 44-3 victory.

Either way, I get the sense that Ohio State is a tad salty after last week’s 21-7 win over Northwestern.

The weather was miserable, the wind was around 50 mph – I know, I was in it in the greater Chicago area on Saturday – and there wasn’t any passing game. Even so, you could tell all week that CJ Stroud and company want to stretch their legs a bit after that.

This won’t be 77-21 like the Buckeye win over Toledo, but the home side should be able to take care of almost all of the heavy lifting itself.

Just hope it isn’t 58-0.

Okay, enough point totals for a bit.

7. New Mexico at Air Force

LINE Air Force -21.5
ATS PICK Air Force

Sort of like the Indiana-Ohio State game, this one seems like we should be able to figure it out based on the spread and the point total.

The Falcons are favored by 21.5 at home and the point total is 37.5. That seems about right considering New Mexico has scored 14 points or fewer in six of its nine games. Here’s where this tilts.

Air Force has scored fewer than 27 points four times – 14 against Wyoming and Boise State, and 13 against Army and Navy. Boise State’s defense is great, Wyoming and Army were away from Fort Collins, and Navy games vs other service academies are low scoring.

At home, Air Force host up 41 or more against three mediocre teams at the same level as the Lobos. That, and New Mexico only faced two decent running teams so far and got rolled for over 200 yards in blowout losses to LSU (38-0) and Fresno State (41-9).

6. Alabama at Ole Miss

LINE Alabama -11.5
ATS PICK Ole Miss

I’m not going to lie and pretend there’s any better insight to this that isn’t written up in the game preview, and even then it basically comes down to this.

Alabama isn’t Alabama right now against good teams, especially on the road.

Alabama 20, Texas 19 – it probably should’ve been a loss.

Alabama was having problems with Arkansas for three quarters before everything turned in fourth quarter of the 49-26 win, but that was SHAKY.

Tennessee? It probably should’ve been a win, but wasn’t, and didn’t cover.

LSU? It probably should’ve been a win, but wasn’t, and didn’t cover. Both Tennessee and LSU came though ATS.

It’s Alabama. It could win 45-3 and you wouldn’t blink, but if you’re giving me a double-digit home dog as good as Ole Miss, fine – it’s the revival of DDHD bit that crushed so hard for three weeks 20 years ago in this piece …

Don’t think, just pick.

NEXT: College Football Pick Against the Spread No. 5: Boise State at Nevada

College Football Expert Picks Predictions Week 11

College football expert picks and predictions for Week 11 highlighted by Tennessee at Alabama at Ole Miss, TCU at Texas, Washington at Oregon

College football expert picks, predictions for Week 11, including Alabama at Ole Miss, TCU at Texas, Washington at Oregon


College Football Expert Picks, Predictions: Week 11

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* next to the pick means the team will win, but not cover.
Click on each game for the game preview and CFN Prediction

Week 11 College Football Expert Picks 
Ball State at Toledo | Buffalo at Central Mich
Tulsa at Memphis | East Carolina at Cincinnati
Colorado at USC | Fresno State at UNLV
Missouri at Tennessee | Indiana at Ohio State
LSU at Arkansas | Purdue at Illinois
Notre Dame at Navy | Louisville at Clemson
Nebraska at Michigan | Alabama at Ole Miss
Maryland at Penn State | UCF at Tulane
Georgia at Miss State | Washington at Oregon
TCU at Texas | Stanford at Utah
Arizona at UCLA | Boise State at Nevada
SJSU at SDSU | Utah State at Hawaii
Experts Picks So Far | NFL Expert Picks

Ball State at Toledo

Line: Toledo -11.5, o/u: 50.5

Eric Bolin, RazorbacksWire.com: Toledo*
Evan Bredeson, CornhuskersWire.com: Toledo*
Tony Cosolo, ColoradoBuffaloesWire.com: Toledo
Jeff Feyerer, CFN: Toledo
Pete Fiutak, CFN: Toledo*
Cami Griffin, LonghornsWire.com: Toledo
Dan Harralson, VolsWire.com: Toledo
Phil Harrison, BuckeyesWire.com: Toledo*
Jeremy Mauss, MWwire.com Toledo*
Kevin McGuire, NittanyLionsWire.com: Toledo
Big Game Ben Niewoehner, CFN Toledo*
E, CFN Toledo*
Tyler Nettuno, LSUTigerswire.com Toledo*
Zack Pearson, TarHeelswire.com Toledo
Johnny Rosenstein, SportsBookWire.com: Toledo*
Nick Shepkowski, FightingIrishWire.com: Toledo
Scott Steehn, WinnersandWhiners.com: Toledo*
Joe Vitale, UGAWire.com: Toledo
Clucko the Chicken (a coin flip), CFN: Ball State
CONSENSUS PICK: Toledo* 

NEXT: Buffalo at Central Michigan Expert Picks, Predictions

Boise State vs Nevada Prediction Game Preview

Boise State vs Nevada game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 11 game on Saturday, November 12

Boise State vs Nevada prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 11, Saturday, November 12


Boise State vs Nevada How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 12
Game Time: 10:30 ET
Venue: Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV
How To Watch: CBS Sports Network
Record: Boise State (6-3), Nevada (2-7)
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Bowl Projections | Expert Picks Week 11
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Boise State vs Nevada Game Preview

Why Boise State Will Win

It all stalled in last week’s tough 31-28 loss to BYU, but the ground game has been dominant over the second half of the season with well over 1,000 yards and 15 touchdowns in the last five games.

Boise State’s offense has been a powerhouse with the passing game balancing things out with 200 yards, the defense is the best in the Mountain West, and Nevada won’t be able to handle any of it.

10 Best Picks Against The Spread

Why Nevada Will Win

Can the Nevada passing game work?

BYU’s offense had stalled, but Jaren Hall was able to bomb away for 377 yards on the Bronco secondary that hadn’t faced a whole slew of teams that can throw – it missed Jake Haener in the win over Fresno State.

The Wolf Pack can’t hold up on the lines, so it needs to throw and keep throwing – they have to put it in the air at least 40 times, and …

Schedules, Predictions CollegeNFL

What’s Going To Happen

It’s not going to be enough.

Boise State still has work to do to lock up the Mountain division no matter what, but it’ll take a big step forward with a relatively stress-free win.

Pound, rely on the defense, repeat.

Expert Picks College Week 11NFL Week 10

Boise State vs Nevada Prediction, Line

Boise State 38, Nevada 16
Line: Boise State -20.5, o/u: 46.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
Boise State vs Nevada Must See Rating (out of 5): 2
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