Tag: Blue-Chip Ratio

Oklahoma among teams with highest blue-chip percentage per 247Sports

Heading into the 2023 season, the Oklahoma Sooners are among 16 teams with a blue-chip ratio greater than 50%.

Can you feel that? The NBA season is over, summer workouts are underway and we are just a little more than two months away from “football time in Oklahoma.”

To lead us up to the start of the 2023 season, 247Sports shared their list of 16 teams that have a legit chance of winning the national championship based on their blue-chip ratio.

Blue-chips are defined as four and five-star recruits. Blue-chip ratio is simply a percentage of four and five-star players on a roster heading into the season. To put it simply, you need more of those than two and three-star recruits to have a good blue-chip ratio.

There’s no guarantee that if you meet the blue-chip requirements, you will win it all. However, it is almost certainly a guarantee if you don’t meet the requirements, you won’t win the big one.

There are only 16 teams that have greater than a 50-percent blue-chip ratio, and this year that list consists of, in order, Alabama, Ohio State, Georgia, Texas A&M, Clemson, LSU, Texas, Oklahoma, Oregon, Notre Dame, Florida, Miami, Penn State, Michigan, USC, and Auburn.

That’s right, the Sooners come in tied for No. 7 with Texas with an impressive 70-percent blue-chip ratio.

But if you consider that Texas and Oklahoma are going to the SEC, and that USC is headed to the Big Ten, the landscape looks different. There is no team in the Big 12 not named Oklahoma or Texas who is even three strong classes away from joining the list. And without USC, Oregon is likely to be alone in the Pac-12 at the top of the recruiting list for a while to come. – Bud Elliott, 247Sports

Again, that doesn’t mean the Sooners will win the national title or even make the College Football Playoff. As you can see, there are several teams, including Oklahoma, that had poor seasons last year.

What it does mean is they have a chance to win number eight, and as Lloyd Christmas famously once said, “So you’re telling me there’s a chance?”

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How Florida football fared in 2022 recruiting cycle, according to ‘Blue-Chip Ratio’

Here’s where the Gators stand in 247Sports’ Blue-Chip Ratio assessment.

The 2022 college football recruiting season is effectively over with the passing of the national signing day period, which means it is time to look back and reflect on the success of our favorite schools. 247Sports’ Bud Elliot recently undertook the task of putting together his Blue-Chip Ratio assessment, in which he listed the 16 Blue-Chip Ratio qualifying teams from 2021 and compared the results with those from this past year.

Florida football made the cut, meaning that they inked more four- and five-star recruits than two- and three-star prospects over the previous four recruiting classes, and put up a 66% Blue-Chip Ratio in 2021. However, the Gators’ performance on the recruiting trail during the tumultuous transition from the Dan Mullen to Billy Napier era resulted in a bit of a slip, not unpredictably. Here is what Elliot has to say in his 2022 evaluation.

Florida: 41% (No. 19 recruiting class)

New coach Billy Napier did not go all-in on high school recruiting, preferring to save spots for the 2023 class while attacking the portal. But 7 of the 17 signees are rated as four-stars. Florida addressed the defensive side of the ball heavily with defensive backs Kamari Wilson and Devin Moore, linebacker Shemar James, and defensive linemen Chris McClellan and Jamari Lyons. Like USC, LSU, Miami, and others, look for Florida to have a big 2023 class from the high school ranks.

There is certainly no cause for alarm here, but the recruiting ratio, as well as the national rankings, suggest that there is a bit of an uphill climb for the Gators to get back to prominence among prep prospects. Napier and his new army of staffers are certainly aware of this and have already started wooing its 2023 targets. Fans of the Orange and Blue should have much to look forward to in the years ahead if all goes well.

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Oklahoma among top schools in ‘Blue Chip Ratio’ according to 247Sports

Oklahoma is among 16 teams capable of winning a national title in 2021 due to their 66% blue chip-ratio, per 247Sports.

A popular term in college football in recent years that gets tossed around a lot is a team’s “blue-chip ratio” and how it has a direct impact on winning on the field.

Simply put, a team’s blue-chip ratio is the amount of four and five-star recruits a team signs as opposed to three and two-star ones. If it is above 50%, that team is deemed a legitimate contender being that that has been the case for every national champion since modern recruiting rankings were put into place according to an article by Bud Elliot of 247Sports.

Put simply, to win the national championship, college football teams need to sign more four- and five-star recruits (AKA “Blue Chips”) than two- and three-star players over the previous four recruiting classes.

This has been true basically as far back as modern internet recruiting rankings have existed.

Media will sometimes hype a team which has not met the threshold as a national title contender, but history has shown that is not a smart practice. Think Wisconsin, Baylor, Michigan State, TCU, Utah, etc. over the last decade.

That being said, there are 16 teams that meet that criteria heading into the 2021 season, with Oklahoma being tied for the fifth-highest blue-chip ratio at 66%. The only teams with a higher mark are Alabama (84%), Georgia (80%), Ohio State (79%) and Clemson (67%).

Is this the end-all-be-all for winning a title? Certainly not, but it is a pattern that has been consistent and should wisely be expected to follow suit again next season. Although, as Elliot writes, there is bound to be one team to break through this mold.

No. At some point a team with maybe a high 40s number, a transcendent QB, and great injury luck will bust this. It’s bound to happen.

All of this is good news for the Sooners since they are on the right side of the numbers and their recruiting only seems to be improving under Lincoln Riley. The 2021 Oklahoma squad is expected to compete for a national title by many, and their blue-chip ratio supports that belief.