Alex’s best bet: Buffalo Bills at New York Jets prediction

SportsbookWire.com’s Alex White likes a side in the Buffalo Bills-New York Jets Week 6 Monday Night Football game.

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Alex White of SportsbookWire.com set her focus on the Monday Night Football game featuring the Buffalo Bills (3-2) at the New York Jets (2-3).

It’s Josh Allen vs. Aaron Rodgers. Kickoff from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, is slated for 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN).

Both teams are looking to turn things around — as they battle for 1st place in the AFC East.

The Bills are on a 2-game skid after starting the season 3-0.

The Jets fired coach Robert Saleh Tuesday, claiming disappointment in the direction the team appeared headed. New York is also on a 2-game slide.

Will the Jets respond in front of the home crowd against the 4-time defending AFC East champs?

The Bills are favored by 1 point (-110), per BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds as of Sunday at 10:18 p.m. ET — the line was 2.5 points earlier in the day.

Listen below to why Alex is on this play.


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Make sure to catch Alex on Sports By the Book Saturday 11 a.m.-noon ET, and Sunday through Wednesday noon-1 p.m. ET, and on Punch Lines every Monday and Wednesday 3 p.m.-4 p.m. ET — live from the South Point Sportsbook in Las Vegas. Follow @alexwhitee on Twitter/X.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

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Buffalo Bills at New York Jets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Buffalo Bills at New York Jets odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Buffalo Bills make the trip down to East Rutherford, N.J., on Monday to take on the New York Jets in the final game of Week 1. Kickoff at MetLife Stadium is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. E.T. (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Bills vs. Jets odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

New York has its sights set on the playoffs and beyond after making a huge splash in the offseason with multiple free agency signings. Aside from having last season’s offensive and defensive rookies of the year, the Jets traded for  legendary QB Aaron Rodgers and struck gold with the late free-agent addition of pro bowl RB Dalvin Cook to pair with dynamic Breece Hall in the backfield.

The Bills look to connect the dots with a comparable roster to the squad that’s led them to 3 consecutive AFC East crowns since 2020. An offense led by QB Josh Allen will continue to rely on his chemistry with premier WR Stefon Diggs. Buffalo will need to limit the giveaways and find that dynamic X-factor they can consistently rely on to push them over the top.

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Bills at Jets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 9:43 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bills -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Jets +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bills -1.5 (-110) | Jets +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bills at Jets key injuries

Bills

  • LB Von Miller (knee) PUP-R

Jets

  • Breece Hall (knee) Questionable

Bills at Jets picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 27, Jets 20

Moneyline

The feeling around the Bills is they have all the pieces they need to win. Look for them to come out with a chip on their shoulder to start their 2023 campaign against the new-look Jets. WR Garrett Wilson and the rest of the Jets offense will do their best to avoid growing pains with Rodgers, but it’s quite inevitable. Look for the BILLS (-130) to force the Jets to play from behind all night.

Against the spread

BILLS -1.5 (-110) is a better play unless you think Buffalois only to win by a point. The Jets young, athletic defense led by DBs Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed, have extremely bright futures ahead of them, but expect to see them out on the field a bit more than they would like.

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Over/Under

Over 45.5 (-110) is probably the right play here. Look for Rodgers to salvage some nice stats once the Jets fall behind. However, one can never count out the Hall of Famer and the extent to which he has an impact on the overall game. But I would STAY AWAY.

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Buffalo Bills at New York Jets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Buffalo Bills at New York Jets odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Buffalo Bills (6-1) travel to New Jersey to face the New York Jets (5-3) Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Bills vs. Jets odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Jets come into this game after laying an egg in a 22-17 Week 8 loss at home to the Patriots. QB Zach Wilson has not improved and with WR Corey Davis (knee injury) and Elijah Moore (sat Week 7 and played very little Week 8) missing time, the pass game has not had a chance to develop. The ground attack, once solid, has taken a hit with the season-ending injury (ACL) to rookie RB Breece Hall. The Jets traded for RB James Robinson (from Jacksonville) and if he can mesh with RB Michael Carter, New York could still have an outside chance to do some damage in the AFC.

The Bills on the other hand are the clear team to beat in the AFC. The Super Bowl favorites since the preseason, the Bills have done nothing to diminish the faith their fans should have in them.

QB Josh Allen has played at an MVP level, and he has not only a connection with WR Stefon Diggs but with WR 2 Gabriel Davis.

The defense, a worry with CB Tre’Davious White missing the beginning of the season, has been stellar as well. It leads the NFL in scoring defense (allowing 14.0 points per game) and with the offense being so good, this has led to a lot of lopsided victories. Buffalo beat the Green Bay Packers and QB Aaron Rodgers 27-17 last Sunday, but failed to cover as a 10.5-point home favorite — the loss handed Rodgers the first 4-game losing streak of his career.

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Bills at Jets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 4:17 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bills -600 (bet $600 to win $100) | Jets +440 (bet $100 to win $440)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bills -11 (-112) | Jets +11.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 46 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bills at Jets key injuries

Bills

  • OL Spencer Brown (ankle) questionable
  • LB Matt Milano (oblique) questionable
  • FS Jordan Poyer (elbow) out

Jets

  • WR Corey Davis (knee) out

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Bills at Jets picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 31, Jets 13

Moneyline

PASS. The Bills (-600) ML price is far too risky to wager on. It’s not wise to risk 6 times your potential profit.

Against the spread

BET BUFFALO -11 (-112).

The Bills have the best offense in the NFL when it comes to yards per game (430.6) — Kansas City is 2nd (403.3) — and as mentioned, the best defense in points allowed. This is not a good combination for the Jets, who are one-dimensional.

QB Wilson has not progressed and the Bills’ pass rush will eat him alive. When he can find time to throw the ball, the Bills’ White, likely to make his 2022 debut, will be there to defend any passes. This is not a good matchup for the Jets and Bills mafia will be extremely happy with the final result.

This is a mismatch all around, making BILLS -11 (-112) my FAVORITE PLAY of this game.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 46 (-110).

Both teams like to play games Under. So far this season, these teams have played 11 of their 15 combined Under games — Buffalo is 1-6 O/U, while New York is 3-5 O/U.

The only time the Bills went Over is when they put up 41 in a 41-7 victory vs. the Titans with an O/U line of 47. While the Bills score, as mentioned, they don’t give up points on defense.

QB Allen has also not been turnover prone, meaning the Jets will need to score on long drives. Something not likely to happen against this Buffalo pass rush and secondary. UNDER 46 (-110) is the play in this one.

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Buffalo Bills at New York Jets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Buffalo Bills at New York Jets Week 7 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The New York Jets (0-6) hope to earn their first win of the year Sunday in Week 7 as they host the Buffalo Bills (4-2), who have lost two in a row. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET at home at MetLife Stadium. Below, we preview the Bills-Jets Week 5 betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Bills at Jets betting odds and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 2:42 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Jets +460 (bet $100, win $460) | Bills -625 (Bet $625, win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Jets +12 (-110) | Bills -12 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 45.5 (O: -110, U: -110)

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Bills at Jets game notes

  • The Jets average only 12.5 points per game, the lowest average in the league.
  • They also allow the fourth-most points per game, giving up 30.8 points per contest.
  • Bills QB Josh Allen has thrown 16 touchdown passes and only four interceptions through six games.
  • Buffalo allows only 2.8 fewer points per game than the Jets.
  • The Bills average the fifth-fewest rushing yards per game (92.2 PG) in the league.

Bills at Jets key injuries

Bills

  • WR John Brown (knee) questionable
  • OT Cody Ford (knee) doubtful
  • TE Dawson Knox (calf) questionable
  • LB Matt Milano (pectoral) questionable
  • CB Josh Norman (hamstring) questionable
  • CB Tre’Davious White (back) questionable

Jets

  • LB Tarell Basham (illness) questionable
  • LT Mekhi Becton (shoulder) questionable
  • WR Jamison Crowder (groin) questionable
  • QB Sam Darnold (shoulder) questionable
  • RT George Fant (knee) questionable
  • K Sam Ficken (groin) questionable
  • OG Alex Lewis (shoulder) questionable
  • WR Breshad Perriman (ankle, knee) probable

Bills at Jets: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Bills 30, Jets 13

Money line (?)

The Jets are just horrible. They can’t score points and can’t stop anyone. This divisional rivalry can be interesting but Bills QB Allen will not have any trouble against this team. However, at -625, it isn’t worth the bet. AVOID.

Against the spread (?)

The Jets have yet to cover the spread in any game this season. Buffalo is 3-3 ATS. There is nothing about the Jets to trust against a team who is the favorite to win the division. Take the BILLS -12 (-110).

Over/Under (?)

Buffalo’s games have gone Over in four of six games. The Jets are 3-3 O/U. I don’t expect the Jets to score enough to carry their end of the deal. Take the UNDER (45.5).

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