Sports blog information from USA TODAY.
Who’s winning the Big 12 this season?
Big 12 football will look much different this season than in years past. Continue reading “Texas holds better odds than expected to win the Big 12 in 2022”
Oklahoma is the overwhelming favorite, while Kansas State may be lower than you’d expect.
PFF has recently gone through each college football conference with their own simulation numbers and analysis to determine the odds and win totals for each football team.
According to PFF, their percentages are derived from 10,000 simulations of each team’s regular-season schedule and a model of how the conference title game and College Football Playoff will play out.
Oklahoma is the overwhelming favorite in regards to the Big 12, while Kansas State may have landed lower than you’d expect. For Texas specifically, they are confident that Steve Sarkisian will take the program back to elite status. It helps that the Longhorns also deploy one of PFF’s top breakout candidates for 2021 in running back Bijan Robinson.
Here’s where each Big 12 team landed in PFF’s rankings:
Oklahoma is once again the odds-on favorite to win the Big 12 championship. Only the Sooners and Iowa State are slated ahead of Texas.
2009 was the last time Texas hoisted the Big 12 Trophy after a Hunter Lawrence game-winning field goal against Nebraska. Since then, 2018 was the only time the Longhorns have sniffed another conference championship. Kyler Murray and Grant Calcaterra ended the dream late in the fourth quarter at Jerry World.
Former head coach Tom Herman preached how the ultimate goal of the program was to win the Big 12. The same can be said for Steve Sarkisian. The latter has aspirations on the national level but winning your conference is step one.
Heading into the 2021 season, expectations have been lowered with a new head coach. Making the Big 12 championship game would be a plus and somehow winning it would be a real achievement. According to BetMGM, only two teams have better odds than Texas to win the conference.
Oklahoma is once again the odds-on favorite in the Big 12. Lincoln Riley’s squad is the only team not listed at plus odds. The gap between second-place Iowa State and third-place Texas is slimmer than Iowa State and Oklahoma.
Check where every team in the Big 12 stands:
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Texas will only play two of the top seven teams at home this season. Of course, Oklahoma is at the Cotton Bowl for the Red River Shootout. Iowa State, TCU, and West Virginia will be road games this season.
Analyzing the 2020 Big 12 Tournament odds and futures, with sports betting picks, tips and best bets.
The 2020 Big 12 Conference Tournament kicks off Wednesday at Sprint Center in Kansas City. The tournament features two matchups Wednesday, and four battles Thursday. The Kansas Jayhawks secured the No. 1 overall seed in the tournament, and a handful of teams are in good shape for at-large bids whether they win the tourney or not, while others need a deep run. Below, we look at the futures odds to win the Big 12 tournament.
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, March 11 at 10:45 a.m. ET.
Regular-season record: (28-3, 17-1 Big 12)
The Jayhawks enter the tourney as the hottest team in the conference, winners of 16 in a row. They’re also a very impressive 7-2 ATS across their past nine outings, so remember that as you bet single games through the postseason. Kansas is likely to land as one of the four No. 1 seeds in the NCAA Tournament barring an absolute disaster in their first game in this tournament.
Get some action on this event or others by placing a bet at BetMGM.
Kansas will be challenged by Baylor, a team they split with during the regular season. They won in Waco against the Bears 64-61 Feb. 22, so if they match up in the Final, expect to sweat out every minute. They’ll have a pro-Jayhawks crowd filling the seats in Kansas City, so that adds to their chances.
The FAVORITE IS WORTH A BET AT +105, as the Jayhawks are on a tear right now.
Regular-season record: (26-4, 15-3 Big 12)
The Bears looked like they were a slam-dunk No. 1 seed for most of the season, but they faltered down the stretch, going 2-3 straight up and 1-4 against the spread, losing to Kansas, at TCU and at West Virginia in the final month. As such, they’re not nearly as strong of a play as the favored Jayhawks. In fact, it’s Kansas, and then the drop-off is precipitous.
If you pick two teams to play, BAYLOR IS WORTH A SMALL-UNIT BET AT +315, but they’re playing their worst ball of the season.
Regular-season record: (21-10, 9-9 Big 12)
The Mountaineers humbled Baylor 76-63 in the regular-season finale March 7, bouncing back after a late three-game skid, and a 1-6 SU stretch between Feb. 8-29. Their late-season swoon really makes this a wide-open tourney, especially if Kansas somehow stumbles. Still, the Mountaineers were really bad down the stretch, and they played .500 ball in the conference. There’s not much value at this price. AVOID.
Regular-season record: (18-13, 9-9 Big 12)
The Red Raiders gave Kansas a scare in the regular-season finale, but they dropped each of their past four to go from an NCAA Tournament certainly to a bubble team in need of some quality wins. They got hot last season en route to their first-ever Final Four. Can they do it again? A four-game skid to close out the season suggests otherwise. AVOID.
Regular-season record: (19-12, 9-9 Big 12)
The Sooners might be the best value on the entire board. Some talking heads have them projected as a 9-seed for the NCAA Tournament, but they will likely breathe easier on Selection Sunday with a win or two in this tournament. Like Baylor, Texas Tech and West Virginia, the Sooner had their issues down the stretch. They lost three in a row from Feb. 15-22, although two of those losses were to Baylor and Kansas, so there’s no shame in that.
A SMALL-UNIT PLAY TO WIN THE BIG 12 AT +1600 IS A GREAT VALUE. Their defense ranks 36th in the country with a 39.9 defensive field-goal percentage. They’re also 20th in the nation in free-throw percentage at 76.6.
Regular-season record: (19-12, 9-9 Big 12)
The Longhorns looked to be rolling into the postseason, winning and covering five in a row from Feb. 19-March 3; however, they were smashed 81-59 at home by a mediocre Oklahoma State team, casting doubt on their viability and landing them right back on the bubble in need of two wins to realistically have a shot at the NCAA Tournament, if not an overall win. Confidence is low, as they were swept by Baylor, swept by Kansas and went 1-1 against Texas Tech and West Virginia. AVOID.
Regular-season record: (16-15, 7-11 Big 12)
The Horned Frogs were a thorn in people’s sides down the stretch, and they even beat Baylor Feb. 29 by a 75-72 count in Fort Worth. They were 2-4 SU/3-3 ATS in their final six games, and they lost two games to Kansas by a total of 23 points, showing they have nothing for the top seed. They also had an ugly 46-point loss at Texas Tech Feb. 10 which sticks out like a sore thumb. AVOID.
Regular-season record: (17-14, 7-11 Big 12)
The Cowboys finished with three wins to close out the regular season, hotter than any lower seed. In a wide-open Big 12, they have just as good of a chance as any to run to the Final, but can they beat Kansas? They lost by 15 and 25 to the Jayhawks, and were swept by Baylor by a total of 15 points. They were also pounded by West Virginia in two games by an average of 16 points. AVOID.
Regular-season record: (10-21, 3-15 Big 12)
K-State lost 10 straight games from Feb. 1 to March 4 before winning the final against Iowa State. Nothing to see here. AVOID.
Regular-season record: (12-19, 5-13 Big 12)
The Cyclones dropped 10 of their final 13 contests, and they were 1-5 ATS in their final six, so remember that for their first-round matchup. I-State lost two games to Kansas by a total of 46 points, two to Baylor by a total of 27, etc. No chance the Cyclones find any magic. AVOID.
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Odds to win the Big 12 have been released by Sports Betting Dime. As usual, Oklahoma are favorites at 9/5 and is followed by Texas at 5/1.
The Big 12 ended the 2019 season in miserable fashion, with Texas being the only team in the conference to win their bowl game. Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, and Oklahoma State all lost their bowl games, making the Big 12’s overall record 1-5 during bowl season.
Moving on to 2020 and odds to win the conference have been released by Sports Betting Dime. As usual, the Sooners are favorites to win it at 9/5 and is followed by Texas at 5/1 and Iowa State at 6/1. The list rounds out with Kansas and Texas Tech at 90/1, with West Virginia firmly ahead of them at 25/1.
Here are the full odds:
Early 2020 odds for the Big 12, per Sports Betting Dime. TCU picked to finish seventh (18/1). pic.twitter.com/HCJND3QkAM
— Drew Davison (@drewdavison) January 14, 2020
The Longhorns get to face the toughest opponents of the year at home this season, playing host to Baylor in October and Iowa State in November. As usual, the Texas-Oklahoma game will be held in Dallas at the Cotton Bowl. The schedule is favorable for Texas, getting their tough games in Austin this year.
With Texas having the second-best odds, they are expected to make the Big 12 Championship game. Facing Oklahoma, it would be the second time in three years the two teams meet up twice in one season, making each matchup more important than the last.
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