Oklahoma picked to win the Big 12 in way-too-early prediction by SI’s Killer Frogs

In their way-too-early look at the 2022 football season, SI’s Killer Frogs believes the Sooners are the team to beat in the Big 12.

There seems to be a perception among national analysts that the Oklahoma Sooners are set to take a step back after the coaching change and transfer portal losses.

Like The Athletic’s Steward Mandel, some aren’t considering what Oklahoma gained through the transfer portal to replenish their roster. ESPN’s Bill Connely had the Oklahoma Sooners at No. 7 in his 2022 SP+ projection, but that takes a look at recent success and their No. 8 incoming recruiting class.

Generally, the perception is the Sooners may not be as good as their 2021 team that finished 12-2 and failed to make the Big 12 title game. However, over at SI’s Killer Frogs, they think the Sooners are the team to beat in the Big 12 and have them as their way-too-early prediction as Big 12 champion.

The Sooners dominated the transfer portal. It’s a dirty word to many, but the modern iteration of college football demands you either win the transfer portal or sign a top-tier quarterback in recruiting. Oklahoma signed the fourth-ranked transfer class in the nation per 247Sports. – Gibbons, Killer Frogs on SI

The Sooners attacked the transfer portal and added arguably the most productive and experienced quarterback available in Dillon Gabriel. They also added Jeffrey Johnson out of Tulane and Jonah Laulu out of Hawaii to help offset the losses of Perrion Winfrey, Nik Bonitto, and Isaiah Thomas to the NFL.

On Gabriel, here’s what Killer Frogs writer Brett Gibbons had to say:

That class is headlined by UCF superstar Dillon Gabriel. In 26 games at UCF, Gabriel amassed a ridiculous 8,067 yards, threw for 70 touchdowns, and only 14 interceptions. Per game, that’s over 310 yards and 2.7 touchdowns. This kid is downright special. – Gibbons, Killer Frogs on SI

In addition to Gabriel’s arrival, the Sooners have an experienced duo in Marvin Mims and Theo Wease at wide receiver and are bringing back three starters along the offensive line. Brayden Willis has played a ton for the Sooners and should be primed for a breakout season.

The secondary is experienced with Woodi Washington, D.J. Graham, Justin Broiles, and Key Lawrence, while the linebacker position is the deepest group on the field.

Much has been made of Brent Venables’ inexperience as a head coach. However, Gibbons speaks to the championship pedigree of Venables and several of his assistants, including Ted Roof, who was the defensive coordinator for Auburn’s 2010 title run.

The Sooners still have a lot of work to do to install Venables and Roof’s defense and adopt Jeff Lebby’s offense. Despite the losses, they’ve got experienced players on both sides of the ball that should help minimize the impact of the Sooners coaching change.

Contact/Follow us @SoonersWire on Twitter, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Oklahoma news, notes, and opinions. Let us know your thoughts, comment on this story below. Join the conversation today.

[listicle id=54172]

Texas Football: Updated FPI and game-by-game predictions for Longhorns

Following their opening week win, the latest FPI rankings are favoring the Texas Longhorns moving forward. Could it be a magical season?

The latest FPI (Football Power Index) results are favoring the Texas Longhorns heavily in the Big 12. Previously they were ranked just outside of the top 10 teams. Following the 59-3 opening weekend win, Longhorns Wire takes a look at the newly updated numbers from ESPN.

The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.- From ESPN’s website on what is the FPI

Updated FPI rankings per ESPN

FPI Rank 6wins % Win Conf Playoffs Win Natty
Updated 5 20.1 99.3 51.7 42.5 5.8
Last Week 8 19.0 97.1 39.6 29.4 3.5

Updated game by game predictions per ESPN

Opponent Win Prob Prev Win Prob Change
Texas Tech 91.5 79.0 +12.5
TCU 77.8 75.4 +2.4
Oklahoma 60 49.9 +11.1
Baylor 87 85.4 +1.6
Oklahoma State 63.4 60.3 +3.1
West Virginia 89.1 89.6 -0.5
Kansas 96.5 94.6 +1.9
Iowa State 90.1 81.1 +9.0
Kansas State 85.4 75.5 +9.9

Related: ESPN projects Longhorns record using win probability

After one week of Big 12 play where seven of the 10 took the field, the Longhorns saw a huge swing their way. At least when it comes to the ESPN computers. Despite the fact that Oklahoma also won big over the weekend, the Longhorns win over UTEP is valued much higher. In terms of the simulations ran for the updated FPI.

We are seeing the Longhorns go from a projected eight-win season to now looking at a perfect 10-0 record. Certaintly games are played on the field but the analytics are all pointing to the Texas Longhorns making a very strong push in the conference.

Even with the conference looking less than stellar over the weekend with a 4-3 record, they still have an opportunity to send a team to the College Football Playoffs. Provided either Oklahoma or Texas win out they will likely be in the playoffs. Question is can they finally get over the hump this year and take down Oklahoma twice? We will find out in just less than a month at the Cotton Bowl.

Big 12 Football Basketball School Rankings: Hoops and Helmets 2019-2020

Which Big 12 schools had the best and worst years in the two major sports – football and men’s basketball?

[jwplayer eniJo7Qb]


Which Big 12 schools had the best and worst years in the two major sports – football and men’s basketball? Which fan bases got the glory, and which ones didn’t have any fun?


Contact @PeteFiutak

On the field and court – whose fans had the most fun?

Of course every school has sports outside of the big two that matter and generate revenue, but when it comes to what athletic departments need, it’s really all about college football and men’s basketball.

Which Big 12 schools had the best and worst seasons?

Here’s how these rankings work.

1) The top-ranked schools with teams that went to a bowl game and would’ve played in the NCAA Tournament.

2) The next group had stronger football seasons and were okay in basketball. The superstar basketball schools get credit, but football is the bigger revenue generator.

3) One or the other. Usually there’s a disparity with one good season in one sport an a clunker in the other. It’s sort of a catch-all before …

4) The disasters. No bowl game, there wouldn’t have been a trip to the NCAA Tournament, no fun.

The worst-to-best Big 12 schools in 2019-2020 in college football and college basketball …

Big 12 Hoops and Helmets: Losers In Both Sports

These schools suffered the indignity of failing to come up a spot in the post-season – most likely for the NCAA Tournament – in the two major sports. The fans didn’t get to have any fun.

10. TCU Horned Frogs

2019 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 41
2018 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 10
Football: 5-7 overall, 3-6 in conference, T7th in Big 12
Basketball: 16-16 overall, 7-11 in conference, T7th in Big 12

9. Texas Tech Red Raiders

2019 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 32
2018 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 22
Football: 4-8 overall, 2-7 in conference, 9th in Big 12
Basketball: 18-13 overall, 9-9 in conference, T3rd in Big 12


Big 12 Hoops and Helmets: Good In One Sport, Not The Other

8. Iowa State Cyclones

2019 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 19
2018 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 73
Football: 7-5 overall, 5-4 in conference, T3rd in Big 12
Basketball: 12-20 overall, 5-13 in conference, 9th in Big 12

7. West Virginia Mountaineers

2019 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 84
2018 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 9
Football: 5-7 overall, 3-6 in conference, T7th in Big 12
Basketball: 21-10 overall, 9-9 in conference, T3rd in Big 12

6. Kansas State Wildcats

2019 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 59
2018 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 13
Football: 8-5 overall, 5-4 in conference, T3rd in Big 12
Basketball: 11-21 overall, 3-15 in conference, 10th in Big 12

5. Oklahoma State Cowboys

2019 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 76
2018 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 35
Football: 8-5 overall, 5-4 in conference, T3rd in Big 12
Basketball: 18-14 overall, 7-11 in conference, T7th in Big 12

4. Texas Longhorns

2019 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 33
2018 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 26
Football: 8-5 overall, 5-4 in conference, T3rd in Big 12
Basketball: 19-12 overall, 9-9 in conference, T3rd in Big 12

3. Kansas Jayhawks

2019 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 72
2018 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 62
Football: 3-9 overall, 1-8 in conference, 10th in Big 12
Basketball: 28-3 overall, 17-1 in conference, 1st in Big 12


Big 12 Hoops and Helmets: Bowl and probably would’ve made the NCAA Tournament

2. Oklahoma Sooners

2019 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 2
2018 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 7
Football: 12-2 overall, 8-1 in conference, 1st in Big 12
Basketball: 19-12 overall, 9-9 in conference, T3rd in Big 12

1. Baylor Bears

2019 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 28
2018 Hoops & Helmets National Ranking: 105
Football: 26-4 overall, 15-3 in conference, 2nd in Big 12
Basketball: 11-3 overall, 8-1 in conference, T1st in Big 12

[protected-iframe id=”361699434b6d70baf15f631ed2408ac1-97672683-92922408″ info=”https://www.googletagservices.com/tag/js/gpt.js” ]