Sports blog information from USA TODAY.
NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.
This week the number of prop bets have been significantly reduced with six teams on their bye week, but the picks cover the gamut – two of the AFC’s best hitting the Over, two NFC quarterbacks who won’t hit their number, and one of the league’s most physical receivers getting into the end zone.
Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 7 sports betting and DFS action.
A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 7.
These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.
Note: Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
OFF = No odds currently listed.
[betwidget_betmgm]
The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 7.
This week we have as few games to choose from as any week during the season with six teams sharing a bye week. We found an eclectic mix – a down-and-out home underdog, a game to go Under, a game to Over, and a couple of NFC West teams bringing the hammer down on lesser opponents.
Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.
NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.
Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.
New BetMGM customers can sign up today and get a First Bet Offer up to $1,500 using bonus code USAT. Just download the BetMGM app, deposit at least $10 and place your first wager on any game. If your first bet loses, you will receive bonus bets in the amount of your bet (up to $1,500). Just make sure you use bonus code USAT when you sign up. Bet Now!
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. CO, DC, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NV, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY. Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA). 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in DC, New York or Ontario.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey
A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 7 action.
It has been a brutal year for quarterbacks, which has dramatically impacted betting lines. We’re only six weeks into the NFL season and the number of quarterbacks out, missing time or playing with injuries is astounding for this early in a season.
The list includes Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert, Trevor Lawrence, Kyler Murray, Justin Fields, Deshaun Watson, Aaron Rodgers, Anthony Richardson, Bryce Young, Jimmy Garoppolo, Daniel Jones and Ryan Tannehill.
Those guys represent starters for 38 percent of NFL teams, and nobody has played more than six games. It’s looks like it’s survivor mode in 2023.
Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
Three of Jacksonville’s four wins have come by double digits, and the Saints’ three wins have come against teams with a combined record of 3-18. The reason the spread is this close is because of questions as to whether Trevor Lawrence will play. I believe he does and makes the difference. Take the Jaguars on the moneyline (+100).
This game has the lowest Over/Under of the week (37.5 points at -110 Over, -110 Under). You can’t get too much lower than this in an NFL game, but with injuries to both starting quarterbacks, the potential matchup of Aidan O’Connell vs. Tyson Bagent doesn’t do much for fans of either team – much less casual fans. Take Under 37.5 points (-110).
Another battle of backup quarterbacks for offenses designed to run a lot. Points will be at a premium, which is why the Over/Under is low (40 points at -110 for both). This game has the look of more punts than scoring chances. Take Under 40 points (-110).
The Patriots have scored 20 points in their last three games combined, which makes them a heavy home underdog (8.5 points at -110 for both the Bills and Patriots). The Bills have a penchant for putting a beating on inferior teams and have beaten the Patriots by double digits in each of their last three meetings. Take the Bills and lay 8.5 points (-110).
Washington’s problem is defense, having allowed 33 or more points in four of their last five games. New York’s problem is offense, having scored just 71 points in six games. The Commanders are a small favorite (2.5 points at -105 Commanders, -115 Giants). It won’t take a ton of points to cover this spread. Take the Commanders and lay 2.5 points (-105).
There’s a reason this O/U is so low (38 points at -110 for both Over and Under). The Bucs have hit under this number in four of five games. The Falcons have scored just 50 points in their last four games. Both offenses are trying to find their footing, which could lend itself to a lot of running. Take Under 38 points (-110).
The Lions haven’t scored under 20 points in any game this season, which makes this Over/Under suspect (42 points at -110 for both). The Ravens have scored 24 or more points in all four of their wins and are home favorites. Too many stars align for this game to have more points than projected. Take Over 42 points (-110).
[lawrence-related id=483112]
The Rams are the standard home favorite for evenly matched teams (3 points at -110 for both teams). The Steelers find ways to win games like this and are in line to improve to 4-2 with a win. This one could be a one-point game, so being given the cushion of three points is a bonus. Take the Steelers plus 3 points (-110).
The Cardinals are 1-5 and in free fall, having lost their last three games by 19, 14 and 17 points. Seattle has only played at home once since Week 1, and the 12th Man will be lending its loud support. The Seahawks are a solid favorite (7.5 points at -110 for both teams), but it should be higher given Arizona’s recent struggles. Take the Seahawks and lay 7.5 points (-110).
After a strong start, Green Bay has lost three of its last four games and has a decimated offensive line. The Broncos are 1-5 and looking awful, but the Packers are only a one-point favorite. The oddsmakers know something on this one. Take the Broncos on the moneyline (-110).
The Chargers continue to find ways to lose, but the Chiefs haven’t been blowing people out. KC is a decent favorite (5.5 points at -110 for both). As with every bet involving the Chargers, you have to expect the bonehead coaching decision that turns a close game into a loss. Take the Chiefs and lay 5.5 points (-110).
Miami has been the story of 2023, but their five wins came against the Chargers, Patriots, Broncos, Giants and Panthers. The Eagles are small favorites (2 points at -110 for both) but are the better team. This should be a wild one with the world watching, and the Eagles should lay claim to their spot at the top of the NFL. Take the Eagles and lay 2 points (-110).
Some teams just have another team’s number. The 49ers pound Minnesota every time they play and are strong road favorites (6.5 points at -110 for both teams). Without Justin Jefferson, Minnesota needs to be a ball-control team. Even with injuries to Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel, the Niners have the horses to win this one big. Take the 49ers and lay 6.5 points (-110).
The best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.
The majority of the league is hovering around 3-3, and it’s time to create some separation among them.
This week, I’m making four picks of teams that should win handily and project their yardage accordingly. They also come in the early slate of games Sunday, so you can head to the pay window and enjoy the autumn afternoon shortly after 4 p.m. Eastern.
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook
A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 7 sports betting and DFS action.
A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 7.
These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook
OFF = No odds currently listed.
[betwidget_tipico]
[betwidget_betmgm]
Five wagers worth making in NFL Week 7.
Week 6 was an eye-opener where being the favorite made those teams endangered species. Seven of the 14 games ended with the underdog winning on the moneyline and nine winning against the spread.
We have a mixed bag of picks to try to get you to the pay window, including a Super Bowl contender at a crossroads, a team whose fan base isn’t convinced they’ll win, a surprising underdog pick, and two games in which the point spreads seem too high – including the second-lowest Over/Under on the board.
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook
The smartest Week 7 wagers from around the NFL.
Week 6 was one the strangest week of the season, and many bettors took it on the chin. As a general rule, gamblers like taking favorites and are hoping for a lot of scoring. That hasn’t been the tone all season – defenses have been playing better than offenses, and the quarterback situation has been bleak.
Week 6 had 14 games. Of those, 10 of them went under the projected point total and six underdogs won outright. You won’t see that again very often, but it has opened the eyes to the possibility of Week 6 happening again somewhere down the line.
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook
Arizona has been one of the more disappointing teams this season, which explains why they’re so slightly favored (2.5 points at +105 Saints, -115 Cardinals). The Cardinals offense has struggled badly but is due for a big game. It comes this week. Take the Cardinals and lay 2.5 points (-115).
Both teams are coming off upset losses and need a win in a mediocre division (by record anyway). The Over/Under is a little high for two teams that prefer to run (45.5 points at -110 for both Over and Under). This game has the feel of a tight-to-the-vest divisional game, because of its importance in the standings, where risks are minimized and field goals are as important as touchdowns. Take the Under (-110).
Both teams are a surprise 3-3 – the Bengals for the worse and the Falcons for the better. Cincinnati is big a favorite (6.5 points at -112 Falcons, -108 Bengals). I’m not a believer in Atlanta and believe the Bengals are better on both sides of the ball. Take the Bengals and lay the 6.5 points (-112).
The Packers have won 13 games each of the last three seasons but will have to win 10 of the final 11 games to repeat that feat. The Packers are a moderate road favorite (4.5 points at -112 Packers, -108 Commanders). The Packers won’t lose three straight and will come after the Commanders early to set the tempo. Take the Packers and lay 4.5 points (-112).
The Titans are coming off their bye and are an extremely small home favorite (2.5 points at -101 Colts, -120 Titans). I don’t have much faith at all in the Colts being able to string together wins. Jonathan Taylor is back in practice, but the Titans are rested and at home. Take the Titans and lay 2.5 points (-120).
The Giants are 5-1 but are still and a road underdog against the Jaguars (3.5 points at -130 Giants, +105 Jaguars). While I am more impressed with the Jags than most, I’m not willing to lay those points against a team that has beaten the Packers and Ravens the last two weeks – both better teams than Jacksonville. Take the Giants plus 3.5 (-130).
Dak Prescott is expected back, but the Cowboys have morphed into a different team in his absence. It would appear the oddsmakers are expecting a shootout given the Over/Under (48.5 points at -108 Over, -105 Under). I’m not convinced Detroit will score more than 17 points against the Cowboys defense and Prescott is shaking off rust. Take the Under (-105).
The Buccaneers have lost three of their last four games but are heavy road favorites (10.5 points at -110 for both teams). That said, the Panthers have lost their last three games by 10, 22 and 14 points and are currently entertaining a fire sale before the trade deadline. Take the Buccaneers and lay 10.5 points (-110).
The Raiders were a playoff team last year but are fighting for their lives in 2022. They’re a solid favorite (6.5 points at -101 Texans, -120 Raiders). When they had to win to avoid being 0-4 and down-and-out, they won. To avoid going 1-5 and facing a similar fate, they win again. Take the Raiders and lay 6.5 points (-120).
[lawrence-related id=470743]
The Jets are one of the feel-good stories of the season, and Russell Wilson has been a dumpster fire. The Broncos are the slightest of home favorites (1.5 points at -112 Jets, -108 Broncos). Every game the Broncos have played this year has been within three points in the fourth quarter. It may be ugly, but the Broncos find a way at home. Take the Broncos and lay 1.5 points (-117).
The Seahawks offense has been surprisingly robust, explains why this game has the highest Over/Under of the week (51.5 points). You know the Chargers are going to throw, which is why I’m more interested in the Chargers being favored (5.5 points at -105 Seahawks, -115 Chargers). I don’t believe in the Seahawks and believe this one could easily be a double-digit Chargers win. Take the Chargers and lay 5.5 points (-115).
The 49ers are capable of looking like a Super Bowl team one week and hot garbage the next. This is just their third home game, and they’re a home underdog (2.5 points at -125 Chiefs, +100 49ers). San Francisco plays a smashmouth style that they impose on opponents and certain teams fall prey to it. The Chiefs could blow them away, but I’m playing a hunch on this one. Take the 49ers on the moneyline (+125).
The Steelers are coming off an upset win over the Buccaneers but are facing a Dolphins team getting Tua Tagovailoa back, and they’re a huge home favorite (7.5 points at -125 Steelers, +100 Dolphins). Those setting the line are daring you to take Miami. I’ll be their huckleberry. The banged-up Steelers defense has no answer for Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Take the Dolphins and lay 7.5 points (+100).
NFL fans have had their fill of primetime stink bombs, but this has all the makings of seeing fewer than 40 passes thrown. This game has the lowest Over/Under of the week (39.5 points at -117 Over, -103 Under). It’s that low for a reason. There will likely be more run plays than pass plays, and one 12-play drive can eat half of quarter off the clock. Take the Under (-103).
[betwidget_tipico]
[betwidget_betmgm]
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
