Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (58-53) and Tampa Bay Rays (58-52) kick off a 3-game series at Tropicana Field Friday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: tied 8-8

The Orioles are 7-2 in their last 9 games. Baltimore has pitched its way to a sparkling 27-14 mark over its last 41 games. The Orioles own a 3.36 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over that stretch, including a 3.07 ERA on the road.

The Rays are back at home after a 3-3 road trip and a day off Thursday. Tampa Bay has struggled while going 7-11 with a .647 OPS over 18 games since the All-Star break.

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Orioles at Rays projected starters

RHP Austin Voth vs. RHP Corey Kluber

Voth (2-1, 5.53 ERA) has appeared in 31 games and made 8 starts. He owns a 1.57 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 55 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 1 ER on 8 hits and 5 BB with 8 K over 8 IP across 2 starts and 1 relief appearance vs. Tampa Bay in 2022.
  • Has been hurt by a .363 batting average on balls in play.

Kluber (7-6, 4.05 ERA) makes his 22nd start of the season. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 111 IP.

  • Owns a 5.21 ERA over his last 7 starts.
  • Facing Baltimore for the 6th time this season (4.38 ERA in 24 2/3 IP across the first 5 meetings).

Orioles at Rays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orioles +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Rays -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-175) | Rays -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Orioles at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Orioles 2

Money line

PASS: The Rays are a play up to -150.

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Run line/Against the spread

The home/road splits for both squads make Tampa Bay the play here. So does the righty-righty matchup on the mound. The Rays are also more battle-tested of late.

TAKE TAMPA BAY -1.5 (+140).

Over/Under

Both starters have better xERAs than surface ERAs, and both bullpens are solid and in good shape heading into the series.

Put the Under 7.5 (-112) on a line watch. PASS on the current tag, but consider a partial-unit play if the price gets to -108 or better.

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Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (54-58) will host the Baltimore Orioles (58-52) at Fenway Park on Thursday night for their 9th meeting of the season. First pitch will be at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Orioles lead 5-3

The Orioles come into this game red hot, winning 7 of their last 8 games to get back into the mix in the American League playoff race – despite trading away 1B Trey Mancini before the deadline.

The Red Sox are trending in the opposite direction, losing 4 in a row and 6 of their last 7. They’ve been outscored 35-20 in their  last 4games.

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Orioles at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Austin Voth vs. RHP Josh Winckowski

Voth (2-1, 5.53 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 55 1/3 IP.

  • A reliever for the Washington Nationals, he’s transitioned to a role as a starter after being claimed by Orioles
  • With the Orioles he’s 2-1 with a 3.19 ERA in 12 appearances (8 starts). In his last 4 starts, he’s allowed 6 ER in 16 innings

Winckowski (5-5, 4.68 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 50 IP.

  • Has factored into the decision of every start he’s made this season, but he’s just 2-4 in his last 6 outings
  • In his season debut on May 28, he allowed 4 ER in 3 innings against the Orioles in a game the Red Sox lost 4-2

Orioles at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:47 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Orioles +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-175) | Red Sox -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Orioles at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Red Sox 5

Money line

Despite losing 4 in a row, the Red Sox are still favored at home against the surging Orioles. That’s not a bet I want to take after seeing the way Boston has played recently.

I actually like the ORIOLES (+110) to win straight up on the road and continue their hot streak. Voth has pitched much better with the Orioles than he did with Washington, posting a 3.19 ERA in Baltimore. He won’t shut down a powerful Red Sox lineup, but he should be able to hold them in check enough.

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Run line/Against the spread

While I do like the Orioles in this matchup, I don’t like the idea of taking them to cover the spread at -175. It’s not worth the juice and I’d much rather just bet them to win outright against a team they’ve beaten 5 of 8 times this year. PASS.

Over/Under

In their last 2 meetings, at least 10 runs were scored in each (10-0 and 12-2). I don’t think Thursday’s score will be as lopsided, but this is a weaker pitching matchup at a hitter-friendly park.

The total is set higher at 9.5, but it’s still a number I’d bet the OVER (-125) on. I would just like to see the line come down a bit closer to even money.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (58-52) host the Toronto Blue Jays (60-50). Wednesday for the 3rd game of their 4 game series in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Baltimore has won the 1st two games of this series by a combined score of 13-9 and the Orioles are a half-game behind the Tampa Bay Rays for the 3rd and final AL wild card seed.

Toronto is atop the AL wild card standings by 1.5 games but has won just once in the last 5 games.

Season series: The Orioles lead 4-2

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Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Dean Kremer 

Berrios is 8-4 with a 5.19 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 118 IP across 22 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in Toronto’s 6-5 loss at the Minnesota Twins Friday with 3 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 HR, 2 BB and 1 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Orioles: 1 start, a no-decision in Toronto’s 7-6 home win June 15 with 7 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 HR, 0 BB and 8 K.

Kremer is 4-3 with a 3.43 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 57 2/3 IP over 11 starts.

  • Last start: Won 1-0 at home Friday vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates with 6 1/3 scoreless IP, 4 H, 0 BB and 2 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Blue Jays: 0-1 with an 11.32 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 12 H, 6 HR, 9 BB and 8 K in 3 starts.

Blue Jays at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:04 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Blue Jays -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Orioles +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+105) | Orioles +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +115 | U: -145)

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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5, Blue Jays 3

Money line

LEAN ORIOLES (+125) only because Baltimore’s RL is a better look.

But, Berrios has been terrible on the road this season. He’s 2-4 on the road (vs. 6-0 at home) with a 7.50 ERA (3.23 home ERA) and 1.59 WHIP (1.14 home WHIP) in 11 starts. Also, Baltimore’s bullpen is way better than Toronto’s.

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Run line/Against the spread

BET ORIOLES +1.5 (-130) because they are 31-9 RL as home underdogs while the Blue Jays -1.5 (+105) are 15-26 RL as road favorites.

Furthermore, Toronto is 2-5 RL as road favorites when Berrios is on the mound with a minus-39.2% return on investment (ROI) whereas Baltimore is 2-1 RL as home underdogs with Kremer as the starter.

The ORIOLES +1.5 (-130) is my favorite bet in this game.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-145) only because Berrios gets smoked on the road and I’d rather wait for the Blue Jays-Orioles total to dip to 9 or lower with a better payout.

However, Baltimore’s bullpen has been lights out this year, the Orioles are 0-3 O/U in Kremer’s 3 home starts as an underdog and the presumed sharp side of the market is backing the Under while the public is betting the Over, per Pregame.com.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (60-49) and Baltimore Orioles (57-52) continue a 3-game AL East series Tuesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Baltimore leads 3-2

Toronto lost Monday’s series opener 7-4 and has thus far gone 3-4 on a winding road trip that has included stops at the Tampa Bay Rays and Minnesota Twins. Clutch hitting has undone the Blue Jays of late. The Jays have gone just 6-for-32 (.188) with runners in scoring position over their last 4 losses.

The Orioles have won 5 of their last 6 games and 10 of their last 14. Baltimore’s pitching has been sharp, posting a 3.17 ERA over that stretch.

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Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

RHP Alek Manoah vs. RHP Kyle Bradish

Manoah (12-5, 2.45 ERA) is tabbed for his 22nd start of the season. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 132 IP.

  • Tossed 6-scoreless IP June 13 in his lone start against Baltimore in 2022.
  • Owns a 2.42 ERA across 4 career starts against Baltimore (2021-22).
  • Has given the Jays 6 innings or more in 6 of his last 8 starts.

Bradish (1-4, 6.55 ERA) has thrown 56 1/3 innings through 12 starts. He has registered a 1.65 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9.

  • Has allowed 3 runs in 10 IP since coming off the IL (shoulder) July 29.
  • Has yielded 5 ER or more in a game 4 times this season. One of those was against these Blue Jays when he allowed 5 ER on 9 H across 4 1/3 IP opposite Manoah June 13.

Blue Jays at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:04 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Blue Jays -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Orioles +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (-108) | Orioles +1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Orioles 3

Money line

Peg the Orioles as being overcooked and a bit cluster-lucky (grouping and avoiding groups of hits in an advantageous way) on both sides of the ball.

Toronto’s offense is capable of more, and Manoah has been sharp enough as he’s worked around walks in tough recent road starts at the Twins, Boston Red Sox and Seattle Mariners.

BACK THE BLUE JAYS (-175).

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Run line/Against the spread

More aggressive bettors may want to split their action on the Jays, placing half a unit on the above play and another half on TORONTO -1.5 (-108).

The risk is in the frequency (higher than average) with which these 2 clubs tangle in 1-run affairs. The average MLB club has played in 30 1-run games: Toronto has played in 38; Baltimore has played in 34.

Over/Under

PASS: Value signals here swing both ways.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (60-48) and Baltimore Orioles (56-52) open a 3-game AL East series Monday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: tied 2-2

The Blue Jays are continuing an ungainly road trip that has thus far included stops at the Tampa Bay Rays and Minnesota Twins. Toronto has thus far gone 3-3 on the trip.

The Orioles had a 5-game win streak snapped Sunday. Baltimore pitching has been sharp, posting a 3.52 ERA with the club going 10-6 since the All-Star break.

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Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Jordan Lyles

Kikuchi (4-5, 4.86 ERA) has pitched 74 innings over 18 starts. He’s logged a 1.47 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9.

  • Has allowed just 3 ER over 9 IP across 2 starts since the All-Star break.
  • Allowed 4 runs in a 4-frame stint June 13 against the Orioles.
  • Owns a 5.74 ERA and 1.91 WHIP on the road.

Lyles (8-8, 4.40 ERA) is making his 23rd start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 124 2/3 IP.

  • Has notched a 2.68 ERA at Camden Yards in 2022 and a 2.35 ERA across his last 23 IP there.
  • Owns a Boeing 7.48 ERA across 4 lifetime starts against Toronto.

Blue Jays at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:12 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Blue Jays -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Orioles +115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+110) | Orioles +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Orioles 4

Money line

Peg the Orioles as being overcooked and a bit cluster-lucky (grouping and avoiding groups of hits in an advantageous way) on both sides of the ball.

Toronto’s offense is capable of more, and Kikuchi faces a Baltimore order swung around to the lesser side of its platoon numbers (.678 OPS vs. lefty pitching).

With fair pricing here, BACK THE BLUE JAYS (-140).

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Run line/Against the spread

More aggressive bettors may want to split their action on the Jays, placing half a unit on the above play and another half on TORONTO -1.5 (+110).

The risk is in the frequency (higher than average) with which these 2 clubs tangle in 1-run affairs. The average MLB club has played in 30 1-run games: Toronto has played in 38; Baltimore has played in 34.

Over/Under

PASS: Value signals here swing both ways.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (43-62) face the Baltimore Orioles (51-54) Friday in the 1st game of a 3-game set at Camden Yards. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting since the 2017 season. Baltimore leads the series 12-8 since 2005.

Pittsburgh is coming off an unlikely 3-game sweep of the Milwaukee Brewers. They lost 7 in a row before that series and were 8-12 in the last 20 games. The Pirates are a young, sneaky team that could cause some contenders trouble down the stretch.

Despite trading a couple of pieces away at the deadline, the O’s are coming off a 3-game sweep of the Texas Rangers. The Orioles outscored the Rangers 21-7 in the series. Baltimore has won 7 of 10 and is 29-20 at home.

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Pirates at Orioles projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Dean Kremer

Keller (3-7, 4.37 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 101 IP.

  • Last 4 starts: 1-1, 1.80 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 7.6 K/9
  • Not much of a decline on the road: 4.44 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 vs. 4.30 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.2 K/9 at home

Kremer (3-3, 3.86 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 51 1/3 IP.

  • Last 3 starts: 0-2, 8.56 ERA, 1.83 WHIP
  • Has a 4.26 ERA and 1.30 WHIP at home vs. 3.46 ERA and 1.50 WHIP on road

Pirates at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:17 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Pirates +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Orioles -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-160) | Orioles -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Pirates at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Pirates 4

Money line

Neither starter figures to last too long, which means this will be a battle of bullpen attrition. The Orioles flaunt the 4th-best bullpen ERA at 3.06, and Pittsburgh’s is 4th-worst at 4.44. We’ll take the ORIOLES (-160) for a HALF UNIT as the ML is right at my limit, and these starters are too unpredictable to take on the First 5.

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Run line/Against the spread

All 7 of Baltimore’s wins in the last 10 games have been by 2 or more runs. It’s just a lean here because we could be playing with fool’s gold. But LEAN ORIOLES -1.5 (+130).

Over/Under

The Over is 3-0-1 in the Pirates’ last 4 games and 4-0-1 in their last 5 against a right-handed starter. The Over is 4-0 in the Orioles’ last 4 against a righty and 8-0 in the last 8 home games against a sub-.500 team. The Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between the teams and 4-1 in the last 5 in Baltimore. That’s enough for me to take the OVER 8.5 (-107).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (52-51) visit Globe Life Field Tuesday to play the Texas Rangers (46-56) for the 2nd-game of their 3-game set. First pitch is at 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Baltimore leads 4-0 and has a plus-8 run differential

Baltimore won the series opener 7-2 Monday with Orioles batters 1-4 (CF Cedric Mullins, C Adley Rutschman, DH Anthony Santander and 1B Ryan Mountcastle) going 8-for-17 at the plate with 1 home run, 3 doubles and 6 RBIs. Rangers RHP Jon Gray exited in the 2nd inning with discomfort in his side.

The Orioles traded now-former All-Star closer Jorge Lopez to the Minnesota Twins and 1B Trey Mancini to the Houston Astros before Tuesday’s trade deadline.

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Orioles at Rangers projected starters

RHP Jordan Lyles vs. RHP Spencer Howard      

Lyles is 7-8 with a 4.56 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 118 1/3 IP over 21 starts.

  • Last start: Win, 3-0, at home Thursday vs. the Tampa Bay Rays with 5 2/3-scoreless IP, 3 H, 4 BB and 4 K.
  • This is a “revenge game” for Lyles who pitched in Texas in the previous 2 seasons.

Howard is 2-2 with a 5.93 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 30 1/3 IP across 6 starts and 2 relief appearances.

  • Last start: Win, 2-0, Thursday at the Los Angeles Angels with 5-scoreless IP, 3 H, 0 BB and 5 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Orioles: No-decision in Texas’s 10-9 loss in Baltimore Tuesday with 4 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 2 K.

Orioles at Rangers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:18 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Orioles +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Rangers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-190) | Rangers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Orioles at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Rangers 4

Money line

BET a half-unit on the ORIOLES (+105) since the Rangers are 17-21 straight up (SU) as favorites.

Baltimore has the edge in the pitching matchup Tuesday. It’s a “revenge game” for Lyles who’s pitched well over his last 7 starts (3-2 SU with a 3.86 ERA) and Texas’s bullpen is fatigued after Gray exited Monday’s Orioles-Rangers meeting in the 2nd inning.

Baltimore’s lineup is also more productive vs. right-handed pitching. The Orioles outperform the Rangers against righty pitching in runs per 9 (4.47-4.16), wRC+ (96-84), wOBA (.304-.298) and ISO (.155-.146), according to FanGraphs.

BET the ORIOLES (+105) for a half-unit only because there’s “reverse line movement” in the betting market per Pregame.com, which suggests the Rangers could be the sharper side.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Orioles +1.5 (-190) is way out of my price range for an outright bet but it’s obviously the right side. Baltimore is 31-21 RL as a road underdog and Texas is 8-14 RL as a home favorite.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-122) because both starters are “bottom-of-the-rotation” guys and both bullpens are taxed.

Globe Life Field ranks 8th in park factor and there are hitter-friendly weather conditions forecasted Tuesday with temperatures in the high-90s and a 12 mph wind blowing out to center field.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Texas Rangers (46-55) host the Baltimore Orioles (51-51) Monday for their 3-game series opener at Globe Life Field with the 1st pitch scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Baltimore lost the rubber match Sunday of its 3-game set at the Cincinnati Reds 3-2 and the Orioles are 5-5 straight up (SU) since the All-Star break.

Texas won 3 of 4 games at the Los Angeles Angels including a 5-2 victory in the series finale Sunday, but the Rangers are just 4-6 SU in the last 10.

Season series: Baltimore leads 3-0 and outscored Texas 19-16 in a 3-game sweep July 4-6.

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Orioles at Rangers projected starters

RHP Spenser Watkins vs. RHP Jon Gray      

Watkins is 3-1 with a 4.03 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 in 58 IP over 13 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in Baltimore’s 5-3 home win vs. the Tampa Bay Rays Tuesday with 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 10 H, 1 HR, 0 BB and 4 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Rangers: 1 start, a 2-1 home win July 6, with 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 3 K.

Gray is 7-5 with a 3.62 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 102 IP across 18 starts.

  • Last start: Lost 4-2 Wednesday at the Seattle Mariners with 6 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 HR, 4 BB and 8 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Orioles: 1 start, a 3-1 win July 17 in Baltimore while pitching for the Colorado Rockies with 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 3 K.

Orioles at Rangers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:02 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Orioles +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Rangers -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-160) | Rangers -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Orioles at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 5, Orioles 2

Money line

RISK 1 UNIT on the RANGERS (-165) instead of betting to win 1 unit.

There’s a “Pros vs. Joe’s” scenario in the betting market with roughly 70% of the cash on the Rangers whereas nearly two-thirds of the bets placed are on the Orioles (+133), per Pregame.com.

Typically, it’s wise to follow the money when it’s counter to the public since professional bettors put up a lot more dough than you or I.

Furthermore, Texas is 4-1 SU at home with Gray on the hill with an average final score of 5.00-3.40 with a plus-60.2% return on investment and Gray’s advanced pitching numbers are much better than Watkins’.

For instance, Gray’s K%, hard-hit rate and exit velocity are all better than the MLB average while Watkins’ are worse. Also, Gray’s FIP (3.37) is lower than his ERA whereas Watkins’ FIP is higher (4.45). FIP is more predictive than ERA so Gray’s pitching performance is more likely to continue than Watkins’.

If your standard unit is $100 then “FLAT-BET” that on the RANGERS (-165) to earn a $60.61 profit instead of betting $165 to win $100.

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Run line/Against the spread

LEAN to a “SPRINKLE” on the RANGERS -1.5 (+130) because they are 5-0 RL in Gray’s home starts, Baltimore’s previous 9 games have all been decided by at least 2 runs and all 3 of Texas’s wins last weekend vs. the Angels were by at least 2 runs.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-107) because there’s also a “Pros vs. Joe’s” scenario in the betting market for the total with the presumed sharp money favorite the Under, according to Pregame.com.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Baltimore Orioles at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Baltimore Orioles at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (51-49) face the Cincinnati Reds (38-61) Saturday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Great American Ball Park with the 1st pitch scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Baltimore won Friday’s opener 6-2 behind a 4-run rally in the top of the 9th, featuring CF Cedric Mullins’ 2-run RBI single.

Season series: Orioles lead 1-0

The surging Orioles have won 20 of their previous 30 games and are just 2 games back of the Tampa Bay Rays for the 3rd and final AL Wild Card berth.

The Reds have played .500-ball over the past 30 games and are 4-4 in their last 8 following the All-Star break.

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Orioles at Reds projected starters

RHP Dean Kremer vs. RHP Tyler Mahle      

Kremer is 3-2 with a 3.06 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 47 IP over 9 starts.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 HR, 1 BB, 6 K in 6-0 home setback vs. New York Yankees Sunday
  • 2022 road splits: 2-0, 1.66 ERA (21 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 1 HR, 5.4 K/9 in 4 starts

Mahle is 4-7 with a 4.48 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 98 1/3 IP over 18 starts.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 2 HR, 3 BB, 5 K in 6-3 home victory vs. St. Louis Cardinals Sunday
  • 2022 home splits: 1-5, 4.94 ERA (58 1/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.47 WHIP, 9 HR, 9.6 K/9 in 11 starts

Orioles at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Orioles -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Reds -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+140) | Reds +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Orioles at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 5, Reds 3

Money line

BET ORIOLES (-110) for 1 unit.

The starting pitching matchup is a wash, but the Reds (-110) are terrible vs. right-handed pitching and Baltimore’s bullpen is a lot better than Cincy’s.

The Reds are 27th in wRC+ (85), 24th in wOBA (.299) and 25th in BB/K rate (0.30), per FanGraphs. Also, Baltimore’s bullpen is 3rd in ERA (2.99) and 4th in home runs allowed per 9 innings (0.79), while Cincy’s bullpen is last in both (5.26 ERA and 1.38 HR/9).

Finally, the Reds are just 3-9 straight up at home in “coin-flip games” this season (when Cincy’s ML is priced between +100 and -120).

BET ORIOLES (-110).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Orioles -1.5 (+140) needs to be north of +160 in order to get a “sprinkle.” But Baltimore has covered its only 2 games as a road favorite this year, and Cincinnati +1.5 (-175) is just 17-19 RL as home underdogs.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-135).

Both Kremer and Mahle have been dealing recently, neither lineup is very productive vs. right-handed pitching and Baltimore’s bullpen is one of the best in MLB.

Plus, Baltimore and Cincinnati are a combined 8-18-2 O/U in interleague games.

However, Great American Ball Park has the 3rd-highest park factor in MLB – meaning it’s very hitter-friendly – and Cincy’s bullpen is awful.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Baltimore Orioles at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles (50-49) take on the Cincinnati Reds (38-60) Friday in the 1st game of a 3-game set at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting since 2017

The O’s have gone 15-5 over their last 20 games to get above .500. They took 3 of 4 games against the Tampa Bay Rays in their last series and are just 3 games out of the final AL Wild Card spot. OF Anthony Santander leads the team with 17 homers and 52 RBIs.

One domino has fallen — and several more are likely to follow — as the Reds traded OF Tyler Naquin to the New York Mets Thursday. The Reds have been scrappy with an 11-9 mark over their last 20 contests as they have received great starting pitching of late. Before Thursday’s bullpen implosion, the Reds had allowed just 10 runs in their last 4 games.

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Orioles at Reds projected starters

RHP Kyle Bradish vs. LHP Mike Minor

The rookie Bradish (1-4, 7.38 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.77 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 46 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 4 ER or more in 6 of his last 9 starts
  • In 3 road starts, has a 9.00 ERA and 1.62 WHIP vs. a 6.75 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in 7 home starts

Minor (1-7, 6.65 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 46 IP.

  • Equally as bad at home as the road: 6.75 ERA and 1.50 WHIP at home (30 2/3 IP) vs. 6.46 ERA and 1.83 WHIP on road (15 1/3 IP)
  • Holding lefties to a .193/.246/.386 slash line this year

Orioles at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:48 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Orioles -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Reds +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+125) | Reds +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Orioles at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 7, Reds 5

Money line

The O’s are playing well, the Reds are tearing it down as the trade deadline nears and Cincinnati’s starter has been atrocious this year.

I’m comfortable with the ORIOLES (-125) on the ML. Cincinnati has the worst bullpen ERA at 5.21, while Baltimore is 3rd-best with a 3.01 ERA.

I also like OVER 4.5 TOTAL RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-145).

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 8/31/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!

Run line/Against the spread

The Orioles’ last 8 wins have been by more than 1 run. They’re also 64-35 on the RL for the season, including 30-20 RL on the road. If you’re down with the O’s taking this game, you should be good with the RL.

TAKE ORIOLES -1.5 (+125).

Over/Under

Baltimore is 7-3 O/U over the last 10, and Cincinnati is 6-4. The forecast calls for the wind to be blowing out to left-center at 12 mph. Both starters have over 6.00 ERAs.

This O/U line should be higher. Let’s take OVER 9.5 (-110).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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