Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (32-32) visit Miami-Dade Arena to battle the Miami Heat (34-31) Monday. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat are 2-1 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) against Atlanta this season. Miami beat Atlanta 117-109 Saturday, covering as a 3-point home favorite as the Under (227) connected.

Miami has covered just 2 of its last 8 games and is just 2-6 SU over that span as well. The Heat are 24-39-2 ATS on the season and 29-36 O/U. They rank last in the NBA in points per game (108.1).

The Hawks have covered just 2 of their last 7 games and are 4-5 ATS over their last 9. They are 28-36 ATS on the season and 36-28 O/U. Atlanta ranks 7th in the league in points per game (117).

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Hawks at Heat odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Hawks +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Heat -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +2.5 (-105) | Heat -2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Hawks at Heat key injuries

Hawks

  • None

Heat

  • Kevin Love (rib) probable
  • G Kyle Lowry (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hawks at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 115, Hawks 110

Moneyline

PASS.

Although I think the Heat (-155) will win they haven’t been consistent enough lately to risk the extra juice in what might be a tight game.

Atlanta (+135) also hasn’t been good enough on the road to wager on here, despite the plus-money odds. It is just 14-19 straight up away from State Farm Arena.

Against the spread

LEAN HEAT -2.5 (-115).

The Hawks are just 14-18-1 ATS this season on the road and while the Heat haven’t been great for betters either, they were able to defeat the Hawks by 8 points Saturday as they limited Hawks G Trae Young. Miami shot 7 fewer free throws and had 3 more turnovers and still managed to secure the victory.

Expect Miami to be better in the rematch, and that should aid their ability to produce a similar result. The Heat would have covered this spread in their last 5 home games against Atlanta.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 229.5 (-115).

The Heat are 1-4 O/U in their last 5 games and have scored 110 or fewer points in 8 of their last 10. It has been their defense that has been problematic lately, and they still held Atlanta to 109 Saturday.

The Hawks are 0-2 O/U in their last 2 outings and 4-6 O/U in their last 10 games. Against G Jimmy Butler and C Bam Adebayo, the Hawks’ dynamic backcourt may struggle.

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