Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (36-27) and Washington Nationals (23-41) close out their 3-game series at Nationals Park Wednesday at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Atlanta leads 3-2. The team next meet July 8-10 in Atlanta.

The Braves have scored 19 runs in taking the first 2 games of this series. They are undefeated (13-0) since the calendar flipped to June. Atlanta clubbed 5 home runs Monday and 5 more Tuesday and have hit 32 HR in the 13-game win streak.

Washington is 5-10 in its last 15 games. The Nationals have scored a respectable 4.33 runs per game over that stretch, but their pitching has been woeful with a Boeing 7.17 ERA along the way.

Braves at Nationals projected starters

RHP Spencer Strider vs. RHP Erick Fedde

Strider (2-2, 2.35 ERA) has appeared in 14 games while making 3 starts. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 13.4 K/9 in 38 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed just 1 run over 9 2/3 IP in his last 2 starts.
  • Threw a season-high 92 pitches in his June 10 win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (5 2/3, 4 H, 0 R, 1 BB and 8 K).

Fedde (4-4, 4.87 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 57 1/3 IP.

  • Has a 5.93 ERA, 1.65 WHIP over his last 6 starts.
  • Current Atlanta batters own an aggregate 1.080 OPS against him.

Braves at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:47 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Nationals +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL): Braves -1.5 (-112) | Nationals +1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Braves at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Nationals 4

Money line

Fedde has been hurt by a .356 batting average on balls in play. Peg the Nats’ bullpen as being better than the sloppy surface numbers being logged so far, and the back end of that pen is well rested heading into this series finale.

But Atlanta is on a heater: best to LAY OFF or wait out a Washington price of +165 or better.

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Run line/Against the spread

Neither one of these clubs have played in a lot of 1-run games, but the NATIONALS +1.5 (-108) is the best value on the sides as listed.

Over/Under

Plenty of ammo can be fired by both the Over and Under camps. Don’t get caught in the crossfire on a 25-cent line. PASS.

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (35-27) and Washington Nationals (23-40) meet for the middle contest of a 3-game series at National Park. Tuesday’s game is slated for a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: tied 2-2.

The Braves took Monday’s opener 9-5 and are undefeated (12-0) since the calendar flipped to June. Atlanta clubbed 5 home runs Monday and has 9 HR in the last 2 games and 27 over the 12-game win streak.

Washington is 5-9 across its last 14 games. The Nationals have tallied a respectable 4.36 runs per game over that stretch, but their pitching has been woeful with an untenable 6.96 ERA along the span.

Braves at Nationals projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Jackson Tetreault

Fried (6-2, 2.64 ERA) has clocked a 1.04 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 75 IP in 12 starts this season.

  • Owns a 1.38 ERA and 1.04 WHIP over his last 4 starts.
  • Has notched a 3.00 ERA over his last 5 starts against the Nats.
  • Current Washington batters own an aggregate .606 OPS against him.
  • Owns a 1.67 road ERA this season and a 2.57 ERA away from home since 2020.

Tetreault is a 26-year-old right-hander being called up from Triple-A for his Major League debut.

  • Replacing the injured Stephen Strasburg in the Nationals’ rotation.
  • Owns a 4.19 ERA and 1.29 WHIP across 58 Triple-A innings this season.

Braves at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 11:04 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Nationals +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Run line (RL): Braves -1.5 (-135) | Nationals +1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Braves at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 4, Braves 3

Money line

Not a bad price here. Tag it as a partial-unit lean, but more conservative bettors may want to try the run line against a hot Atlanta club.

BACK WASHINGTON (+180).

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Run line/Against the spread

TAKE WASHINGTON +1.5 (+110).

Tetreault struggled in his last start but recently put together a 1.42 ERA across his 6 prior Minor League starts.

Over/Under

As was the case Monday — when the Over his easily — the O/U offering makes for the strongest wagering opportunity in this matchup. Both clubs have underlying pitching numbers that spell better days ahead. That’s especially true for the bullpens.

Washington’s offense has struggled mightily at home. The lean is dulled by the Nats starting a rookie on the mound

BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (+105), but consider a partial-unit play.

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (34-27) and Washington Nationals (23-39) swing into a 3-game series in the national’s capital. Monday’s series opener is slated for a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Washington leads 2-1.

The Braves are undefeated since the calendar flipped to June. Atlanta has not lost in 11 June games and has banged out a .283/.340/.538 (.877 OPS) slash line in the process. The club hit 4 home runs Sunday vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates and has clubbed multiple round-trippers in 7 of the 11 straight wins.

The Nationals returned from a rough 3-7 road trip Friday, but they were solid in taking 2 of 3 from the Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend. Washington is 6-2 over its last 8 games at home.

Braves at Nationals projected starters

RHP Ian Anderson vs. RHP Josiah Gray

Anderson (5-3, 4.53 ERA) has logged a 1.39 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 59 2/3 IP in 11 starts.

  • His walk and HR rates are higher than they were when he clocked a 3.25 ERA in 30 starts in 2020-21. His ground ball rate is also lower.
  • Posted a 6.62 ERA, 1.53 WHIP in 3 starts May 22-June 2, but allowed just 2 R in 6 IP in his last effort June 8 vs. Oakland.

Gray (6-4, 4.33 ERA) has made 12 starts for the Nats. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 62 1/3 IP.

  • Is a fly-ball pitcher (24.2% ground-ball rate) and has been hurt by a 17.3% of fly balls leaving the yard (around 11% is average).
  • The 2nd-year player has struggled in home games (6.59 ERA in 72 1/3 IP).

Braves at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Nationals +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
  • Run line (RL): Braves -1.5 (+102) | Nationals +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Braves at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 4, Braves 3

Money line

Gray has yielded just 2 ER in his last 16 IP. He’s logged a 2.25 ERA against these Braves across a trio of starts the last 2 seasons.

Atlanta has gone on just 4 road trips so far this season. In the openers, they are 1-3 and have been outscored 22-9.

BACK WASHINGTON (+122).

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Run line/Against the spread

The price here is solid. Bettors who want a fade with an asterisk in going against a hot streak can leverage WASHINGTON +1.5 (-125).

Over/Under

The O/U offering makes for the strongest wagering opportunity in this matchup. Both clubs having underlying pitching numbers that spell better days ahead. That’s especially true for the bullpens.

Washington’s offense has struggled mightily at home. Atlanta’s has struggled in road-trip openers.

BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-105).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (59-56) have played their way into a tight battle atop the NL East. They’ll open a three-game series against the Washington Nationals (50-65) Friday with a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Braves RHP Charlie Morton (10-4, 3.52 ERA) makes his 24th start of the year. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 128 IP.

  • Morton has put up a 2.47 ERA and 10.6 K/9 with just 5 homers allowed in 62 IP while dominating across his last 10 outings.
  • His control has been a little suspect in nine road starts this year (3.8 BB/9) and he’s been helped a bit by a .256 BABIP. Regardless, Morton’s 3.10 ERA away from home is outstanding.

Nationals RHP Josiah Gray (0-0, 4.00 ERA) makes his fourth start and his fifth appearance. He has recorded 9 BB and 25 K while giving up 15 H and 6 HR in 18 IP.

  • Gray was one of the big prizes the Nationals got in the blockbuster deadline deal with the Dodgers. He has already induced 15-plus swinging strikes in three of his four outings.
  • Gray has gone five frames in each of his first two starts with Washington. He has allowed 2 ER in those 10 IP along with 12 K, including 10 last time out against this same Atlanta team.

Braves at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:52 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (-112) | Nationals +1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)

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Prediction

Braves 5, Nationals 3

Money line (ML)

The Nationals are reeling, having lost nine of their last 10 games coming into Friday. Morton has been lights out lately and tossed 6 scoreless innings against Washington in his last outing.

Gray should be able to keep his team close while he’s in there but likely won’t go more than 5 innings before turning it over to a bullpen with the league’s worst xFIP and K-BB% in August.

The BRAVES (-180) should come away with the victory.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Atlanta’s last eight road wins have been by more than 1 run. They’re facing a tough pitcher today but will also get several cracks at a weak Washington bullpen, and Morton has a chance to put up zeroes again.

A small play on BRAVES -1.5 (-112) is the call.

Over/Under (O/U)

When these two pitchers squared off last week, Atlanta came out on top 3-2.

Morton completely shut down the Washington offense, continuing his run of outstanding pitching while Gray has made quite the impression with his new team and allowed just 1 run against Atlanta in last week’s meeting.

Neither offense is likely to have a big day with these two starters going and UNDER 9.5 (-135) is the strongest play in this game.

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (13-16) play the Washington Nationals (12-13) Wednesday in Game 2 of their three-game set at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Atlanta beat Washington 6-1 Tuesday thanks to an outstanding game by RHP Huascar Ynoa both on the mound and in the batter’s box.

Ynoa pitched 7 scoreless innings and hit a 6th inning grand slam to put the game out of reach.

Season series: Braves lead 3-1.

LHP Max Fried makes his fourth start for the Braves. He is 0-1 with an 11.45 ERA (11 IP, 14 ER), 2.55 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 3 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss in 4 IP with 7 ER on 9 H and 2 BB with 3 K in Atlanta’s 14-8 loss to the Miami Marlins April 13. Fried exited the loss with a right hamstring strain and this is his first start since.
  • Career vs. Nationals: 1-2 with a 6.48 ERA (25 IP, 18 ER), 1.72 WHIP and 9.4 K/9 across 6 starts and 1 relief appearance.
    • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 49 at-bats with a .388/.456/.571 slash line and 2 HR.
    • Career at Washington’s ballpark: 0-1 with a 14.21 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 3.16 WHIP and 9.9 K/9 over 3 starts.

RHP Erick Fedde gets the start for the Nationals. Fedde is 2-2 with a 4.43 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 5 starts.

  • Last outing: Win in 6 IP with 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB and 7 K in Washington’s 8-2 victory over the Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday.
  • Career vs. Braves: 0-2 with a 14.06 ERA (16 IP, 25 ER), 3.00 WHIP and 7.3 K/9 across 4 starts and 1 relief appearance.
    • vs. Braves on the current roster: 45 at-bats with a .378/.517/.622 slash line and 2 HR.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Braves at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Nationals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (+120) | Nationals +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Braves 9, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

GIMME the BRAVES (-135) for 1 unit because even though both projected starters haven’t looked good against their opponent, Fried has much better stuff than Fedde and Atlanta’s lineup is far more productive than Washington’s.

Fedde’s numbers against this Braves lineup are shockingly bad and Washington’s bullpen is a bottom-3 unit in xFIP, SIERA and K-BB%.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS despite my projected score because the payout of Braves -1.5 (+120) isn’t big enough.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9 (+100) alternate line for a half unit mostly based on the numbers of the starting pitchers against their respective opponent. Washington’s lineup is also top-3 in wOBA, wRC+ and OPS against left-handed pitching.

Also, the Braves and Nationals are 10-3-1 O/U in their last 14 meetings and the Over cashed in five of their past seven games in Washington.

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals Game 1 odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (0-4) and Washington Nationals (1-0) tangle in a Wednesday doubleheader at Nationals Park. Game 1 is slated for a 12:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Max Fried draws the start for the Braves. In 2020, he went 7-0 with a 2.25 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 8.0 K/9, and 3.1 BB/9 in 56 IP over 11 starts. Fried was solid in limiting hard contact in his 2021 debut; he allowed 2 ER on 6 hits in 5 IP at the Philadelphia Phillies on Opening Day.

RHP Erik Fedde is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, who are down two starters — LHP Patrick Corbin, LHP Jon Lester — due to COVID-19 protocols. Last year, Fedde went 2-4 with a 4.29 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 5.0 K/9, and 3.9 BB/9 in 50 1/3 IP over 11 appearances. The 28-year-old righty had some control problems in a small-sample spring training.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Braves at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Nationals +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (-110) |  Nationals +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Braves 4, Nationals 3

Money line (ML)

After a COVID-related delay, Washington opened its season with a 6-5 win over Atlanta Tuesday. Wednesday’s double dip comes against a Braves club looking for its first victory of 2021.

With this pitching matchup, the Braves are the likable team in a vacuum but the -190 tag offers no value. The +155 for the Nats also misses the mark, though by a smaller margin.

PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Both games of the twin bill will be seven innings in accordance with MLB’s new doubleheader rule, which was first implemented last season. The price is right on the host Nationals, a team that figures to have its best foot forward against lefty pitchers.

BACK THE NATIONALS +1.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

Nationals Park before the summer warm-up and on a slight breeze-in day: Consider the UNDER 6.5 if you can get plus money (+105 or better).

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