Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves odds predictions pick betting line spread

Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (4-5) hope to avoid a 3-game sweep as they take on the Atlanta Braves (5-2) Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 2-0

Arizona shot out to 6-0 lead in the 1st inning against Braves SP Max Fried on Saturday, but blew it and lost 9-8 as a +177 road underdog. The D-backs have lost 4 of 5 after starting the season 3-1.

Braves 3B Austin Riley had 3 hits and delivered the go-ahead single in the 8th inning while DH Marcell Ozuna went 3 for 5 with a 2B, HR and 4 RBI. The 33-year-old leads Atlanta with 4 HRs and 10 and RBIs.

Diamondbacks at Braves projected starters

RHP Ryne Nelson vs. LHP Chris Sale

Nelson (0-1, 13.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 3.38 WHIP, 13.50 BB/9 and 6.75 K/9 in 2.2 IP.

Had a 2.66 ERA in 20.1 IP in spring training
Just 43 of his 76 pitches in his 1st start vs. the New York Yankees landed in the strike zone
Career vs. Braves: 1-1, 3.86 ERA (11.2 IP, 5 ER 2 HR 5 BB 5 Ks in 2 starts)

Sale (0-0, 3.38 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 3.38 BB/9 and 11.81 K/9 in 5.1 IP.

The 35-year-old proved he can still throw heat in his 1st start as he struck out 7 vs. the Philadelphia Phillies
Faced Arizona last season as a member of the Boston Red Sox, earning the win as he allowed just 1 ER, 4 H in 5 IP with 3 K

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Diamondbacks at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:01 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Braves -215 (bet $215 to win $100)
Run line (RL): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-110) | Braves -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Diamondbacks at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Atlanta 6, Arizona 5

Moneyline

PASS.

Too much juice to lay on the Braves by themselves. Nonetheless, if you believe Philadelphia wins once again on the road in Washington as I do, pairing Atlanta ML with the Phillies (-158) pays out roughly +140.

Run line

BET ARIZONA +1.5 (-110).

The D-backs have lost 3 straight 1-run games and I expect it will be 4 after they are swept in Atlanta. However, this is still the defending NL Champions getting a run and a half at close to even money so I will take my chances rather than laying a run and a half on the home team.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-115).

Since June 4 of last season, 5 of the 6 games played between these teams have gone Over, with the last 5 being played at Truist Park. Each lineup features so many heavy hitters: Arizona 2B Ketel Marte has homered in 3 straight games while 2023 NL MVP Ronald Acuna Jr. and 1B Matt Olson each have OBPs over .350 just to name a few.

According to Arizona manager Torey Lovullo, Nelson was leaving his secondary pitches over the plate in his 1st outing on April 1. That could be a recipe for disaster against these dangerous Atlanta bats, especially at Truist Park, which calculates out as the 6th-most favorable ballpark for runs.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (4-4) and Atlanta Braves (4-2) battle Saturday at 7:20 p.m. ET as they continue a 3-gme series at Truist Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0

The Diamondbacks lost Friday’s opener — their 1st road game this season — by a 6-5 score to the Braves in 10 innings. They lost to the New York Yankees by the same score in 11 innings Wednesday and tote a 2-game losing skid into Saturday’s contest.

The Braves were down 5-2 late in Friday’s game, but they rallied with 1 run in the 8th inning, then 2 in the 9th to knot the score at 5-5. The Atlanta bullpen pitched 6 scoreless frames in the comeback.

Diamondbacks at Braves projected starters

RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. LHP Max Fried

Pfaadt (1-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has registered a 1.00 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 5 IP.

Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 5-1 win vs. Colorado Rockies Sunday
Owns a 5.52 ERA, 1.39 WHIP across 101 career innings

Fried (0-0, 40.50 ERA) is tabbed for his 2nd start this season. He owns a 7.50 WHIP, 40.5 BB/9 and 13.5 K/9 through 2/3 IP.

Last outing: No-decision, 0.2 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 12-4 win at Philadelphia Phillies last Saturday
Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1-0, 2.50 ERA (18.0 IP, 5 ER), 20 H, 4 BB, 15 K
Has clocked a 3.06 ERA, 1.17 WHIP in 140 career games

Diamondbacks at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Diamondbacks +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Braves -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/ Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (+100) | Braves -1.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Diamondbacks at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

PASS: the Braves are whittled down to a pick ’em on the RL, and there is less juice to wade through.

Run line/Against the spread

The Braves went 52-29 at home last year, logging a plus-102 run differential along the way. Overall, they won 33 games by 5 or more runs.

They are 8-3 across their last 11 games against the D-backs; 6 of those 8 wins have been by multiple runs.

Pfaadt was frequently barreled up a year ago when he posted a 5.72 ERA. In the small-sample department, he registered an 8.66 ERA across 4 starts made on 5 days’ rest, which is his interval coming into this turn at Atlanta.

Fried is a consistent sort, so we should expect a solid bounce-back after his troubled season debut. He’s tough on lefties and righties alike, which is key because he will likely see a slew of right-handed bats Saturday.

FanDuel Sportsbook has a better tag here, with less outlay for us as bettors. BACK THE BRAVES -1.5 (-108).

Over/Under

The last 17 Atlanta home games against Arizona have seen the Under cash 11 times.

The analytics indicate both offenses being out too far over their skis through the early going. Both, for instance, have big batting-average-on-balls-in-play figures with runners in scoring position.

TAKE THE UNDER 9 (-110).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (4-3) and Atlanta Braves (3-2) meet Friday at 7:20 p.m. ET as they open a 3-game series at Truist Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2024; split last year’s series 3-3

The Diamondbacks have played all their games thus far at home. On Wednesday afternoon, they wrapped up a 3-game series with the Yankees, falling to New York 6-5 in 11 innings.

The Braves last played Tuesday, falling 3-2 at the Chicago White Sox. Atlanta and Chicago had their Wednesday meeting rained out, and Atlanta had an off day Thursday, so the Braves open Friday with 2 days’ rest.

Diamondbacks at Braves projected starters

LHP Tommy Henry vs RHP Spencer Strider

Henry (0-1, 11.25 ERA) makes his 2nd start this season. He allowed 5 ER on 6 H and 2 BB with 4 K in 4 IP in his debut vs. the Colorado Rockies Saturday; Arizona lost 9-4.

Owns a 4.76 ERA across 140 career IP
Has never faced the Braves

Strider (0-0, 3.60 ERA) is tabbed for his 2nd start. He allowed 2 ER on 3 H and 2 BB with 8 K in 5 IP in a no-decision at the Philadelphia Phillies last Friday, a 9-3 Braves win.

Owns a 3.37 ERA through 66 career games
Has held opposing batters to a .428 OPS across 11 career March/April games
Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1-1, 4.96 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 11 H, 7 BB, 27 K in 3 starts

Diamondbacks at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:40 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Diamondbacks +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Braves -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +2.5 (-130) | Braves -2.5 (+105)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Diamondbacks at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

PASS: better leverage can be had on the RL.

Run line/Against the spread

Atlanta clocked a league-best .870 OPS against southpaws in 2023. The Braves went 52-29 at home last year, logging a plus-102 run differential along the way. Overall, they won 33 games by 5 or more runs.

The Braves are 7-3 across their last 10 games against the D-backs; 6 of those 7 wins have been by multiple runs.

Be wary of using surface ERA when looking at past performances against a franchise. For example, per ESPN, Spencer Strider has held current Arizona batters to an aggregate .438 OPS. And its a whiff-heavy .438 OPS.

FanDuel Sportsbook has the best tag here: BACK THE BRAVES -1.5 (-134).

Over/Under

The last 16 Atlanta home games against Arizona have seen the Under cash 11 times.

The Braves and Diamondbacks rank 1st and 4th, respectively, in OPS through the 1st week of the season. But both clubs have some peripheral numbers that would indicate a dose of regression being due. Atlanta has registered an overall .359 batting average on balls in play and a .480 BABIP in high-leverage situations. Arizona has filed a .321 BABIP overall and a .439 mark when leading off innings.

Both offenses have thus far enjoyed generous home-run/fly-ball rates. With Strider being 1 of the mound particulars and both bullpens getting a day of rest, TAKE THE UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (54-42) and Atlanta Braves (61-33) meet for a Thursday matinee as they cap off a 3-game series. First pitch at Truist Park is slated for 12:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Arizona leads 3-2

Arizona is looking for a series sweep after taking the first 2 games of this series. An 11-of-24 (.458) performance with runners in scoring position has lifted the Diamondbacks the last 2 nights. That’s a reversal of fortune for a club that went 3-of-24 (.125) in such situations over 4 games prior, all of which were losses.

The Braves have lost 4 in a row. It’s the first 4-game skid for a powerful Atlanta club that leads the NL East by 9 1/2 games since May 10-14.

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Diamondbacks at Braves projected starters

RHP Zac Gallen vs. RHP Spencer Strider

Gallen (11-4, 3.14 ERA) is making his 21st start. He’s logged a 1.08 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 123 1/3 IP.

Owns a 4.32 ERA over his last 4 starts
Has registered a 5.11 ERA and 1.35 WHIP on the road compared to a 1.48 ERA and 0.85 WHIP at home

Strider (11-3, 3.66 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 14.3 K/9 through 110 2/3 IP.

Stumbled in his 1st start after the break, and he’s looking to get back to a recent form that saw him log a 1.38 ERA, 13.5 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 from June 20-July 8. The 24-year-old right-hander allowed 5 ER in 6 IP against the Chicago White Sox Saturday.
Has overcome a .332 batting average on balls in play in clocking his solid 3.66 ERA for the season
Has gone 6-plus innings in 5 straight starts

Diamondbacks at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:33 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Diamondbacks +166 (bet $100 to win $166) | Braves -198 (bet $198 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-125) | Braves -1.5 (+104)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -118 | U: -104)

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Diamondbacks at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Diamondbacks 4

Moneyline

Arizona was the play and/or lean the last 2 days, but Thursday’s equation changes due to the mound match-up. Peg Gallen as a fade candidate and Strider as a nice play in this contest and in the intermediate future. Their expected-ERA figures and peripheral analytics bear out some good luck, bad luck, respectively.

For example, Gallen has found some louder contact of late, but that’s been hidden by a .264 batting average on balls in play over his last 7 starts.

Arizona has lost 4 straight get-away games.

Some bankrolls may have bettors being risk-averse at this level of a favorite, but there is value and leverage in the BRAVES (-198).

Run line/Against the spread

The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+10.25 Units, 40% ROI).

Players looking to avoid the favorite outlay may want to BACK ATLANTA -1.5 (+104).

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Over/Under

On a hot one in Atlanta — temps in the 90s, shading the upside of 8.5 runs is just. There are crisscrossing signals — especially on the mound — as to how this contest plays out, and the 22-cent proposition deserves a bit of a no on its own.

PASS.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (53-42) and Atlanta Braves (61-32) meet Wednesday as they continue a 3-game series. First pitch at Truist Park is slated for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 2-2

Arizona turned the tide on a 4-game skid with a wild 16-13 Tuesday in the series opener. The clubs combined for 8 crooked numbers in the line score, and the Diamondbacks broke a 13-13 tie with 3 runs in the top of the 9th.

The Braves have lost 3 in a row, but they continue to crank out monster numbers in their home yard. Atlanta owns a high-contact .312/.375/.594 slash line over its last 21 games at home, hitting 52 home runs en route to posting a robust .969 OPS over that stretch.

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Diamondbacks at Braves projected starters

RHP Ryne Nelson vs. RHP Charlie Morton

Nelson (5-5, 4.98 ERA) is making his 20th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 99 1/3 IP.

Owns a 2.68 ERA and 1.09 WHIP across 10 starts on the road
Has clocked a 3.91 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over his last 4 outings

Morton (10-6, 3.20 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 104 IP.

Pitched 7 scoreless frames vs. the Chicago White Sox Friday and owns a 2.52 ERA over his last 7 starts

Owns a 3.99 ERA across 341 career games

Diamondbacks at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Diamondbacks +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Braves -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-102) | Braves -1.5 (-118)
Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Diamondbacks at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Braves 5

Moneyline

Arizona went 9-1 over 10 series openers from May 29-June 30, and the Diamondbacks were a nice underdog play Tuesday (and cashed at +188). However, the visiting nine is a fade candidate after playing too far out over its skis for much of the first half. There is also no value to be had with an Atlanta wager, especially with Morton likely being overvalued.

No leverage here. STEER CLEAR.

Run line/Against the spread

The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 92 games (+12.85 Units/11% ROI). Nelson doesn’t really add enough to make for a green check mark on the Arizona side of the ledger, but a more-likable-than-their-ERA Diamondbacks bullpen is in slightly better shape than their hosts for game 2.

PASS, but take Arizona +1.5 at +103 or better.

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Over/Under

Arizona has hit the team total Over in 27 of its last 37 road games (+16.75 Units, 40% ROI). Atlanta has hit its team Over in 26 of its last 35 games (+15.85 Units, 38% ROI).

Charlie Morton has been somewhat fortunate to strand 79.5% of his base runners. Both bullpens were rested Monday but used quite a bit in Tuesday’s 29-run pinball game. The higher-than-one-might-think elevation of Atlanta’s park and the heat and humidity make Truist Park one that favors the hitters.

On a warm, humid night, BACK THE OVER 10 (-105).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (52-42) and Atlanta Braves (61-31) meet Tuesday as they open a 3-game series. First pitch at Truist Park is slated for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Atlanta leads 2-1.

Arizona is coming off a second half-opening sweep – a 3-gamer – at the hands of the Toronto Blue Jays. The Diamondbacks have lost 4 in a row overall. They are 1-6 across their last 7 games against Atlanta.

The Braves were felled in 2 of 3 weekend games against the Chicago White Sox but are still 13-4 since June 24. During that stretch, Atlanta is 7-2 at home, cranking out a .925 OPS along the way.

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Diamondbacks at Braves projected starters

RHP Zach Davies vs. RHP Bryce Elder

Davies (1-5, 6.37 ERA) is tabbed for his 12th start of the season. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 53 2/3 IP.

Owns a Boeing 7.85 ERA across his last 6 starts
4 career starts vs. Braves: 1-1, 4.98 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 8 K in 21 2/3 IP

Elder (7-2, 2.97 ERA) is making his 19th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 106 IP.

Closed out his 1st half with a 4-walk, no-strikeout game (July 9 at Tampa Bay)

Has experienced trouble late in games: Over his 2-year career, the has yielded a mere .578 OPS the 1st time through the order. Opponents own a .658 OPS the 2nd time through. Batters have roughed him up for a .772 OPS the 3rd time around. Arizona’s .815 OPS in third-time-around plate appearances ranks 6th in the league.

Diamondbacks at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Diamondbacks +188 (bet $100 to win $188) | Braves -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-102) | Braves -1.5 (-118)
Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -102 | U: -120)

Diamondbacks at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Braves 5

Moneyline

Arizona has been a fade candidate of late and is up against an Atlanta club ranked 2nd in MLB in scoring (5.64 RPG). But the Diamondbacks have been solid on the road (26-18), and the Braves’ schedule has been a tad light, especially with regard to batting faced.

Davies has been undone by some unkind rates around the margins, and Elder has numbers that swing the other way.

Before their 2-8 stretch, the Diamondbacks had gone 9-1 over 10 series openers from May 29-June 30. The price here is solid: BACK ARIZONA (+188).

Run line/Against the spread

The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 91 games (+11.85 Units, 10% ROI).

They are listed at a fair number here, and some bettors may want to split a unit with some D-Backs action coming on the Moneyline and some here on the Run Line. That serves as a hedge against a 1-run loss against a powerful Braves team.

TAKE ARIZONA +1.5 (-102).

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Over/Under

The Under is 6-1 across the last 7 series meetings, but signals for this one swing both ways. No leverage = PASS.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (45-53) open a 6-game road trip Friday night with the 1st game of a 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves (59-41) First pitch is 7:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-1

The Diamondbacks are coming off a 3-game sweep over the San Francisco Giants. They are 5-1 since the All-Star Game and have won 6 of their last 7 games overall.

The Braves lost 2 of 3 games on the road against the Philadelphia Phillies. They are 3-3 since the All-Star break. They trail the NL East-leading New York Mets by 3 games.

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Diamondbacks at Braves projected starters

LHP Madison Bumgarner vs. RHP Kyle Wright

Bumgarner (6-9, 3.71 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 104 1/3 IP.

Has had a decision in his last 11 starts. He has won 3 of his last 4.
In June 1 start against the Braves, he took the loss in a 6-0 defeat with 6 IP, 2 R, 7 H, 2 BB and 6 K.

Wright (12-4, 2.95 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 116 IP.

Was the starter when Braves beat Bumgarner with 6 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 5 BB and 5 K.
He’s 8-1 in his last 10 starts. The Braves have won his last 6 starts and 9 of his last 10 outings.

Diamondbacks at Braves odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:13 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Diamondbacks +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Braves -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-117) | Braves -1.5 (-103)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Diamondbacks at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Diamondbacks 3

Money line

Arizona has struggled against winning teams this season and on the road. They are 15-29 against teams over .500 and 18-26 on the road. They have lost 15 of their last 21 road games.

The Braves’ 33 home wins are the 3rd-most in all of baseball and they have feasted on lesser teams. They are 39-19 against teams .500 or below.

But PASS on the money line at -220. It isn’t worth the action unless you include a Braves win in a parlay bet.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks are 57-41 ATS overall this season, tied for the 3rd-best ATS record. They are 26-18 ATS on the road and have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 games.

The Braves are 51-49 ATS overall but a paltry 23-31 ATS at home. But their last 5 wins and 6 of their last 7 have been by at least 2 runs. In fact, of their last 19 wins, only 3 have been by only 1 run.

Take the BRAVES -1.5 (-103).

Over/Under

The Braves’ last 11 games have all had 9 total runs or more. Three of Wright’s last 4 outings have had 9 or more.

Only 7 of the D-backs’ last 17 games have had totals of 9 or more, but 3 of Bumgarner’s last 4 starts have had 9 or more.

Take OVER 8.5 (-130).

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (9-11) take on the Atlanta Braves (9-10) in Game 2 of a three-game set at Truist Park Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Atlanta held off Arizona 5-4 Friday in Game 1 of the series as Braves 2B Ozzie Albies and 3B Austin Riley both hit home runs.

Season series: Braves 1-0.

LHP Madison Bumgarner makes his fifth start for the Diamondbacks. Bumgarner is 1-2 with an 8.68 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.77 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 this season.

Last outing: Win in 5 IP with 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and 5 K’s in Atlanta’s 5-2 victory at the Washington Nationals Sunday.
Career vs. Braves: 7-3 with a 2.73 ERA (82 1/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.03 WHIP and 10.1 K/9 in 13 starts.

LHP Drew Smyly is on the mound for the Braves. Smyly is 0-0 with a 5.73 ERA (11 IP, 7 ER), 0.91 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 2 starts. Atlanta is 0-2 in Smyly starts.

Last outing: No-decision in 5 IP with 5 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 3 K’s in Atlanta’s 7-6 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies April 11.
Career vs. Diamondbacks: No appearances.

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Diamondbacks at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

Money line: Diamondbacks +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-110) | Braves -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Diamondbacks 7, Braves 4

Money line (ML)

The DIAMONDBACKS (+170) hitters have crushed left-handed pitching so far this season. Arizona has the highest wOBA and OPS and the second-most wRC+ vs. lefties in 2021.

Also, while Bumgarner appears to be on the downside of his career, he does still have better stuff than Smyly and a good history vs. the Braves. Furthermore, Smyly was just activated off the injury list after missing a start for forearm discomfort so who knows what kind of form he’ll be in.

In Atlanta’s home ballpark, Bumgarner is 4-1 with a 1.07 ERA (42 IP, 5 ER), 0.79 WHIP and 11.1 K/9 in 6 starts. Current Braves hitters have 106 at-bats vs. Bumgarner with a .236/.283/.368 slash line, 3 HR and 11 RBIs.

“LEAN” to the DIAMONDBACKS (+170) for a half-unit because Arizona’s run line is your standard -110 price.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-110) for 1 unit because we are getting a great price for at-best an equal starting pitcher matchup.

Granted, the Braves came into 2021 with World Series or bust expectations and it would be slightly miraculous if Arizona was in the Wild Card play-in game, but this is just too good of a price given these teams’ current forms.

Arizona is 24-17 on the run line as a road dog since the beginning of last season and Atlanta is just 12-25 RL as a home favorite over that span.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 9 (-105) for a quarter unit if at all because I prefer the sides more than the total in Diamondbacks-Braves.

However, Arizona has raked lefties this season, Bumgarner is a shell of his former dominant self and Atlanta has one of the best lineups on paper in the National League.

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