Tag: Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (44-45) and San Diego Padres (49-44) close out a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Petco Park is at 4:10 p.m. ET (Roku). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 5-4

The Diamondbacks, after losing Friday’s opener on a walk-off homer, scored 3 runs in the 10th inning to win 7-5 Saturday and even the series. They are 5-2 in their last 7 games.

Saturday’s loss for the Padres was just their 4th in their last 16 games overall and their 2nd in their last 11 at home.

Diamondbacks at Padres projected starters

RHP Ryne Nelson vs. RHP Dylan Cease

Nelson (5-6, 5.42 ERA) makes his 14th start and 16th appearance. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 73 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-5 road loss to Los Angeles Dodgers Tuesday
• 2024 vs. Padres: 1-1, 9.72 ERA (8 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 2.28 WHIP, 4.3 K/9 in 2 starts
• Career vs. Padres: 2-3, 6.95 ERA (33 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.57 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 in 7 starts

Cease (7-7, 4.24 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 102 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 7-0 road loss to Texas Rangers Tuesday
• Has allowed 4+ runs 6 times this season, 3 times in his last 4 outings
• 2024 vs. Diamondbacks: 1-0, 1.35 ERA (6 2/3 IP, 1 ER), 3 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 1 start, a 7-1 road win May 3
• Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1-0, 1.84 ERA (14 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.41 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Diamondbacks at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:36 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Padres -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-150) | Padres -1.5 (+125)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Diamondbacks at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 8, Diamondbacks 6

Moneyline

The Diamondbacks are 2 walk-off hits from a 7-game winning streak. They have scored 7 runs or more in 4 straight games.

But Nelson has struggled against the Padres (-160) this season and Cease’s 1 start against Arizona was a good one.

Arizona is 22-24 on the road this season and 17-25 against teams with winning records, so expect the Padres to bounce back and win the finale and the series, but there are plus odds on the run line to bet.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

All 5 of the Padres’ wins over the Diamondbacks have been by 2 or more runs. Nine of their last 10 wins have been by 2 or more runs. Nine of their 10 wins with Cease starting have been by at least 2 runs.

Twelve of Arizona’s last 13 losses have been by multiple runs.

BET PADRES -1.5 (+125).

Over/Under

Eight of the 9 games this season between Arizona and San Diego have had more than 8 total runs.

Three of Cease’s last 4 starts have had more than 8 total runs.

The Diamondbacks’ last 5 games, and 9 of their last 11, have had more than 8 total runs.

BET OVER 8 (-120).

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (43-45) and San Diego Padres (49-43) face off Saturday for the 2nd game of their 3-game series. First pitch from PETCO Park is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 5-3.

The Diamondbacks lost the opener Friday 10-8 on a walk-off home run by 3B Manny Machado after they scored 6 in the top of the 9th to take a 8-7 lead. The Over (8.5) cashed in. The D-Backs have still won 4 of 6.

The Padres’ win gave them 3 straight. They are 12-3 in their last 15 games after losing 5 in a row.

Diamondbacks at Padres projected starters

RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. RHP Matt Waldron

Pfaadt (3-6, 4.28 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 103 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 5-1 home win over Oakland A’s Sunday
• 0-2 with 6.35 ERA in 2 starts vs. Padres this year

Waldron (5-7, 3.56 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 93 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 4-1 road loss to Boston Red Sox on Sunday
• Got the win in a 13-1 victory June 8 over Arizona, allowing 1 run in 6 innings
• 1-2 with 8.36 ERA in 3 career starts vs. Arizona

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Diamondbacks at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Padres -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-225) | Padres -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Diamondbacks at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 7, Padres 6

Moneyline

The Diamondbacks are 2 walk-off hits from a 6-game winning streak. They scored 6 in the 9th inning to take a 1-run lead, only to have closer Paul Sewald give up 2 homers in the bottom of the inning. They have scored 29 runs in their last 3 games.

The Padres are 12-3 in their last 15 games and 10-1 in their last 11 home games.

Waldron picked up his 1st career win over Arizona last month, but he has struggled in 2 other career starts, while Pfaadt has struggled against the Padres this season.

The bats will be active.

BET DIAMONDBACKS (+100). 

Run line/Against the spread

Of the last 18 times the Diamondbacks have covered the spread, 17 have been outright wins.

Of the last 8 times that the Padres failed to cover the spread, 7 were outright losses.

And at -225 odds, you are far better taking the even-money odds for an Arizona outright win than the cover.

PASS. 

Over/Under

Six of the last 7 meetings this season have had double-digit runs.

The Diamondbacks have scored 5 or more runs in 5 straight games. Eight of their last 10 games have had more than 7 total runs.

BET OVER 7.5 (+100). 

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Arizona Diamondbacks (43-44) open a 3-game road series against the San Diego Padres (48-43) Friday. First pitch from Petco Park is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 4-3

The Diamondbacks are coming off a series win on the road over the Los Angeles Dodgers. They won the finale 9-3 Thursday behind 1B Christian Walker‘s 2 homers and a 4-run 9th inning to blow the game open. They have won 4 of their last 5 games.

The Padres are 11-3 since losing 5 straight games June 14-18. They went 4-2 on their 6-game road trip and won the final 2 games of a series against the Texas Rangers, beating them 3-1 Thursday.

Diamondbacks at Padres projected starters

RHP Slade Cecconi vs. RHP Randy Vasquez

Cecconi (2-6, 5.81 ERA) makes his 12th start and 13th appearance. The rookie has a 1.26 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 57 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 9-4 home loss to Oakland A’s June 28
• 2024 vs. Padres: 0-1, 9.35 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.73 WHIP, 7.3 K/9 in 2 starts
• Career vs. Padres: 0-1, 7.84 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 in 3 appearances (2 starts)

Vasquez (2-4, 4.88 ERA) makes his 12th start. The rookie has a 1.67 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 51 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 9-2 road win over Boston Red Sox June 28
• Went 2-1 with 4.20 ERA in 6 June starts
• 2024 vs. Diamondbacks: 0-0, 4.05 ERA (6 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 6 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 1 start, a 4-3 home loss June 6
• Career vs. Diamondbacks: 0-0, 5.00 ERA (9 IP, 5 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 5.0 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Diamondbacks at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:17 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -115 (bet $115 to win $105) | Padres -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+145) | Padres +1.5 (-175)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Diamondbacks at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Diamondbacks 4

Moneyline

The Diamondbacks have lost their last 2 series openers. They are 21-23 on the road this season.

The PADRES (-105) are 24-22 at home this season but are 9-1 in their last 10 games at Petco Park. They have won 3 of the last 4 starts for Vasquez.

The Diamondbacks are 1-3 in Cecconi’s last 4 outings.

BET PADRES (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

The last 10 times the Padres covered the spread, they won the game outright.

So at -175 odds for them to cover the +1.5, you’re better off going with the moneyline.

PASS.

Over/Under

Five of the 7 games between the teams this season have had double-digit runs, including 3 of the 4 in San Diego June 6-9.

Vasquez’s last 3 starts and 4 of his last 6 have had totals of 10 or more.

The Diamondbacks have scored 5 or more runs in 4 straight games and 21 runs in the last 2 games alone.

Nine of the Padres’ last 10 wins have had more than 8 total runs.

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
Subscribe now to dominate the competition.

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