Alabama at Florida odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Alabama at Florida odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Alabama Crimson Tide (2-0) and Florida Gators (2-0) meet Saturday at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Fla. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Alabama vs. Florida odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Crimson Tide, No. 1 in the AFCA Coaches Poll, powered by USA TODAY Sports, won their first two games with relative ease. They worked over Miami 44-13 in a neutral-site game in Atlanta, before pushing past FCS Mercer by a 48-14 count.

The No. 9 Gators trail 26-14 in the all-time series and dropped each of the last seven head-to-head meetings. Each of the last three contests were in the SEC Championship Game, including a 52-46 loss last season.

Alabama at Florida odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at noon ET.

  • Money line: Alabama -600 (bet $600 to win $100) | Florida +420 (bet $100 to win $420)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Alabama -14.5 (-108) | Florida +14.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 59.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Alabama at Florida odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Alabama 41, Florida 24

Money line

Alabama (-600) will cost you six times your potential return, and that’s just too risky in a battle between Top 10 teams, especially taking the favorite on the road.

AVOID, and focus on the spread.

Against the spread

ALABAMA -14.5 (-108) heads into Saturday favored by more than two touchdowns. At the beginning of the season, this might have seemed like a crazy line; however, after completely burying Miami, and having an offense that looks like a well-oiled machine, it isn’t so crazy.

QB Bryce Young has looked tremendous so far. Florida also has a new quarterback. Actually, it has two; QB Emory Jones has been starting, but QB Anthony Richardson has shown tremendous athleticism and versatility. Both are dual-threat options, but facing a ‘Bama defense is much different than lighting up subpar FAU and South Florida defenses.

We’ll get a good idea where this Florida team is, and it’ll likely to go down by more than two touchdowns against a superior team.

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Over/Under

OVER 59.5 (-112) is the play. Remember, last season these teams met in an epic 52-46 battle, easily hitting the Over. Yes, QBs Mac Jones and Kyle Trask were under center for these teams, but the replacements have looked effective.

The Over is 7-3-1 in Alabama’s last 11 games against teams with a wining record, while the Over is 5-0 in Florida’s last five contests against winning teams. Look for plenty of fireworks.

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National Championship Prop Bet Payday: Alabama vs. Ohio State prop predictions

Highlighting five college football prop bet predictions for the CFP National Championship between Alabama and Ohio State.

The Ohio State Buckeyes (7-0) and Alabama Crimson Tide (12-0) meet at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla., Monday night for the College Football Playoff National Championship. Below, we give you five Alabama-Ohio State prop bet predictions from the BetMGM game menu for the National Championship.

Also see:

CFP National Championship prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

Ohio State RB Trey Sermon To Score A TD (-300)

It’s a little steeper than I’d like to risk normally, but it’s a holiday…err, the national title game. Sermon didn’t really do much of note in the team’s first four games, rushing 45 times for 232 yards and no touchdowns. He gobbled up 112 yards and a touchdown in the regular-season finale at Michigan State (Dec. 5), and then he broke out for 331 rushing yards and two scores in the Big Ten Championship Game against Northwestern.

Sermon also ran angrily against Clemson in the CFP Semifinal in New Orleans, gashing the Tigers for 193 yards at 6.2 yards per tote with a touchdown. Head coach Ryan Day and the Buckeyes will lean upon the Georgia native heavily against the Tide.

Alabama QB Mac Jones UNDER 14.5 rushing yards (-110)

This prop seems a little on the high side. Jones posted a season-high 12 rushing yards against Notre Dame in the CFP Semifinal on New Year’s Day, as running the football is just not his thing. Jones actually ran 31 times for just three net positive yards all season with one rushing touchdown at Tennessee Oct. 24.

Yes, sack yardage counts against rushing yardage, and that makes this an even more attractive prop. Ohio State has recorded 19 sacks for 122 yards across its seven games.

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Ohio State TE Luke Farrell UNDER 15.5 receiving yards (-110)

In the CFP Semifinal against Clemson it was TE Jeremy Ruckert who surprised with three receptions for 55 yards and a pair of touchdowns. He now has at least three receptions, at least 25 receiving yards and a total of five touchdown grabs over the past three outings.

Farrell has been lost in the shuffle, going for just five receptions, 37 yards and one touchdown in his four appearances this season. He found the end zone against the Tigers, but he had just 11 yards on two grabs. Expect a similar result and an Under ticket to cash.

Alabama -0.5 – 1st Quarter Spread (-140)

There is a little extra juice attached to this prop, but it’s a good play. Alabama led after the first quarter in 10 of its 12 games this season, including each of the previous eight. In the other two where the Tide wasn’t leading, it was tied 7-7 against Georgia Oct. 17, and 7-7 against Mississippi Oct. 10.

Over the past eight games, ‘Bama has outscored the opposition 104-16 after the first 15 minutes. The Crimson Tide roll to early leads. It’s just what they do, and the CFP title game will be no different.

Alternate Line Parlay – Ohio State +10.5 and Over 55.5 Points (+105)

Ohio State isn’t going to get run out of the building against Alabama, as it comes in with plenty of confidence after exorcising its demons against Clemson last weekend.

While ‘Bama boasts a Heisman finalist in Jones, the Heisman winner in WR DeVonta Smith, and a cadre of NFL-ready players like usual, the Buckeyes have plenty of talent on both sides of the ball, too. They’re not going to be fazed by the bright lights, and it isn’t their first rodeo, either. Look for the Buckeyes to keep it within one score before the dust settles, and for the points to be rather plentiful, too.

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Additional college sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Auburn / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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