It is always difficult to have two running backs that make a case to be a regular in a fantasy football lineup – sometimes even at the same time. Green Bay Packers running back AJ Dillon has found himself in that category.
Below, we look at AJ Dillon’s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.
Dillon wasn’t just a sidekick to Aaron Jones last season. Dillon led the team in rushing attempts, yards and touchdowns and had the 4th-most catches with 34 receptions. Jones is viewed as a late-RB1 or a very early RB2, but his ADP has him ranked as an RB3, which is extremely high for a player viewed as the 2nd option in a 2-man backfield.
AJ Dillon’s ADP: 68.14
(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)
Dillon has been gaining steam since last season and his ADP proves his value. Despite Jones being the No. 12 running back by ADP numbers (20.70), Dillon is No. 25, placing him ahead of several backs viewed as the top guy in their offenses.
Dillon is solidly behind Antonio Gibson (Washington Commanders) at 57.31 and Elijah Mitchell (San Francisco 49ers) at 60.06 and ahead of Clyde Edwards-Helaire (Kansas City Chiefs) at 69.74 and Devin Singletary (Buffalo Bills) at 77.76.
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AJ Dillon’s 2021 stats
Games: 17
Carries | rushing yards: 187 | 803
Rushing touchdowns: 5
Receptions | receiving yards: 34 | 313
Receiving touchdowns: 2
Where should you draft Dillon?
This is one of the more complicated picks on the board. At the point Dillon has been coming off draft boards, 8 teams – including some really good ones – haven’t had their projected top guy taken.
What can’t be ignored is that the Packers play in a relatively easy division if past history is a sign of future failure. You don’t need a passing juggernaut to win consistently in the NFC North and the Packers likely won’t be an offensive force.
QB Aaron Rodgers lost more than just WR Davante Adams (now with Las Vegas) in the offseason. The Packers lost 3 wide receivers who had various roles. Rodgers finds himself in a no-man’s land of veterans at the end of the line and rookies expected to play significant roles.
When that happens, the run game has to take over because the receiver corps can’t be trusted. I think this ranking is spot on because, as an RB3, Dillon doesn’t have to start every week, but he’s going to have enough big weeks that he needs to be factored in every week.
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