Tag: 2020 projections

Over/Under: Projecting Tennessee Titan’s QB Ryan Tannehill’s stats

Projecting Ryan Tannehill’s 2020 passing statistics and how they match up with the over/under betting odds.

Looking forward to the 2020 NFL season, it’s time to start breaking down how individual players will do statistically. Below, we focus on Tennessee Titans QB Ryan Tannehill’s projected passing numbers and how they match up against futures odds at BetMGM sportsbook.

Ryan Tannehill’s stats history

Signed last offseason to back up QB Marcus Mariota, Tannehill took over midway through the 2019 campaign to lead the Titans to a 7-3 record in 10 starts and make it all the way to the AFC Championship Game. The former eighth overall pick of the Miami Dolphins enjoyed a career year with a 70.3% completion rate, throwing for 2,742 yards and 22 touchdowns against just six interceptions in his first season in Music City.

He continued his strong play through three playoff games, as he passed for 369 yards and five touchdowns with only one interception. Tannehill, who turns 32 in July, was rewarded this offseason with a four-year, $118 million contract extension. He’s expected to lead the Titans for years to come following his breakout 2019 campaign.

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Ryan Tannehill’s projected stats and odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Tuesday, April 28 at 1 p.m. ET.

Passing Yards: 3,449.5 / OVER: -110 / UNDER: -110

There was no Passing Touchdowns line posted at the time of publishing.

Tannehill’s 228.5 passing yards per game in 2019 included two relief appearances of Mariota. However, he didn’t attempt a single pass in a 43-13 Week 1 blowout of the Cleveland Browns, and he completed 13 of 16 passes for 144 yards in a 16-0 loss to the Denver Broncos in Week 6 before getting his first start the following week.

Those 228.5 passing yards per game, despite being lower because of the two abbreviated outings, would extrapolate to 3,656 yards over a full season.

The Titans improved their defense through free agency and the 2020 NFL Draft, and didn’t add a single pass-catching option for Tannehill. They’ll remain committed to RB Derrick Henry and the rushing attack, meaning but the projection of 3,449.5 passing yards is still low.

Take the OVER 3,449.5 (-110) for a $9.09 return on a $10 wager should Tannehill pass for at least 3,450 yards in 2020. He topped this total three years in a row during his time with the Dolphins.

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Cowboys LBs lead team’s unit grades in rosy 2020 projections

ESPN analyst Mike Clay assigns grades to each unit of all 32 NFL teams, giving Cowboys fans cause for optimism for the 2020 season.

Mike Clay’s name may be a familiar one to fantasy football owners. But the ESPN analyst has to crunch a ton of numbers regarding the real-life rosters, too, in order to arrive at his weekly player projections and individual rankings during the season.

In these slow days when fans are starving for every morsel they can find about their team, Clay’s first set of 2020 grades for the 32 NFL clubs, released March 31, should be cause for optimism in Cowboys Nation. According to Clay’s early calculations, Dallas ranks as the third-strongest offense in the league and in the top ten in defense. Those scores place the Cowboys second overall, behind only the Saints as the top team in football, per Clay’s grades.

There’s lots there to scour and some hardcore mathematics at work, but here are the highlights for Cowboys fans:

At 3.9 out of 4, the linebacker corps is Dallas’s highest-rated unit. Jaylon Smith, Leighton Vander Esch, and Sean Lee anchor the group that ranks second at the position across the league, behind only Seattle.

Tight end is the offense’s weak spot, scoring just 0.5. Clearly, Clay isn’t impressed with presumed starter Blake Jarwin’s promise in surpassing Jason Witten’s 2019 output.

At 2.8, there is room for improvement at wide receiver, though that is likely a reflection of the current hole at the slot position after Randall Cobb’s departure.

The Cowboys’ quarterback, running back, and offensive line groups all come with grades in the mid-3s. That contributes mightily to the offense’s No. 3 ranking, putting them behind just the Saints and Chiefs, the teams Clay sees as facing one another in Super Bowl LV.

Defensively, cornerback is the team’s weak link, but again, that low number is largely indicative of a key personnel loss; in this case, Byron Jones.

Clay has also sifted the 32 teams by division to forecast final 2020 standings, playoff seedings, and a final 2021 draft order. More glimmers of hope for a strong overall showing by the Cowboys.

Clay projects Dallas to win the NFC East with a 10-6 record and end up with the third seed in the NFC postseason bracket. That would have the Cowboys facing the Seahawks in the first round of the playoffs. By using Clay’s predicted draft order, one can extrapolate that he expects the Cowboys to then travel to San Francisco in the divisional round and ultimately fall to the 49ers. Clay sees the Cowboys ending up with the 27th pick in next year’s draft.

It’s just one man’s interpretation of the data, and there are still moves to be made, collegiate players to be selected, and- most important- actual games to be played on the field. But this rosy report makes some tasty food for thought for Cowboys fans, and a welcome bit of encouraging news at a time when there’s precious little of that going around in general.