Celtics rise to No. 1 in FiveThirtyEight’s 2019-20 title odds

After their strong series against the Philadelphia 76ers in the first round of the playoffs, the Boston Celtics now have the top title odds to FiveThirtyEight.

The Boston Celtics now sit squarely atop the projections by data wizards FiveThirtyEight’s 2020 NBA title odds after their sweep of the Philadelphia 76ers.

Previously — and perhaps in many eyes, prematurely — ranked second on this list of champion aspirants, Boston’s dominant performance in their first round series against the Sixers seems to have made quite the impression.

Combining with some less-than-convincing outings by their Western Conference peers, FiveThirtyEight data scientists now lean to the green as the most likely champions of the Disney bubble restart.

They are projected to possess a 21% chance of winning the Finals, and a 39% shot at coming out of the East to do it, followed by the Houston Rockets, who garnered an 18% chance at emerging as the champs.

The Los Angeles Clippers are now in third place with 17% title odds, and Lakers tie them at that number with slightly lower odds to make their conference finals, and the Milwaukee Bucks round out the top five with a 10% chance at winning it all.

How the Celtics respond in their early games with the Toronto Raptors — their second-round opponents — will dictate how long Boston remains in pole position, with the defending champs likely the first real test of the Celtics postseason mettle.

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FiveThirtyEight grants Boston Celtics 2nd-best 2020 NBA title odds

The data scientists at FiveThirtyEight grant the Boston Celtics the league’s second-best 2020 NBA title odds after Wednesday’s blowout of the Sixers.

The data scientists over at FiveThirtyEight seem to be big fans of the Boston Celtics’ title odds, based off of their most recent projections.

In their odds posted on Thursday, August 20th, FiveThirtyEight projects the Celtics to possess the NBA’s second-best odds to win it all in the 2020 NBA Finals.

You read that right, second-best to win it all.

FiveThirtyEight updates their projections after every day’s slate of games, using their RAPTOR player ratings system to divine who has the best odds to advance towards winning the 2020 NBA Championship.

The Celtics trail only the Los Angeles Clippers, who FiveThirtyEight grants a 34 % chance of making the NBA Finals, and a 23 % shot at winning it all.

Boston, on the other hand, has been deemed to have a 38 % shot at making the Finals in the less-competitive East Playoffs, but a 19 % chance at winning Banner 18.

They are trailed by the Los Angeles Lakers, who presumably saw their title odds take a hit with the loss to the Portland Trail Blazers (as an aside, note their full-strength rating goes down with the presumed return of former Celtic Rajon Rondo), and the Milwaukee Bucks don’t even make the top four after dropping their first game to the Orlando Magic.

There’s plenty of reasons to doubt these projections so early into the postseason, but it’s very interesting to see the odds experts at FiveThirtyEight ranking Boston so highly.

Let’s hope it doesn’t get to their heads, should they see it.

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Celtics reportedly most popular bet to win it all since hiatus start

The Boston Celtics have been the most popular bet to win it all since the start of the COVID-19 hiatus, according to a popular online sportsbook.

Now that the NBA’s regular season return is weeks instead of months away, the betting market for who will take home the 2020 NBA championship is growing quickly  – and there’s some surprising news about the Boston Celtics in that regard.

Ever since the 2019-20 season was suspended in early March, more bets have been made backing the Celtics to win it all than any other team with 35 % of all wagers going Boston’s way over that period according to popular online sportsbook Oddschecker.

That this is the case even with the Celtics only the fifth-most favored team to win the title at the Disney-hosted restart with odds of +2000, too (the Oklahoma City Thunder are the second-most popular team to win it all, with just over 30 % of betting minds going in for Chris Paul’s new team). 

With home court advantage eliminated due to the unique nature of the Orlando-area restart and the extended layoff giving Boston plenty of time to get healthy, they may indeed be better-positioned to win it all than at any point since a decade ago or longer.

And with 20-to-1 payouts available to optimistic (or perhaps canny) fans, it’s not hard to see why they’ve been such a popular bet.

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