The Washington Huskies could be due for regression in a one score matchup. Washington like Texas has played with fire several times this season. Unlike the Longhorns this season, the Huskies have never been burned.
Washington is 13-0, but nearly half of their games have been decided by one score. The Huskies are 6-0 in games decided by eight points or less including four games decided by three points or less.
In contrast, Texas has gone 3-1 in its four one score games. Two of those games were decided by three points.
You can look at the above stats in a couple ways. In one sense, Washington is clearly better in one score battles. On the other hand, the team could be due for regression because of their high volume of one score wins.
The Huskies have won each of their last three games by three points or less. Over that stretch, they defeated Oregon State (22-20), Washington State (24-21) and Oregon (34-31) in succession. We won’t suggest that they limped into the playoff, but the team certainly proved vulnerable.
Monday’s game could unfold in any number of ways. Certainly, the quarterback advantage leans heavily to Washington’s veteran quarterback Michael Penix. Nevertheless, Texas could be the game in which the team’s one score win streak ends.