The San Jose State Spartans (4-6, 1-5 Mountain West) visit the UNLV Rebels (2-8, 0-6) at Sam Boyd Stadium on Saturday at 4 p.m. ET.
We analyze the San Jose State-UNLV odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.
San Jose State at UNLV: Three things you need to know
- Both teams figure as bottom-30 squads in the 130-team ranks of the FBS. Thanks to a decent passing game, the Spartans are the better team on offense. The Rebels have played a slightly more difficult schedule and sport the better defense. UNLV heads in having lost four straight games; SJSU has dropped four of its last five.
- Due primarily to interceptions for (14) and against (four) and pitted against pass break ups, the Spartans figure as solidly on the “turnover lucky” side of the spectrum. Those extra picks have helped SJSU to a +13 in turnover margin.
- Some hidden-yards analytics pegged San Jose State as a play after some sideways results in October; the Spartans went 3-0 against the spread on Oct. 26, Nov. 2 and Nov. 9. Now, some of those same indicator numbers support UNLV.
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San Jose State at UNLV: Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 2 p.m. ET.
Prediction
UNLV 42, San Jose State 27
Moneyline (ML)
San Jose State has had some defensive struggles on the road, and the Spartan defense wasn’t sharp at all two weeks back at Hawaii (7.6 yards per play allowed). SJSU is 1-6 over its last seven road tilts against losing teams. This losing foe — UNLV — has a few positives going for it. Taking the near 2-1 payoff here and going with UNLV +190.
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on UNLV returns a profit of $19.
Against the Spread (ATS)
Will LINE WATCH this one, looking for a full 7 on the UNLV side (current line: UNLV +6.5, -110). The Rebels have done well in bounce-back situations (and lines have moved a few too many points against them in such games). UNLV is 5-1 ATS over its last five after a double-digit loss the game prior. (The Rebels lost 21-7 to Hawaii last weekend.)
Over/Under (O/U)
UNLV has played in three straight unders, and the figure has missed on the low side in five of the Rebels’ last six games. Some regression-ready numbers favor the upside here. The SJSU-UNLV matchup in the Rebels run game points the same way in a game with a decent-pace exchange of scoring. TAKING THE OVER 65.5 -106 on what is expected to be a good weather afternoon in Las Vegas.
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