The San Diego Padres (46-50) and Toronto Blue Jays (53-43) wrap up a 3-game set Thursday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 1:07 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Padres lead 2-0
The Padres won 2-0 as +110 road underdogs in the 2nd game of the series Wednesday. San Diego has won back-to-back contests after a 3-game losing streak and is 4th in the NL West, 9½ games back of the division-leading Los Angeles Dodgers.
The Blue Jays have lost 2 games in a row after previously winning 8 of 9. Toronto is 3rd in the AL East, 5½ games behind the division-leading Baltimore Orioles.
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Padres at Blue Jays projected starters
LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Chris Bassitt
Snell (6-7, 2.71 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 through 103 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 6-4 loss at Philadelphia Phillies Saturday
- Career vs. Blue Jays: 4-3, 2.81 ERA (64 IP, 20 ER), 46 H, 5 HR, 29 BB, 80 K across 13 starts
Bassitt (9-5, 4.12 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 115 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 5-2 home win vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Saturday
- Career vs. Padres: 0-2, 6.60 ERA (15 IP, 11 ER), 19 H, 1 HR, 5 BB, 23 K across 3 starts
Padres at Blue Jays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:52 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Blue Jays +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+135) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Padres at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 4, Padres 3
Moneyline
Toronto should bounce back and avoid the sweep Thursday. The Blue Jays are 5-3 in their last 8 games after a loss and Bassitt has not allowed more than 3 earned runs in 4 straight starts. The Blue Jays starting pitcher has been solid lately and has gone 6 consecutive starts without losing a decision.
Snell has been on a tear lately, but the Padres have won just 2 of his 8 road starts this season.
BET BLUE JAYS (+100).
Run line/Against the spread
It’s unlikely that the Padres will beat the Blue Jays by multiple runs in 3 straight games at Rogers Centre. Toronto +1.5 (-165) should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Blue Jays should win straight up.
PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.
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Over/Under
Snell has given up just 4 earned runs over his last 10 starts and only 4 of those games have ended with more than 9 total runs. The Under is 11-5-1 in Toronto’s last 17 games and should cash again Thursday with 2 consistent starting pitchers on the mound.
BET UNDER 9 (-120).
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