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The Texas Rangers (39-47) welcome the San Diego Padres (47-43) to Globe Life Field Thursday. First pitch in the finale of the 3-game series is set for 2:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Rangers lost to the Padres 6-4 in the 2nd game of the series Wednesday after winning the 1st battle 7-0. Texas has won 2 of its last 3, but is just 2-7 over its last 9. The Rangers have been much better at home this season with a 21-20 record. They have won 5 of their last 6 at home. Texas is 40-46 against the spread (ATS) on the season.
The Padres, who are 23-21 on the road this season, have lost 2 of their last 3 after a 4-game winning streak. They have struggled offensively as of late, scoring just 7 runs over their last 3 games. San Diego is 5-2 ATS over its last 7 and 46-44 ATS on the season.
Padres at Rangers projected starters
RHP Michael King vs. RHP Max Scherzer
King (6-5, 3.61 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 99 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 R, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 11-1 road win over the Boston Red Sox Saturday
- 2024 away splits: 5-2, 2.84 ERA (57 IP, 18 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 8 HR, 8.4 K/9 in 10 appearances (9 starts)
- Career vs. Rangers: 0-2, 3.00 ERA (9 IP, 5 ER), 0.89 WHIP, 13.0 K/9 in 6 appearances
Scherzer (1-1, 1.74 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.68 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 10 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 2 R, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 2-1 road loss to the Baltimore Orioles Friday
- 2023 home splits: 5-2, 3.09 ERA (67 IP, 23 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 7 HR, 10.6 K/9 in 12 starts
- Career vs. Padres: 7-4, 3.02 ERA (119 1/3 IP, 40 ER), 0.95 WHIP, 12.3 K/9 in 19 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Padres at Rangers odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:09 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres +114 (bet $100 to win $114) | Rangers -134 (bet $134 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-188) | Rangers -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Padres at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 5, Padres 4
Moneyline
BET RANGERS (-134).
Scherzer has been strong in his 2 starts, allowing just 5 hits in 10 1/3 IP and just 2 ER. The Padres have lost 2 of King’s last 3 starts.
That said, the Rangers are 25-21 as a favorite and swept the Royals in their last home series. Texas is 3-2 over its last 5 games as a favorite as well. Considering Scherzer’s strong start to the season after returning from an injury and Texas’ strength as a favorite, take RANGERS (-134).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There’s just no good value here to consider. The Padres are too risky as a run-line underdog while the Rangers are too risky as a run-line favorite, especially considering how they’ve been playing as of late.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8 (-108).
The Padres have been on fire offensively over the last few weeks. They have gone Over in 10 of their last 12 games (10-1-1). San Diego will have a tough pitcher to face, but it has scored at least 7 runs in 5 of its last 8 games.
The Rangers are 5-1-1 O/U in their last 7 games and have scored at least 7 runs in 2 of their last 3 games and at least 5 runs in 4 of their last 7. Put it all together and back OVER 8 (-108).
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