The San Diego Padres (35-39) and San Francisco Giants (42-32) meet Thursday in the finale of a 4-game NL West series. First pitch from Oracle Stadium is slated for 3:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Giants lead 3-2
San Diego is looking to avoid being swept. The Friars have only been swept in 1 other series this season, May 12-14 at the Los Angeles Dodgers.
The Giants are orange-hot. They head into Thursday afternoon looking for their 11th consecutive victory. Over its 10 straight wins, San Francisco has averaged 8 runs per game on a high-contact .859 OPS. Prior to this series, the Giants had gone just 2-6 over 8 home games from May 30-June 11.
San Francisco is 2nd in the NL West, 2 1/2 games behind the Arizona Diamondbacks and 7 games ahead of the 4th-place Padres.
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Padres at Giants projected starters
LHP Blake Snell vs. LHP Alex Wood
Snell (3-6, 3.48 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 75 innings.
- Owns an 18.9% swinging-strike rate over his last 3 starts and is facing a Giants offense that has filed a 25.7 whiff percentage against southpaws
- Owns a 3.15 ERA on the road over the last 2 years
Wood (2-1, 4.11 ERA) is making his 9th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 35 innings across 9 games (8 starts).
- Owns a 3.70 ERA, 1.23 WHIP over 249 career games
- Has an 8.10 ERA over his last 3 home starts
- Has gone past 5 innings just once this season
Padres at Giants odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Padres -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Giants +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+126) | Giants +1.5 (-152)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: -102)
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Padres at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 5, Giants 4
Moneyline
The Padres lost Wednesday’s game 4-2; they are 6-0 across their last 6 games after scoring 2-or-less runs the prior game.
San Diego is 0-6 in extra innings and 5-13 in 1-run games. The Friars are deserving of a better record than where they stand. Also, figure their schedule as being tougher than that of the Giants so far.
The lefty-lefty match-up favors the Padres; the better side of their platoon splits have them owning a top-10 OPS (.768) against lefties.
Swimming upstream against a San Francisco win streak is not ideal. Some bettors may want to avoid this play or dial down the unit percentage, but PADRES (-130) has value.
Run line/Against the spread
The Over has a lean, but the return here on San Diego is not great. PASS.
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Over/Under
The Over is 9-4 in the last 13 series meetings.
The Friars average just 3.70 RPG at home, but on the road that figure jumps to 4.65.
An outward breeze is in the forecast, and there is some lean against both starters and the Padre bullpen. Both bullpens have some availability concerns at the back end.
BACK THE OVER 8 (-120). Consider a partial-unit play unless the price drops to -115 or better.
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