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The San Diego Padres (37-40) and Philadelphia Phillies (49-24) close out a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Philadelphia leads 5-0
Philadelphia won 4-3 Tuesday while covering as a -159 home favorite. The Phillies scored 3 runs in the 8th and 9th innings to come back a 3-1 deficit with OF Nick Castellanos delivering the walk-off game-winning RBI double.
Padres reliever Robert Suarez allowed 2 ER and 4 H in 1/3 IP to take the loss. San Diego has lost 5 straight games on the road.
Padres at Phillies projected starters
RHP Matt Waldron vs. LHP Ranger Suarez
Waldron (4-6, 3.66 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 76 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 2 K in a 2-1 loss at the New York Mets Friday
- Career vs. Philadelphia: 0-0, 5.79 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 1 relief appearance
Suarez (10-1, 1.77 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 86 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K in a 5-3 win in Baltimore against the Orioles Friday
- Career vs. San Diego: 3-0, 2.16 ERA (25 IP, 6 ER), 18 H, 5 BB, 17 K in 6 appearances (3 starts)
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Padres at Phillies odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:31 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres +132 (bet $100 to win $132) | Phillies -156 (bet $156 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-154) | Phillies -1.5 (+128)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Padres at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 7, Padres 3
Moneyline
PASS.
The run line offers better value on a Phillies win.
Run line/Against the spread
BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+128).
I like the Phillies to cover here as home favorites as I don’t expect back-to-back matchups between these squads to finish with a 1-run margin.
The Phillies are 3-1 in their last 4 home games while the Padres have dropped 5 consecutive road games. Philadelphia is 29-9 at home on the year and San Diego is only 18-19 on the road this season. Philly is also 9-1 in its last 10 vs. San Diego, winning each of the last 6 meetings.
Also, before Tuesday the Phillies’ last 13 wins had all been by multiple runs.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 8.5 (-115).
The Over has hit in 2 of San Diego’s last 3 road games and is 5-1-1 in Philadelphia’s last 7 overall. The Over has also hit in 7 of the last 10 San Diego-Philadelphia matchups, being 2-1 in the last 3 meetings.
This is only a lean because the Under has hit in 3 of Philly’s last 4 at home and because the Under is 3-2 in San Diego’s last 5 overall.
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