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The San Diego Padres (37-38) and Philadelphia Phillies (47-24) open a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Philadelphia leads 3-0
San Diego lost 11-6 to the New York Mets Sunday, failing to cover as a -140 road favorite. The Padres have dropped 3 straight games after winning 3 in a row.
Philadelphia was routed 8-3 by the Baltimore Orioles Sunday while failing to cover as a +124 road underdog. Philly has lost back-to-back games and 5 of its last 7.
Padres at Phillies projected starters
RHP Randy Vasquez vs. LHP Christopher Sanchez
Vasquez (1-3, 4.93 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 38 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 4-3 win over the Oakland A’s Tuesday
- First career start vs. Philadelphia
Sanchez (3-3, 3.07 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 70 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 2 K in an 8-6 loss in Boston to the Red Sox on Wednesday
- Career vs. San Diego: 0-1, 5.40 ERA (5 IP, 3 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 1 start
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Padres at Phillies odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres +144 (bet $100 to win $144) | Phillies -172 (bet $172 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-140) | Phillies -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Padres at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 6, Padres 4
Moneyline
PASS.
I expect Philly (-172) to pick up the win as the Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. San Diego, but the line is too risky to advise betting on. Bet on the run line and/or total instead.
Run line/Against the spread
LEAN PHILLIES -1.5 (+115).
The Phillies have been dominant vs. San Diego recently, only allowing the Padres to come within 1-run in 1 of their last 8 wins vs. San Diego. This is only a lean because both teams are 5-5 in their last 10 games and because neither team has been great ATS this season. Philadelphia is 39-32 ATS while the Padres are 36-39 ATS.
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Over/Under
BET OVER 9.5 (-105).
The Over has hit in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games overall and is 5-5 in San Diego’s last 10 games. The Over is also 2-1 in the last 3 San Diego-Philadelphia matchups, being 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
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