The San Diego Padres (7-5) and New York Mets (6-6) wrap up a 3-game set Wednesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1.
The Padres won 4-2 as +124 underdogs Tuesday. SS Xander Bogaerts hit a 2-run HR in the top of the 9th inning for the Padres, who have won 4 of their last 5 games.
The Mets closed as -134 favorites in Tuesday’s loss. New York has lost 2 of its last 3 games after back-to-back wins vs. the Miami Marlins Friday and Saturday.
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Padres at Mets projected starters
LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Tylor Megill
Snell (0-1, 7.88 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 2.13 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 12.4 K/9 through 8 IP.
- Posted an 8-10 record with a 3.38 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 in 128 IP across 24 starts in 2022
- 6 career starts vs. New York: 3-3 with a 2.73 ERA (33 IP, 10 ER)
Megill (2-0, 1.64 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 11 IP.
- Was 4-2 in 9 starts and 6 relief appearances last year with a 5.13 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 47 1/3 IP
- Has never faced the Padres in his career
Padres at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mets -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Padres at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 5, Padres 4
Moneyline
BET METS (-110).
New York should bounce back after blowing a 2-1 lead in the 9th inning last time out. The Mets are 47-19 in their last 66 games after a loss and 13-6 in their last 19 at home vs. teams with a winning record.
The Padres should let down after their late comeback win and struggle to beat the Mets at Citi Field in back-to-back games.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
New York +1.5 (-185) should hit, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Mets should win straight up. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.
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Over/Under
BET OVER 8.5 (-110).
The Over is 8-1-1 in San Diego’s last 10 games after allowing 2 or fewer runs in its previous contest and 7-2 in its last 9 vs. right-handed starters. The Mets should bounce back offensively Wednesday since the Over has gone 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after scoring 2 or fewer runs.
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