The San Diego Padres (6-5) and New York Mets (6-5) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Tuesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 1-0.
The Padres had a 3-game win snapped with a 5-0 loss as +117 underdogs in the series opener Monday. San Diego was coming off a 3-1 series win at the Atlanta Braves.
The Mets closed as -127 home favorites in Monday’s win. SS Francisco Lindor and OF Jeff McNeil drove in 2 runs each for the Mets, who have won 3 of their last 4 games.
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Padres at Mets projected starters
LHP Ryan Weathers vs. LHP David Peterson
Weathers (0-0, 3.60 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 2 ER on 5 H and 1 BB with 2 K across 5 IP in his debut vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks on April 3.
- Started just 1 game in 2022.
- Posted a 4-7 record with a 5.32 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 94 2/3 IP across 18 starts and 12 relief appearances in 2021.
- Has never faced the Mets in his career.
Peterson (0-1, 6.00 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 2.11 WHIP, 6.0 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 9 IP.
- Last start: allowed 5 ER on 5 H and 5 BB with 5 K in 4 IP in a no-decision at the Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday.
- Went 7-5 with a 3.83 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 105 2/3 IP across 19 starts and 9 relief appearances in 2022.
- Allowed 1 ER on 2 H and 0 BB with 2 K through 2 IP in 2 relief appearances vs. the Padres in the 2022 postseason.
Padres at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mets -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-175) | Mets -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Padres at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 6, Mets 5
Moneyline
BET PADRES (+115).
San Diego plays up to the level of its competition and is 5-1 in its last 6 games vs. teams with a winning record. The Mets are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. winning teams and Peterson wasn’t great against San Diego last year.
The Padres are 6-2 in their last 8 games after scoring 2 or fewer runs in their previous contest and should be able to bounce back Tuesday after getting shut out in the series opener.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
San Diego +1.5 (-175) should hit, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Padres should win straight up. Bet the moneyline and/or total instead.
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Over/Under
BET OVER 9 (-105).
San Diego has been bouncing back offensively after poor performances and the Over is 6-1-1 in its last 8 games after scoring 2 or fewer runs in its previous contest. The Over is 6-1 in New York’s last 7 home games vs. left-handed starters and should cash again Tuesday since both pitchers are capable of giving up a lot of runs early.
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