The San Diego Padres (19-20) play the middle contest of a 3-game series with the Los Angeles Dodgers (24-15) Saturday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 3-1
The Padres lost their 3rd consecutive game in Friday’s series opener, falling 4-2. San Diego has dropped 5 of the past 6 games overall, including 3 in a row against Los Angeles, to slip back under .500 on the season.
The Dodgers have won 3 in a row and 5 of the previous 6 contests. In addition, L.A. is an impressive 11-2 in the past 13 games dating back to April 28, opening up a 3-game lead over the 2nd-place Arizona Diamondbacks.
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Padres at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Joe Musgrove vs. LHP Julio Urias
Musgrove (1-0, 6.75 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 13 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 R (0 ER), 2 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 5-2 extra-innings home loss vs. the Dodgers last Sunday
- Last season vs. Dodgers: 0-2, 3.63 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 23 K, .231 opponent batting average (OBA) in 3 starts
Urias (4-3, 3.77 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9, 9.5 K/9 in 45 1/3 IP innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 5-2 extra-innings road win vs. the Padres last Sunday
- Home splits this season: 3-1, 1.82 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 5 ER), .205 OBA in 4 starts
Padres at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Dodgers -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-160) | Dodgers -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Padres 2
Moneyline
The DODGERS (-155) are playing well, and they’re not priced out of line on their home field.
The Padres (+125) are 1-5 in the past 6 games overall, while cashing in just 2 of the previous 8 tries in Game 2 of a series. They’re also just 1-5 in the past 6 against teams with a winning overall record, too.
The DODGERS -1.5 (+135) are a decent value on the run line. Not only has L.A. won 3 in a row, but it has cashed on the run line in each outing. In fact, as a favorite, Los Angeles is 10-1 in the past 11 games as a favorite, while covering the run line in 8 of the past 9 as a fave.
The Padres +1.5 (-160) failed to cover as an underdog on the run line in Friday’s opener, and they’re 0-2 on the run line in the past 2 as a ‘dog against the Dodgers.
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Over/Under
The UNDER 8.5 (-115) is worth a look, as the Under is on fire for San Diego lately.
The Padres have cashed the Under in 9 straight games, including all 4 meetings with the Dodgers this season. In fact, San Diego has plated 5 total runs in the past 3 meetings with Los Angeles.
While the Under and Over has alternated for the Dodgers in the past 4 outings, the Under is 5-2 across the previous 7 games overall.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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