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The San Diego Padres (24-24) and Atlanta Braves (26-16) meet Sunday in the 1st game of a doubleheader and the 3rd game of a 4-game series. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 12:20 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: San Diego leads 2-0
San Diego routed Atlanta 9-1 on Sunday while covering as a +109 road underdog. RHP Yu Darvish was credited with the win (7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 9 K). The Padres have won their 3 road games.
The Braves have lost 3 consecutive games and have allowed at least 7 runs in 2 of those 3 losses. RHP Bryce Elder came away with the loss Sunday (3 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 3 K).
Game 2 will be played at 6:20 p.m. ET.
Padres at Braves projected starters
RHP Dylan Cease vs. RHP Reynaldo Lopez
Cease (5-3, 2.45 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 0.78 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 55 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 8 K in a 6-3 loss vs. Colorado Rockies Tuesday
- Career vs. Atlanta: 1-0, 1.80 ERA (5 IP, 1 ER), 3 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 1 start
Lopez (2-1, 1.34 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 40 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 2-0 win vs. Chicago Cubs last Monday
- Career vs. San Diego: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (1 IP, 0 ER), 2 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 1 relief appearance
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Padres at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:36 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Braves -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-200) | Braves -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Padres at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 3, Braves 2
Moneyline
BET PADRES (+105).
San Diego has won its last 3 road games and Atlanta has lost its last 3 home games. The Padres have also won 3 consecutive matchups vs. Atlanta and are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
Be aware that there is always a risk associated with betting against a team as good as Atlanta (-125), no matter how cold they are.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
While I fully expect the Padres +1.5 (-200) to cover here as underdogs, the line is far too risky. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8 (-110).
The Under has hit in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 home games and is 9-1 in Atlanta’s last 10 overall. For San Diego the Under is 6-4 in its last 10 games. The Under has also hit in 2 of the last 3 San Diego-Atlanta meeting and is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta.
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